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Comfort Zone Investing: Timing Is Everything

straw hat with red, white and blue bandWhen Russell Sage was asked how to to become wealthy, he replied: "Buy straw hats in the winter." Who was Russell Sage? A Congressman from New York who was also a Wall Street financier who died with $70 million ... in 1906. His (sage) advice still works today, especially for stocks.

If you can buy stocks when they're out of season, or more likely, out of favor, you've got a much better chance of making money than when everyone else is jumping on the band wagon. The key item to remember is this: there are four seasons in a year ... every year, and when you buy straw hats in the winter (on sale no doubt), you know summer will be coming and their price will go higher. There are no seasons in the stock market. A stock out of favor now could stay that way for a long, long, long time. Even go bankrupt. So don't believe that a "cheap" stock now will automatically become valuable later.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Timing Is Everything

Citigroup Outlook Raised, but J.P. Morgan Preferred

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analysts upped their earnings outlook for Citigroup (C) Monday. KBW's forecast for Citigroup's 2010 earnings stands at 27 cents per share; up from an earlier forecast of 7 cents per share. But all the news wasn't good as the brokerage also stated concerns about the bank's recovery.

The brokerage kept its rating on Citigroup at market perform and left the price target at $4.70 per share. Fellow brokerage Oppenheimer seems to agree with KBW, as it maintained its outperform rating on Citigroup and held on to its price target of $4.45 per share.

Continue reading Citigroup Outlook Raised, but J.P. Morgan Preferred

New FDIC Rule Would Have Asset-Backed Securities Issuers Retain 5% of Risk

Finally, some common sense and accountability-oriented reforms with regard to the nation's infamous asset-backed securities market? Perhaps.

On Tuesday, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) voted 3-2 to require ABS sellers to keep 5% of the credit risk in exchange for a guarantee against seizure, The Associated Press reported Tuesday. The theory behind it is that banks with the 5% exposure will be more careful about originating mortgages/loans, etc.



Continue reading New FDIC Rule Would Have Asset-Backed Securities Issuers Retain 5% of Risk

Three More Banks Fail

The bank failure rate slowed a bit last week, but the tally remains alarming. Two banks in Georgia and one in Florida hit the skids, bringing the 2010 total to 40.

The victims this time around were McIntosh Commercial Bank in Carrollton, Georgia, Unity National Bank in Cartersville, Georgia, and West Bank of Key West, Florida. Together the three bank failures are expected to cost the FDIC insurance fund approximately $213.6 million.

Continue reading Three More Banks Fail

Bank Death Toll Approaches 40

Another seven banks were shuttered last week, bringing the number of bank failures in 2010 to 37. The most recent casualties came from Alabama, Georgia, and Minnesota on Friday alone. Earlier in the week, banks in Utah and Ohio were added to the count.

Advanta Bank, in Draper Utah, wasn't able to attract a buyer. The FDIC stepped in and approved payouts for insured deposits, with checks to depositors expected to be mailed on Monday. Advanta had $1.6 million in assets and $1.5 million in deposits.

Continue reading Bank Death Toll Approaches 40

75 Days, 30 Bank Failures

Four more banks bit the dust last week, bringing the total to 30 -- just shy of 75 days into 2010. Regulators closed banks in New York, Florida and Louisiana, representing in aggregate nearly $1.1 billion in assets and a little over a billion dollars in deposits.

Park Avenue Bank in New York was shut down by the FDIC this week. It had $520.1 million in assets and $494.5 million in deposits as of the end of last year. Its deposits will be assumed by Valley National Bank, which is based in Wayne, New Jersey, and it will pay a small premium for them. Valley National also agreed to pick up virtually all of the bank's assets.

Continue reading 75 Days, 30 Bank Failures

Bank Failure Tally Hits 25

Three more banks failed last week, bringing 2010's total to 25. Already, this year's bank failures have matched the 2008 full-year total and exceeded the 2007 amount by a factor of greater than eight. The three regional banks that failed last week were in Florida, Illinois and Maryland, with close to a billion dollars in aggregate assets. According to the FDIC, the pace of bank failures could be set to accelerate in the next few months.

Sun American Bank, in Boca Raton, was taken over by the FDIC, with First-Citizens Bank & Trust, based in Raleigh, N.C., assuming the Florida banks assets and almost all of its deposits. Sun American had assets of $535.7 million and $443.5 million in deposits. Since July, First-Citizens has acquired the assets of four failed banks, the others being First Regional Bank of Los Angeles, Venture Ban (Lacey, Wash.) and Temecula Valley Bank (Temecula, Calif.).

