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Auto sales up in July, retail suffers

Auto purchases increased 0.7% last month, the highest rate in the past half-year. The "cash for clunkers" program is credited with the spike, particularly given that other retailers continued to struggle.

Not including the auto sector, retail sales were up only 0.1% in July. So, the car manufacturers are getting their bump, but to call a recovery would still be premature. It's even gotten to the point where dealers are running out of inventory.

Continue reading Auto sales up in July, retail suffers

Why we should invest in GM, Ford and Chrysler

First, the United States Congress should pass and the president of the United States should sign a rescue package for General Motors, Ford and Chrysler, post-haste.

If this was the "Roaring '90s" or even the "Fabulous '50s," an operational cessation by General Motors (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F) and Chrysler, would hurt the U.S. economy. As investors know, however, we are not in the 1990s or the 1950s, but in a teetering economy, and an auto sector cessation would be devastating, driving the U.S. economy into a deeper and longer recession.

Second, the notion that only companies that "perform" in the free market should continue and that others, the underperformers, should fail, as an absolute rule, simply has not been the history of the United States economy. Moreover, dozens of companies receive billions of dollars in subsidies from the U.S. government, which is you, the taxpayer.

Need a few examples? Let's do what the late, great New York Governor Al Smith would do: Let's look at the record.

Continue reading Why we should invest in GM, Ford and Chrysler

Ford re-hires 1,000 workers, says it can make it without a merger

From an industrial standpoint, few companies symbolize the United States' decade of descent more aptly than Ford.

Ford. The mere name conjures up images of deeply-flawed auto market assumptions, an inability to cope with intense foreign auto manufacturer competition, inertia, and an inability to identify what's considered 'cool' among young adults.

As an example: how many young professionals do you know who want to 'run out and buy a Ford today?' These are the main reasons Ford's (NYSE: F) shares have plunged to about $2 per share. Its market cap is down to about $4.55 billion. In 2000, Ford's shares traded above $30.

Ford: it can't get any worse

Well, to paraphrase a song by The Beatles, Ford's stakeholders, including parties who are sitting on large blocs of stock, 'have to believe it's getting better, because it can't get any worse.'

Ford said it will re-hire 1,000 laid-off workers to assemble the company's most important product, the F-150 pickup, The New York Times reported Friday, with the company adding that it expects consumer demand to increase for the product. As a result, Ford says it doesn't need to merge with anyone to survive.

Continue reading Ford re-hires 1,000 workers, says it can make it without a merger

Now European car companies want a bailout

The car manufacturers of Europe will ask for $55 billion in loan guarantees to upgrade their factories to build more fuel-efficient cars. The proposed arrangement looks a lot like the one just put together by the U.S. government and the Big Three American automakers.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "Fiat suggested the request to European auto executives at a board meeting of ACEA, the European Auto Makers Association on Friday."

Perhaps Japanese, Chinese, and Korean car companies can call for similar help, and the value of auto loan guarantees around the world can approach $200 billion.

While governments try to bear the burden of a worldwide financial meltdown, more and more struggling industries will ask for assistance. The airline industry may be next; it's being badly hurt by high fuel prices. Food companies may want aid because of rising commodities costs. Refiners are being hurt by high oil prices and may need a hand as well.

So, the question becomes, will governments decide which industries make it?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Honda (HMC) dodges the UAW

Neat trick. Build automotive plants where there are few UAW members. Honda (NYSE: HMC) appears to have it down to a science. According to The Wall Street Journal the Japanese car company recently built a plant in Indiana, but was only willing to hire employees from counties that outside the ones where "most of the state's thousands of unionized laid-off auto workers" were located.

It seems that foreign car companies are adroit at avoiding geographic areas where the UAW has members or people are likely to organize. It may be why so many of these plants are located in the South. Right-to-work rules tend to be lenient there. Companies like Honda are willing to take local tax breaks, but often don't hire workers who may be inclined to join a union.

There is a reason that most foreign car factories are not staffed by UAW members, and the move to locate in regions where worker's rights are modest may be a part of that.

As the UAW slowly dies due to downsizing at big US car companies, it would be a huge benefit if it could organize workers in foreign car plants. But, one of the reasons that Japanese car companies have a lower-costs-per-vehicle is that they do not have the legacy pension costs that Detroit does. These costs are the byproduct of decades of living with the UAW.

And, companies like Honda are not inviting the UAW in.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Stupid quote of the week: DaimlerChrysler's poor planning

In 2006, Chrysler (NYSE: DCX) lost $1.5 billion as the company failed to adapt to changing trends in the auto industry, focusing on minivans, pickups, and sport utility vehicles. By way of explanation, Chairman Dieter Zetsche offered this, which is probably one of the dumbest quotes I've seen so far in 2007:

"The crucial factor was the unforeseeable shift in demand to smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles, which was triggered by increased gas prices in the U.S." (emphasis added)

Wow. What's next? Will people continue to buy dog food that kills their pets? Will Atari explain the declining sales of the Atari 2600 by saying that "the crucial factor was an unforeseeable shift toward higher quality, more enjoyable video games"?

All I can say is that if the chairman of an automobile manufacturer considers the shift toward smaller cars in light of rising gas prices as unforeseeable, the company probably needs new leadership.

On April 5th, Kirk Kerkorian offered $4.58 billion for the company, so maybe change is on the way.

The old "I told you so" on DaimlerChrysler

Earlier this month I was in London visiting with several professional portfolio managers that I worked with these past 16 years. All in all, I visited with 11 professional managers who, combined, manage over $80 billion in the U.S. stock market. It's always an interesting perspective to hear the views and observations of foreigners who make their living in our markets. They do indeed bring a refreshing, nonbiased point of view.

One portfolio manager in particular was vehement that Daimler (NYSE:DCX) will not rise in value until they unload "that turkey," the Chrysler division. He explained that Daimler on its own merits is a growth company and the Mercedes-Benz brand is the jewel. His parting words to me were "as this spin-off or sell-off gets closer, DCX will lift like a balloon on Ascot Day." (Remember, he's British!)

He reasoned that profits generated by the Mercedes cars, trucks, and buses are being drained by the poorly run, bloated Chrysler division. Chrysler was the drag because of union issues, long-term health care commitments, and lousy facilities. Daimler, left alone, is a well-run and efficient auto/truck manufacturer with excellence in its engineering and production facilities. He may well be right.

Yesterday, Daimler was up $4.76 per share, and since early March when all this talk of spinning/selling off Chrysler began, the stock has moved up from $67 to $83, a huge move in a difficult market environment.

I spoke with him again this morning and, as expected, he is taking the victory lap. The "I told you so" was mentioned three or four times in our discussion between sips of tea. He exclaimed that Daimler shareholders will now demand that Chrysler be unloaded, as shareholders are now beginning to understand the power of Daimler's stock without Chrysler dragging it down. He said his price target is $100 to $110 for Daimler. He went to say, "I understand how you blokes get emotional about an American institution like Chrysler, but it is profit-proof in its current position."

He again is probably right, and he did tell me so ...

Georges Yared is the author of Stop Losing Money Today and Baby Boomer Investing. Please visit www.georgesyared.com

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Last updated: November 11, 2009: 03:28 AM

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