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Analyst downgrades 9-6-07: APLX, TWX, AAPL and LVLT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Applix, Time Warner, Apple and Level 3 Communications were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Applix Inc (NASDAQ: APLX) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at First Albany and SunTrust Robinson Humphrey following the acquisition by Cognos Inc (NASDAQ: COGN).
  • Time Warner Inc (NYSE: TWX) was downgrade to Neutral from Buy at Pali Capital. The firm has lost faith in Time Warner's executive management team and Board of Directors and feels the outlook for AOL is concerning.
  • Gabelli downgraded Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares to Hold from Buy on iPhone concerns and valuation as they view the iPhone price cut as an indication that sales are not living up to management's expectations.
  • Buckingham Research downgraded shares of Level 3 Communications Inc (NASDAQ: LVLT) to Underperform from Neutral citing deterioration in demand for some key products.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst upgrades 9-6-07: Refiners, MTZ, COGN, FRX and RTRSY

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Refiners, MasTec, Cognos, Forest Labs and Reuters Group were today's noteworthy upgrades:
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • UBS upgraded shares of General Mills Inc (NYSE: GIS) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Thornburg Mortgage (NYSE: TMA) was upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Markets.
  • CIBC World Markets upgraded EDO Corporation (NYSE: EDO) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer.
  • Bernstein upgraded shares of Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Outperform from Market Perform and shares of Anglo American (NASDAQ: AAUK) to Market Perform from Underperform.

Oracle's $3.3 billion deal not a slam dunk

As I mentioned yesterday in BloggingStocks.com, Oracle's (NASDAQ: ORCL) $3.3 billion deal for Hyperion Solutions (NASDAQ: HYSL) is at a reasonable valuation. It also is a way for Oracle to slap SAP (NYSE: SAP).

But are there problems with the deal?

Hyperion's focus is on performance management. This helps companies manage, monitor and analyze performance across all business segments, such as marketing, HR, finance and so on. Such things are important in light of the heavy compliance requirements of corporate America. It also helps companies deal with competitors.

In fact, IDC projects growth in this market at about 12-14% per year.

Well, I had a chance to interview Ben Plummer, who is the vice president of worldwide marketing of Applix (NASDAQ: APLX). His company is also a provider of performance management software.

His take: "We are not surprised by this acquisition. While it validates a change in the market, we also know that the software buyers are very savvy about the business analytics market, and are not impressed with having a one-stop shop for all their enterprise solutions: they see the effects of a vendor acquiring just parts of the puzzle. And many prefer the best-of-breed, pure play providers who have grown up in this space."

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 03:12 AM

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