Who knew that the fate of world beer would one day be in the hands of the beer faithful in Rochester, New York? The tastes of this blue-collar town, along with neighbors Syracuse and Buffalo, are key in the pending acquisition of Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) by Belgian giant InBev, SA. The three cities make up half of the U.S. consumption of Labatt Blue and Labatt Blue Light. Due to the popularity of Labatt brews and Budweiser brands in upstate New York, the U.S. Justice Department worries that beer prices might rise in Rochester.
So, if the acquisition is to be approved, giving Europeans control over America's iconic beer brands, InBev is being asked to sell the Labatt USA subsidiary. Other major InBev brands, including Stella Artois, Becks, and Bass, are not considered competitive enough in any markets to reduce competition between beers and provide upward pressure on prices.
Nope, it all comes down to Rochester and its surprisingly European tastes. Who would have thought?
The money manager explains, "Investors should take heart that there are companies they can invest in at very low valuations in emerging markets. And in the particular case of Latin America, many have U.S.-listed ADR's that have plenty of liquidity and are very accessible and cost-effective to buy.
"We think that Mexico is probably the best positioned Latin American country from a risk perspective because, obviously, with 86% exports to the U.S. it's very reliant on the U.S., but it's still seeing very healthy internal growth irrespective of what's going on in the U.S.
"A company that we like there is FEMSA (NYSE: FMX). It produces, markets and distributes Coca-Cola, Dos Equis, Tecate Beer and a lot of other beverages across Latin America. It also operates something that's very comparable to our 7-Eleven stores.
"They're called OXXO convenience stores. Very strong sales and EBITDA growth, despite the presumed slowdown that's been occurring as it relates to the U.S.contagion effect,and valued very attractively at 8 times EBITDA."
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
InBev, the Belgian brewer, today hiked its unsolicited bid for Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) by a whopping $5 a share, making it all but certain that the King of Beers will sell -- unless members of the board of directors have spent too much time sampling their own product.
The $50 billion offer represents a substantial premium over where Anheuser-Busch has recently traded. InBev clearly wants to avoid the hostile takeover it's threatened. It has vowed to keep its U.S. operations based in the company's hometown of St. Louis. The average drinker of Budweiser probably will not notice a difference in the taste of their favorite brew, which may or may not be a good thing depending on one's beer snobbery.
Shareholders, including Warren Buffett, are ready to head to the exits. The stock, which is up 17% this year, is trading up in pre-market trading. The company has little choice but to take the bid. No other logical buyers exist and I would be surprised if private equity players would be willing to top InBev's offer.
About the only potential losers in this acquisition may be media companies.
Bad news in the market means good news for Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) which manufactures and markets spirits, wines and beers under a variety of labels. Brands include Robert Mondavi wines, Corona beer and Black Velvet whiskey. When the economy is good, folks drink to celebrate. When the economy starts to tank, people drink to commiserate. Constellation benefits either way. The company just released 1Q 2009 results. Profits jumped 50%! Diluted (no pun intended) EPS was $0.20, up from $0.13 in 1Q 2008. Consoldiated net sales increased 3%, with wine sales up 15% and spirit sales, led by vodka, up 9%. Constellation offloaded several lower profit margin lines including Almaden and Inglenook wines, and added higher product margin line wines Clos du Bois and Wild Horse.
Investors, whether drinkers or tea-totalers, like the numbers. The stock is up over 5% in the last two days, closing on July 2nd at $21.22
It's been about two weeks since InBev NV made its blockbuster $46.3 billion bid for rival Anheuser-Busch Cos Inc (NYSE: BUD). Yes, the silence has been deafening. And, of course, the rumors have been rampant.
In fact, InBev has been getting antsy. For example, this week the company reaffirmed its bid (it's the third letter from InBev's CEO, Carlos Brito).
There is also a lending group ready to pull the trigger. The banks include: Banco Santander, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, Barclays Capital, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, Fortis, ING Bank, JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM), Mizuho Corporate Bank and Royal Bank of Scotland.
But, according to the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication], it looks like the company's board is close to making an announcement. Although, it appears that the company will reject the deal. Essentially, Anheuser-Busch thinks the deal is too cheap.
That may be the case. But there's a problem: who can pay a higher price for the company?
Interestingly enough, it appears that Anheuser-Busch will make some restructuring moves (such as selling non-core assets). But why didn't it do this several years ago?
The fact remains that the company doesn't have a viable alternative – that is, unless InBev wants to bid against itself. But why?
