auto sector posts
FeedPosted Nov 7th 2009 2:10PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Employees, Economic data, Recession

Employers are planning to cut fewer jobs for the third month in a row, according to a new report that Challenger, Gray & Christmas has supplied to BloggingStocks.
The executive outplacement firm says that the number of planned reductions fell 16% in October to 55,679 positions -- from 66,404 in September. Last month's level was the lowest seen since March 2008, when 53,579 layoffs were planned. And, it's 51% lower than October 2008's 112,884 result. Planned staff reductions have fallen in eight of the past 10 months.
Continue reading Layoffs slowing down, but upturn isn't coming yet
Posted Aug 20th 2009 11:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Consumer experience, Competitive strategy, General Motors (GM)
A couple of weeks ago, General Motors announced that it was going to release a compact crossover under the Buick name. Yesterday, the company announced that it scrapped the plans. The automaker decided to do away with the vehicle because it received poor reviews from consumers, industry analysts, and automotive journalists.
On GM's blog, the company's Vice Chairman Tom Stephens noted that the company received "great positive feedback" on some of its designs, but that the "Buick crossover we showed received consistent feedback from large parts of all the audiences that it didn't fit the premium characteristics that customers have come to expect from Buick." Translation: the people didn't like the car, it got bad reviews, and it will not be made. Reportedly, one of the consumers invited called the auto "hideous."
Continue reading General Motors may actually be listening to the consumer
Posted Aug 3rd 2009 9:00AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Consumer experience, Politics, Recession

The
"cash for clunkers" program, once thought to be a minor, symbolic effort to stimulate the U.S. economy, actually may end up being substantive.
The program, which is designed to give rebates to enable citizens to trade in older vehicles for more fuel-efficient models, thus stimulating auto sales and the economy, ran out of its limited $1 billion allocation Congress approved earlier this year. So the U.S. House moved quickly last Friday to approve an additional $2 billion for the popular plan. Look for the Senate to follow, although the new proposal may be modified.
Continue reading How about a $12 billion 'cash for clunkers' program?
Posted Jun 18th 2009 10:10AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades

This morning, Goldman Sachs felt it prudent to up its view of the
U.S. auto sector to Attractive from Neutral. The brokerage stated that it would use any current weakness as an opportunity to build positions. If, like me, you are questioning Goldman's strategy, the firm explained, "Despite the significant rally in auto shares since the February lows, we think we are still in the middle phase of a cyclical rebound in the auto sector."
In its note to clients, Goldman Sachs predicted, "improved affordability, improving confidence and significant pent-up demand as likely to offset the impact from gas prices and deliver significantly more upside in the space as auto sales gain momentum."
Continue reading Surprisingly, Goldman Sachs raised the auto sector to Attractive
Posted Apr 22nd 2009 1:20PM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Caterpillar (CAT), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Dean Foods (DF), US Airways Group (LCC), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Analyst initiations, Broadcom Corp'A' (BRCM), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Andersons Inc (ANDE)
Analyst upgrades:
- Merriman upgraded Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN) to Buy from Neutral on expectations shares will react positively to the full IMPACT data release on April 28. The firm thinks Provenge could represent the first cancer immunotherapy approved in the U.S. and raised its valuation range on the stock to $33-$34 from $18-$19.
- Piper Jaffray upgraded Andersons (NASDAQ: ANDE) as it believes the valuation is attractive, investor expectations are low, and the company's fertilizer and rail segments could recovery in FY10. The firm has a $19 target on shares. Goldman upgraded the auto sector to Neutral from Cautious and added Ford (NYSE: F) to its Conviction Buy list. The analyst does not believe Ford will have to declare bankruptcy and sees the company benefiting from Chrysler share declines and GM's (NYSE: GM) reduced product offerings. Ford's price target is $6
- Banc of America/Merrill upgraded U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) to Buy from Underperform.
- Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
- Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DNDN, ANDE, the auto sector, DGX, MTB, ADVS, ITG, MF and PCLN
Posted Mar 23rd 2009 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Motors (GM)

