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analyst downgrades posts

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: MET, COST, WAG, CAG...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded MetLife (NYSE: MET) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe the company's capital and liquidity profile are very solid relative to this week's sell-off.
  • The firm also upgraded shares of MSCI (NYSE: MXB) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe near-term challenges are already priced into shares.
  • Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan based on valuation and strong pricing outlook.
  • Costco (NASDAQ: COST) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Pali Capital lifted Virgin Mobile (NYSE: VM) to Neutral from Sell.
  • Merrill upgraded Pall (NYS: PLL) and Xcel Energy (NYSE: XEL) to buy from Neutral.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Trimble Navigation (NASDAQ: TRMB) to Perform from Outperform as they believe the company's Engineering and Construction division is facing a challenging period due to the credit market strain.
  • Stephens downgraded Seacoast Banking (NASDAQ:SBCF) to Underweight from Equal Weight as they believe a dilutive capital raise is possible given future losses from real estate credits in coastal Florida.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: MET, COST, WAG, CAG...

Analyst calls: AAPL, NCC, NT, TLAB, TTWO, TSCM, HOT, CHK ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of National City (NYSE: NCC) to Outperform from Perform on valuation as they believe the bank is not seeing a mass exodus of depositors.
  • Wachovia upgraded Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE: BIP) to Outperform from Market Perform due to what the firm sees as the company's solid cash flow growth outlook, strong balance sheet, and discounted valuation.
  • Baird upgraded Tellabs (NASDAQ: TLAB) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and improving 2009 prospects from 8800, 8600, and 7100 products and better Opex management..
  • Take-Two (NASDAQ: TTWO) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Cowen.
  • UBS raised Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Borg-Warner (NYSE: BWA) was raised to Buy from Hold at Keybanc.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Merriman downgraded shares of TheStreet.com (NASDAQ: TSCM) and Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Neutral from Buy to reflect concerns about display advertising trends and the company's above average exposure to the financial vertical.
  • Baird downgraded Monaco Coach (NYSE: MNC) to Neutral from Outperform and Thor Industries (NYSE: THO) and Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) to Underperform from Neutral citing valuations and checks that indicate "dreadful" fundamentals.
  • RBC Capital downgraded Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing weakening consumer spending, reduced visibility, and risks to valuation. The company's target was lowered to $140 from $200.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AAPL, NCC, NT, TLAB, TTWO, TSCM, HOT, CHK ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merrill upgraded Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) to Buy from Neutral citing the company's better near-term pipeline outlook with two potential blockbusters to be approved over the next year. Schering-Plough's target was raised to $23 from $20.
  • Morgan Stanley lifted RadioShack (NYSE: RSH) and Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) to Equal Weight from Underweight.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Hologic (NASDAQ: HOLX) to Hold from Buy as they see limited near-term catalysts after the company reported a Q3 miss and lowered top-line guidance for FY08. The firm lowered their target to $24 from $28.
  • Baird downgraded California Pizza (NASDAQ: CPKI) to Neutral from Outperform as they see limited near-term upside given the uncertain 2H08/2009 outlook. The company's target was lowered to $15 from $17.
  • JP Morgan downgraded Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) and CB Richard Ellis (NYSE: CBG) to Neutral from Overweight due to the continued challenging economic environment.
Analyst initiations:
  • BC Capital initiated Dollar Financial(NYSE: DLLR) with an Outperform rating and $24 target. The firm likes Dollar's geographically diversified business and valuation.

Analyst downgrades: VARI, CMG and MCD

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Varian, Chipotle Mexican Grill and McDonald's were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of Varian (NASDAQ:VARI) to Market Weight from Overweight following the company's Q3 results to reflect manufacturing relocation issues and the slowdown in organic growth. The firm lowered their target to $47 from $70.
  • Jefferies cut Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) to Hold from Buy following the company's in-line Q2 results, as they believe consumer headwinds and commodity inflation are likely to pressure EPS in coming quarters. The firm lowered their target to $80 from $100.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) to Hold from Buy as they believe higher beef costs and slower traffic could drive reduced profitability and limit upside. The firm reduced their target to $63 from $67.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • AT&T (NYSE:T) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
  • Baird cut Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to Neutral from Outperform.
  • Raymond James (NYSE:RJF) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.

