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UBS upgrades eBay to Buy

This morning, UBS issued an upgrade to eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) - upping the online auction house to Buy from Neutral. The brokerage believes that the company's comparable sales may be starting to "turn a corner." Backing this belief is recent data from a top vendor and "other channel checks."

The vendor, ChannelAdvisor, reported that its comparable sales increased 4.6% in August. The increase followed a 10% decline in the first quarter and a 5% drop in the second quarter. ChannelAdvisor also reported that upcoming changes should help drive transaction growth. These changes include enhancements to eBay's search function and better dispute resolution tools.

Continue reading UBS upgrades eBay to Buy

Looking for a penthouse? Madoff's is for sale.

Looking for a 4,000-square-foot duplex with four fireplaces and a doorman on the Upper East Side of New York? You are in luck, because the U.S. Marshals will put Bernie Madoff's "luxury penthouse" on the market. The apartment is believed to be worth $7 million, so if you have some extra cash laying around, you could find yourself movin' on up to the Upper East Side. A list of the amenities includes ornate cabinets, stainless steel countertops, Baccarat crystal glasses, a winding staircase to the bedroom, an atrium breakfast nook, and a flat-screen TV in one of the bathrooms.

Continue reading Looking for a penthouse? Madoff's is for sale.

And to think this particular Ferrari can be had for just $12.4 million

The nation and the global economy remain in the grips of a pronounced recession, and a universal economic rule has been 'belt-tighten and eliminate unnecessary expenses.'

Still, as the comic character Pogo reminds us, another universal economic rule is 'Thems that has, gets.'

Continue reading And to think this particular Ferrari can be had for just $12.4 million

Art prices could fall 40% in recession

If you were planning to sell that Damien Hirst in your closet to help pay the mortgage, think again. According to a recent piece in Portfolio, "To capitalize on the past few boom years in the art market, Hirst's studio churned out works at a speed that many feared would overwhelm demand, pushing down prices further."

Daniel Komala, president and co-founder of Larasati Auctioneers tells Bloomberg that art prices could fall 40% in 2009. Bloomberg adds that "Confidence levels in the contemporary-art market have fallen 81 percent since May 2008 and may take between three and five years to recover, according to a survey released by research company ArtTactic Ltd. this week. Almost half the respondents to the survey expected auction prices would fall by 30 to 50 percent from their May 2008 highs."

What is ailing the art market seems to be the same thing that's ailing housing. For instance: Speculative buying drove up prices for hot contemporary artists (or houses), leading to a flood of new works (construction) hitting the market. Then consumer confidence took a plunge and now people are freaking out.

Prices for more artists with longer track records -- like Monet -- are not expected to be impacted nearly as much. Shares of leading auctioneer Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) have already been pulverized by concerns about the market, taking another big dive yesterday. But with its solid balance sheet and strong moat, the stock might even be interesting as the ultimate contrarian play right.

Not such a Merry Christmas at eBay (EBAY)

While this is a week when many of us are celebrating and enjoying some much needed time with friends and family, things are not looking so cheerful over at eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) as slow sales and low traffic are hurting sales on the popular online auction site (subscription required).

This is the first holiday season for the company under its new CEO, John Donahoe, and things are definitely not looking too jolly. According to research firm comScore Inc., the site has been losing a lot of valuable traffic to its competitors, such as Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) that have more fixed-price products for consumers to purchase, an area where eBay is still lagging.

For the period of November 3 through December 14, a time when many of us were busy spending hours online researching those perfect presents to hand out this holiday, eBay was just not getting the hits that it usually does, and traffic was down by 16% from the same period last year. In contrast, Amazon was enjoying a modest increase in traffic of 6% during the same time frame.

Continue reading Not such a Merry Christmas at eBay (EBAY)

Money winners of 2008: John Webber and the gold cup under the bed

This post is part of our feature on Money Winners of 2008. See all 20.

Whatever you do, don't tell my mom about John Webber. He's an English guy who had hung onto a cup that his junk dealer grandfather bought in the 1930s. One day he took it out from under the bed and decided to get it examined. It turns out to be made of gold, about 1,700 years old, and decorated with the face of a Roman god. He got $100,000 at auction.

