bearstearns posts
FeedPosted Aug 15th 2008 1:05PM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Recession
Bloomberg News reports that Wall Street layoffs are putting blood on the streets. But those Wall Street vets have turned those layoffs into new careers -- one Harvard economics grad who formerly worked for Bear Stearns has started a business making cupcakes. That's because, as Bloomberg reports, Michael Maloney, who recruits finance professionals for Maloney Inc. in New York, said, "The job market is in the worst, most chaotic state I've ever seen it in fixed income. I've been doing this for over 30 years and I've never seen anything like this."
The statistics Bloomberg cites are stunning. 76,670 investment jobs "in the Americas" have gone up in smoke "following the global credit crunch that started a year ago." And 33,300 finance jobs in New York City, or "7.1% of the 2007 peak, will be cut by June 2009." And those who lose their jobs will be giving up big money. Wall Street workers averaged $399,360 in 2007 -- six times the $62,390 for New York City jobs outside the securities industry.
So the tough are turning to making cupcakes. Jessica Walter, who studied economics at Harvard, was vice president in credit strategy at Bear Stearns. Bloomberg quotes Walter as saying, "I want to teach kids to cook. The goal is to have this be my full-time job and make enough to live.'' To that end, she founded Cupcake Kids! in New York to provide birthday parties and cooking classes for children.
Continue reading When Wall Street gets bloody, the tough make cupcakes
Posted Aug 12th 2008 10:45AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, China, Russia, Middle East, Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
Wall Street has a habit of riding its booms a bit too long. And that leads to collapse, layoffs, and hand wringing about the future. But it looks like Wall Street is already moving forward. And that means exporting its future by taking its finance franchise to cash rich countries and out of the canyons of Wall Street.
Wall Street's boom and bust cycles tend to eclipse a decade. In the 1980s, junk-bond fueled takeovers created massive amounts of wealth -- and also led to the collapse of junk-bond issuer Drexel Burnham. Wall Street licked its wounds for a few years and by the mid-1990s it had reinvented itself as the headquarters for Internet initial public offerings. That bubble burst in 2000. Then the Fed cut rates to 1% and Wall Street reemerged as a packager of mortgages -- along with servicing hedge funds and private equity moguls.
That all ended last August and the collapse of that bubble led to the demise of Bear Stearns and Countrywide and the loss of about $8 trillion worth of wealth. The New York Times reports that the latest collapse has cost 80,000 finance jobs as well. But Wall Street is already mapping out its future by following the money. And the Times pinpoints where Wall Street thinks that money resides -- based on the growth in the number of Wall Street people moving to various global money centers.
Continue reading Wall Street exports its future
Posted Aug 11th 2008 9:28AM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Law, Scandals,

Rumors have swirled about the rapid collapse of Bear Stearns, with a lot of people -- even some normally credible commentators -- absolutely convinced that the company was a victim of a bear raid and naked short selling, and malicious rumor mongering that led to a run on the bank, sealing the bank's fate.
An
interesting piece from Bloomberg discusses the suspicious options trading in the stock: on March 11th, someone bought $1.7 million worth of put options, effectively betting that shares of Bear Stearns would decline by nearly 50%. Bloomberg reports that "options specialists are convinced that the buyer, or buyers, made a concerted effort to drive the fifth-biggest U.S. securities firm out of business and, in the process, reap a profit of more than $270 million."
Interesting. But isn't it also possible that the puts were purchased by someone with insider information about the company's disastrous financial position? Must we assume that the only person who would be willing to bet big on Bear's collapse was a malicious short seller who was spreading rumors like Perez Hilton, working overtime to assure a run on the bank? It just seems a little melodramatic. It's not even James Bond -- more like Mack Bolan.
Before we feel to bad for Bear Stearns -- and record it in the history books as a victim of an outside invasion -- it's important to keep in mind what allowed rumor mongers to destroy it, if indeed they did: the company had
no credibility, a result of its long insistence that everything was fine.
Bear Stearns was a company that treated its shareholders with scorn, never leveled on the company's true financial condition, and didn't even bother to disclose that its bridge-playing, allegedly marijuana-smoking CEO was
seriously ill in the hospital while the credit crisis raged on.
Posted Aug 4th 2008 10:45AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Newspapers, Magazines,
My brother William Cohan's Fortune cover story on Bear Stearns' former CEO Jimmy Cayne has many fascinating tales. (Fortune and BloggingStocks share the same parent -- Time Warner (NYSE: TWX)). I found three to be most interesting.
