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More worries about financials drag down Asian markets

Will investors soon get over worries about losses from subprime mortgages? As Doug indicated this morning, the answer for now is "nope." Today overseas markets are definitely paying attention to renewed fears about credit markets. The Dow was down over 56 points yesterday and today, Asian market sectors including banking, brokerage and insurance took a plunge as well. Francis Lun with Hong Kong's Fulbright Securities told MarketWatch, "After the drop on Wall Street, people are wary about further write-downs related to subprime mortgages."

With earnings season just kicking off today with Alcoa's second quarter results after the close, should we also be bracing for worse-than-expected reports from banks and brokerages? Today hat's the sentiment in Hong Kong and other Asian markets, where the Hang Seng index fell 3.2% in overnight trading and the Nikkei lost 2.5%.

Asian regional markets were sitting on the same worries pressuring U.S. markets, according to David Cohen with Action Economics. He posited that most Asian indexes were under pressure "from the same forces weighing upon markets globally, hostage to oil prices, and fears of stagflation." This morning at least, investors are bracing for U.S. markets to get worse before they get better.

Nikkei hits longest losing streak in 40 years, is US next?

Japan's Nikkei Index, the weighted average of 225 stocks in major companies, fell for the 10th day. That has not happened since 1965.

According to the FT, "Rising fears about the impact of inflation on slowing economies took their toll on Japanese and other Asia-Pacific markets." That sounds a bit like the current trouble in the US.

A number of other indicies have had sharp declines lately. The Shanghai Composite has fallen by more than half since late last year. Rising energy and food costs in China have not helped it. Neither have concerns that a recession in the West could cut demand for its exports.

The Nikkei news says two things. The first is that the economies in other large nations may be as troubled as that in the US. Traders often look out several quarters when they make their buying or selling decisions. But, the second, more ominous sign from the Nikkei's decline is that it says that the smart money in Japan believes that the price of oil is not likely to fall. Japan is relies more on imports of crude that the US does.

The tough run for the Nikkei is not restricted to Japan. US and EU markets are likely to set records of their own, and not the kind that traders look forward to.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Thai Capital (TF): Global growth at a discount

"Thailand had a political crisis in 2006, when the democratically elected government was overthrown by a military coup," recalls international investing expert Mike Burnick.

"But the country is emerging from its crisis with a fresh pro-growth mandate," he notes in his Global Market Investor. Here, he looks at a closed-end fund for those seeking to play this trend.

"Thailand experienced a sharp stock market crash and 18 months of political chaos. But now, the crisis appears to have passed. In March, the Thai military stepped aside, and a newly elected government was installed in Bangkok, which looks a lot like Thailand's old government under Thaksin!

"In fact, the newly elected government chose a cabinet that is packed with allies of the former prime minister. Bangkok is also busy pursuing the same pro-growth agenda with an emphasis on tax cuts and government infrastructure spending. . . . And the plan is working.

Continue reading Thai Capital (TF): Global growth at a discount

Best Stocks for 2008: Man Sang Holdings (MHJ) is an Asian 'pearl'

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite speculative, home run idea for 2008 is Man Sang Holdings, Inc.," says Tony Sagami, editor of The Asia Stock Alert.

He explains, "I run at a pretty fast pace when I'm in Asia. Every day is packed with factory tours, meetings with company executives, pestering government and university leaders for their local knowledge, and hitting the streets to see with my own eyes if the zealous Investor Relations departments are feeding me overly optimistic projections.

"When I was in China in May, I completely turned my schedule upside down after visiting Man Sang Holdings, Inc. (ASE: MHJ). I re-scheduled and postponed my entire South China schedule because what should have been a one-hour meeting at Man Sang turned into two full days of tire kicking and fact checking.

"Man Sang Holdings, together with its subsidiaries, is one of the leading pearl merchants in Greater China. The company primarily sells to jewelry manufacturers, wholesale jewelry distributors, and mass jewelry merchandisers, such as QVC, in the US, Europe, and Asia.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Man Sang Holdings (MHJ) is an Asian 'pearl'

Best Stocks for 2008: Asian stock expert opts for Alibaba.com

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My top speculative idea for 2008 is Alibaba.com (HK: 1688), which trades on the Hong Kong exchange," says Yiannis Mostrous, editor of The Silk Road Investor. "Alibaba.com was one of the biggest IPOs of the year and although the initial excitement has subsided, the longer-term story remains intact.

"Alibaba's business is simple. Companies can post products for sale or purchase from Alibaba's web site for free. It charges suppliers from China and Hong Kong an annual fee of as much as US$8,027 to become premium members. A similar service is offered to suppliers from other regions for an annual fee of US$589.

"Alibaba.com is the flagship company of the Alibaba Group that includes Taobao, which operates an online shopping marketplace for consumers in China; Alipay, China's leading online payment service; Yahoo! China and Alisoft, an internet-based business management software company targeting small and medium enterprises in China.