The reason I don't want you to tell my mom about this guy is that this is exactly the scenario she thinks will happen with every mug she has ever bought at a garage sale, each "collectible" she keeps stashed in cabinets and even the old eight-track player that she cannot be persuaded is worthless. It's stories like Webber's that keep houses full of junk.

Also, Webber is now in his 70s. I don't know what his family or financial situation is. I'm sure he could use $100,000. Who couldn't? But I'm also pretty sure that the money would've made a bigger difference in his life if he had examined the cup when he was saving for a house, sending a kid to school, or starting a business.

Be sure to check out more Money Winners of 2008.

eBay going PayPal only?

The New York Times reports that eBay is considering making PayPal the only form of payment allowed on eBay auctions. The company is test marketing this concept in Australia starting next month, and loyal eBay buyers and sellers there are furious.

eBay's stranglehold on internet auction enthusiasts is already clear. It is the most popular auction site, and if you're a seller, you have few other choices that get you as much exposure. But that's not enough for eBay. In addition to all the fees generated from auction listings and sales, they apparently want to ensure that they'll get extra fees from the payments if they require everyone to pay with PayPal.

Company officials say this move is an effort to cut down on fraud. They say that by requiring the use of PayPal, they are able to see buyers and sellers through the payment process, rather than them risking fraud through the use of outside payment services.

Continue reading eBay going PayPal only?

What is eBay doing? Well, let me tell you...

I'm actually finding the cries of anguish coming from eBay sellers a bit amusing these days. Yes, in my opinion they're getting what they deserve over on eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY).

Why do I say that with a cold-hearted grin you may ask? It's because I did my part so long ago. Yes, we had a seller's strike once before, and it was a pretty damn good one. It didn't work then either, or at least it didn't change any eBay corporate minds in reference to anything that matters.

So now eBay has raised fees again. I don't need to say I told you so, but I did. This time though there's a significant additional angle to the rift. Due to pending changes to eBay's feedback system, sellers could be left defenseless in the face of potential deadbeat buyers, four of which have struck my wife's eBay selling account in the last week. It's great service to eBay's vision and it's easy logic to grasp and accept if you have insight into eBay's plans.

Continue reading What is eBay doing? Well, let me tell you...

New eBay CEO John Donahoe looks to make a quick impression

When we took a look at eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY)'s fourth-quarter earnings last night, we also made note that long-time CEO Meg Whitman would be stepping down, to be replaced by John Donahoe. We wondered what changes Mr. Donahoe would be bringing to his new position, and some of those answers have come quicker than we expected, as Donahoe has already announced a few changes that we can expect to see.

One thing consistently on the mind of eBay users is the website's fee structures. Since last year, users have been openly voicing their disappointment with what they consider to be abnormally high selling fees, and it seems like Donahoe will quickly look to address these concerns.

Donahoe said that within a few weeks, we will be seeing a brand new fee structure from eBay. In response to what users are demanding, eBay is planning to lower its upfront listing fees, but at the same time will be raising final selling fees. These final fees are only paid once an item has been successfully sold, and I am sure that users will not like to hear this too much, but they should be happy to hear that the initial listing fees are going to be reduced.

Continue reading New eBay CEO John Donahoe looks to make a quick impression

Bear Stearns analyst is barking up the wrong tree

eBay logoMarketWatch writer Dan Gallagher offered a brief synopsis of comments by Bear Stearns analyst Robert Peck in reaction to Peck's January 17 upgrade of eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY). In my opinion, Gallagher was too kind with his writing. Peck's comments are a weak attempt to cloud perceptions, nothing more. Let's take a look at some of those words, shall we?

In using a pendulum metaphor, Peck refers to eBay investors as being either greedy or fearful. I believe that to mean he thinks investors who sold in the $40 range were greedy and investors who are now resisting the $30 mark live in fear. I give more credit to the investors in their reaction to issues we've discussed. Mr.Peck seems to think they've overreacted on both ends.