- Bear was brought down by Fidelity and Federated Investors - Fortune argues that Bear depended on the market for 'overnight repos' -- loans of a one-day term collateralized by securities -- for $50 billion of its working capital. Bear used 71% of its mortgages as its collateral and according to Fortune, "Bear's reliance on overnight Rep effectively gave the overnight lenders -- such as Fidelity and Federated Investors -- a vote on the firm's viability every night. And during that fateful week in mid-March, those overnight lenders voted a collective no. The result? Bear Stearns did not have enough cash on hand to meet customers' demands during the run on the bank."
- Cayne nearly died of sepsis 11 months ago - The article begins, "In the early morning hours last Sept. 11, a black Town Car pulled up to the entrance of New York-Presbyterian Hospital in Manhattan. Inside the sedan Jimmy Cayne, the CEO of Bear Stearns, was close to death."
- Ace Greenberg planned to ask Barbara Walters to marry him the day before she wed Merv Adelson - Fortune says that Bear's Ace Greenberg told Cayne that he was was dating Walters and was planning to marry her. According to Fortune Greenberg told Cayne, 'I've decided I'm going to marry Barbara Walters.' The very next day in the papers she's engaged to Merv Adelson."
For the full story, read the article.
Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Time Warner securities.
Posted Jul 30th 2008 10:10AM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Industry, Private Equity, CIT Group (CIT),

Lately, there's been lots of dire talk about the private equity world. Returns are likely to be much lower and perhaps there will be many firms that shut down.
Indeed, such things may turn out to be true.
However, whenever there is extreme turbulence and a pervasive credit crunch, there are also big opportunities to make money. Just look at Apollo Management and Cerberus Capital. Both firms made a killing during the rough early 1990s.
Fast forward to today, and we may be seeing something similar with one of the top beneficiaries possibly being
Lone Star Funds. Yes, this week the fund purchased a collateralized debt portfolio from
Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE:
MER) at
22 cents on the dollar [subscription required]. The face value on it? About $30.6 billion.
This is not a one-off deal as it looks like Lone Star is hungry for high-risk debt. For example, the firm recently purchased the mortgage division of
CIT Group Inc. (NYSE:
CIT) and acquired Bear Stearn's mortgage segment. There was also the purchase of Accredited Home Lenders Holding Co. for $295 million.
Continue reading Lone Star loves toxic mortgages
Posted Jul 21st 2008 10:00AM by Peter Cohan (RSS feed)
The latest balance sheet of the Federal Reserve makes me wonder whether it's solvent. That's because its balance sheet has clearly deteriorated in the last year. And with $40 billion in capital, that deterioration could take a big bite out of the Fed's capital.
Unfortunately, I do not know enough about how the Fed gets its capital or how it accounts for the value of its assets and liabilities to be able to do more than raise questions. But here are three things that concern me:
- Declining asset quality. The total value of the U.S. Treasury securities on the Fed's balance sheet declined by $312 billion between July 2007 and this July -- a 43% drop in this highest quality asset.
- Increase in shakier assets. During this same period, the balance in Term Auction Facilities -- the credit line that investment banks are using to get their shakier assets -- such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) off their balance sheets --increased from $0 to $150 billion. Another $29 billion in assets come from Maiden Lane, LLC -- the entity created for the Fed to take on the toxic waste that sank Bear Stearns.
- High leverage. While the Fed has more capital backing up its assets than the typical investment bank -- which holds $1 of capital for every $32 in assets -- the Fed is still highly leveraged -- with only $1 of capital for every $23 of assets -- it borrows the rest. Put another way, if the Fed was forced to account for its balance sheet on a mark-to-market basis, a mere 4.5% decline in the value of the Fed's assets would wipe out its capital.
These observations raise questions in my mind:
Continue reading Is the Federal Reserve solvent?
Posted Jul 16th 2008 8:40AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Goldman Sachs Group (GS),
The heads of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) say that Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) did them dirty. According to The Wall Street Journal, "the big securities firm has come under suspicion, at least from the chiefs of two rivals who have questioned in recent months whether Goldman, even indirectly, might have put pressure on their firms' stocks."
As would be expected, Goldman said "no way."
