Analyst Upgrades

• Valero Energy (VLO) to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.
• Changyou.com (CYOU) to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
• Albermarle (ALB) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• ICU Medical (ICUI) to buy from neutral at Roth Capital.
• Check Point (CHKP) to outperform from market perform at Bernstein.
• FMC Corporation (FMC) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Rangold Resources (GOLD) to neutral from sell at Goldman.
• Global Cash Access (GCA) to buy from hold at Duncan-Williams.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Chico's FAS (CHS), MetroPCS (PCS), Federated Investors (FII) and Tibco (TIBX) were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Roth Capital believes Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS) growth will be back on track given the changes within the merchandise organization and recent infrastructure investments, and initiated shares with a Buy rating and $24 target.

• Pacific Crest believes MetroPCS's (NYSE: PCS) low-cost business model creates opportunities and that its large market focus should drive outperformance, and initiated shares with an Outperform rating.

• JMP Securities believes near-term upside in Federated Investors (NYSE: FII) could be seen with hurricane season and resumed coverage of Federated Investors with an Overweight rating and $178 target.
  

• Pacific Crest believes 2007 is a transition year for Tibco (NASDAQ: TIBX) and started shares with a Sector Perform rating...

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• BWS Financial initiated Rentrak (NASDAQ: RENT) with a Buy rating and $20 target.

• HSBC started Lukoil (OTC: LUKOY) with an Overweight rating.

• Pacific Crest started shares of On Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ONNN) with an Outperform rating and $16 target.

• BMO Capital initiated Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC) with an Outperform rating and $18 target.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Each year, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Stocks Report.

Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC) is the favorite speculative stock for 2007 from income specialist Carla Pasternak. The editor of High Yield Investing says, "Ares is a business development company that invests in private or thinly traded companies.

"Known as BDCs, these companies either buy an equity interest in promising firms, or they provide them with loans at above-average rates. Since going public in October 2004, Ares has built a $900 million portfolio of debt and equity securities, with a take in about 50 privately owned businesses.

"Ares is one of the fastest dividend growers I have seen. It has raised its dividend every single quarter for the past year, and its quarterly payouts have increased 33% in just two short years since the company paid its first dividend.

"If you annualize Ares' latest declared quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share, that brings the security's payout to $1.60 per share ($0.40 x 4 payments), giving the stock a forward yield of 8.3%. However, if you add in the $0.10 special dividend paid at the end of 2006, ARCC yields 8.8%.