Delphi was once the mighty parts operation at GM (NYSE: GM). It got to go out on its own with an IPO, and it has been trouble ever since. Because of contract obligations GM had with its former division, it has poured hundreds of millions of dollars into Delphi.
Delphi has been operating under Chapter 11 and trying, without success, to return to its role as an independent company. Now the collapse of the car business is likely to cause a liquidation of the entire firm.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Delphi's bankruptcy financing expires at year end, and there are indications that its current lenders may balk at renewing it." Analysts might find it easy to say that Delphi is a microcosm of the car industry and that car companies are heading in a similar direction. That is not true. Delphi has operated under Chapter 11 for some time.
On the other hand, "G.M.'s vice chairman, Robert A. Lutz, said the car companies need money to retool their plants but probably cannot raise enough capital on their own because of the tight credit markets," according toThe New York Times.That may be the first time that a top industry executive has indicated the industry may simply run out of cash.
The U.S. auto industry has not caught up to Delphi yet, but it is running toward the same place awfully fast.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) want you to pick up their tab for their decades of excess and managerial incompetence.
The Associated Press reports that the Detroit automakers are likely to ask Congress for $50 billion in low-interest loans to fund modernization efforts, and help them build more fuel-efficient vehicles.
What a load of crap. In 2007, Ford paid cash-burning CEO Alan Mulally $21 million, and GM's Richard Wagoner got a 41% raise to over $14 million for the same year. In effect, our tax dollars will be subsidizing this pay for pulse orgy of bad governance. GM also paid out more than half a billion in dividends in 2007 -- if the company needs billions to invest in modernization, why didn't it cut the dividend a long time ago?
It appears that the auto industry has been counting on a bailout all along, and why not? It looks like they'll be getting it.
I know, I know: forecasting the imminent demise of America's car companies is nothing new, but recent events have highlighted the kind of shortsighted planning that has plagued Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) and General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) for years. While the gas crisis has exacerbated the shortcomings of the automakers, the companies' failures to understand their core audience, invest in R&D, and ensure the quality of their finished product are long-term, endemic problems that make them a very questionable bet.
Recently, for example, General Motors' decided to offer incentives, extended protection plans, and employee pricing to draw buyers to the line; these innovations, however, have had the added impact of massively undercutting revenues. As Williams-Sonoma could now point out, slashing your profit margin is not really the best way to make a profit. While their decision to get rid of Hummer should help GM shed a pricey and currently unpopular line, by the time the sale is finished, gas prices will be back down and everybody will be driving hydrogen-powered cars.
Ford, meanwhile, has decided to focus its attention on cars, a long-term plan that doesn't seem very well thought out. While the Mustang is, perhaps, Ford's most famous model, their trucks have long been an iconic symbol of the company. Rather than invest in making their strongest sellers more fuel-efficient and thus more attractive to consumers, Ford seems to be placing its eggs in a somewhat unreliable basket.
This post is one in a series on prominent company nicknames. See all 25, and share your thoughts and memories about Ford below in the comments.
I didn't grow up in one of those families that placed a high premium on American-made goods. If the Japanese can make it better, we'll buy it from them! was the general consensus. And those foreign autos served the Harrows well. My parents bought their 1984 Toyota Tercel when it was new, and that unattractive but reliable compact was part of the family through the beginning of my college career -- even surviving my first, hilarious attempts to operate a manual transmission. So, it wasn't until I moved in with my friend Debbie, as an adult, that I learned the details behind a particularly unflattering nickname for the Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F).
There are those who would joke that the letters in "FORD" stand for "Fix Or Repair Daily." I know from experience that if you make that particular wisecrack within Debbie's earshot, she probably won't crack a smile. Instead, you can almost see her wheels churning, as though she's trying to calculate the thousands she's already poured into her Ford Focus -- or maybe she's just trying to predict which part will break down next.
During the time we shared a mailbox, it was a not-out-of-the-ordinary occurrence for Debbie to receive recall notices bearing the familiar Ford logo. These repair-o-grams arrived with such frequency that the exact number now escapes my memory; when I questioned her via text message, she replied, "I have had six. Stupid car."
The move came about a week after the company announced that it wouldn't be able to meet its goal of returning to profitability next year due to the current economic slowdown. A factor leading to the company's problem has been a shift in consumer preference from trucks to smaller, more fuel efficient vehicles, a move that comes in reaction to the current record high gasoline prices that have spread across America. Ford said last week it was forced to cut SUV production.
Ford has not released any specific details on the job cuts, but the details are expected to be released sometime in July. The company currently has 24,300 salaried workers in the United States, Canada and Mexico.
Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.
Ford (NYSE:F) is starting a new marketing campaign that will allow it to work more directly with its dealers to get back customers it has lost to the Japanese and European car companies. But, the horse has already left the barn.
The car company is launching a new advertising message called "Ford. Drive One". According to The Wall Street Journal ,"While the slogan will appear in television commercials, Ford is counting on aligning dealers nationwide to echo the same message in their advertising efforts aimed at local audiences."
Ford is gambling that by getting dealers excited about new cars from the company it will be able to rally its outlets to push harder in their local markets to take share from companies like Toyota (NYSE:TM).
The new push to some extent ignores that fact that Americans want cars from Japan and Europe because they work better and have better resale value.
Ford cannot get people to come to dealers if consumers don't like its cars. If it had a hot model like the Prius or the Accord, the traffic would come based on the demand for a better-built, more fuel-efficient car. That lesson seems to have been lost on the US company.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Ford, which sold its controlling stake in its Aston Martin unit last year for $931 million in cash and stock, has been searching for the right suitor for Jaguar and Land Rover. Although there are no details on the Tata discussions being made public, last month people close to the talks stated that the bids were running between $1.5 billion and $2 billion.
