Continue reading AutoZone Fiscal Q2 Earnings Preview

AutoZone Fiscal Q2 Earnings Preview originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 28 Feb 2011 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This post is one in a series in which more than 60 newsletter advisors share their Top Stock Picks for 2011. This special report is courtesy of TheStockAdvisors.com.

"If you are looking for a momentum name, with a reasonable valuation and plenty of gas in the tank, consider Autoliv (ALV) -- our top pick for 2011 -- for your portfolio," says Todd Salomone.

The contributing editor to Schaeffer's Investment Research explains, "Auto supplier stocks were among the strongest sectors in 2010, but it appears many investors missed out on the outperformance.

Continue reading Top Picks 2011: Autoliv (ALV)

Top Picks 2011: Autoliv (ALV) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 03 Jan 2011 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Yesterday, automotive parts supplier Lear (NYSE: LEA) announced that it is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The company has also lined up financing to fund operations while it is under court protection.

LEA's subsidiaries outside of the United States and Canada will not be a part of the bankruptcy filing. According to the company, its "operations outside the United States and Canada are well-capitalized, well-positioned and have a strong backlog of new business."

Continue reading Another day, another bankruptcy ... this time it's Lear

Another day, another bankruptcy ... this time it's Lear originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Jul 2009 13:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading O'Reilly Automotive knows auto repair budgets are the last to be cut

O'Reilly Automotive knows auto repair budgets are the last to be cut originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 18 May 2009 18:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

One of the nicest things about going into bankruptcy is coming back out. Unless, of course, no one will give you the money to start anew. Delphi, the large auto parts company, had $6.1 billion lined up to start business as a company out of Chapter 11, but the credit crunch is making that exit very difficult to fund.

JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) were leading the group to supply Delphi with capital. But they cannot lay-off some of the loans because hedge funds and other institutions don't want the risky paper. GM (NYSE: GM), Delphi's former parent might put up some of the money, but the car company may need its cash for making up loses at its North American operations.

The banks are not required to put up the money. According to The Wall Street Journal, "J.P. Morgan and Citigroup are bound only on a 'best-efforts basis' to arrange the loan." In other words, they can dump the deal.

Raising money for a car parts company in the worst auto recession in two decade would be hard anyway. Perhaps Delphi should just stay in bankruptcy for a couple more years. The company might be better off.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Delphi may not get money to exit Chapter 11 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 13 Feb 2008 09:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

General Motors (GM) cheers as Delphi announces bankruptcy emergence plan originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 10 Sep 2007 15:29:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) implied volatility elevated into mid September earnings per share (EPS) and outlook: AutoZone is expected to report earnings per share on September 18. AZO management will be speaking at Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS) 14th Annual Retailing Conference on September 6. AZO September option implied volatility of 36 is above its 26-week average of 25, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.

Cisco Systems, Inc. (NYSE: CSCO) implied volatility flat into September 5 analyst meeting: Cisco is recently up 40 cents to $31.83. CSCO will be holding an analyst meeting in San Jose, CA, on September 5. BAMO says, "we believe the meeting will be used to showcase CSCO's growing technology platform and emphasize the company's mantra of the network as the IT platform." CSCO September option implied volatility of 26 is near its 26-week average of 28, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.

Daily options update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options update: AutoZone (AZO) volatility elevated into mid September EPS announcement originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 31 Aug 2007 18:49:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

September 15, 2006, a day that will live in infamy. Well, that may be overstating the case. It was, however, the day both Ford Motor (NYSE: F) and DaimlerChrysler (NYSE: DCX) announced major cutbacks in production and various other cost-cutting moves. Since then, there have been many negative stories about the auto industry.

Before buying into the widespread despair, investors will want to read Sandra Ward's interview (subscription required) with widely respected auto industry analyst Chris Ceraso in the September 25, 2006 issue of Barron's. Yes, Ford announced a Q4 production cut of 21%. Chrysler forecasts a 16% production cut. This will still leave both companies with production in excess of demand through FY 2007. Ceraso, and other auto industry insiders, are particularly disappointed with the vagueness of Ford's third restructuring plan in five years. Ford's plan is much less detailed than GM's plan with few specific rubrics for measuring cost-cutting effectiveness. Ceraso forecasts a $5.5 billion loss through 2007, larger than Ford's estimate. He forecasts cost savings of $5 billion through 2007, smaller than Ford's estimate. Ceraso does not see any indication of Ford profitability until 2009.

There are several macroeconomic factors operating in Ford's favor right now, but negative changes in any one of them could further hamper Ford's turnaround efforts. Oil prices could climb again to uncomfortable levels for any number of reasons. The Fed could hold interest rates at present levels, which is better than any increase. In many real estate markets, housing prices are beginning to moderate, giving people more money to spend on non-mortgage related items.

While Ceraso remains cautiously positive, the fallout from Ford and Chrysler's announcements continues downstream. Virtually every automobile parts supplier's stock has taken a hit. Modine Manufacturing, Lear, and American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings are down. Visteon Corp. has revised its previous forecast downwards and says it will not meet its financial targets for the second half of 2006. Visteon has already began layoffs. Delphi Corporation, a huge auto parts supplier, has 1,400 more workers ready to accept buyout offers. BorgWarner (subscription required) has announced plans to cut staff by 13% or 850 jobs, and lower its per-share profit for 2006 from $4.35- $4.60 per share to $4.10 at the most.

The ripple effect has already spread to the raw materials suppliers. U.S. Steel Corporation, AK Steel Holding Corporation, Algoma Steel and Mid-West Materials may all end up with excess supply. Given China's continued export of steel, there may be a worldwide glut in 2007, forcing prices to unprofitable lows.

Auto stocks: reason for cautious optimism originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 29 Sep 2006 11:18:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.