MAJOR PAPERS:

• Last December Chemtura Corporation (NYSE: CEM), a specialty chemicals company with a market cap of about $1.9B, said it might sell itself, and now The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) and Apollo Management are in talks to buy the company, the Wall Street Journal reported.
• In part one of a series to help explain the reasons why The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC) collapsed, the Wall Street Journal said that the troubled firm was torn apart by executives who couldn't agree on what course to take, including raising capital and slicing mortgage and related bonds from its inventory. And each of about six attempts to raise capital fell part.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The American investor and Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) chief Warren Buffett said the United States is already in a recession that is deeper and will last longer than the public expects, the Economic Times reported.
• According to the Telegraph, Barclays Plc (NYSE: BCS) is planning to sell Barclays Life Assurance Company, its life assurance arm, which has over GBP7B of funds under management. Sources believe potential bidders for the unit may include Pearl, Swiss Reinsurance Company (OTC: SWCEY), General Re, Canada Life and XL Re. Market commentators believe that on an embedded value basis, the unit is currently valued at around GBP1B.

They say private equity is the smartest of smart money, able to generate massive profits out of thin air. Well, the folks at Apollo Management probably aren't feeling too smart today, as their $1.3 billion investment in Linens 'n Things has taken a significant turn for the worse.

Linens 'n Things has now confirmed the growing speculation that it would declare bankruptcy. As Zac Bissonnette reported in April, the company lost $242 million in 2007, after the company had gone private in February of 2006. In the last few months, it was said to be having trouble with its suppliers, which rightly feared providing it with credit and merchandise.

The odd thing is that many private equity funds saw the housing and credit crunch coming. It would stand to reason that a billion dollar chain that feeds on the housing market may not be the best investment towards the end of a great speculative housing boom, but I guess the people at Apollo thought they could work their magic whatever the market conditions.

The good news is that Linen Holdings has secured $700 million in financing from GE Capital. This should enable the company to continue operating as it restructures, although it will close 120 stores. But at least the majority of its 17,000 employees still have hope that they won't lose their jobs, at least not right away.

Back in February 2006, Apollo Management purchased Linens 'n Things for about $1.3 billion. At the time, it looked like a sensible deal. After all, the company has a strong retail format (for home textiles, housewares and so on). What's more, there are over 500 stores in 47 states.

However, with the slowing economy – especially in the real estate sector – things have turned sour. In fact, according to the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it appears that Linens is planning a bankruptcy filing and has hired Conway Del Genio Gries, which is a top advisor on restructurings.

For Apollo, this will certainly be a black eye. Keep in mind that the firm has recently filed to trade on the NYSE. Plus, if there is a bankruptcy, it is likely to mean a significant reduction in the equity value of Apollo's investment in Linens.

When creditors sense trouble, things can get particularly bad for retailers. Basically, they will often hold back on shipments or require cash upfront. Plus, Linens has a $15 million debt payment due on Tuesday. And if it doesn't pay it, it looks like that will be the day the company will file for bankruptcy.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• According to people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal reported that home-furnishings retailer Linens 'n Things, acquired by Apollo Management in 2006 and caught by a shrinking housing market and increasing debt load, is expected to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy-court protection by Tuesday.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The Detroit News reported that Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) pilots have agreed to a contract revision that clears the way for Delta and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) to announce a merger next week, according to sources close the matter.
• The United Auto Workers union notified General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) of its deadline to strike three factories in Michigan if the two are unable to agree on local labor pacts, the Detroit News reported.
• The Business Standard reported that Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM) is planning to invest Rs 1,400 crore in Toyota Kirloskar Motor, its India subsidiary to set up its second plant in the country.

Apollo Management, which is one of the largest private equity firms, has traded on Goldman Sach's (NYSE: GS) private exchange, GSTrUE OTC. Unfortunately, the shares are down 40% (since August). Of course, other alternative asset managers – such as Blackstone (NYSE: BX) and Fortress Investment Group (NYSE: FIG) – have suffered plunges as well.

So what's the next step for Apollo? Well, the firm plans to trade on the NYSE. The IPO filing calls for raising $475 million of capital.

Apollo got its start in 1990 and profited handsomely from distressed investments (keep in mind that this was after the buyout boom). Now, the firm manages $40.3 billion and has recently raised a fund for $12.5 billion. Over the past 18 years, Apollo has generated an impressive 29% net internal rate of return.

