bank bailout posts
FeedPosted Oct 20th 2009 2:00PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Law, Options, Financial Crisis

So, I was flipping through some articles in
Rolling Stone, when I found a very interesting economic story - yes, in
Rolling Stone. The article, "
Wall Street's Naked Swindle," takes a look at what happened in the options pits leading up to the death of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers. According to the article, an unknown option buyer made "one of the craziest bets Wall Street has ever seen," by shorting Bear Stearns. The unknown trader felt that Bear Stearns would lose "more than half" of its value in nine days or less, a bet that one financial analyst likened to buying 1.7 million lottery tickets.
What is crazy is that this bet paid off, leading to only one conclusion: insider trading (cue dramatic music). When Bear Stearns dropped from roughly $63 to $2 per share on March 17th (just six days later), the person purchasing the options made roughly $270 million. Senator Chris Dodd from the Senate Banking Committee thought that something wasn't on the up and up with this trade, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) promised it would look into the trade. Of course, nothing has happened since.
Continue reading Who profited from Bear Stearns' collapse? One insider did, and got away with it
Posted Mar 16th 2009 7:00AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Amer Intl Group (AIG)
American International Group (NYSE: AIG) just can't get out of its own way. Seriously, if you want a blueprint of how not to spend "free" money from taxpayers, just read the media's coverage of the bank.
According to MarketWatch, the company is going to pay $450 million to employees of the unit that was basically responsible for the bank's collapse, you read that right.
It definitely seems that this decision is not resonating well across the nation's capital, as Larry Summers (economic advisor to the President) said that the payments are "outrageous." Democratic senator Barney Frank told Fox News that the government needs to look into whether or not these bonuses are "legally recoverable." Yet another Democrat, Elijah Cummings, wants AIG CEO Edward Liddy to resign.
Continue reading More questionable payments from AIG
Posted Feb 26th 2009 2:55PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics, Recession, Financial Crisis

In the landmark, blockbuster film
"Jaws" (1975), reluctant sailor, Police Chief Martin Brody (Roy Scheider), while chumming bait, gets his first look at the great white shark that's been terrorizing Amity's shoreline community. Captain Quint (Robert Shaw) and Marine Biologist Matt Hooper (Richard Dreyfuss) are immediately struck by the shark's size.
But Chief Brody is struck by another reality. "You're gonna need a bigger boat," Brody said.
In today's environment, with the U.S. economy in a pronounced recession and credit markets still constrained, the Keyensians - - which include most Congressional Democrats - - are playing the role of Chief Brody. They know what's needed to go after that shark (the recession).
'You're gonna need a bigger stimulus.' (In this case the 'bigger stimulus' means
a second stimulus package.)
Continue reading Will the U.S. economy need a second fiscal stimulus package?
Posted Feb 26th 2009 11:55AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financial Crisis
President Obama has presented a budget that will yield a $1.75 trillion deficit --12% of GDP. But he promises to slice that deficit in half by the end of his current term. The budget has many items in it, but I found two to be particularly interesting -- the decision to more than double the original TARP and the move to repeal a loophole that enables hedge fund and private equity managers to slice their tax bills in half.
The budget could add as much as $750 billion for bank bailouts. The TARP had allocated $700 billion to that bailout task last year. $350 billion of that has been spent and if the latest $750 billion is added to the yet-to-be-spent second half of the TARP, that leaves $1.1 trillion of taxpayer money going out the door. But for what purpose? We know $16 billion went to bonuses and there have been the multi-million parties as well. But as far as getting more lending out to individuals and companies, the zombie banks that got the money have kept their purse strings tight.
Meanwhile, the budget does do something good. It makes private equity and hedge fund managers pay income tax on their income instead of treating that income as if it was a capital gain -- subjecting it to the lower 15% tax rate. I argued this point on CNBC back in July 2007 with the Wall Street Journal's Alan Murray (and he ended up agreeing with me). Unfortunately, closing this loophole would have done much more good when hedge funds and private equity firms were actually making money.
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College. His eighth book is You Can't Order Change: Lessons from Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing.
Posted Feb 11th 2009 12:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Recession, Financial Crisis