Robert Peck offered the statement that, "eBay's issues have been overly accounted for" as if eBay's issues comprise a tangible, one time composite. I'll tell you as fact that eBay's negative issues are active and on going. You've read the news and I think you sense that there's much pressure coming in. Amazon clipped eBay's holiday season page views. Ticket selling competitors are on the prowl. Skype still flounders without declared intent and Meg Whitman is now toying with exit plans.

Peck concedes that eBay could be affected by changes in consumer spending due to recession but he would like us to believe that increased bargain hunting will offset possible negative affects. What he doesn't mention is that a bargain binge could deeply affect the bottom line of PayPal, eBay's lion-hearted revenue generator. We must also not forget that a checkout service has taken hold via Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) and now we're hearing whispers of increased payment services from Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN).

Continue reading Bear Stearns analyst is barking up the wrong tree

Liveblogging eBay Q2 earnings call

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) announced second quarter results not too long ago and easily beat estimates. Sales were strong across all business segments.

Soon the webcast will begin and I'll be right here liveblogging the event with Meg Whitman and company. I want to hear what eBay has to say about the lower listings growth.

You can listen yourself to the webcast or just stay here and remember to refresh your page.

4:59 pm: Listening to violin music and waiting for the welcomes and the disclaimers that are bound to follow before we get to the real interesting stuff.

5:01 pm: OK, the webcast is officially starting late. I'll try to refresh, maybe it's me.

5:03 pm: And we're starting! Meg Whitman, Bob Swan and Bill Cobb. Disclaimers galore now. Checking eBay's stock price, down 0.9%.

5:05 pm: Meg is speaking, saying the quarter was great and giving some highlights. She sounds relaxed and calm, the best I've heard her in the past year.

Continue reading Liveblogging eBay Q2 earnings call

eBay should have stood up to Google months ago

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) has finally admitted that Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) isn't its friend. This is long overdue.

For months, CEO Meg Whitman and other top eBay executives have used some convoluted logic to argue that Google Checkout doesn't compete with its PayPal service. Google executives also argued not-too-convincingly that there was enough room for both Google Checkout and PayPal in the marketplace.

While it's true that PayPal and Google Checkout aren't exactly alike, they do compete. Everyone knew it but the companies tried to maintain this false image that the Internet is one big politically correct summer camp where everybody is a partner and there are no winners and losers.

That analogy bit the dust Wednesday when Google scheduled an event in Boston to promote Checkout to coincide with a big eBay sellers' event. In response, eBay yanked its search advertising from Google. Remember that eBay has been one of the biggest buyers of search advertising on Google for years.

Continue reading eBay should have stood up to Google months ago

A pat on the back for eBay

At long last I can give eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) a pat on the back about something. Most of you know that's pretty hard for me, but this time eBay has gone the extra mile to prove to me that it at least recognizes there are some nasty pirates and profiteers operating on its site. With the direction of New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo's office, eBay assisted in putting the clampdown on an unscrupulous jewelry seller that was ripping off eBay customers by placing price inflating bids on its own merchandise.

EMH Group, the company in question, is said to have placed nearly a quarter million fraudulent bids on nearly $5 million worth of merchandise within the period of one year. Of course, EMH claims no wrong doing, but it has agreed to pay $400,000 in fines and will be "banned" from the online auction industry for four years. As for its victims, it is said that there will be a buyback incentive program "for certain items." I'll bet those certain items are all gold and EMH expects to purchase them back at the previous sale price. Yeah, ain't that just peachy.

Yes, I'll give eBay a pat on the back for exposing just how easy it has been to make millions of dollars of fraudulent business on its site. As far as Attorney General Cuomo's part in this, until he sends someone to prison for stealing from the public like this, in my opinion he's just blowing smoke in our eyes to the tune of $400,000. Without even checking, I'll give you 15 to 1 odds he's a Harvard man.

And so it goes.

This week's rumor round-up: Is Packateer on the block?

Yes, it's June already, and as the heat begins to rise, so does rumor rage.

