The shares of utility Allegheny Energy (AYE), which I first wrote about on May 25, 2009, at a price of $25, have moved slightly higher in the past three months, and the stock is still preferred at this juncture. Here's why.

Allegheny's fundamental story remains attractive. Look for Allegheny's 2011 revenue to increase 3% to 6% on customer growth, higher electric power rates and increased generation capacity.

The First Call FY2010/FY2011 EPS estimates for AYE are $2.14 to $2.20. The FY2011 EPS estimate looks about 5% low according to my analysis.

Thankfully, the chart of utility Allegheny Energy (AYE), which I first wrote about on May 25, 2009, at a price of $25, has started to heal.

The stock came too-close-for-comfort to the $17 sell/stop loss during the spring, sinking to about $18.95 in bear-hug fashion, prompting a stand-aside regarding considering additional shares.

But just when AYE looked like it would enter stop loss territory, the shares rebounded, and have trended up -- delightful news for all who maintained their position.

Analyst Upgrades

• Piper Jaffray upgraded Edwards Lifesciences (EW) to overweight from neutral and raised its target price for shares to $77 from $53 after The New England Journal of Medicine reported the company's PARTNER Trial met primary endpoints.
• UBS upgraded Endo Pharmaceuticals (ENDP) to buy from neutral and raised its price target to $36 from $25. UBS is positive on Endo's creative strategic deals and believes the switch to Opana TRF from Opana ER will be easy. Additionally, the analyst believes pipeline expectations are very low.
• BMO Capital upgraded Nvidia (NVDA) to outperform from market perform based on expectations that share loss in the core GPU business will stop, Tegra momentum and valuation. The firm raised its price target to $16 from $9.
• FirstEnergy (FE) and Allegheny Energy (AYE) were upgraded to outperform from neutral at Credit Suisse.
• Mylan (MYL) was upgraded to conviction buy from buy at Goldman. Warner
• Chilcott (WCRX) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.

Analyst Upgrades

• Soleil upgraded Hologic (HOLX) to buy from hold on expectations the company's next-generation breast tomosynthesis instrument is likely to receive FDA approval. The firm raised its target price for shares to $20 from $16.
• ING Group upgraded Total (TOT) to buy from hold.
• BofA/Merrill raised Medicis (MRX) to neutral from underperform.
• CPFL Energia (CPL) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.

I first wrote about utility Allegheny Energy (AYE) on May 25, 2009, at a price of $25, and shares have continue to misbehave.

What's more, Allegheny's shares came close to the $17 sell/stop loss during the May 6 "flash crash," falling to $19.06.

Soft power-generation market conditions, due to the modest U.S. economic recovery following a pronounced recession, are likely to persist in 2010 and weigh on earnings. The First Call FY2010/FY2011 EPS estimates for AYE are $2.13 to $2.25.

Talk about an autumn swoon. Utility Allegheny Energy (AYE), first written about here on May 25, 2009, at a price of $25, plunged to $20 from about $28 this fall, and came close to my recommended sell/stop loss of $17. The bottom line regarding AYE? I still like the shares here, for the following reasons.

First, look for Allegheny's 2010 revenue to rise 2.5% to 3.0%, on better performance in both its regulated and unregulated operations.

U.S. stock futures were higher Thursday morning, after EU President said they are ready to help Greece out of its debt crisis. Investors also await a jobs report to get a better indication of the health of the labor market.

On Wednesday, U.S. stocks closed with small losses as Wall Street digested a testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that hinted at a gradual tightening of monetary policy that offset any optimism out of hopes of a Greece rescue in Europe.

Allegheny Energy Inc.'s (AYE) stock has retreated about $4 in the past quarter, but investors should view the pull-back as a Buy opportunity, hence
I'm reiterating my buy rating for the company, first recommended on May 25, 2009 at a price of $25.00. Here's why:

Despite the dip, electric power company Allegheny's business model remains fundamental sound, boosted by improving plant performance and effective cost controls, among other factors.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded FPL Group (FPL) to buy from hold on valuation and recommends buying the stock into the staff recommendation. The firm raised its target on shares to $58 from $55.
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Smithfield Foods (SFD) to buy from hold as it believes the company's fundamentals and export demand outlook are improving. The firm raised its target on shares to $20 from $12.
• Credit Suisse upgraded T. Rowe Price (TROW) to outperform from neutral and raised its target to $60 from $55 based on strong net inflows and potential operating leverage.
• Microchip (MCHP) was upgraded to neutral from sell at Goldman.
• Toll Brothers (TOL) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
• Ascent Solar (ASTI) was upgraded to hold from underperform at Jefferies.

Analyst initiations:

• Allegheny (NYSE: AYE) was initiated with a buy at Citigroup as attractive at current levels. Target is $33.
• PPL Corp. (NYSE: PPL) was initiated with a buy at Citigroup. Citi believes PPL's earnings power from the Pennsylvania regulated utility market is being underappreciated. Target is $35.
• FirstEnergy (NYSE: FE) was initiated with a Buy at Citigroup who believes the company's current valuation doesn't reflect its transition to full market-based rates in 2011. Target is $56.
• Waste Management (NYSE: WM) coverage resumed with a Neutral at Goldman.
• Exxon (NYSE: XOM) initiated with a Buy at Soleil. Target is $90.
• Vodafone (NYSE: VOD) was initiated with a Buy at ING Group.

