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Posts with tag bailouts

The 'let's bail out eveyone' plan

Treasury has a program totaling $799 billion to bailout banks. AIG (NYSE: AIG) is getting at least $123 billion. The auto industry has been given $25 billion in loan guarantees and it likely to be back for more.

Now there is talk of the federal government aiding insurance companies. Why not? According to The Wall Street Journal, "The availability of U.S. government cash in the middle of a global credit squeeze is drawing requests from insurance firms, auto makers, state governments and transit agencies."

Some of the money to help other industries could come from the $700 billion already approved by Congress. But, it won't be enough. Money center banks could post losses all the way through next year. Several analysts think Citigroup (NYSE: C) may not make money until 2010.

The one thing that is clear now is that the price of keeping all of these industries afloat is going to be well in excess of $1 trillion. If the government wants to give direct aid to mortgage holders, the commitment will go up even more.

The sum needed for the bailout will be so huge that $700 billion will seem modest.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.

Now European car companies want a bailout

The car manufacturers of Europe will ask for $55 billion in loan guarantees to upgrade their factories to build more fuel-efficient cars. The proposed arrangement looks a lot like the one just put together by the U.S. government and the Big Three American automakers.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "Fiat suggested the request to European auto executives at a board meeting of ACEA, the European Auto Makers Association on Friday."

Perhaps Japanese, Chinese, and Korean car companies can call for similar help, and the value of auto loan guarantees around the world can approach $200 billion.

While governments try to bear the burden of a worldwide financial meltdown, more and more struggling industries will ask for assistance. The airline industry may be next; it's being badly hurt by high fuel prices. Food companies may want aid because of rising commodities costs. Refiners are being hurt by high oil prices and may need a hand as well.

So, the question becomes, will governments decide which industries make it?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Closing Bell: DOW, NASDAQ, S&P down, sellers rain on bailout parade

Today was a great day in anticipation of the bailout, up until the point that traders sold the news. There is still a fear of holding anything into the weekend where bad news comes in the form of takeunder mergers on Monday. Today's jobless rate was 6.1% and the non-farm payrolls posted 9 consecutive declines.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 10,325.70 (-157.15; -1.50%)
NASDAQ 1,947.39 (-29.33; -1.48%)
S&P500 1,099.24 (-15.04; -1.35%)
10YR T-Note 3.644% (-0.002%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst Downgrades

The big news of the day was rather complicated. Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) has decided to step in and merge with Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB) in an all stock transaction for the entire company. Wachovia closed up nearly 60% at $6.21 on over 250 million shares.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) bit the dirt today. It is the potential loser in the Wells Fargo-Wachovia deal and it paid the big price today. Citigroup fell more than 18% to $18.35 on the news and it traded nearly 300 million shares.

Want to see what Warren Buffett said on bailout and bank mergers?

General Growth Properties Inc. (NYSE: GGP) got a a lift this morning on what many would otherwise consider bad news. The REIT has replaced its chief financial officer and suspended its dividend. Shares were up 27% at $9.70 right at the close today an more than 16 million shares.

Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) fell almost 5% to $4.14 after it announced plans to sell up to $500 million worth of stock to buy back debt from its credit arm to help shore up its bottom line.

Try again, Hank

It appears from today's Senate Finance Committee testimony that Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke are getting eaten alive on both sides of the aisle. Since the world has not ended since Sunday night passed without another weekly multi-billion bailout, it looks like their desperate pleas for unfettered authority to spend $700 billion of our money are not working.

I was just watching the hearings and Paulson and Bernanke are looking like they have no idea what they are talking about. They keep mentioning how 'market mechanisms' will help people want to buy toxic waste when such mechanisms failed before their proposed $700 billion plan. They want to hire people from Wall Street to run 'reverse auctions' which will ask banks to compete to sell their toxic waste -- whoever is willing to sell for the lowest price wins.

This is an idea that comes from Bernanke because he thinks auctions work, based on academic research. But the simple fact is that the banks will need to write down their assets and raise capital if they sell below book value. So they will not participate in the auction.

Continue reading Try again, Hank

Fed accused of being too close to Wall Street

Some of the participants at a recent retreat of central bank governors and economists charged that the Fed did too much to help Wall Street and too little to aid taxpayers.

According to the Associated Press, "A possible bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, on the heels of similar action involving investment firm Bear Stearns, seems to send a loud signal to financial companies that the government will clean up their messes."

The point may make seen in dollars and cents, but it fails to acknowledge that a complete collapse of the financial systems does no one any good. The Fed and Treasury have put tens of billions of dollars of liquidity into banks and brokerages, mostly in the form of low costs loans. A bail-out of Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) could cost billions more. Ultimately, taxpayers will foot the bill for those actions.

By listening to Wall Street, the Fed has helped the financial industry while ignoring other troubled sectors like automotive. But, if a large U.S. bank or brokerage firm fails, the panic could drive the markets into a flat spin and trillions of dollars in wealth would be lost.

The Fed is too close to the financial community and that is a good thing.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Is Lehman Brothers next?

What happened this week could be the start of something bad. As the Fed -- using JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) as its conduit -- bailed out The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC), I was watching which banks were falling the most in sympathy. Next on the list? Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) whose shares lost 14.6% yesterday -- a huge drop but nothing compared to Bear Stearns's 47% decline.

What exactly is going on here? The Wall Street banks hold the cash and securities of corporations, hedge funds and other investors. If a Wall Street bank files for bankruptcy, the bankruptcy process freezes those assets so that the customers can't get access to them. Thanks to bankruptcy law, the courts get to decide which creditors will get their hands on those assets. The reason Bear Stearns failed is that its customers withdrew their funds so they would not be frozen by bankruptcy.

The Fed stepped in because -- as I suggested Thursday -- it was faced with a choice of the lesser of two evils. It chose to create a "moral hazard" by bailing out Bear Stearns over letting it fail because it thought the cost of moral hazard was less than the cost of wiping out Bear Stearns shareholders and customers and all the collateral damage (pun intended) that would ensue. So why is Lehman Brothers the next one at risk?

Continue reading Is Lehman Brothers next?

Bear's Bear: Banks bite Bear for bad bets

The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC) is striking fear into the heart of Wall Street. That's because it borrowed so much money to invest in Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) -- packages of loans sliced by risk and interest rate paid -- backed by subprime mortgages. Bear's Bear will discuss why the average investor should care about the fallout from these bad bets.

The New York Times [registration required] reports that Bear Stearns put up $3.2 billion to bail out investors in one of its hedge funds -- the second biggest bailout since the $3.6 billion bailout of Long Term Capital Management in 1998. That after a largely behind the scenes scramble to keep a nasty secret on Wall Street from harming the reputations of all the investment banks who stand behind the market for mortgage backed securities.

The report suggests that the securities in which Bear Stearns invested represent a huge market. In 2006, $316.4 billion in mortgage-related CDOs were issued, about 77% more than in 2005. But the reason that this involves so many Wall Street players -- Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER), Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS), and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) -- is the phenomenal level of borrowing. The Wall Street Journal [subscription required] suggests that Bear Stearns borrowed a huge amount -- with only 5 cents worth of equity for every dollar of CDOs it controlled in one of its funds. In particular in February 2007, its High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Fund had $667 million of equity and controlled $15 billion worth of assets.

Continue reading Bear's Bear: Banks bite Bear for bad bets

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Last updated: December 05, 2008: 01:16 AM

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