PACKETEER INC (NASDAQ: PKTR)

On the block? If some investors have their way it is. The developer of wide area network, or WAN, Application Optimization systems expects first quarter revenues to fall about 20% from the fourth quarter's $42.7M. Leading the insurgency is "activist investor" Elliott Associates which holds 6.3% of the shares. In a letter to the firm's board, Elliott wrote that the company has "proven unable" to take advantage of its "leading technology." Better to be in the arms of a bigger company? The vultures think so.

GUITAR CENTER INC (NASDAQ: GTRC)

Quicker than you can strum your guitar, this number appears to be up. Up for sale. The information is coming faster than a high strung solo. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is playing the lead. What an auction it will be. For the leading retailer of musical instruments, the stock disappoints, the direct response business is out of tune. A Goldman analyst reportedly said the company is a turnaround candidate, but may sell. Talk about blowing your own horn. We hear the LBOs are lined up right outside the Westlake Village headquarters in California. Everyone have a number?

INFOSPACE INC (NASDAQ: INSP)

How many pesetas, uh Euros, does it take to make about a billion dollars? Ask Spain's LaNetro Zed. That's about what some think they're offering to buy InfoSpace, the developer of tools and technology that helps "regular" folk find content and information on the Internet or on their mobile. Privately-held LaNetro Zed provides mobile phone content and services. What's the hook here that they'd pay that much? Access to the U.S. market, of course. The answer, by the way, is about 800M Euros.

OFFICE DEPOT INC
(NYSE: ODP)


If you just lined up $1B worth of borrowing, which could go up to $1.25B, what would you do with it? Buy something, maybe? Sound like a good idea? Well, that's what Office Depot just did, and may do. Now who are they going to buy? OfficeMax Inc (NYSE: OMX), maybe? Maybe. If true, then, along with Staples Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS), there would be just two biggies in retail office supplies, and the Depot would be number one.

OPENWAVE SYSTEMS INC (NASDAQ: OPWV)

And we're off! The stock has been on an upward trend for about a month. Volume is increasing. Sybase Inc (NYSE: SY) is in the lead to buy the phone browser and messaging company. What about Harbinger's push on the inside? Now it's BridgePort Networks in the pack. Will Openwave overtake it? The field is tightening. Others could move up and take the lead. No one knows for sure how this one gwill end, folks. What a finish it's going to be!

DILLARD'S INC (NYSE: DDS)

The founders may be seeking "strategic alternatives." Eyes wide open, please.

Cable Television declaration sets Google and eBay on their heels

In a broad and sweeping move that will send out reverberations similar in impact to the first sixteen bars of a Van Halen song, the Cabletelevision Advertising Bureau announced that they shall have nothing further to do with a major attempt to commoditize television advertising time by making that time available for purchase in an online auction type venue. New York Times.com (registration required) reported that the Cabletelevision Advertising Bureau, a New York based trade group, has officially backed away from the proposition citing a quote from Sean Cunningham, president and chief executive of the cable association clearly stating that, "We don't believe that eBay is going to get this right."

Using the word "boycott," cable entertainment providers including ESPN, Discovery Channel, and Lifetime have officially exited the program, leaving the eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) headed project without any air time to sell. A consortium of heavy hitters were backing eBay in the experiment and had committed up to $50 million to build and test the model. Now though, they may be left high and dry, wondering if they have hired eBay expertise for zero gain after all.

Perhaps the most powerful statement in this situation so far is the reluctance of Google to issue any statement at all regarding the cable television pullout, as evidenced in a Jupiter Research blog post by David Card. Being that Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is so deeply entrenched in the internet as an advertising sales vehicle, one must suppose that they have taken this development pretty hard. That is, of course, unless they approached it with a "wait and see" attitude right from the start. If no statement issues from Google in the coming week, we might be tempted to think that Google suspected that the effort could fail miserably from the time it got off the ground.

I warned of this development quite some time ago in a comment section right here on a BloggingStock eBay post. I cited the fact that the television advertising industry has had a very firm grip on what they are doing for about 50 or so years now. I find it silly to think that the program would be changed over night. Just because a few talking heads say they want to take over the sale of television advertising time won't make it so. Personally, I think trying to change the dynamics of how television advertising is sold would be something similar to trying to sink the USS Enterprise with a .22 pistol.

But that's just my opinion.

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 11:02 PM

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