With reports that Citigroup (NYSE:C) is close to selling off some $12 billion of leveraged loans and debt, the banking giant is taking a painful but very important step in cleaning up its financial situation. According to Reuters, "The sale would be to private equity firms including Apollo Management, Blackstone (NYSE: BX) and TPG, at an average price slightly below 90 cents on the dollar."

This is important for Citi for two reasons. First, they will end up with about $10 billion in cash to help them get through these tough times. Secondly, the price that they are getting for these bonds is shocking. Who would have dreamed that they could get a little less than 90 cents on the dollar.

Another interesting point is that the private equity group TPG is involved. As my colleague Zack Miller posted yesterday about its investment in Washington Mutual (NYSE:WM), TPG must believe that the banks have bottomed out. Why else would they be ponying up tens of billions of dollars?

It seems to me that we are at or very near the bottom for bank stocks. Long-term investors looking for a turnaround play may want to take a look and do some analysis of the banking sector.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 4/9/08.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• In an effort to increase sales in the Middle East, the Wall Street Journal reported that Dell Inc (NASDAQ: DELL) is in talks with a government-owned vehicle in Dubai called Tecom about establishing a joint venture.
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that Washington Mutual Incorporated (NYSE: WM), which obtained a $7B capital infusion from TPG and other investors, had reportedly been working on the TPG deal while negotiating with JP Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM), which made a preliminary takeover bid of about $7B, people familiar with the deal said.
• Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) is close to reaching a deal to sell $12B in leveraged loans at a discount to a group of leading private equity firms, the Financial Times reported. Although details of the deal were still being worked out, inside sources said Apollo Management, The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) and TPG would buy the loan portfolio at a discount that could come in at about 90 cents on the dollar.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The UK Times reported that The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) is today expected to announce that its 787 Dreamliner has been delayed by 18 months, a setback which will affect all airlines that have ordered the 787, including British Airways Plc (OTC: BAIRY) and Virgin Atlantic.

The latest issue of Barron's is suggesting that investors may want to look at beaten down, debt-laden companies(subscription required):

Blackstone Group, Apollo Management and the rest of the private-equity crowd may be sidelined by the mess in the credit markets, but investors still can play at their game by purchasing shares of debt-laden companies in the public markets.

Barron's goes on to suggest that, if credit markets stabilize, some companies with heavy debt loads will rebound well. I don't dispute this analysis but I also don't think most investors should go chasing companies with big debt loads. It's always struck me as being somewhat akin to tiptoeing in front of steamrollers to pick up a penny. I've never bought shares of a company with a lot of debt. Sophisticated investors with an ability to really understand the debt, how it's structured, and the risks that go with it may do well with these companies. But if that isn't you, I think your best bet is to stay away.

As Barron's warns, the ultimate danger with investing in heavily leveraged companies is bankruptcy. If you're a disciple of Warren Buffett's first and second rules of investing -- don't lose money and don't forget rule number 1 -- this probably isn't a game you want to be playing.

It appears that Ford (NYSE: F) may finally have a buyer for Jaguar and Rover. The Wall Street Journal reports that Indian conglomerate Mahindra & Mahindra will tie up with private equity operation Apollo Management to buy the car units. Not all of the roadblocks to the deal have been pushed aside. The Journal writes "Labor leaders in the United Kingdom are seeking assurances that the brands' new owner would protect jobs and factories in the country."

Ford paid a little over $5 billion for the two units, and industry estimates put their current value at $1.5 billion. So the sale would mark another step in the humiliating downsizing of Ford.

The probability of a sale also raises an interesting question. If Ford's management is so much better than it was a year ago and it has a much better labor deal with the UAW, why sell the units at all? If a company in India can improve the fortunes of the two brands, why can't Ford?

It is not too late for the No.2 U.S. car company to work on fixing the units itself. The poor results of Jag and Rover are already in the stock. Improving their results ought to help shareholder value.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

The Texas Pacific Group and Apollo Management are on track to complete their $90 a share buyout of Harrah's Entertainment (NYSE: HET) by the end of the year. According to a report out of New Zealand, TPG, along with its East Asia affiliate Newbridge Castle, is already shopping for an addition to its gaming business.

In August, SkyCity Entertainment Group (NZE: SKC), which owns casinos in Australia and New Zealand, announced it was interested in testing the sale value of some of its assets. Instead, it received an expression of interest in acquiring the entire company. The unnamed suitor is now thought to be TPG.

The two have a history. SkyCity bought its Auckland casino from Harrah's for $20 million in 1998. Since then, SkyCity has fallen on hard times. It netted $98.4 million in 2007, down 18.1% from 2006.

