It's the sellers, not the buyers, that drive Avon's (AVP) stock value. What differentiates Avon from other beauty and personal care players such as L'Oreal (LRLCY), Procter & Gamble (PG), Estee Lauder (EL) and Unilever (UL) is not what it sells but how it sells. Avon is the largest direct selling organization in the world, with over 6.2 million sales representative generating annual revenues of nearly $11 billion in 2010.

Avon sells everything from shower-gels to watches to nutritional supplements. While others sell their products through third party establishments like drugstores or mass volume retailers, Avon sells its products directly to the final consumer. Avon's sales representatives are independent contractors that pitch Avon's products to consumers and, upon receiving an order, buy the product from Avon at a discount and earn the difference.

Continue reading It's the People, Not the Products, That Drive Avon Stock

It's the People, Not the Products, That Drive Avon Stock originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 Mar 2011 13:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Avon's Stock Continues to Misbehave

Avon's Stock Continues to Misbehave originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 17 Mar 2011 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

A lot has been written about the slow pace of economic recovery in the U.S. with unemployment levels at close to historical highs at 9.4% (as of December 2010) set in contrast to the feverish growth of emerging markets. It then comes as no surprise that most of the big players in the beauty and personal care industry such as L'Oreal (LRLCY), Estee Lauder (EL), Revlon (REV), Avon (AVP), Procter & Gamble (PG), Unilever (UL), Colgate (CL) and Kimberly Clark (KMB) are increasing their presence in growing markets like China, India and Latin America.

Continue reading Investing in Beauty and Personal Care? Look for Cash!

Investing in Beauty and Personal Care? Look for Cash! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Feb 2011 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The stock of Avon Products (AVP), first discussed here on May 6, 2009, at a price of $23.12, has meandered for the past three months at/near $29, and it might warrant a stand-aside view, for now.

Concerning Avon's fundamentals, Avon should post an impressive 2010 revenue increase of 6% to 9% led by emerging market sales gain, including Central/Eastern Europe and Latin America. Counter-intuitively, AVP's China market will likely underperform. Avon should also post a 3% to 5% revenue increase in 2011.

Continue reading Avon Products: For Now, Stand Aside

Avon Products: For Now, Stand Aside originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 27 Jan 2011 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• TCF Financial (TCB) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Exelon (EXC) to market perform from underperform at Wells Fargo.
• Nvidia (NVDA) and Boyd Gaming (BYD) upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Estee Lauder (EL) to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Webster Financial (WBS) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• Skilled Healthcare (SKH) to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan.
• Acorda Therapeutics (ACOR) to outperform from market perform at Leerink.
• NCR Corp. (NCR) to outperform from neutral at Wedbush.
• Barnes & Noble (BKS) to neutral from underperform and Pioneer Natural (PXD) to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• Autodesk (ADSK) to buy from neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AA, AAPL, ATHR, BKS, CL, CLX, EL, HBAN, NCR, NVDA, XRTX ...

Analyst Calls: AA, AAPL, ATHR, BKS, CL, CLX, EL, HBAN, NCR, NVDA, XRTX ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 05 Jan 2011 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Intel (INTC) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Wells Fargo upgraded MetroPCS (PCS), Coventry Health (CVH) and Scientific Games (SGMS) to outperform from market perform.
• Estee Lauder (EL) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Simon Property (SPG) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• Citigroup upgraded BreitBurn Energy (BBEP) to buy from hold.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ALU, AVP, BRCD, CVH, DISH, EL, INTC, NSM, PCS, SWY ...

Analyst Calls: ALU, AVP, BRCD, CVH, DISH, EL, INTC, NSM, PCS, SWY ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Nov 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Avon's 'Soft' Earnings

Avon's 'Soft' Earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 28 Oct 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

From time to time, Avon Products (AVP) becomes the topic of buyout rumors. And yes, this week it happened again. Actually, investors are giving it some credence. In Tuesday morning trading, the shares of Avon were up 5.6% to 35.03. That's only a couple bucks away from its 52-week high.

The buyout buzz comes from a report in the Daily Mail. According to this UK paper, it appears that L'Oreal is looking at a bid that could be as high as $44 per share, or $19 billion.

Continue reading Is Avon Buyout Bait?

Is Avon Buyout Bait? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 12 Oct 2010 12:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Merriman upgraded Penn National (PENN) to buy from neutral, citing the company's strong balance sheet and management team. The firm also raised its target range for shares to $34 to $37.60.
• BMO Capital upgraded Cooper Companies (COO) to outperform from market perform and raised its price target to $55 from $46. The firm sees upside to Street estimates and increased visibility.
• Argus upgraded Watson Pharma (WPI) to buy from hold based on valuation.
• Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH) was upgraded to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Allstate (ALL) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.
• Weingarten Realty (WRI) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AAPL, ALL, AOL, AVP, AZPN, BMY, COO, F, K, MSFT, PENN, UAL ...

Analyst Calls: AAPL, ALL, AOL, AVP, AZPN, BMY, COO, F, K, MSFT, PENN, UAL ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 04 Oct 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Avon Products (AVP) does not have a beautiful chart. It shows a stock that has had trouble making a breakout to the upside. The boring range is defined by a low of $25 and a high of $36.39.

On Thursday, the company reported second-quarter data. Sales rose 8%. On an adjusted basis, net income was 48 cents per share; this compares very nicely to the 38 cents per share booked in the year-ago period. Analysts were hoping for 45 cents per share. Operational cash flow over the last two quarters more than tripled to $241 million.

