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Earnings highlights: AIG, HP, AutoZone, Big Lots, MBIA, TiVo and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: AIG, HP, AutoZone, Big Lots, MBIA, TiVo and more

Ann Taylor's awful earnings miss means stock is a sell

Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) is not the darling of Wall Street today. As I write this, the retailer's shares have lost 30% of their value. Trading volume is heavy. The company missed Wall Street's estimates by a pretty wide margin.

The call, was for an adjusted loss of $0.55 per share in the fourth quarter. According to the press release, Ann Taylor lost $1.03 per share on an adjusted basis. Last year at this time, there was a profit of $0.19 per share. What a difference a year makes. By the way, if you include all the GAAP stuff in the current Q4, Ann Taylor lost an amount equal to the mark of the beast. I don't even want to write the evil number out, but it begins with a 6 if you want a hint.

Continue reading Ann Taylor's awful earnings miss means stock is a sell

AnnTaylor whips Wall Street estimates, but I'm not buying

AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN), whose colleagues include Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) and Talbots (NYSE: TLB), reported Q2 earnings stats that beat the views of Wall Street. The retailer said it made $0.54 per share in the second quarter versus $0.51 per share earned in the similar period a year ago. These bottom-line results are on an adjusted basis. According to Reuters, analysts were looking for about $0.49 per share. So that's a nice $0.05 beat.

The bottom line may have surprised analysts, but other parts of the story didn't excite me. The top line decreased by almost 4%. Same-store sales took a big dive, declining pretty near 11%. Comps are an important metric for retailers, and a significant decrease like this one always makes investors cautious. Management cited low traffic levels as a driver of the dismal comps. Seems to me like someone at the chain needs to rethink the current marketing campaigns. The gross margin did improve, though, so at least there's that.

After reading through the earnings release, it became quite apparent to me that management is clearly worried about the economy going forward. They're right, I think the rest of the year may indeed be rough on the consumer. With such weak stats, I think it would be hard to make a case for buying AnnTaylor's stock. If you're a contrarian and think the company will consistently beat earnings from this point on, and you turn out to be right, then buying the stock now might make for a good trade. But I'd have to hear good reasons for such a bullish case. I think it's entirely possible that AnnTaylor's shares trend lower from here. No matter what, I won't be putting this retailer on my personal watch list. My advice to the company: get traffic through the door with more innovative promotional schemes.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

The week in preview: Smooth sailing ahead

If you were paying close attention to this column last week, you would have sidestepped some of the pain and misery investors in many of the stocks discussed have suffered lately. Of late, we have seen the general direction of the markets turn positive, even in the face of news to the contrary.

Perhaps it is because investors have an appetite for stocks, since there seems to be few investment alternatives. Real estate is off limits and the yield on bonds and other fixed-income investments is pathetically low.

The theme for the week ahead is SMOOTH SAILING. In this week's column, we delve into some stocks that will be announcing earnings, and that may benefit from the changing tide of investor sentiment. To be sure, there will be several areas of choppiness as we continue to be bombarded by the stormy realities of a turbulent economy.

Monday, May 19

The chart for Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) looks M'm M'm good. Sporting a smooth line with nary a ripple over the past 12 months, management has done a great job at keeping both company earnings and share price up, even in the face of significant food inflation. While shares have been condensing during the past few months, recently they have been rising with a series of higher highs and higher lows. Be on the outlook for earnings of 44 cents per share on revenue expectations of $1.89 billion. Now that I think of it. That's a lot of soup wrapped in tin-plated steel -- one of many materials that has seen its price almost double in the past six months.

Continue reading The week in preview: Smooth sailing ahead

Analyst downgrades: STX, NT, TJX, NVS and ANN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Seagate, Nortel Networks and Ann Taylor were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Thomas Weisel downgraded Seagate (NYSE: STX) to Market Weight from Overweight as they believe the company's growth will be more muted given high existing market share and overall industry growth.
  • Baird downgraded Nortel (NYSE: NT) to Neutral from Outperform citing checks that indicate deteriorating US Enterprise sales in the last few weeks of Q1. The firm now expects companies to guide flat QoQ instead of up and to make cautious 2H08 comments.
  • Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) was cut to Neutral from Buy at Piper to reflect concerns over the LOFT division as well as consumer spending.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Market highlights for next week: Texas Instruments to hold mid-quarter update

Monday, March 10

Tuesday, March 11

Wednesday, March 12

  • FDA Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee Meeting on Schering-Plough Corp.'s (NYSE: SGP) sBLA for Pegintronfor treatment of melanoma at 8:00 am.
  • Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to host analyst/investor meeting at 8:30 am.
  • Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4:30 pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Texas Instruments to hold mid-quarter update

Newspaper wrap-up: Barclays to bail out Golden Key

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to the U.K. Times, British bank Barclays (NYSE: BCS) has invested $1.5B in Golden Key, a fund that has gotten into trouble as a result of the global liquidity squeeze.
  • Aluminum company Alcan Inc (NYSE: AL) is reportedly in talks to sell its packaging unit to India's Essel Group, reported the Economic Times.
  • Music publishers have intensified their efforts to shut down popular Web sites that publish song lyrics without permission, reported the New York Post. The publishers are also demanding that Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) remove all references to the offending sites from their search engines.

Ann Taylor (ANN) CFO resigns

A day after women's clothing retailer Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) announced a 5 percent drop in same-store sales in July, it was also announced that chief financial officer James M. Smith would be leaving to "pursue other interests" as of the end of September. Ann Taylor is seeking a successor. The share price fell 3.5 percent to $28.44 Friday.

