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Barron's, Citigroup bet on a comeback for Motorola

An article in Barron's suggests that Motorola (NYSE: MOT) is on the verge of regaining some of its former mojo. The company recently offered a solid outlook for the remainder of the year, and it could garner new business after debuting two smartphones featuring Google's (NASDAQ: GOOG) Android operating system -- namely, the Droid and the Cliq.

The author cites analyst Ed Snyder of Charter Equity Research, who believes Motorola is on the cusp of "an extended upswing in handsets ... over the next several quarters." Snyder believes that the firm's ailing handset division could achieve break-even results as soon as the second quarter of 2010.

Continue reading Barron's, Citigroup bet on a comeback for Motorola

Healthcare, tech and energy to outperform in next 12 months

For the first half of 2010, almost two thirds of money managers are bullish, according to Barron's. In fact, 54% are bullish, and 5% are "very bullish." Responses suggest that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is expected to gain another 5% by the end of the year.

According to Barron's, "Today's bullish investors see the major stock indexes making steady progress through next June, amid signs the U.S. economy is on the mend after a searing recession."

Continue reading Healthcare, tech and energy to outperform in next 12 months

Teradata (TDC) ripe for a bullish trade?

TDC logoTeradata (NYSE: TDC - option chain) shares are rising today after the stock received positive coverage in Barron's (subscription required) over the weekend. An analyst wrote in the magazine that the stock could rise by as much as 80 percent over the next two years, helped by the company's high cash reserves, good client roster, and technical advantages. This could be a good sign for TDC. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on TDC.

TDC opened this morning at $29.58. So far today the stock has hit a low of $29.11 and a high of $29.75. As of 11:25, TDC is trading at $29.36 up $1.03 (3.6%). The chart for TDC looks neutral and S&P gives TDC a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Teradata (TDC) ripe for a bullish trade?

Barron's: Assured Guaranty (AGO) could thrive

AGO logoAssured Guaranty (NYSE: AGO - option chain) shares rose Monday after the stock received positive coverage in Barron's over the weekend. An analyst wrote in the magazine that shares of the stock could appreciate quickly since it is the only bond insurer among its competitors that still has the credit rating and financial strength to write insurance on new issues of municipal bonds and bond securitizations. Barron's also said that Assured Guaranty could have smaller-than-expected losses from claims. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on AGO.

AGO opened at $18.70. In morning trading, the stock hit a low of $18.70 and a high of $19.63. As of 11:05, AGO was trading at $19.53 up 1.38 (7.6%). The chart for AGO looks neutral and S&P gives AGO a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Barron's: Assured Guaranty (AGO) could thrive

Barron's: Cablevision (CVC) spinoff could enable takeover

CVC logoCablevision (NYSE: CVC - option chain) shares are rising today after a feature in Barron's indicated that the company could be an attractive takeover target now that it has decided to spin off New York City sports arena Madison Square Garden and related assets. These assets include MSG Television Network, and the New York Rangers and Knickerbockers. Both teams play at the Garden, which is an arena located in midtown Manhattan. Barron's says that a spin-off of MSG would make Cablevision's balance sheet much more attractive. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CVC.

CVC opened this morning at $24.74. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.40 and a high of $25.00. As of 11:55, CVC is trading at $24.53 up 21 cents (0.9%). The chart for CVC looks neutral and S&P gives CVC a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Barron's: Cablevision (CVC) spinoff could enable takeover

MasterCard (MA) seen a bargain by Barron's

MA logoMasterCard (NYSE: MA - option chain) shares are rising today after an analyst writing in this week's Barron's said the company's stock might be a better bargain than that of competitor Visa (NYSE: V). If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MA.

MA opened this morning at $187.94. So far today the stock has hit a low of $187.35 and a high of $192.44. As of 11:45, MA is trading at $191.62 up $6.15 (3.3%). The chart for MA looks bullish and S&P gives MA a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.