Ford spent a combined $5.2 billion for Jaguar and and Land Rover when it first took over the units.
It looked like Toyota (NYSE: TM) would pass GM (NYSE: GM) for the No. 1 spot in global car sales for 2007, but it is not clear that it happened. GM sales in China and South America may have been good enough for it to keep the lead spot.
Now Toyota has announced ambitious plans to up its sales 5.6% to 9.85 million vehicles in 2008. That would almost certainly put it ahead of GM and break the U.S. car company's all-time record year set 30 years ago.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Katsuaki Watanabe, Toyota's president, said the company aims to achieve its bold sales targets by expanding in fast-growing emerging markets." That means the Japanese company will have to do well in growing markets like China and hold its own in the U.S.
While watching the Detroit Lions lose to the New York Giants, I was struck with a strange feeling. Once again, Detroit, the historical center of American business through the auto industry, will lose out to New York, the financial epicenter of the world. While millions of heartland Americans are stuck with mortgages they're struggling to pay back, New York and its financial machine continues to roll.
It's amazing how twisted stock picking can get after a couple of cold ones.
In all seriousness, I've been looking through a lot of the mess in housing and auto, and I have to admit, it's pretty slim pickings. What I did find, and my loss for not knowing about this jewel before, is a nifty company called Illinois Tool Works (NYSE: ITW). This company competes in industrial products in markets including welding, food equipment, polymers, industrial, construction, auto, and packaging. This company reminds me of the diversity of a General Electric (NYSE:GE) or Tyco (NYSE: TYC).
Ford Motor Co (NYSE: F) signed an agreement with the UGT Union in Spain today, according to the Associated Press. The agreement will allow Ford to build three new small- and mid-sized cars in its Almussafes plant in Spain, with an annual production target of 350,000 cars. The union has agreed to keep labor costs low in effort to keep the plant competitive with its European rivals.
The announcement comes at a time when automakers are doing everything they can to expand their global operations outside of the United States.
General Motors Corp (NYSE: GM) eliminated overtime at six of its North American SUV and pickup assembly plants for 2007, citing fuel prices and the competitive market. Spokesman Tom Wickham said the automaker cut production to manage its inventory levels, according to the Detroit Free Press.
The move by General Motors hints that the auto industry is moving towards a "longer and more painful downturn in the U.S. than many had expected," according to the Wall Street Journal.
What's baffling is that GM, as well as the WSJ, didn't see this coming any earlier. SUV and truck sales for General Motors were down 9% over the first seven months of the year. Auto sales were surprisingly weak in June and even worse in July for the whole industry. Add the weak housing environment, the current credit market debacle, the ever rising price of oil and the global demand for hybrid technology to the mix and one has to question who didn't see this coming.
In a recent survey jointly conducted by The British Council and a China daily, 84% of young Chinese want to purchase a car (despite the fact that 80% of them are concerned with global warning).
General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) hopes to capitalize on that 84%. Shanghai General Motors' joint venture with Shanghai Automotive have announced the creation of interest-free car loans, as they fight for additional market share in the competitive Chinese market. In the first six months of 2007, General Motor brands have lagged in China behind the sales increases for passenger vehicles. Sales for Shanghai GM were up 12%, while overall car sales in China climbed 26%.
The "Buick Elite Wealth-Management Program," as its called, will try to lure buyers into financing in a nation where many prefer to buy cars with cash. GM officials said they were unaware of the initiative before it was announced to the Chinese media, the Wall Street Journal reported.
BusinessWeek put together a list of the most recalled new cars in 2007. What is surprising is that four out of the top five vehicles were imports, and not domestic cars. Chrysler's (NYSE: DAI) Jeep Liberty, with 149,605 recalls, was the only domestic in the top 5. Chrysler had three other significant recalls, including the new Dodge Nitro, Jeep Wrangler and Chrysler Sebring. General Motors (NYSE: GM) had two vehicles recalled, while Ford's (NYSE: F) lone recall was from its Expedition line, and only totaled 10,000 SUVs.
Toyota's (NYSE: TM) Sequoia hit No. 2 on the recall list, with 533,000 vehicles recalled. This is a surprising improvement from last year, where Toyota recalled nearly 700,000 vehicles.
The new Volkswagen (OTC: VLKAY) Beetle took No. 1 on the recall list; triggered by the potential for a brake light switch to malfunction in over 1 million vehicles if it was installed incorrectly.
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) implied volatility of 38 above 26-week average of 33 into EPS. LOW is expected to report EPS of .61 cents on 8/20, according to Thomson First Call. Deutsche Bank said on 8/16, "while we are slightly reducing our 2Q and FY EPS on a weak environment, we note that consensus already reflects conservative sales and EPS views." LOW September option implied volatility of 38 is above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) September implied volatility Elevated at 61 into EPS. PBY, an operator of automotive retail and service chains, has a market cap of $784 million. PBY is expected to report EPS on 8/22. Morgan Joseph CO says, "update on potential sale/leaseback of property possible. During its last conference call, PBY confirmed a 2004 appraisal that valued its owned property as around $900 million and belief that today it is worth in excess of $1 billion." PBY September option implied volatility of 61 is above its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.
Daily options update is provided by stock specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
General Motors (NYSE: GM) volatility Elevated into 9/14 UAW contract expiration. GM is recently down .10 to $32.97. The UAW's current four-year contract with all three automakers expires on September 14th. GM September option implied volatility of 45 is above its 26-week average of 39 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Ford (NYSE: F) volatility Elevated at 57 into 9/14 UAW contract expiration. F is recently up .17 to $8.24. The UAW's current four-year contract with all three automakers expires on September 14th. F over all option implied of 57 is above its 26-week average of 45 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.