Same-store sales for July 2006 grew from the previous period by about 5 percent. The drop in July 2007 is due in large part to same-store sales of Ann Taylor LOFT, which decreased 9.3%, compared to an increase of 8.3% in the prior year. According to president and CEO Kay Krill: "We are aggressively managing the business through this period of macro-economic softness and, while we continue to believe that we are positioned for a good Fall season, we are prudently planning our business for an uncertain second half."

About Smith's departure, Krill says, "We are grateful to Jim for his service to the company over the past 14 years. We are pleased that he has agreed to stay on to support a smooth transition. ... On behalf of our board and all of our associates, we thank Jim for his many contributions to the company over the years and wish him well as he pursues new opportunities."

Ann Taylor is scheduled to announce its second quarter 2007 results on Friday, August 24. The consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson/First Call is to buy. They expect an EPS of $0.50, up from $0.46 in the previous quarter.

Market highlights for next week: Sprint Nextel (S), Cisco (CSCO) to report

Monday August 6
Tuesday August 7
Wednesday August 8
Thursday August 9
Friday August 10

Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming

Monday July 9
Tuesday July 10
  • Electronic Entertainment Expo, or E3, to be held from July 10-July 13 in Santa Monica, California.
  • The Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) to release a 2007 Sales Update at 9am.
  • Sealy Corporation (NYSE: ZZ) to report Q2 earnings; conference call at 5pm.

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Monthly sales numbers coming

Market highlights for next week: Texas Instruments mid-quarter update

Monday March 12
  • Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE:TXN) mid-quarter update conference call at 5pm. Note that Stifel just upgraded Texas Instruments to Buy from Hold as they believe the mid-quarter update will show improving trends.
Tuesday March 13
  • Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4:30pm.
  • Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM) to hold annual shareholder meeting at 11:30am.
  • PDUFA Date for GlaxoSmithKline plc ADR's (NYSE:GSK) Tykerb, a breast cancer drug.
Wednesday March 14
  • Retailers Hot Topic Inc. (NASDAQ:HOTT) and Zumiez Inc (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) to report earnings. Hot Topic's Q4 conference call is at 4:30pm, Zumiez's Q4 conference call is at 5pm.
  • PDUFA Date for Novartis AG ADS's (NYSE:NVS) Tekturna, a treatment for high blood pressure.
Thursday March 15
  • Bayer AG ADS (NYSE:BAY) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 6am.
  • Six Flags Inc (NYSE:SIX) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4pm. Note that earlier this week, Cramer specified Six Flags as a stock he was bullish on during the "Lightning Round" of his Mad Money television show.
Friday March 16
  • IMAX Corp (NASDAQ:IMAX) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
  • AnnTaylor Stores Corporation (NYSE:ANN) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.

Analyst downgrades 1-22-07: Lights out at Cablevision

MOST NOTEWORTHY: XM Satellite Radio Holdings (XMSR), Boeing (BA) and Cablevision Systems (CVC) were the most notable downgraded companies today:
  • Pacific Crest downgraded shares of XM Satellite Radio Holdings (NASDAQ: XMSR) to Sector Perform from Outperform, expecting XM's retail fundamentals to continue to weaken; the firm also believes a merger with Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI) would be unlikely.
  • Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia, as the firm believes commercial aircraft order cycle has peaked and Boeing's 787 program could face delays.
  • Citigroup downgraded Cablevision Systems (NYSE: CVC) to Sell from Hold, with a $27 target, and doesn't expect the Dolan family to raise their $30 bid or a rival company to make a competing offer. Citigroup expects investors to start focusing on Cablevision's decelerating net subscriber additions and slowing growth.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Ann Taylor Stores (NYSE: ANN) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform with a $28 target at Piper Jaffray with expectations that Ann Taylor could face margin pressure in the first-half of 2008 based on a carry-over of fall and holiday products.
  • JMP Securities downgraded Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) to Market Perform from Outperform citing closing capacity-related upgrades in enterprise and industry checks.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Market highlights for next week

Here is a look ahead to next week's three day trading week:

Monday January 1
  • Markets closed for New Year's Day holiday
  • PDUFA date for Amylin Pharmaceutical's (NASDAQ: AMLN) Byetta
Tuesday January 2
  • Markets closed in observance of President Ford's death
Wednesday January 3
  • Earnings conference calls for AngioDynamics (NASDAQ: ANGO), Landec Corporation (NASDAQ: LNDC) and the Topps Company (NASDAQ: TOPP)
  • Sales conference call for American Eagle Outfitters (NASDAQ: AEOS)
Thursday January 4
  • Earnings conference calls for Arrow International (NASDAQ: ARRO), Monsanto Company (NYSE: MON) and Sonic Corporation (NASDAQ: SONC)
  • Sales conference calls for Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), AnnTaylor Stores (NYSE: ANN) and bebe stores (NASDAQ: BEBE)
Friday January 5
  • Shareholder meeting for Serono S.A. (NYSE: SRA)

Analyst upgrades 12-8-06: Ericsson upgraded to Buy

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ericsson (ERIC) was the only notable company within today's list of upgraded stocks:

  • Bank of America upgraded Ericsson Telephone Company ADS (NASDAQ:ERIC) to Buy from Neutral with a $48 target; the firm believes shares of the mobile phone maker are well-positioned to beat 2007 estimates given the new network construction, 3G upgrades, competitor restructuring and handset momentum.

OTHER UPGRADES:

  • Matrix USA upgraded Ann Taylor Stores Corp. (NYSE:ANN) to Strong Buy from Buy , explaining that Ann Taylor is continuing its efforts to drive growth and is working to further differentiate from Loft.
  • Allscripts Healthcare Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:MDRX) was upgraded to Above Average from Average at Caris; the firm believes Allscripts is seeing success in sales both in and out of the IDX base.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 03:03 AM

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