Continue reading Bank Failure Tally Hits 25

Bank Failures Surge 25% in One Week

Not even two months into 2010, the number of banks closed this year has already reached 20, not far behind the full-year result of 25 in 2008 and ahead of the three in 2007. On Friday, four banks were shut down by regulators, carrying forward the momentum from 2009's 140 bank failures. In only one week, the number of bank failures this year spiked 25%.

La Jolla Bank FSB in California was taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. It had 10 branches, $3.6 billion in assets and $2.8 billion in deposits. Its deposits and assets were taken over by OneWest Bank in Pasadena in a deal that is expected to cost the insurance fund $882.3 million. OneWest and the FDIC will share the losses on failed bank loans and other assets of approximately $3.3 billion.

Continue reading Bank Failures Surge 25% in One Week

Banks Still Not Providing Enough Credit to Small Businesses

The political climate in Washington is hardly conducive to a joint resolution by the Democrats and Republicans honoring Moms on Mother's Day, let alone high-stakes banking issues, but one reality is clear: if banks don't starting providing more credit to small and medium-sized businesses, Congress will have to create agents -- or new institutions -- that do.

The issue is too important for the long-term health of the economy: small and medium-sized businesses account for the bulk of America's jobs and new hiring.

Presently, demand is growing incrementally, but as it increases, if business credit lines don't as well, the recovery could stall, necessitating Congressional action.

Continue reading Banks Still Not Providing Enough Credit to Small Businesses

Bank Failures Begin Again

After seeing the number of bank failures tick up to 140 last year, there's some slight comfort in seeing the annual total only reach four. The feeling of relief disappears, of course, when you realize that we're only two weeks into 2010. The effects of the late 2008 financial crisis are still with us, as three small banks learned this week -- in Illinois, Minnesota and Utah. As expected, the 2009 trend continues. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's takeover of the banks follows the closure of the much larger Horizon Bank in Bellingham, Wash., the week before.

Continue reading Bank Failures Begin Again

Investment Banking Unit Pushes JPM to Strong Profit

Thanks to strong results from its investment banking unit, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was able to turn in a fourth quarter profit of $3.3 billion. This is a profound increase from the Q4 profit of $702 million posted in 2008.

JPM, which is the second largest bank in the U.S. in terms of assets, has performed best throughout the financial crisis, as evidenced by its substantial year-over-year increase in Q4 profit. For the last quarter of last year, JPM generated $25.2 billion in revenue.

Continue reading Investment Banking Unit Pushes JPM to Strong Profit

This Decade May Have to Become the Era of New, Small Banks

A political issue that's there for the taking; i.e. one that either political party, the Democratic or Republican parties, could win votes on? The need to charter and capitalize new, small/mid-sized banks. (It's an issue that the Tea Party movement could make some hay on, also.)

The financial crisis is over, but the credit squeeze continues, and small and medium-sized businesses have borne a great deal of it, with many still unable to secure the credit they need to expand their operations, despite rising demand.

Continue reading This Decade May Have to Become the Era of New, Small Banks

Serious Money: Dubai Vaporizes $48 Trillion

Best wishes to all and, next to world peace among people, we should hope for the same among world markets.

I have let some time pass before commenting on a recent example of how fragile a world we live in. This past year through a time of greater economic danger, fear and volatility than most of us has experienced in a life time, many people cannot fathom how close we came to the edge of Hades.


Continue reading Serious Money: Dubai Vaporizes $48 Trillion

Morgan Stanley's CEO skips bonus -- again

Nobody expected bonus season to be comfortable, even with the financial crisis more than a year in the rear-view mirror. Yet, Goldman Sachs (GS) is getting sued over its compensation package, under which key executives are only compensated in long-term stock. In the latest development, John Mack, CEO of Morgan Stanley (MS), is skipping his bonus for the third year in a row, according to Reuters.

Mack isn't the first banking CEO to go sans bonus this year. Kenneth Lewis, top dog over at Bank of America (BAC) is getting neither a salary nor a bonus for 2009. Both plan to step down at the end of the year, though Mack will stick around Morgan Stanley as chairman. The last time Mack got a bonus was in 2006: he picked up $36.2 million in restricted shares.

Continue reading Morgan Stanley's CEO skips bonus -- again

Florida bank brings failure count to 131

The bank bust tally is up to 131. Republic Federal Bank was the most recent to be shut down by regulators, which happened on Friday, making it the 13th in Florida to fall.

Boca Raton-based 1st United Bank (FUBC) has agreed to pick up its $352.7 million in deposits and $267.1 million of its $433 million in assets. The FDIC and 1st United are sharing $210.4 million in loans and other assets -- the stuff left over will be held by the FDIC until it is sold. According to the FDIC, this failure will cost the deposit insurance fund $122.6 million.

Continue reading Florida bank brings failure count to 131

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 09:03 PM

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