The Swedish government said it "is not prepared to own car factories,"
The New York Times reported Monday -- a stance widely seen as the government's refusal to bail out the iconic Saab Automobile company, which is owned by General Motors.
If the Swedish government's decision does not change, that would mean that mostly-socialist Sweden will not provide loans to a major, domestic automaker, while the mostly-capitalist United States will.
General Motor's (NYSE:
GM) shares closed Monday up 17 cents to $3.35.
Investors may legitimately ask: how can this be? The answer isn't simple.
Continue reading Socialist Sweden won't save iconic Saab auto company
Posted Feb 8th 2009 3:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Industry, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Recession
The mantra of the day is frugality and cutback. Rightsize and hunker-down, as tougher economic times are ahead.
But graft hunkering-down on to a U.S. auto sector that has accounted for a disproportionate share of lateral innovation, and you have the makings of an U.S. innovation slump, if not a drought.
The Wall Street Journal points out that the U.S. auto sector has had a kind of dual personality with regard to innovation. The Big 3 have failed to roll-out technologies that would have made their cars more competitive on the global stage, while at the same time pushed their suppliers -- including steel makers and auto parts suppliers -- to improve their parts supplied in order to retain the Big 3's business. Further, that high-performance-bar for suppliers has benefited other industries: one example -- metal parts in cars that last longer has led to metal parts in other applications, and for other industries, that do the same.
Continue reading Big 3 slump may lead to U.S. innovation slump
Posted Jan 9th 2009 5:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Bad news, Consumer experience, Recession
What's another high-end stat, along with a decline in sales of apartments in the heart of New York City -- Manhattan -- that doesn't bode well for the economy? A decline in sales of performance and luxury cars.
Sales of Bavarian Motor Works' namesake brand in the United States plunged 15.2% to a 16-year low in 2008, as the credit crunch and the U.S. recession scared away even buyers for one the world's highest-quality makes,
The Associated Press reported Friday.
U.S. sales declined to 249,113 vehicles,
The AP reported. Global 2008 sales slumped 5.8% to 1,202,239 vehicles.
BMW's shares rose 49 euro cents to 22.39 euros Friday on the Frankfurt exchange.
Economist Richard Felson said BMW's sales decline "is indicative of a pervasive economic slowdown and a loss in confidence, across society and on both sides of the Atlantic."
Continue reading Tell-tale stat: BMW U.S. 2008 sales decline most in 16 years
Posted Jan 4th 2009 8:40AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Politics, Recession
The United States is preparing for a new year, and a new presidential administration -- one that has the potential to usher-in a rejuvenation of the U.S. economy, society, and culture, after nearly a decade of descent.
Still, that's not to say measures should not be taken to keep the Obama Administration and the Democrats honest. Now yours truly is not talking about the rhetorical observations and critiques of right-wing talk radio, which opposes seemingly everything from an increase in federal student loan programs to the rising of the sun in the east, but rather about techniques investors can use to make sure the Obama Administration remains true to its word -- i.e., to keep Obama and the Democrats honest.
Benchmark 1: The economy and job growth. Obama and the Democrats have promised a large fiscal stimulus package that invests in the nation's infrastructure and public institutions (schools, hospitals, civil administration buildings, parks), and that provides aid to the states, among other benefits. The fiscal stimulus package alone will not guarantee a return to robust economic growth and job creation, but it will point the U.S. economy in the direction of sustainable growth, with hundreds of thousands of jobs that will help 'prime the pump' for additional commercial activity. Hence, the U.S. economy and the stimulus package represent the top priority: any failure to deliver here would be a serious underperformance.
Continue reading How can investors keep Obama, Democrats (economically) honest?
Posted Dec 18th 2008 1:55PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Japan

Free markets? Unfettered capitalism? Government getting out of the way so that businesses can operate?
Not exactly. Try mercantilism, national industrial policy, and monetary protectionism.
Japan's finance minister jolted currency markets early Thursday after he signaled that the Japanese government is prepared to intervene in the foreign exchange to support the dollar and euro and drive the yen lower.
The
yen Thursday weakened 1.25 yen to 88.39 yen versus the
dollar on the news. The yen also weakened 1.5 yen to 128.70 versus the
euro. Both pairings had spiked significantly higher immediately after the finance minister's comments were published.
Finance Minister Shoichi Nakagawa said he has "the means" to
limit the yen's advance.
In the modern era, Japan has periodically intervened in the market to drive the yen lower and support the dollar to prevent the yen from becoming too strong versus the dollar, and the world's other major currencies. A strong yen hurts Japan's export sales, including cars, by making those cars too expensive for foreign consumers.
Continue reading Japan's government signals it may intervene to support dollar, drive yen lower
Posted Dec 12th 2008 2:42PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Politics, Recession, Financial Crisis