So far, no definitive evidence has surfaced that Goldman did anything wrong. More to the point is the issue of why it would bother. Both Bear Stearns and Lehman are substantially smaller than Goldman, the premier investment bank in the world. It would have very little to gain by damaging such small rivals.
But as it always true when large companies are charged with taking illegal actions against competition, the most important cause to suspect is stupidity. If anyone at Goldman took the risk of acting to harm the two smaller brokerages, it was simply because they did not have the sense that their creator gave them.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Jul 16th 2008 8:00AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, Intel (INTC), Advanced Micro Dev (AMD), , Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), News Corp'B' (NWS),
MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
- The New York Times reported that News Corporation's (NYSE: NWS) New York Post and The Daily News, owned by Mortimer Zuckerman, are exploring a print pact and have been in talks to find ways to combine some business functions of the papers, according to people briefed on the matter.
- According to sources, the San Francisco Business Times reported that Washington Mutual Incorporated (NYSE: WM) may be planning more layoffs in September. It is unclear how many employees will be affected and from which departments.
WEB SITES:
Posted Jul 15th 2008 8:43AM by Aaron Katsman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Private Equity, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), , ,
With shares in Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) losing another 14% of their value Monday, and the stock trading under $13, rumors are swirling as to what the bank is planning to do. While there has been speculation that the bank may be taken private, an option that I think is very interesting, others have said that another bank is going to swoop in and take over the company. At the discount levels the stock is trading, that may make sense. The only problem is who the buyer will be.
MarketWatch has an interesting article about this issue and the claim is that there really is no one out there to make a bid for the struggling investment bank. The article quotes Jeff Harte, a securities industry analyst at Sandler O'Neill & Partners, " I'm hard pressed to give you many viable buyers of Lehman. Most large banks are focused on their own capital issues. Even if a bidder did come forward, it would have to win over a lot of Lehman employees -- who control around 30% of the stock -- or risk losing them once the deal was complete."
The most obvious suitor would be JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), but it has its hands full with Bear Stearns. Other banks like Citigroup (NYSE: C) or Wachovia (NYSE: WB) are fighting for survival. That leaves us with European banks, many of whom are also trying to stay afloat. One bank that has the money needed to finance a deal could be Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB). It could be interested in a deal as it would gain a foothold into the fixed-income desk at Lehman. The only problem is that the bank is focused on growing its retail banking franchise, not investment banking.
Which leaves us with the first option as the best one. Go private. Clean up the balance sheet, get profitable, wait a few years for the financial storm to pass, and go public once again.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 7/15/08.
Posted Jul 1st 2008 4:54PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
I try not to do posts solely for the purpose of linking to someone else's great work but this item fro DealBreaker is probably the funniest thing I've read since Bear Stearns' insistence that its liquidity was fine:
an article in the latest issue of
Vanity Fair cites unnamed sources stating that a few well-known hedge funds plotted the company's demise -- and then laughed about it over a celebratory breakfast.
Bess Levin rips into the conspiracy theories with the post
Who Killed Bear Stearns And Then Laughed About It At Denny's? We're Gonna Go With NO ONE:
Let's just say they did spread the rumors, which I don't believe they did (and, as an aside: if a company can be brought down by the corporate equivalent of 7th grade girls passing notes in class, perhaps it doesn't deserve to existence anyway). There is no way in hell this meal took place. Ken Griffin and Steve Cohen are not stupid enough to go chest bump over egg McMuffins with the rotting corpse of Bear Stearns at their table (that kind of genius is -- or was -- reserved for the upper echelons of BSC management).
Exactly.
Posted Jul 1st 2008 3:02PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), General Motors (GM), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Walt Disney (DIS), Citigroup Inc. (C), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Chubb Corp (CB), , Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Huaneng Power Intl ADS (HNP), Teva Pharm Indus ADR (TEVA), , , Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG)
Six months of 2008 are now behind us and the stock market has not been a friendly place to most investors. Stability that was once found in household names that were industry giants is gone, and they have now been brought to their knees.
Many of them were the stocks we might have looked to in the past for stability, so you can be sure I put forward my five candidates with a little trepidation, but forward I go anyway. First a little review is in order.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) dropped from around $53 per share last year to around $30 in January and we can buy it today for around $17. Even at that price Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) has downgraded it to a sell and thinks there is more bad news to come. Citigroup was the largest bank in the world. Not any more.