The SkyCity properties would fit nicely with other TPG gaming holdings including Harrah's and London Clubs International, making it a huge player in the worldwide gambling scene.

You know the feeling. You've done a lot of shopping -- and used your credit card heavily. It's so easy, right? Of course, until the heavy interest payments pile up.

Simply put, that has been the story for big-time financiers, such as Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH), Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER), Citigroup (NYSE: C), JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) and so on. They kept committing their balance sheets to provide loans to buy up companies. And, of course, private equity funds -- like KKR, TPG, Apollo Management, and Blackstone (NYSE: BX) -- were ready, willing, and able to take the largesse.

But now the bill is coming due.

Well, in this week's Barron's [a paid publication], there's an excellent story on this topic. In fact, the lenders were so eager to make these mega loans that they were loosey-goosey on the terms. For example, some loans even allowed for deferring debt payments (perhaps the subprime market was not the only crazy place, huh?)

Oh, the lenders also were willing to forgo escape clauses in loan agreements. Hey, wouldn't the gravy train last forever?

So what happens to the hundreds of billions in buyout debt? Barron's thinks that the lenders will sell the stuff at deep discounts. True, this will mean significant losses. But, if things are bad, might as well get everything written down now and then pave the way for a better future, right? Although, I have a feeling banks are going to be a little more circumspect when it comes to new buyout loans.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

In light of the horrible performance of the Blackstone (NYSE: BX) IPO, it seems reasonable that other players are looking at alternatives.

So maybe try for a private offering?

That's the thinking of Goldman's (NYSE: GS) new electronic market, called GS TRuE. Despite the funky name, it's a pretty cool idea.

Since the investors are institutional, there are fewer onerous regulations – and disclosure requirements – within this newfangled marketplace.

Already, Oaktree Capital has issued shares on the GS TRuE. And, now it looks like Apollo Management is considering an offering.

According to the FT.com [a paid service], it appears that the firm is looking to raise about $1.1 billion (for about 12.5% of the outstanding shares). It's actually a muted valuation – and may reflect the troubles with Blackstone as well as the troubles in the global credit markets.

Although, this does not preclude an eventual IPO. After all, for those investors with shares in Apollo or Oaktree, they will definitely want to get a return on their money at some point.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

Computer Sciences(NYSE:CSC) call volume and volatility spikes on renewed speculation. CSC is recently up .97 to $61.27 on unconfirmed deal chatter Blackstone(NYSE:BX) or Hewlett Packard (NYSE:HPQ) will make a bid. CSC is frequently chatted as being sold to IBM (NYSE:IBM), Lockheed Martin(NYSE:LMT), United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) or private equity after Apollo Managements' bid for the CSC failed in the spring of 2006. CSC July 62.5 calls have traded 126 times on transaction volume of 3,459 contracts above its open interest of 2,356 contracts. CSC August option implied volatility of 36 is above its 26-week average of 25 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Option volume leaders today are: Novastar Financial (NASDAQ:NFI) and Apple Computer (NASDAQ:AAPL).

Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

With Blackstone Group LLC (NYSE: BX) already public and KKR on its way to the NYSE exchange, there is lots of chatter about the next candidates. Well, according to a recent report in the Wall Street Journal [a paid service], it looks like Apollo Management may be trading soon.

Interestingly enough, the firm's founder -- Leon Black -- took a trip to Abu Dhabi. Yes, there's a ton of money there and I'm sure some eager investors who would want to be a part of Apollo. Although, it looks like there are some issues on valuation.

An investment from Abu Dhabi would likely mean a boost for Apollo's efforts in emerging markets. As the dealmaking gets crowded in the U.S. and Europe, private equity needs to find new frontiers of opportunity.

So, with a slug of capital from Abu Dhabi, Apollo might then file for an IPO and get even more money from U.S. public investors.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

I guess some dealmakers don't take off for the 4th of July. That appears to be the case with Apollo Management.

The firm has made a $6.35 billion offer for Huntsman (NYSE: HUN), a large chemical operator.

Huntsman appears to be a hot commodity. Keep in mind that on June 26th, the company agreed to a $6 billion buyout from Basell AF.

Apollo has a lot of history in the chemical business. In fact, the firm plans to merge Huntsman with its Hexion Specialty Chemicals company. All in all, it looks like a pretty good fit.

It would also bring scale. While Hexion has sales under $5 billion, Huntsman generates sales of about $10.6 billion.

Basically, the Huntsman family wants to get liquidity for its charitable mission. And Apollo looks like it could give those efforts a nice boost.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.