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Constellation Brands has reason to celebrate

Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ) manufactures a variety of alcoholic beverages for several prominent brands and has reason to celebrate a surprisingly good earnings report today. The firm's EPS of $.54 was much higher than the $.41 analysts expected.

According to the company, much of the excess profitability was due to lower restructuring costs this quarter. Overall sales were down partially due to a stronger dollar and a trend amongst the drinking public to purchase lower priced products.

Continue reading Constellation Brands has reason to celebrate

Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

This morning, Diageo (NYSE: DEO), the world's largest spirits maker, announced that annual profit increased 7%. The company's net sales for the year increased 15% to 9.3 billion pounds thanks to solid performance in its international segments.

Diageo's sales increased during the past few quarters, thanks to investment in major brands like Johnny Walker, Guinness, and Smirnoff. This investment has helped the company weather the global economic downturn better than most of its major rivals.

Continue reading Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

Anheuser-Busch to introduce new beer and plenty more commercials to combat slumping sales

I saw a story in The Wall Street Journal last week discussing what is being called a "rare" slump for Anheuser-Busch InBev. The company saw volume sales fall for Bud Light for the first time in the beer's 27-year history. Dollar sales of Bud Light dropped 2.5% (compared to a year earlier) in the U.S. during the 13 weeks that ended on July 12. Volume sales were 5.5% lower.

So, what can Bud do to rev up sales? How about a new advertising campaign with more than 15 new television commercials and new retail displays. When the American football season begins, the new ads will inundate our television screens and it will further the beer's "Drinkability" campaign that began a year ago.

Continue reading Anheuser-Busch to introduce new beer and plenty more commercials to combat slumping sales

As economy flounders, people still drink beer

I see it most on Friday afternoons, no matter what the weather: people dressed in uniforms from blue-collar jobs, or dirty overalls, trudging down the street towards their homes, carrying a case of beer, in cans. Sometimes there will be another item in a plastic bag from the corner convenience store: a bag of potato chips, maybe. But the beer never changes.

Even more of it than last year, says MillerCoors, the U.S. combination of Molson Coors Brewing Company (NYSE: TAP) and SABMiller Plc (OTC: SBMRY). According to MillerCoors Chief Commercial Officer Tom Long, growth is slowing but, despite a recession, is slowing less than wine or spirits growth; down to 0.6% for 2009-2012 compared to 0.9% between 2004-2008. Among Miller and Coors brands showing market share growth are Miller Lite, Coors Light, Miller Genuine Draft 64, Blue Moon Beer (a craft beer), Miller High Life and Keystone Light. First quarter sales for the company were up 3.8% for profit of $68.5 million.

Continue reading As economy flounders, people still drink beer

Molson Coors Brewing serves up quarterly earnings

Although commodity cost pressures continued, Molson Coors Brewing Company (NYSE: TAP) saw its quarterly earnings climb 51% compared to a year ago. Net income excluding special items rose 46% to $216.4 million, far better than the pro forma profit of $136.6 million a year ago.

According to the brewery, five of its six focus brands saw sales to retailers increase. The lone declining brand was Miller Lite, which decreased in the mid-single digits. Coors Light saw its sales to retailers increase in the low single digits, Keystone Light saw a double-digit increase, Miller High Life saw a mid-single-digit increase, and (my wife's favorite beer) Blue Moon helped drive TAP's craft and import portfolio higher. Miller Genuine Draft saw sales to retailers increase after a decade of drops thanks to growth from MGD 64. TAP's total sales increased 3% thanks to pricing strength that offset a 2% drop in volumes. TAP expects to achieve $238 million in synergies by the end of 2009, which is higher than its original forecast of $225 million.

Continue reading Molson Coors Brewing serves up quarterly earnings

Booze Stocks: Drinkers cutting back. Will stocks follow?

Blogger Paul Kedrosky posted a fascinating Bloomberg chart showing that alcohol consumption in the U.S. has started to decline. He opines people feel so poor that they have cut back on booze -- which casts aspersions on the defensive status of booze stocks. Piqqem Sentiment on Molson (NYSE: TAP), considered the best of the brewery companies, is modestly positive with rising sentiment.