General Motors (NYSE: GM) was the largest car maker in the world. That was before the stock tumbled from $43 to its current $11 range. A crushing blow to long time investors hoping that someone in the company could stop the ship from sinking.
Continue reading Serious Money: Five stable stocks for troubled times
Posted Jun 19th 2008 8:00AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD),
MAJOR PAPERS:
- Long Island, NY's Astoria Financial Corp (NYSE: AF) has found a novel way to reduce the number of its nonperforming loans by changing its internal policy on when mortgages are classified on its books as troubled, the Wall Street Journal reported. By counting home loans as non performing when the borrower misses at least three payments, not two, Astoria reduced its non-performers to $69M from $106M in three months.
- The Wall Street Journal also reported that the indictments of Matthew Tannin and Ralph Cioffi, two former Bear Stearns hedge-fund managers, are expected to cite a personal e-mail suggesting the funds were "toast," four days before they told investors they had little to worry about. JP Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM) has said it will cover the legal costs of the fund managers.
- Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE: HPQ) is set to reorganize its printer unit. The Wall Street Journal said that the unit's five business units will be cut down to three to become more efficient at adapting to a marketplace in which consumers are relying less on printing.
- According to people close to the situation, the Financial Times reported that Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc's (NYSE: BUD) board of directors is planning to meet this week to discuss the $46B bid from rival brewer InBev.
Posted Jun 16th 2008 6:26PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Scandals,
Graphic novels are generally targeted toward a market the could best be described as anime freaks: junior high and high school kids who shop at Hot Topic, listen to bad music, and read graphic novels.
For reasons that aren't immediately clear, Portfolio decided to make the collapse of
Bear Stearns Co. Inc. (NYSE:
BSC) into a
graphic novel, focusing on the days leading up to the fire-sale to the Fed-back
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:
JPM). It's a neat idea but, by focusing exclusively on the company's last days, the comic portrays Bear's collapse as a run on the bank caused by malicious and unfounded rumors. The reality is that Bear made huge, risky bets on bad securities, and collapsed because of mismanagement. A "run on the bank" may have had something to do with it, but that's always the case: companies don't go under until people stop giving them money.
But in a financial press with a lot of very similar content, we should at least give Portfolio props for doing something a little different.
Posted Jun 16th 2008 8:13AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, Apple Inc (AAPL), Ford Motor (F), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), iPhone
MAJOR PAPERS:
- The Wall Street Journal reported that executives from Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) informed plant managers and union representatives that they intend to reduce overtime and that additional buyouts of union workers were necessary to cut costs.
- The Wall Street Journal also reported that federal prosecutors are preparing to file criminal charges against Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin, two hedge fund managers at Bear Stearns, now part of JP Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM), with securities fraud.
- Investors who helped U.S. financial companies raise capital are currently losing nearly $10B on paper, according to an analysis by the Financial Times.
OTHER PAPERS:
- Fortune reported that the materials used to build Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) new 3G iPhone could cost as little as $100, while the components of the old iPhone cost $170, according to analysis by Portelligent, an Austin, Texas-based teardown specialist.
- Steve Jobs appeared to be extremely thin during the unveiling of Apple's new iPhone last Monday, causing speculation by observers. Fortune speculated that Jobs' weight loss over the years is being caused by a complex operation he underwent in 2004, in order to treat a rare type of pancreatic cancer.
Posted Jun 10th 2008 8:40AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), General Electric (GE),
MAJOR PAPERS:
- UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) won't comment on write-down estimates, but according to the Wall Street Journal, investors are expecting it as prices for mortgage securities have significantly gotten worse over the past several weeks as evidenced by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (NYSE: LEH) profit warnings.
- Yesterday Lehman's stock fell 8.7% as the firm announced a projected $2.8B second quarter loss and a $6B capital raise. Options activity indicated a lessening volatility, the Wall Street Journal reported, a sign that perhaps the worst may be over.
- According to a person familiar with the matter, the Financial Times reported that China's Qingdao Haier has approached investment banks to advise it on a bid for General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) appliance business.
OTHER PAPERS:
- A brief filed by plaintiffs in a shareholder lawsuit against Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) and its directors claimed that an employee severance plan put in place to protect workers after a merger with Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) should be repealed immediately. The New York Times reported that the plaintiffs believe the plan could skew the outcome of a proxy battle between Yahoo! and Carl Icahn for control of the company.
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