Analyst downgrades: EBAY, WFC and ASML

MOST NOTEWORTHY: eBay (EBAY), Wells Fargo (WFC) and ASML Holdings (ASML) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) following the company's Q2 results, as they did not see an improvement in the underlying fundamentals. Goldman lowered eBay to Neutral from Buy and cut its target to $30 from $38.
  • UBS downgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) to Neutral from Buy citing valuation and reduced capital flexibility.
  • Merrill downgraded shares of ASML Holdings (NASDAQ:ASML) to Underperform from Neutral as they believe the company's demand slowdown could carry into next year.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: BAC, ETM and OPXT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Bank of America, Entercom Comm and Opnext were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to Underweight from Equal Weight as they believe the company may need to raise an additional $12B in capital in Q4 and cut its dividend by 20%.
  • Citigroup cut Entercom Comm (NYSE:ETM) to Sell from Hold as they see near-term downside risk for radio stocks given the weaker economic backdrop and underperforming radio ad spend. The firm lowered their target to $5 from $9.75.
  • Merriman downgraded Opnext (NASDAQ:OPXT) to Neutral from Buy following the acquisition of Stratalight, as they believe the deal is too stock heavy given the current valuation and has concerns about competition in the 40G market.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: NVDA, AFLYY and UNH

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nvidia, Air France and UnitedHealth were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) to Neutral from Overweight following the company's lowered guidance.
  • Deutsche Bank cut Air France (Other OTC:AFLYY) to Sell from Hold as they believe consensus revenue estimates need to come down.
  • Following UnitedHealth's (NYSE:UNH) lowered guidance, UBS said there is "little hope" for improvement in 2009 and that the company has above average exposure to the Medicare segment, which is being politically pressured. UBS downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Aetna (NYSE:AET) and Health Net (NYSE:HNT) were downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Dice Holdings (NYSE:DHX) was lowered at Wachovia to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Zhone (NASDAQ:ZHNE) was downgraded to Source of Funds from Buy at ThinkPanmure.

Analyst downgrades: MNI, ANSS and FO

MOST NOTEWORTHY: McClatchy News, Ansys and Fortune Brands were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of McClatchy (NYSE:MNI) to Sell from Hold after transferring analyst coverage as they believe leverage issues will continue to pressure the stock.
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Ansys (NASDAQ:ANSS) to Hold from Buy on valuation and their belief that a slow U.S. manufacturing economy may be impacting sales cycles at the margin.
  • Fortune Brands (NYSE:FO) was lowered to Market Perform from OUtperform at Wachovia following its lowered 2008 outlook.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: UBS, CVH and ESRX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: UBS AG, Coventry Health, Express Scripts and Medco Health were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Credit Suisse downgraded shares of UBS (NYSE:UBS) to Neutral from Outperform as they believe UBS will have difficulty rebuilding the franchise and do not expect a quick recovery for its private bank unit.
  • Wachovia downgraded Coventry Health (NYSE:CVH) to Market Perform from Outperform citing concerns regarding visibility around higher than expected inpatient/outpatient costs following reduced 2008 guidance.
  • UBS downgraded Express Scripts (NASDAQ:ESRX) and Medco Health to Neutral from Buy citing the Pfizer (NYSE:PFE)/Ranbaxy settlement, which reduces the likelihood of a generic Lipitor launch in 2010.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Goldman downgraded ENI SpA (NYSE:E) to Neutral from Buy and removed the stock from the Pan-Europe Conviction Buy List.
  • Huntsman (NYSE:HUN) was downgraded to Underperform from hold at Jefferies.
  • Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC) was cut at Citigroup to Hold from Buy.

Analyst downgrades: LZ, BMRN and NVS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lubrizol, BioMarin Pharmaceutical and Novartis were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded shares of Lubrizol (NYSE:LZ) to Hold from Buy as they expect persistent raw material cost pressures to limit upside over the next few quarters. The firm lowered their target price to $60 from $65.
  • Citigroup cut BioMarin (NASDAQ:BMRN) to Hold from Buy after their survey indicated an upside surprise from the Kuvan launch is unlikely. The firm lowered their target price to $37 from $42.
  • HSBC downgraded shares of Novartis (NYSE:NVS) to Underweight from Neutral following the company's stake in Alcon (NYSE:ACL) as they believe it dilutes the company's return on assets.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: ATI, CRS, HAYN, MOT and Machinery stocks