Continue reading Booze Stocks: Drinkers cutting back. Will stocks follow?

A look at Diageo's announcement

I am a big fan of Diageo (NYSE: DEO), for no other reason that the company produces this blogger's two favorite adult beverages: Guinness and Captain Morgan. I am not an investor in the company, but with the copious amount of product I have consumed in the past 14 (or so) years - I may as well be. This is why I keep taps on the company's announcements, hey, I track what I know.

Continue reading A look at Diageo's announcement

Options Update: Beverage purveyors volatility's are Flat

Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) closed at $43.29. KO is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on February 12. KO February option implied volatility of 36 is near its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) closed at $50.44. PEP is scheduled to report Q4 EPS in early February. PEP February option implied volatility of 35 is near its 26-week average of 33, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS) closed at $33.33. HANS is expected to report Q4 EPS in late February. HANS February option implied volatility is at 61, March is at 67; below its 26-week average of 72, according to Track Data, suggesting less price movement.

Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) closed at $42.93. TAP is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on February 10. February option implied volatility of 42 is near its 26-week average of 39, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Merger of beer giants all comes down to Rochester

Who knew that the fate of world beer would one day be in the hands of the beer faithful in Rochester, New York? The tastes of this blue-collar town, along with neighbors Syracuse and Buffalo, are key in the pending acquisition of Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) by Belgian giant InBev, SA. The three cities make up half of the U.S. consumption of Labatt Blue and Labatt Blue Light. Due to the popularity of Labatt brews and Budweiser brands in upstate New York, the U.S. Justice Department worries that beer prices might rise in Rochester.

So, if the acquisition is to be approved, giving Europeans control over America's iconic beer brands, InBev is being asked to sell the Labatt USA subsidiary. Other major InBev brands, including Stella Artois, Becks, and Bass, are not considered competitive enough in any markets to reduce competition between beers and provide upward pressure on prices.

Nope, it all comes down to Rochester and its surprisingly European tastes. Who would have thought?

FEMSA (FMX): South of the border for soda & beer

This post is one of six articles on beverage-related stocks. Here are five other investment ideas to sip on.

Each month in The Forbes International Investment Report, editor John Christy interviews top global stock managers. Here, Lou Gerken of Gerken Capital Associates eyes a favorite beverage play from Latin America.

The money manager explains, "Investors should take heart that there are companies they can invest in at very low valuations in emerging markets. And in the particular case of Latin America, many have U.S.-listed ADR's that have plenty of liquidity and are very accessible and cost-effective to buy.

"We think that Mexico is probably the best positioned Latin American country from a risk perspective because, obviously, with 86% exports to the U.S. it's very reliant on the U.S., but it's still seeing very healthy internal growth irrespective of what's going on in the U.S.

"A company that we like there is FEMSA (NYSE: FMX). It produces, markets and distributes Coca-Cola, Dos Equis, Tecate Beer and a lot of other beverages across Latin America. It also operates something that's very comparable to our 7-Eleven stores.

"They're called OXXO convenience stores. Very strong sales and EBITDA growth, despite the presumed slowdown that's been occurring as it relates to the U.S.contagion effect,and valued very attractively at 8 times EBITDA."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

InBev raises bid, makes Anheuser-Busch an offer it can't refuse

InBev, the Belgian brewer, today hiked its unsolicited bid for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) by a whopping $5 a share, making it all but certain that the King of Beers will sell -- unless members of the board of directors have spent too much time sampling their own product.

The $50 billion offer represents a substantial premium over where Anheuser-Busch has recently traded. InBev clearly wants to avoid the hostile takeover it's threatened. It has vowed to keep its U.S. operations based in the company's hometown of St. Louis. The average drinker of Budweiser probably will not notice a difference in the taste of their favorite brew, which may or may not be a good thing depending on one's beer snobbery.

Shareholders, including Warren Buffett, are ready to head to the exits. The stock, which is up 17% this year, is trading up in pre-market trading. The company has little choice but to take the bid. No other logical buyers exist and I would be surprised if private equity players would be willing to top InBev's offer.

About the only potential losers in this acquisition may be media companies.