Investors should not read too much into the Dow's
nearly 400-point drop Tuesday. What they should concentrate on, in the view of a pair of economists, is the mechanism the
U.S. Treasury uses to price toxic assets.
The above is the most important 'unknown' in the U.S. Treasury's financial stability plan, so says economist David H. Wang -- how toxic assets that are clogging banks' balancing sheets and restricting credit -- will be priced.
"Will the United States government set-up a clearinghouse? Or will they design some type of open outcry, or managed open outcry? These are the key unknowns," Wang said. "Treasury Secretary Geithner and his staff cannot rush this decision, but on the other hand they cannot take two quarters to developed it. They have to announce the structure of the pricing program within a couple of weeks. I cannot underscore enough the importance of this pricing methodology. It will be the biggest factor in whether the credit system recovers, or something much worse occurs."
Continue reading Pricing system for toxic assets deemed key to U.S. Treasury bank rescue plan
Posted Feb 9th 2009 5:20PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Recession, Financial Crisis
Financial Times columnist
Martin Wolf reminds investors that, contrary to some views expressed in the United States, depressions are neither good for us, nor unavoidable.
Further, despite the recent year's many reverberations, the United States remains, Wolf argues (and the
U.S. Central Intelligence Agency agrees), the world's preeminent economy in the global economic system it has created and promoted. Moreover, U.S. policy errors had much to do with the current crisis, even if aided by policy errors abroad. By extension, the healing and recovery starts in the U.S. -- with America as the leader of determined, globally-coordinated action.
Continue reading Martin Wolf: If the U.S. dares to succeed, it will
Posted Feb 9th 2009 9:30AM by Sam Collins (RSS feed)
Filed under: Technical Analysis, S and P 500, DJIA

After almost four months of trading in a dominant sideways pattern (except for the Nov. 20-21 bear trap), the government now provides some hope of "stimulus" and, just as important, a new bank bailout plan. So, despite the fear readings from the public, more savvy investors with lots of cash appear ready to put some of that money to work.
On Friday, I spent some time comparing the similarities of the 2002-'03 bottom to the current chart patterns of the major indices and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), concluding that it looks like the conditions are present to get a meaningful rally underway.
If you agree that the market is poised for a move higher, the question is, "what sectors and stocks should I buy?"
Continue reading Today's technical outlook: Where should you invest now?
Posted Feb 3rd 2009 7:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics, Financial Crisis

You have to appreciate the cleverness of this era's financial humor. (Note that I said,
appreciate the cleverness, not love, or enjoy. That's because, depending on your perspective, the humor is either on-the-mark, or not that funny. But that is part of the subjective nature of humor.)
One joke making the rounds:
Question: What's the capital of Iceland? Answer: $25. Another: In the old days, banks lent money to people. These days, people lend money to banks. New York Times (NYSE:
NYT) columnist and Nobel Prize-winning economist
Paul Krugman discusses bank capital and lending in his most recent column, and argues that the apparent likely Obama administration fix for the banking sector -- a combination of U.S. government purchase of toxic assets and guarantees against losses on other assets, each on terms favorable to the banks -- represents a lousy deal for the U.S. taxpayer, who'll end up "footing the bill for rescuing the banks."
Continue reading NYT's Krugman: Here's a better bank rescue, for the taxpayer
Posted Feb 3rd 2009 6:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics, Financial Crisis

It's a Washington, D.C. adage -- one that can help investors understand the public policy process -- and House Financial Services Chairman
U.S. Rep. Barney Frank, D-Massachusetts, among others, have said it a dozen times, if not more:
"Congress doesn't get credit for not doing something or for avoiding something," Frank has said.
Case in point:
TARP I, the initial $350 billion allocation in Troubled Asset Relief Program funds. The initial allocation has been widely criticized as ill-conceived. Some of the money has apparently enabled certain banks to approve large bonuses, allowed others to complete acquisitions or position themselves for the same, or pay-down debt, while not resulting in what Congress intended the allocation to accomplish -- increase lending to businesses and consumers.
Continue reading TARP I, if nothing else, bought time for TARP II
Posted Feb 2nd 2009 6:15PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics, Recession, Financial Crisis

With public indignation and Congressional outcries building concerning large Wall Street bonuses while the U.S. taxpayer bails out the same industry that contributed to the financial crisis, efforts to limit or eliminate excessive compensation may hinge on whether the Obama administration wants to use political capital to do it.
The public attention-grabbing incidents are certainly there to keep the U.S. Congress focused on the issue: Wall Street allocating its sixth-highest level of bonuses during the investment banking sector's worst year since the Great Depression. Former Merrill Lynch CEO John Thain's decision,
since reversed, to use $1.22 million in company money to redecorate his office, is one example. Another is Robert Rubin receiving more than $100 million in compensation from
Citigroup (NYSE:
C), a bank that's receiving hundreds of billions of dollars in government guarantees and other, direct financial assistance.
Continue reading Despite public outcry, bank bonus reform may have to take a back seat
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