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Allegheny Tech, Carpenter Tech, Haynes, Motorola and Machinery stocks were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Allegheny Tech (NYSE:ATI), Carpenter Tech (NYSE:CRS) and Haynes (NASDAQ:HAYN) to Neutral from Overweight based on the decline in nickel prices and its impact on nickel-based metals demand on valuation, as they find the risk/reward less attractive following the recent rally and increased raw material costs.
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Motorola (NYSE:MOT) to Underperform from Perform after channel checks indicated the company could miss Q2 handset guidance and continued market share losses.
  • UBS said the risk/reward profile for owning Machinery stocks given macro challenges and valuations. The firm downgraded Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Kennametal (NYSE:KMT) to Sell from Neutral and United Rentals (NYSE:URI) and RSC Holdings (NYSE:RRR) to Neutral from Buy. Additionally, shares of Paccar (NASDAQ:PCAR) were cut to Sell from Neutral and Navistar (OTC:NAVZ) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy due to weak U.S. truck demand.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: JCG, RYAAY and SIGM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: J Crew, Ryanair and Sigma Designs were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of J Crew (NYSE:JCG) to Sell from Hold following the company's lowered guidance as they expect slowing sales to push shares lower. The firm cut their target to $34 from $42. Wachovia downgraded J Crew to Market Perform from Outperform based on lower growth rate forecast, sourcing costs, and competitive pressures.
  • Ryanair (NASDAQ:RYAAY) was cut to Neutral from Buy at UBS to reflect the rise in fuel costs and lower face prices.
  • RBC Capital downgraded Sigma Designs (NASDAQ:SIGM) to Sector Perform from Outperform following the Q1 report and cited pricing pressure.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Piper downgraded Costco (NASDAQ:COST) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Ashland (NYSE:ASH) was cut at JP Morgan to Underweight from Neutral.
  • Friedman Billings cut Southwestern Energy (NYSE:SWN) to Market Perform from Outperform and removed the stock from the Top Picks list.

Analyst downgrades: SNDA, ESLR, SPWR and MAR

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Shanda Interactive, Evergreen Solar, SunPower and Marriott were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of Shanda Interactive (NASDAQ:SNDA) to Hold from Buy following the company's lower-than-expected guidance as they see a lack of positive catalysts.
  • Merrill downgraded Evergreen Solar (NASDAQ:ESLR) and SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) to Sell from Neutral citing a potential reduction in German tariffs.
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded Marriott (NYSE:MAR) to Equal Weight from Overweight citing economic pressures on business travel.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Vivus (NASDAQ:VVUS) was downgraded at Wachovia to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • UBS lowered Juniper(NASDAQ:JNPR) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Cemex (NYSE:CX) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.

Scholastic (SCHL) not so bright

If you have children in elementary school, then you know Scholastic Corporation (NASDAQ: SCHL), operator of the annnual school book fair. Scholastic does an excellent job publishing high-quality children's literature and other educational materials. If only it could do so at a profit. Scholastic has been the U.S. publisher for the Harry Potter series these past few years. But even during the height of Pottermania, Scholastic did not turn much of a profit. This year is no exception. The company recently released 3Q 2008 results. Revenue increased $12 million to $458 million, yet losses continue to widen to $4.6 million for the quarter in which there was no Harry Potter release.

YTD 2008 figures show revenue increased 20% and net income more than doubled due to the last Harry Potter release in the previous quarter. Yet YTD net loss now totals $9.3 million or $0.24 per share compared to net income of $20.5 million in the previous year. To be fair, Scholastic has taken huge losses -- $82 million in Q3 2008 alone -- to exit its direct-to-home sales channel. This led to a $77.5 million net loss in Q3. But even with all business segments "performing solidly," according to CEO Richard Robinson, the company continues to bleed money.

Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, the British publisher of Harry Potter, recently reported robust sales and profit from Harry Potter books. Given that Scholastic also published this year's Caldecott Medal winner, Brain Selznick's The Invention of Hugo Cabret, why is the company still drownding in red ink? S&P Equity downgraded the comapny from Buy to Hold.

Analyst downgrades: TGT, NVTL and EMAG

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Target, Novatel Wireless and Emageon were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of Target (NYSE:TGT) to Sell from Hold as they believe the company could continue to face macro headwinds, credit deterioration, and merchandising pressures. They also see increased risk with Target's credit card portfolio.
  • JMP Securities cut Novatel Wireless (NASDAQ:NVTL) to Market Perform from Outperform citing mixed Q4 results and guidance.
  • Emageon (NASDAQ:EMAG) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Friedman Billings following its weak Q4 report and guidance.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Goldman downgraded Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) to Neutral from Buy and removed shares from their Pan-Europe Buy List.
  • Oppenheimer lowered SunTrust Banks (NYSE:STI) to Underperform from Perform.
  • PetMed Express (NASDAQ:PETS) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Piper Jaffray.

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Last updated: July 10, 2009: 12:54 PM

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