"A decline in home ownership is good for companies who have apartments to rent," notes The Dave Dyer Newsletter. To benefit from this trend, he looks at Avalon Bay (NYSE: AVB)." Here is his review.

"After a 10 year period of consistent increases from 1995 to 2005, the trend toward increasing home ownership has reversed and is now clearly in decline. The subprime problems and tighter credit policies will only serve to increase the decline.

"One of the easiest ways to invest in this trend is to buy shares in a REIT that owns apartment properties. Avalon Bay (NYSE: AVB.) is a REIT that manages high quality apartment communities in the high barrier-to-entry markets like California, the Pacific Northwest, the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.

"In some cases, they develop their own properties; in others, they buy and remodel existing apartment complexes. They currently own 182 properties with about 52,000 apartments in total. AVB has 19 more properties under constructions and development rights for another 52.

It's no secret that the entire real estate market in the U.S. is suffering. For investors owning REITs, we are in the midst of a year of real pain. For long-term investors, some opportunities have arisen in the REIT space.

With people unable to get mortgages, the rental market has proven to be quite strong. Either from people who sold or forfeited their homes, to people who won't qualify for a mortgage, to higher end buyers who believe prices will continue to fall -- everyone still needs living accommodations. That's why I think the market has it wrong with some of the REIT sectors.

REITs dealing with rental markets should be strong, but, alas, their stock has gotten slammed just as bad as everyone else's. It's a classic case of throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

My top pick in this sector is AvalonBay Communities (NYSE: AVB). AvalonBay develops, acquires, refurbishes, leases, and manages apartment complexes. The stock is down over 40% over the last year and currently sports a nice dividend yield of 3.9%. I think long-term investors will be richly rewarded on this stock.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has no position long or short in any stock mentioned as of 1/14/08.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Staples, Inc (SPLS), Sun Microsystems, Inc (SUNW), Forest Laboratories, Inc (FRX), AvalonBay Communities (AVB) and ConocoPhillips (COP) were today's noteworthy upgrades:

• Soleil upgraded shares of Staples, Inc (NASDAQ: SPLS) to Buy from Hold following the in-line Q1 results, as the firm believes management's initiatives will benefit the company for the remainder of the year.

• Matrix upgraded Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: SUNW) to Hold from Sell based on improved profitability and margins due to cost cuts.

• First Albany upgraded Forest Laboratories (NYSE: FRX) to Strong Buy from Neutral following positive preliminary results for Milnacipran in Fibromyalgia.

• AvalonBay Communities (NYSE: AVB) was raised to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital based on valuation.

• Bernstein upgraded shares of ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) to Outperform from Market Perform...

OTHER UPGRADES:

• Piper Jaffray upgraded Medtronic, Inc (NYSE: MDT) to Outperform from Market Perform.

• Advanced Analogic Technologies Incorp (NASDAQ: AATI) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham.

• CIBC raised Cypress Bioscience, Inc's (NASDAQ: CYPB) rating to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer.

• HSBC upgraded Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd (NYSE: AEM) and AngloGold Ashanti Ltd (NYSE: AU) to Overweight from Neutral.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).