Analyst upgrades:

• Kaufman Bros. upgraded Computer Sciences (NYSE: CSC) and Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) to Buy from Hold on better demand trends as it believes overall enterprise IT spending is turning more positive. The firm raised its target on Computer Sciences to $62 from $54 and on Cognizant to $45 from $42.
• Citigroup upgraded E-Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) to Buy from Hold as it believes loan less trends have improved and the company could potentially be acquired. Citi raised its target on shares to $2.30 from $1.50.
• Auriga upgraded Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) to Buy from Hold as it believes consensus expectations for 2010 are too low, but admits the company's Q1 results could be fairly weak. Auriga believes Microsoft is coming up to its "most powerful product cycle in many years" and raised its price target on shares to $30 from $24.
• Motorola (NYSE: MOT) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
• Fidelity Southern (NASDAQ: LION) was upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at SunTrust.
• Sonoco Products (NYSE: SON) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.

Readers of this space know that one of the preferred sectors is the electric power generation sector.

And it's preferred for a reason that may not be obvious to all. Electricity via wind, solar, and nuclear generation is likely to play a large role in energy as climate change reduction, then elimination, becomes a societal goal. Electricity also remains a potential propulsion source for cars, given that crude oil has apparently resumed its climb to uncomfortable levels. And with the above in mind, electric power generator Allegheny Energy (NYSE: AYE) is worth a review.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded Lennar (NYSE: LEN) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company's near-term liquidity profile is improved following the $400M debt issuance. The firm raised its target price to $12 from $11.
• Jefferies upgraded Rowan Companies (NYSE: RDC) to Buy from Hold as it believes jack-up drillers will continue to outperform deepwater names. The firm raised its target price to $27 from $20.
• Keefe Bruyette upgraded First Financial (NASDAQ: FFIN) to Market Perform from Underperform to reflect more positive loan data for the Texas banks. The firm raised its target price on shares to $44 from $38.
• MGM Mirage (NYSE: MGM) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
• Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities.
• Brinker (NYSE: EAT) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.

Pennsylvania-based energy company Allegheny Energy, Inc. (NYSE: AYE) posted mixed results for 1Q 2007 earnings. On the positive side, retail sales of energy increased 5%, plant efficiency increased, operating revenues increased $2 million, and debt expense declined by $8.2 million.. On the negative side, coal costs were up by $13.5 million, wiping out all the gains in increased sales and plant efficiency. Retail market prices for energy were down further eroding the gain produced by increased sales volume. Net income for the quarter was down by $4.5 million to $109.7 million or $.65 EPS. EBITDA for 1Q 2007 was $312.6 million, a decrease of $9.5 million.

Now for the bad news. The West Virginia Public Service Commission just recently ordered Allegheny Energy to decrease rates by $132 million to 2 Allegheny Enengy subsidiaries, while allowing Allegheny Enegy to pass on a $126 million fuel charge to customers. Net loss to Allegheny Energy is an additional $6 million. This is, relatively speaking, not that big a deal for Allegheny Energy, which posts annual revenues in excess of $3 billion. But the company did get slapped around in public for being heavy-handed in trying to push more costs than allowed onto customers. Its long term growth prospects are not rosy. There is growing opposition to its new power line project in its transmission area in West Virginia, Pennsylavia and Maryland. It's P/E multiple, 27.63, is the highest among its competitors while its EPS, $1.87, is the lowest. Allegheny Energy suspended dividend payments in December 2002 and has yet to reinstitute them. None of its cost factors are going to change for the better in the immediate future. It is best to look elsewhere for utility stock investment possibilities. The stock recently closed at $51.81, down $1.10.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Some of the more notable downgrades today include Alcatel-Lucent (ALU), AstraZeneca plc (AZN), GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK) and Motorola, Inc (MOT):

• Goldman Sachs downgraded shares of Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) to Neutral from Buy on integration issues, as the firm does not expect a sales recovery before Q3.

• JP Morgan cut both AstraZeneca plc (NYSE: AZN) and GlaxoSmithKline plc (NYSE: GSK) to Underweight from Neutral on valuation.

• RBC downgraded Motorola Inc (NYSE: MOT) to Sector Perform from Outperform; following Motorola's pre-announcement, the firm expects shares to trade sideways for the balance of the year.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Bank Of America downgraded Aeropostale, Inc (NYSE: ARO) to Neutral from Buy with a $42 target based on valuation.

• RF Micro Devices, Inc (NASDAQ: RFMD) was cut to Sector Perform from Outperform at CIBC citing the risk from Motorola; the firm believes RFMD's story outside of Motorola remains strong and consistent but sees downside to FY08 targets given MOT's contribution to RFMD's top line.

• Raymond James downgraded Yamana Gold Inc (NYSE: AUY) to Outperform from Strong Buy. UBS also downgraded Yamana to Reduce from Neutral.

• Citigroup cut Allegheny Energy, Inc (NYSE: AYE) to Hold from Buy with a $53 target.

• Lehman downgraded International Rectifier Corp (NYSE: IRF) to Equal Weight from Overweight and a $40 target.

• Raytheon Co (NYSE: RTN) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman based on valuation.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).