Continue reading Avon Increases Adjusted Income in Q2

Avon Increases Adjusted Income in Q2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 30 Jul 2010 15:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Revlon (REV) is not a company I typically think of when planning an investment strategy. But the rise in its shares over the last year has put the business on many trading radars. Looking at the fourth quarter report, I myself have to wonder if the story is now worth more investigation.

Sales decreased just under 2% once currency effects are stripped out. Net income as a whole increased 9% to 24 cents per share. Profit from continuing operations did a little better, jumping over 13% to 25 cents per share. This wasn't enough to satisfy the analysts. They were projecting 35 cents per share.

Continue reading Revlon Reports Earnings Growth, but Misses Estimates

Revlon Reports Earnings Growth, but Misses Estimates originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 26 Feb 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Avon Products (AVP), which I first wrote about on May 6, 2009, at a price of $23.12, has pulled-back with the market's retreat, but I still like the company and the stock. Here's why:

Avon remains the world leader in direct-marketed cosmetics, toiletries, fashion jewelry, and fragrances, with ample growth opportunities in Latin America, China, and Central/Eastern Europe.

Continue reading Avon Products: An Overcorrection Creates an Opportunity

Avon Products: An Overcorrection Creates an Opportunity originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Feb 2010 18:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• Aflac Inc. (AFL) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings, though revenue fell short, and offered rosy guidance.
• Avon Products Inc. (AVP) posted Q4 earnings growth that met analysts' expectations but shares sold off.
• Cisco Systems inc. (CSCO) higher Q2 earnings topped the consensus estimate but cash flow fell.
• CME Group Inc. (CME) fell short of analysts' Q4 profit expectations, resulting in price-target cuts.
• ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue that boosted shares.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ...

Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 06 Feb 2010 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If you look at the growth rates, however, things don't appear to be so bad. According to the actual corporate press release, diluted earnings per share increased 15% on a reported basis. Sales shot up 13% (or 8% in terms of local currency). Gross margin also expanded.

Continue reading Avon Grows Q4 Profit, but Stock Selling Off

Avon Grows Q4 Profit, but Stock Selling Off originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 05 Feb 2010 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The rest of the world is going to help U.S. consumer product manufacturers next year. Look for international growth to push the likes of Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Avon (AVP) and Clorox (CLX) higher in 2010, according to Fitch Ratings. In an interview with Reuters, a director gave the Fitch's outlook for consumer goods.

The household and personal care segments increased revenue every year from 2003 to 2008. So, 2009 was but a bump in the road. Even in a recession, you need toilet paper and shampoo, so expect the spending to come back.

Continue reading Consumer goods to gain 5% next year, according to Fitch

Consumer goods to gain 5% next year, according to Fitch originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 17 Nov 2009 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Stocks suffered a scary drop on Friday. It was fitting, in a sense, since it was the day before Halloween. In fact, as this Closing Bell piece noted, there were more tricks than treats to be had on Wall Street.

There are always equities bucking the trend, however. The Estee Lauder Companies (NYSE: EL) was one of them. Bullish buyers loved the beauty company's fiscal Q1 earnings release. As has been the case with many reports, the top line wasn't the fun part of the document: Estee Lauder saw a decrease of 2.7% for adjusted revenues. Here's the item of interest: net income after charges was 85 cents per share, more than three times what was made in the comparable frame.

Continue reading Estee Lauder's earnings explode to the upside in Q1

Estee Lauder's earnings explode to the upside in Q1 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 31 Oct 2009 14:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Aflac Inc. (NYSE: AFL) reported strong Q3 results, declared a dividend, and offered guidance for Q4.
• Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP) Q3 earnings slumped and revenue was hurt by currency translations.
• BP (NYSE: BP) shares leaped higher after it reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings.
• Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) reported that it returned to profitability in Q3 but warned of decreasing revenue.
• General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) Q3 earnings beat expectations and it lifted its earnings outlook.
• Hershey Co. (NYSE: HSY) posted strong Q3 earnings and expects full-year earnings ahead of forecasts.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ...

Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 31 Oct 2009 10:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) had a difficult third quarter. Currency translations helped to drive a 4% decrease in net revenue. Excluding that effect, sales were up 7%. Net income decreased a big 31% to 36 cents per share.

However, according to Reuters, adjusted earnings of 42 cents per share beat analyst projections by two pennies. Such news didn't seem to matter to the market. At the time of this writing, Avon was down 1.9% on significant volume.

Continue reading Avon sold on Q3 news, but think long term

Avon sold on Q3 news, but think long term originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 Oct 2009 16:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Avon encounters resistance near $33

Avon encounters resistance near $33 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Sep 2009 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) said its profit fell due to higher expenses and warned the trend may continue.
• Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP) topped Q2 earnings expectations, which sent shares higher.
• ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) lower Q2 earnings topped expectations, but revenue was also down.
• DreamWorks Animation Inc. (NYSE: DWA) posted flat Q2 earnings as it waits for the next big DVD release.
• First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) posted a better-than-expected profit but guidance sent shares lower.
• Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (NYSE: JEC) Q3 revenue missed estimates and it lowered its outlook.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Viacom, Sprint, Revlon, DreamWorks, Conoco, Avon ...

Earnings highlights: Viacom, Sprint, Revlon, DreamWorks, Conoco, Avon ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 01 Aug 2009 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.