Continue reading MasterCard (MA) seen a bargain by Barron's

Barron's struggling like everyone else

When I picked up my copy of Barron's weekly business journal from the front lawn this weekend I immediately felt something was different -- the weight of the journal and the thickness were definitely reduced by my measure. As a big fan of Barron's I thought, oh no, they are in trouble too.

When I examined it I found that the July 4 edition was a scant 32 pages. Last week's June 29 edition was 40 pages -- whoa -- a 20% reduction! That's a big reduction.

I keep my old copies of Barron's, so I was able to go back in time a ways to see if this was trend or an anomaly. First off I realized that the journal does fluctuate in length from week to week seemingly with the average being about 44 pages in the past few months. Then I went back further and noticed the trend was moving down. I thought well maybe it was the time if year, and of course the economy had to affect it too.

Continue reading Barron's struggling like everyone else

First Solar gaps lower on downgrade, bearish Barron's article

The shares of First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) have started the week on a rocky note. Not only did Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co. downgrade the stock from Market Perform to Underperform, the alternative energy issue was also the topic of a skeptical Barron's article over the weekend.

In a note to clients, brokerage firm Friedman cited weak polysilicon prices and the stock's overrich valuation for its downgrade. FSLR closed last Friday at $191.72 per share, compared to Friedman's price target of $110.

Meanwhile, the cautious Barron's write up [subscription required] observes that the Intersolar trade show begins Wednesday in Munich, and pits FSLR against many lower-priced rivals. "One leading customer says it will ditch First Solar's 'thin-film' panels if crystalline silicon alternatives keep getting cheaper.

That seems likely. Silicon prices are expected to drop another 30% by year end. First Solar profits -- and its shares -- could get cut in half," commented the financial paper.

Continue reading First Solar gaps lower on downgrade, bearish Barron's article

Financial media mourns its Pulitzer

Will financial reporting ever have a Woodward and Bernstein, the two metro desk Washington Post reporters who broke the Watergate Scandal? After attending last night's panel on Financial Journalism Under Fire: Did We Do Our Job?, hosted by the New York Financial Writers Association, the answer is clear: no. (Changes may and should happen, and I'll touch on a few of those).

I have a theory that if you took a psychological assessment of a sports writer, a political reporter, and a financial writer to see who was the most cynical, the answer would most definitely be the financial writer. They're reporting on an industry ruled by greed and people who make more money in a year than they'll see in a lifetime. The system is just too large, too shady, and too encouraged to be bad in the name of profits (deregulated) that reporting on any of this would be best reserved for some hippie outlet like Mother Jones, not the respectable Wall Street Journal. Big scoops in finance usually involve mergers and acquisitions, company and exec failures -- going after anything else is cute idealism. (In fact, someone last night compared it to steroids and baseball -- you don't want to know where those home runs are coming from, you just want to enjoy the game).

Continue reading Financial media mourns its Pulitzer

Is the market wrong about Dell?

Most investors consider Dell Computer (NASDAQ: DELL) a dog of a company. Since the firm's founder, Michael Dell, took over as CEO, his only real skill seems to be cutting costs. The firm has lost market share in the PC category and is behind companies like Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE: HPQ) and International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) in the server business.

Continue reading Is the market wrong about Dell?

Closing Bell: Merger Mania fails to wake buyers (BAC, C, GE, DNA, GERN, HGSI, WFC)

We had the possibility of three or four big mergers today and no major macroeconomic news to rock us down other than added overseas selling. But a general lack of enthusiasm and additional selling from the public kept today from chasing the late Friday stock market gains. Even a slighty less pessimistic Nouriel Roubini, a.k.a. "Dr. Doom," failed to inspire any contrarian thoughts. Despite this, there were many winning stocks and sectors.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 6,523.48 -103.46 (-1.56%)
S&P 500 676.53 -6.85 (-1.00%)
Nasdaq 1,268.64 -25.21 (-1.95%)
Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: Merger Mania fails to wake buyers (BAC, C, GE, DNA, GERN, HGSI, WFC)