Could 10 or 12 economically conservative Republican Senators prevent a Big Three auto rescue and the cessation of domestic auto manufacturing operations?
Indeed they could. Many of the conservative Republicans come from states where
General Motors (NYSE:
GM),
Ford (NYSE:
F) and Chrysler do not have a large manufacturing presence. Hence, there's likely to be little home-front pressure.
That fact, combined with the filibuster era - - whereby lawmakers routinely abuse the Senate's unlimited debate power to oppose any legislation that does not have 60 votes - - the total need to invoke 'cloture' or cut-off debate - - means a dedicated cadre of Senators has the political and procedure power to defeat any legislative item below the 'sweet 60.' Hence, in that sense a dedicated, numerical minority can undermine the will of the majority, the will of the people.
Now the real auto rescue debate beginsWhat's more likely is that the economic conservative Senators will use the filibuster weapon as a means to extract additional concessions from Big Three stakeholders - - primarily the United Auto Workers. And their goal is obvious enough: a UAW defeat will drive labor costs lower and represent another victory for those who believe the lower wages fall for the typical person and worker, the better. In this argument, wages are merely another cost in the production machine, and the less money allocated for this expense category - - as with any expense category - - the better.
Conversely, the UAW will argue that any attempt to weaken them - - or bypass them - - will hurt/eliminate the only organized power that the typical person and worker has at the bargaining table and in the American economic system. They'll also argue that a living and decent wage for all working Americans is the foundation for a strong, stable U.S. economy, with sustainable GDP growth.
Each side is likely to offer exaggerated business and economic statistics in favor of their arguments, in a Washington process known as 'rhetoric for dollars' that frequently accompanies appropriations bills and government loans. The economic conservatives are likely to argue that UAW total compensation costs are 'wildly above' those for auto workers in Japan and Germany. The UAW will likely argue that it's already made 'major concessions' in previous contracts, without noting that work rules haven't changed that much.
Continue reading Once again, in auto dispute, it's 'rhetoric for dollars' time in Washington
Posted Dec 8th 2008 3:31PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Politics
Can the U.S. auto sector re-claim technological supremacy in the global auto market?
True, innovation, breakthrough technology, and supremacy are not exactly words that come to mind when one currently hears the corporate names 'General Motors,' 'Ford,' and 'Chrysler.'
The auto sector as an asset, even now?
But Columbia University Prof. Jeffrey Sachs forecasts that the U.S. auto industry can return to greatness, in the nation that's championed innovation and ingenuity during the modern era -- if Congress passes a comprehensive rescue package for the Big Three,
C-SPAN reported.Sachs is doing what academics do best: looking down the field -- to what macroeconomic conditions and global commerce -- and auto demand -- will look like 5, 10, 20 years from now.
General Motors Corporation (NYSE:
GM) rose 69 cents to $4.77, while
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:
F) added 53 cents to $3.25 per share in Monday afternoon trading. Chrysler is privately held.
Continue reading Columbia's Jeffrey Sachs: Big 3 can become auto sector technology leaders again
Posted Dec 5th 2008 1:56PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Employees, Politics
The behavioral sciences teach us that it's mature to compartmentalize, for many circumstances. To use a magazine industry analogy, a lethargic advertising sales staff should not affect your attitude toward your features writing department.
Compartmentalize? Washington doesn'tSorry, it doesn't work that way
inside the beltway. Image matters. Signals matter. In short, events in one theater can affect the entire political climate.
And that's the case with the nation's job losses in 2008 and the proposed
$34 billion rescue package for the Big Three auto manufacturers winding its way through Congress, so says economist David H. Wang.
"We have now suffered 2 million jobs lost in 2008, including an awful 533,000 jobs lost in November. That means the auto rescue package is a done deal," Wang said. "There will continue to be debate on the scope of the rescue, the metrics, the form of the U.S. government's investment, the timetable for the repayment, and how much Congress wants the new auto sector to contribute to energy policy goals, but the status of the package is a done deal."
And the political climate clincher, is obvious enough, Wang added.
"The U.S. Congress is not going to say, after seeing two million jobs lost in a year, 'O.K., here's another, automatic, 1-million job loss, just for good measure, to further drive the U.S. economy into a ditch' " Wang said. "The U.S. auto sector represents too many good-paying industrial jobs and spin-off jobs. They are a key component of our industrial base and will play a role in the nation's economic recovery."
Continue reading Big 3 rescue 'a done deal,' given 2 million jobs lost in 2008, economist says
Posted Dec 4th 2008 2:17PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Politics, Recession
The
Government Accountability Office, Congress' investigative arm and watchdog, said the U.S. Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury have the authority to bail-out the Big Three automakers,
marketwatch.com reported Thursday. Gene Dodaro, acting head of the GAO, said the Fed and Treasury could provide loans to the struggling U.S. automakers under an emergency loan designation.
The above ruling conflicts with the view of U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who has said that the $700 billion in TARP funds administered by the Treasury Department can only be used for financial companies.
However, Dodaro said the TARP legislation "is worded broadly enough" to allow Treasury to lend money to General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler, marketwatch.com reported.
Shares of
GM (NYSE:
GM) fell 33 cents to $4.57 while
Ford (NYSE:
F) fell 4 cents to $2.81 on Thursday at mid-day.
Continue reading GAO says Fed, Treasury have authority to rescue Big 3
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