AMR opened this morning at $5.68. So far today the stock has hit a low of $5.55 and a high of $5.70. As of 11:50, AMR is trading at $5.57 up 13 cents(2.4%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
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FeedAirline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data
AMR opened this morning at $5.68. So far today the stock has hit a low of $5.55 and a high of $5.70. As of 11:50, AMR is trading at $5.57 up 13 cents(2.4%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Airline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data
AMR: Q3 could have been worse; AirTran solid
American Airlines had yet another difficult quarter, not unexpected in what has become an incredibly deep travel slump. The carrier's parent company, AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), reported a third quarter loss of $359 million, largely because there aren't as many business travelers taking to the skies. Corporate travel budgets in all industries are having an effect on all airlines, including AMR.
Revenue plunged 20.2% year-over-year for the third quarter for the nation's second airline. The loss comes after a $31 million gain last year. This quarter's losses would have been slightly better if write-downs for sold or grounded aircraft were excluded -- the loss would have been $265 million (93 cents a share) on revenue of $5.09 billion. With the write-downs, revenue clocked in at $5.13 billion. Cheaper fuel made the quarter a little easier for AMR to bear, as well, with this expense down 47% year-over-year.
Continue reading AMR: Q3 could have been worse; AirTran solid
Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'
If you think all those new airline fees were a temporary measure to help these beleaguered companies through an economic crisis, you're out of your mind. Now that they've had a taste of how much they can make by charging you for an extra bag or a little more leg room, they're hooked. More important, the fees are making up a meaningful portion of airline revenues and profits, so investors aren't likely to be satisfied with a return to normal – well, they can't. Extra fees are the new "normal."
Continue reading Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'
American Airlines: A play with promise, but also with high risk
There is that old international economics joke that goes, 'And in the end, there will be 3 banks.'Actually, up ahead there may only be just 3 U.S. airlines, and AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), parent of American Airlines, will likely be one, which is why I'm reiterating my Buy rating for AMR, first recommended on June 25, 2009 at a price of $4.28. If you bought AMR then, you're up an impressive 79%.
Continue reading American Airlines: A play with promise, but also with high risk
United's battle over its identity
United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA), US Airways (NYSE: LCC) and American Airlines (NYSE: AMR), according to an influential analyst, have run out of options. Jamie Baker of JPMorgan said in a July 20, 2009 report that these companies couldn't do anything to prevent a cash crisis. They only savior available to them would have to be an outside investor. To call the position grim would be optimistic. Unfortunately, it couldn't have come at a worse time.
As Baker was walking the bear into the airline industry, United was starting to celebrate its change in direction. The carrier has improved its on-time rate, according to a USA Today report, and its operations are coming around. Despite the fact that the airline industry has been brutalized by the global recession, the airline has made some progress. Through August, the company's share price doubled, and its ascent has continued in September. So, the company is locked in an ongoing struggle to manage its identity, cope with its past and shape how the world sees it today.
The operational "makeover" has resulted in a reduction of its fleet from 601 jets in 2000 to 386 as of the summer of 2009. In terms of passenger traffic, it's in the #4 spot in the United States – trailing Delta (NYSE: DAL), Southwest (NYSE: LUV) and American. With Q2 revenues off 25.2% year-over-year, however, drastic measures are still necessary.
Jumping JAL: Investment reports cause price action
Japan Airlines (OTC: JALSY) gained 8% Monday morning, thanks to weekend rumors that Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL) and American Airlines (NYSE: AMR) are vying for a piece of the largest airline in Asia's largest travel market. Both Delta and American hope to use an investment in JAL to gain broader access to the Japanese travel market.
Though JAL refuses to comment on any talks, it's been reported over the weekend that Delta could be interested in buying a minority stake in the airline for several hundred million dollars, while American's bid could be $1 billion or more for a joint venture. At the same time, JAL has mentioned wanting to raise a total of $2.8 billion.
Continue reading Jumping JAL: Investment reports cause price action
Hewlett-Packard may be designing the next generation airline ticketing system
Looks like Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) may have dibs on designing a completely new system for airline reservations. American Airlines (NYSE: AMR) brought the first automated attempt at reservations almost five decades ago -- and oddly, it's still in wide use today. I'm not that sure air travel has changed any in that time. Are you?
The new system -- codenamed Jetstream -- could become the next airline industry standard and would allow HP to really put its EDS purchase from 2008 into good use. This kind of custom industry programming and system creation is EDS's specialty. AMR and HP agreed to develop Jetstream over the next four years, which will be principally aimed at removing costs through improved efficiency and consistency.
Continue reading Hewlett-Packard may be designing the next generation airline ticketing system
Could cancellation fees save the airlines?
There may be new hope for the perpetually ailing airline industry. While I wouldn't expect these companies to become top performers anytime soon, it looks like the best revenue stream is the one nobody's been talking about: change and cancellation fees.
These penalties, which can reach up to $150, bring $2 billion in revenue into the industry annually. According to the Department of Transportation, they were good for $527.6 million in the first quarter -- in the United States alone. This is 3.2% of U.S. airline revenue.