Barron's slams Jim Cramer again

Back in August of 2007, Barron's Bill Alpert slammed Jim Cramer's stock-picking abilities in a cover story (subscription required). At the time, Alpert reported that "Over the past two years, viewers holding Cramer's stocks would be up 12% while the Dow rose 22% and the S&P 500 16%, according to a record of 1,300 of the CNBC star's Buy recommendations compiled by YourMoneyWatch.com, a Website run by a retired stock analyst and loyal Cramer-watcher."

Now Alpert is back for more. In the latest issue of Barron's, he writes (subscription required) that "Cramer's recommendations underperform the market by most measures. From May to December of last year, for example, the market lost about 30%. Heeding Cramer's Buys and Sells would have added another five percentage points to that loss, according to our latest tally."

Continue reading Barron's slams Jim Cramer again

Are Cramer's stock picks five percentage points worse than the market?

CNBC's Jim Cramer has an audience of 600,000 for his Mad Money. But Barron's has gone to great lengths to investigate how his stock picks have performed and it has concluded that they lag the market averages by about five percentage points. Specifically, Barron's concluded that from May to December of 2008, the S&P 500 lost about 30% and "heeding Cramer's Buys and Sells would have added another five percentage points to that loss."

Cramer's Sells do better than his Buys. Specifically, his Sells outperformed the market on the downside by five percentage points while his Buys lost up to 10 percentage points more than the market. One finance professor estimated using options-market activity that betting against Cramer's Buy recommendations can yield 25% in a month.

Continue reading Are Cramer's stock picks five percentage points worse than the market?

Earnings preview: No record profit for ExxonMobil in Q4?

ExxonMobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) is scheduled to discuss fourth-quarter and year-end 2008 results tomorrow, January 30, in a conference call at 11:00 AM ET hosted by David Rosenthal, vice president -- investor relations. You can catch the live audio webcast of the call on the company's website.

For the quarter that saw a settlement with the EPA and DOJ, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Exxon to report a profit of $1.45 per share, compared to $2.13 per share in the same period of the previous year. Revenue for the quarter is expected to total $69.1 billion, down 40.7% from a year ago. Exxon's earnings fell short of estimates in three of the past five quarters, by as much as 9.7%.

Continue reading Earnings preview: No record profit for ExxonMobil in Q4?

Serious Money: Barron's pumping oil again!

Oil prices have come down over $100 a barrel in the last six months, and so have oil stocks. How many people out there would have lost their house, not due to the reasons we've become accustomed, but due to betting the wrong way on oil? How many out there thought oil would stay near $147 a barrel rather than drop to the mid $30s in six months? I admit I might have been one of those people. Oil is currently trading in the mid $40s.

I have been paying about $2 a gallon for premium gasoline in Southern California -- sometimes a little higher, sometimes a little lower -- but a far cry from the $4.85 I paid in the summer. I can't even believe my eyes or my wallet relief. Five dollar gas is but a memory. We should all keep that in mind because we all know it is coming back to a gas station near you. We just don't know when.

This week's cover story in Barron's, "Big Oil's a Buy" (subscription required), highlights seven companies with varying degrees of support. The author, Dimitra Defotis, discusses companies with depressed stock prices, which may go lower; and with: relatively solid dividends; the possibility that mergers and acquisitions might be on the horizon; and stock buy-backs options. The four key stocks Defotis likes are XOM, TOT, BP and PBR. For example, XOM was chosen because of superior management and stacks of cash; PBR because of its reserves. Defotis questions the debt levels and access to new reserves of COP and RDS.

Continue reading Serious Money: Barron's pumping oil again!

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DJIA+17.4610,023.42
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S&P 500+2.671,069.30

Last updated: November 08, 2009: 05:56 PM

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