"According to the latest statistics, China was home to 162 million internet users at the end of June, second only to the US. The country is expected to surpass the US as the world's largest web market by users next year.

"Given the company's high valuations, viewing it as a speculative play should be the right approach for now. But don't underestimate its potential if the markets and the economy remain reasonable strong entering 2008. Buy Alibaba up to HK$50."

Best Stocks for 2008: Asian expert dials up China Mobile (CHL)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative idea for 2008 is China Mobile (NYSE: CHL)," says Tony Sagami, editor of The Asia Stock Alert. "Because of instant delivery and low cost, text messaging has rapidly become a wildly popular means of communication among young people.

"Text messaging over SMS (Short Messaging System) wireless systems is very popular in America. But one country sends more text messages than anybody else in the world: China.

"One out of every two SMS text messages sent in the world are sent in China. Typically, the cost of a text message in China costs about 10 fen (or 1 cent), so we're talking about a mountain of money. Indeed, in China mobile phone users are expected to send over 1 trillion text messages by the end of this decade.

"For investors, that gargantuan growth spells opportunity. And in China, the company poised to serve and profit from this trend is China Mobile, the largest wireless phone company in the world with 356 million subscribers and a dominant share of the rapidly growing Chinese wireless market.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Asian expert dials up China Mobile (CHL)

Best Stocks for 2008: Global expert banks on India's ICICI Bank (IBN)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite speculation for 2008 is Indian retail banking giant ICICI Bank Ltd. (NYSE: IBN), my top play on India's booming market," says Nick Vardy, editor of The Global Stock Investor.

"With 614 branches and 2,200 ATMs across India, ICICI's doing an impressive job at bringing modern retail banking to India. ICICI has a diverse portfolio of high-quality, high-margin mortgage, consumer and auto loans. And it is busy adding new financial products such as life and general insurance to sell to this customer base.

"ICICI is also turning into a true global bank. The bank already operates in 14 countries through branches, representative offices and subsidiaries. Indeed, you now see ICICI's bank featured as the mortgage lender of choice in personal finance pages in London newspapers.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Global expert banks on India's ICICI Bank (IBN)

Best Stocks for 2008: Alumina (AWC) shines from Chinese demand

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"Aluminum is one of our favorite commodities for 2008 and the best leveraged play on aluminum is Australia-based Alumina (NYSE: AWC)," explain co-editors Roger Conrad and Yiannis Mostrous in Vital Resource Investor.

"The company, our top conservative pick for 2008, owns 40% of Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals, which, in turn, holds the world's largest, low-cost portfolio of quality bauxite and alumina assets.

"Having the world's largest integrated bauxite mining and alumina refining system (it provides approximately 13% of the world's alumina supply) in one place is the company's main attraction.

"As energy, raw materials and freight costs continue to increase, Alumina's setup makes its operations increasingly competitive and low cost versus those of rivals.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Alumina (AWC) shines from Chinese demand

Hong Kong ETF (EWH): 'Dynamic' potential

"We're excited about the prospects for participation in the dynamic Hong Kong stock market through the iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index (ASE: EWH), our latest new buy," says Jim Trippon.

In his China Stock Digest, the advisor explains, "The ETF provides us with access to the Hong Kong Exchange's best equities, stocks which are usually inaccessible to foreign investors."

"This exchange-traded fund provides many of the benefits usually attributed to a mutual fund without the high expense ratio that some funds charge. As an ETF, the shares can be bought and sold as quickly and easily as any stock on the New York Stock Exchange.

"EWH uses a 'passive' or indexing investment approach, which attempts to approximate the investment performance of its benchmark index compiled by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI).

"The EWH Fund does not match exactly the high-flying and well-known Hang Seng Index, which continues to set records, topping the 30,000 mark in October. In tracking the Morgan Stanley Capital International Index, EWH is based on a portfolio of large cap, value-oriented equities.

Continue reading Hong Kong ETF (EWH): 'Dynamic' potential

SINA: Web portal profits in China

China stock expert Jim Trippon recently issued new buy recommendation on SINA Corp. (NASDAQ: SINA), which operates four Chinese-language web portals.

In his China Stock Digest, the advisor says, "We believe that SINA has a degree of diversity, brand strength and earnings growth potential that puts it ahead of the competition."

Trippon explains, "We believe SINA is uniquely positioned to rise in profitability with increasing web penetration in the Mainland and beyond. SINA Corporation is in the ambitious business of bringing Chinese language web access to Greater China and the rest of the world."

SINA, he notes, operates four Chinese-language web portals, serving the PRC, Hong Kong, Taiwan, as well as Chinese-speaking people in North America. The company has more than 230 million registered users worldwide and 600 million daily page views.

Continue reading SINA: Web portal profits in China

BHP Billiton (BHP): Invest in 'commodity supercycle'

"One of the strongest investment themes is the global commodities supercycle," notes Nick Vardy. He explains, "Now is a good time to pick out potential winners such as Australian mining giant, BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE: BHP)." The

The editor of The Global Bull Market Alert says, "I expect BHP Billiton to perform particularly strongly as we move closer to the traditional fourth quarter rally."