American Airlines parent AMR (NYSE: AMR) raked in $116 million in revenue from these penalties in the first quarter of 2009 -- compared to $108 million from the more highly publicized extra bag fees. For JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU), the numbers are smaller (JetBlue, of course, isn't as big as AMR) but no less compelling. By pumping its change and cancellation fee from $100 to $150, the airline scored $32.2 million in Q1 2009, up from $25 million in Q1 2008.
AMR loses in Q2, however you measure it
AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR) got spanked in the second quarter, as frequent fliers kept their feet on the ground. The American Airlines parent posted a $390 million loss in a quarter that historically has been kind to travel companies. AMR rationalizes the results with the thought that the loss would have been only $319 million ($1.14 per share) if charges related to selling and grounding planes were excluded. This would have put the airline ahead of analyst expectations of a $1.28 per share loss. AMR's Q2 revenue fell 21% to $4.89 billion.
And, it's far better than the airline's performance in the second quarter of 2008.
DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief
Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) just got the relief it needs to compete. Despite resistance from the Department of Justice (which can only recommend), the Department of Transportation has granted the airline immunity from antitrust laws. This clears the way for Continental to work with United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) -- and other carriers -- on international routes. Now, the airline can join Star Alliance, which already has antitrust immunity.
At the same time, DOT approved a joint venture among Continental, United, Lufthansa (OTC: DLAKY) and Air Canada. This new relationship would involve trans-Atlantic routes.
Continue reading DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief
Q2 to be tough on earnings, but some improvement
Quarterly earnings could be up year-over-year by the fourth quarter. A low threshold for improvement, as a result of last year's Q3 financial meltdown, could set the stage for the appearance of a recovery, but the ride from here to there will be a difficult one.
Data from Bloomberg and S&P suggests that profits for stocks comprising the S&P 500 Index may be down 21% next quarter. It's still a double-digit blow, but a better result than Q2's estimated 34% -- and far ahead of Q1's 60% year-over-year fall in profits. The driver of a recovery, however concealed by low expectations, is likely to be a combination of unemployment and consumer spending. Last month, we saw unemployment reach a 26-year high, putting obvious constraints on purchasing.
Continue reading Q2 to be tough on earnings, but some improvement
Justice Department pushes back on Continental immunity request
Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) is seeking immunity from antitrust laws to work more closely with United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) and others on international routes. And, since airlines operate in a state of seemingly perpetual turmoil, what's the harm? According to the Justice Department: plenty.
The airline sought broad immunity as part of an effort to join Star Alliance, which includes US Airways, Lufthansa (OTC: DLAKY), and Air Canada -- along with United. Continental believes that it needs to join Star Alliance in order to remain competitive, especially with airlines that have this type of immunity already.
Continue reading Justice Department pushes back on Continental immunity request
American Airlines: An 'empty shoebox play'
The U.S. airline sector, to say the least, has not offered investors any excitement lately. The flat-to-declining number of travelers, intense competition, and yet another battle with sky-high fuel prices in 2008 have created an environment that's ripe for further industry consolidation, and sluggish share price gains.
Even so, selected entry points are possible, for high-risk investors only. AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR), parent company of American Airlines, is one. Here's why:
Earnings highlights: eBay, Google, IBM, Southwest, UAL, AMR, Northern Trust and others
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) reported dismal Q4 results due to lower demand.
- AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) reported a bigger-than-expected Q4 loss, sending shares lower.
- Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: CHKP) earnings prospects led to an upgrade.
- eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) posted Q4 and full-year results with increased revenue due to a stronger dollar.
- Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported strong Q4 numbers that beat analysts' expectations.
- International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) reported better-than-expected Q4 and 2008 earnings.
- Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT) posted strong Q4 results but lowered its 2009 guidance.
- Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ: NTRS) shares surged after posting better-than-expected earnings.
- Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE: RF) reported a huge loss due to write-downs and offered a bleak outlook.
- Societe Generale said that it expects to have broken even in the final quarter of 2008.
- Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) posted its second straight quarterly loss due to fuel hedging costs.
- UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) reported a huge loss on the erosion in value of oil hedges as prices dropped.
- Usana Health Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: USNA) posted record Q4 results despite one-time charges.
For more highlights from this week, see Apple, Microsoft, GE, Johnson & Johnson, Harley Davidson and others
American Airlines (AMR) dives on Q4 losses
AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR - option chain) stock is falling today after the company reported a fourth-quarter loss of $340 million, or $1.22 per share. Excluding one-time items, AMR lost 77 cents per share, which was worse than analysts' projections of a 73 cents per share loss. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AMR.This morning, AMR opened at $10.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $7.37 and a high of $10.50. As of 12:10, AMR is trading at $8.17, down $2.29 (-21.9%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a May bear-call credit spread above the $15 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in four months as long as AMR is below $15 at May expiration. AMR would have to rise by more than 82% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
AMR hasn't been above $15 in almost a year and shown resistance around $12.50 recently.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AMR.