Continue reading InBev raises bid, makes Anheuser-Busch an offer it can't refuse

Booze a defensive play in a bear market

Bad news in the market means good news for Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) which manufactures and markets spirits, wines and beers under a variety of labels. Brands include Robert Mondavi wines, Corona beer and Black Velvet whiskey. When the economy is good, folks drink to celebrate. When the economy starts to tank, people drink to commiserate. Constellation benefits either way. The company just released 1Q 2009 results. Profits jumped 50%! Diluted (no pun intended) EPS was $0.20, up from $0.13 in 1Q 2008. Consoldiated net sales increased 3%, with wine sales up 15% and spirit sales, led by vodka, up 9%. Constellation offloaded several lower profit margin lines including Almaden and Inglenook wines, and added higher product margin line wines Clos du Bois and Wild Horse.

Investors, whether drinkers or tea-totalers, like the numbers. The stock is up over 5% in the last two days, closing on July 2nd at $21.22

Anheuser-Busch (BUD) to shareholders: This deal is not for you

It's been about two weeks since InBev NV made its blockbuster $46.3 billion bid for rival Anheuser-Busch Cos Inc (NYSE: BUD). Yes, the silence has been deafening. And, of course, the rumors have been rampant.

In fact, InBev has been getting antsy. For example, this week the company reaffirmed its bid (it's the third letter from InBev's CEO, Carlos Brito).

There is also a lending group ready to pull the trigger. The banks include: Banco Santander, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, Barclays Capital, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, Fortis, ING Bank, JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM), Mizuho Corporate Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland.

But, according to the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it looks like the company's board is close to making an announcement. Although, it appears that the company will reject the deal. Essentially, Anheuser-Busch thinks the deal is too cheap.

That may be the case. But there's a problem: who can pay a higher price for the company?

Interestingly enough, it appears that Anheuser-Busch will make some restructuring moves (such as selling non-core assets). But why didn't it do this several years ago?

The fact remains that the company doesn't have a viable alternative – that is, unless InBev wants to bid against itself. But why?

Instead, it's a good bet that InBev will go directly to shareholders and pull off a hostile bid. In such a move, it will certainly put lots of pressure on Anheuser-Busch – which has few defenses – and perhaps get a deal done fairly quickly.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Anheuser-Busch feels the heat from InBev

This Bud may not be for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) for much longer.

InBev, the Belgian mega brewer, has told the King of Beers that it won't wait forever for it to make up its mind about whether to accept its unsolicited $46.3 billion offer. In the third and probably not the last letter to Anheuser-Busch CEO August Busch IV, InBev CEO Carlos Brito points out that his company's offer, which represents an 18% premium on its all-time high in 2002, is a generous one.

"The market reaction to our proposal has been extremely positive," Brito writes. "We believe this confirms our view that our proposal is the best way to achieve this transformational combination for all constituents."

InBev has already lined up financing for its $65 per share offer and has even paid about $50 million in commitment fees to its bankers. Budweiser's long-time headquarters in St. Louis will be maintained as will its senior management team. It does not get any better than this for a company about to be acquired.

Continue reading Anheuser-Busch feels the heat from InBev

Anheuser-Busch (BUD) tries to save itself with merger, a Yahoo!-like move

Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) wants to stay out of the hands of potential acquirer InBev. It seems willing to go to great lengths to do that. Shareholders of the brewery may get crushed in the process.

To get itself out of its jam, Anheuser-Busch has approached Grupo Modelo, the big Mexican brewer, about a merger. The American company already owns about half of the Modelo. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Acquiring the rest of the Mexican brewer could make the combined company too expensive for InBev."

A Modelo deal may help the Busch family keep their jobs, but the shareholders will almost certainly get hammered.

The InBev offer for the company is $65. Looking at a chart of Anheuser-Busch shares going back to 1983, the stock has never traded anywhere near that level.

In some ways the Anheuser-Busch move looks like Yahoo!'s (NASDAQ: YHOO) rejection of the Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) buy-out offer. Shareholders are never going to get this kind of premium again. The "founders" get to stay in charge.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: November 08, 2009: 10:30 PM

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