For one thing, he notes, BHP's retiring CEO Chip Goodyear reassured investors that the recent financial market turbulence would not hurt BHP's growth -- and that commodity prices would remain strong for some time.

He suggests, "BHP recently had conducted a survey of its major customers around the world to see if their demand for commodities would be dented by the fallout from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis. The results? The United States was slowing down, but in developing economies such as China and India it's 'essentially business as usual.'

Continue reading BHP Billiton (BHP): Invest in 'commodity supercycle'

New Oriental (EDU): Asia expert's 'best stock in the world'

Tony Sagami, editor of Asia Stock Alert, calls New Oriental Education (NYSE: EDU) – which provides English language instruction in China -- the "single best stock idea in the world."

New Oriental, he notes, recently reported quarterly results showing a 4 cent per share loss for the quarter. He notes, that while this was a 65% improvement over the same period last year, it was 1 cent profit Wall Street was expecting.

The reason for the shortfall, he observes, was that increased marketing and advertising expenses. Thus, he notes, "While all that extra spending hurt profits last quarter, it should pay off in spades down the road." In fact, he adds,
That's why revenues jumped by 29% to $24.9 million, slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of $24 million."

Meanwhile, he notes that total student enrollments in language training and test preparation courses for the quarter ending May 31 increased by 31.5% year-over-year to approximately 314,000.

Continue reading New Oriental (EDU): Asia expert's 'best stock in the world'

English lessons boost China's New Oriental

With the growing interest in investing in China, an increasing number of advisers are spending more of their time in the region, meeting with managements and getting first-hand experience about Chinese companies.

One such adviser is Tony Sagami, editor of The Asia Stock Alert. Back from his latest visit to the region, he has added New Oriental Education (NYSE:EDU) to his portfolio.

The company helps Chinese learn English and other languages. Sagami asks, "How much do I like New Oriental? If there was only one stock that you could own, this is the one."

And while the company has just gone through what is supposed to be its slowest time of year, the adviser notes, "Somebody forgot to tell the people running EDU that business should slow down, because it is still booming."

Continue reading English lessons boost China's New Oriental

Global gains: NTT DoCoMo's credit card phone

I've just returned from the World Money Show in Orlando where more than 10,000 investors gathered to learn about global investing. I had a chance to meet with many of the financial experts and global company representatives featured at the show, and over the next week I will share some of their top investment ideas. To view all of the stocks featured in this special global report, click here.

Visiting from Japan was mobile phone operator NTT DoCoMo (NYSE:DCM), whose stock is a favorite buy from Tony Sagami, editor of the Asia Stock Alert and a global analyst with Martin Weiss Research.

In reviewing the company, Sagami is particularly impressed with its new "portable wallet," which lets a cell phone act a credit card.

First, he notes, "The company just reported its results for the first nine months of its fiscal year (through the end of December). And while the firm delivered essentially flat sales and profits from the same period last year, DoCoMo still made $3.3 billion of profits on $29.7 billion of sales in the last nine months.

"Meanwhile, three items impressed the heck out of me. First, DoCoMo grew its subscriber base from 50.3 million last year to 52.2 million today. For a country whose cellular phone market is mature and very saturated, that additional 1.9 million cellular subscribers is pretty impressive.

"In addition, DoCoMo generates about $6 billion of free cash flow each year and has been using those dollars to buy back stock, increase its dividend, and invest in building out its network and new cutting-services, such as osaifu-ketai.

Continue reading Global gains: NTT DoCoMo's credit card phone

Top Picks 2007: Trippon sees "pension profits" at China Life

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

China Life Insurance Co. (NYSE: LFC) is the favorite conservative stock for 2007 from Jim Trippon, editor of The China Stock Digest. The advisor, who maintains permanent offices in China, says, "Although the stock has performed strongly in 2006, we still see strong gains ahead.

"China Life is China's largest insurance company; it has written more than 48 million individual and group policies and has a huge sales force of 640,000 agents who operate in 9,300 field offices throughout the world's most populous country.

"China Life first caught our attention as a potentially huge growth engine in December 2005 with its announcement that it had been given the go-ahead by the China Insurance Regulatory Commission (CIRC) to set up a pension business as it moves to expand into the fast-growing corporate annuities sector.

"This is a major breakthrough in a nation of 1.3 billion prospects who can no longer rely on the government for their pensions. CIRC expects the country's corporate annuity net premiums to grow by 100 billion Yuan, or US$124 million, annually for the next several years. We expect China Life's historical statistics to move up rapidly as its large sales force is tasked to move aggressively into pension funding."

To see Jim's favorite speculation for 2007, click here.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-12.2911,371.92
NASDAQ-9.582,284.86
S&P 500-0.541,273.16

Last updated: July 09, 2008: 09:58 AM

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