Instead, it's a good bet that InBev will go directly to shareholders and pull off a hostile bid. In such a move, it will certainly put lots of pressure on Anheuser-Busch – which has few defenses – and perhaps get a deal done fairly quickly.
InBev, the Belgian mega brewer, has told the King of Beers that it won't wait forever for it to make up its mind about whether to accept its unsolicited $46.3 billion offer. In the third and probably not the last letter to Anheuser-Busch CEO August Busch IV, InBev CEO Carlos Brito points out that his company's offer, which represents an 18% premium on its all-time high in 2002, is a generous one.
"The market reaction to our proposal has been extremely positive," Brito writes. "We believe this confirms our view that our proposal is the best way to achieve this transformational combination for all constituents."
InBev has already lined up financing for its $65 per share offer and has even paid about $50 million in commitment fees to its bankers. Budweiser's long-time headquarters in St. Louis will be maintained as will its senior management team. It does not get any better than this for a company about to be acquired.
Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) wants to stay out of the hands of potential acquirer InBev. It seems willing to go to great lengths to do that. Shareholders of the brewery may get crushed in the process.
To get itself out of its jam, Anheuser-Busch has approached Grupo Modelo, the big Mexican brewer, about a merger. The American company already owns about half of the Modelo. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Acquiring the rest of the Mexican brewer could make the combined company too expensive for InBev."
A Modelo deal may help the Busch family keep their jobs, but the shareholders will almost certainly get hammered.
The InBev offer for the company is $65. Looking at a chart of Anheuser-Busch shares going back to 1983, the stock has never traded anywhere near that level.
In some ways the Anheuser-Busch move looks like Yahoo!'s (NASDAQ: YHOO) rejection of the Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) buy-out offer. Shareholders are never going to get this kind of premium again. The "founders" get to stay in charge.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
When I heard that the CEO of Miller Brewing Co. said Thursday he sees a trend of consumers buying cheaper beers, I was wondering whether consumers might also be switching not just from more expensive beers to cheaper ones, but from more expensive alcoholic drinks to beer, which tends to be cheaper.
Unfortunately for Miller, for which its parent SABMiller PLC reported earnings Thursday, so far the increase in sales of more economic beers has been at the expense of the more expensive ones. So my theory isn't much of one after all. I guess that food and gas still have a higher priority than beer, and we all know how much the price of these have risen lately.
Back in August, I wrote about the 23 state attorneys general that were taking a look at alcoholic energy drinks, concerned that consumers weren't being warned about the dangers of mixing caffeine with beer. Studies have shown that caffeine can lead intoxicated individuals to believe that they are well enough to drive, and can also mask some of the symptoms, fooling those around them as well.
Now Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) has received subpoenas from New York, Maine, Maryland, Arizona, and Iowa while SABMiller Plc. has received subpoenas for documents from Illinois, New York, Iowa, Maine, and Maryland.
In one of the more idiotic defenses I've seen in awhile, Anheuser-Busch released a statement saying that "If the Attorneys General truly believe that, despite the state and federal regulatory approvals, alcohol and caffeine should not be mixed, then they should use their powers to persuade these authorities to regulate or ban all such beverages, not just the lower-alcohol, prepackaged ones,"
What? Isn't that kind of like saying that the police shouldn't crack down on people selling crystal meth because you can buy all the products you need at the grocery store? Not that I would know ... but if Anheuser-Busch is marketing a product that contains a chemical combination that is more dangerous than the sum of the parts and consumers aren't aware of that, it's worth investigating.
When I first saw the story in The Wall Street Journal(subscription required) that Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) planned to sell lime-flavored Bud Light, I thought the king of beers had gotten a little soft in the head. Then I feared for the country when I learned that rival SABMiller Plc. (LON: SAB) is gaining sales with a revolting-sounding beverage called Miller Chill which the Journal described as a "lime-and-salt-flavored light lager modeled after Mexican concoctions know as micheladas."
It seems that at some point in the 1980s or 1990s, people no longer drank beer just because they were thirsty. Instead, they needed to make a lifestyle choice. Smart, sophisticated people needed to show how cool they were by drinking overpriced imports or microbrews. I was not immune to the marketing of the time and wound up drinking a few brews with limes wedged into them until I learned better.
Former advertising executive John Greening, who did work for Anheuser-Busch, raised a more serious issue, pointing out, "their hot hand has always been Bud Light. This takes the attention away from the hot hand."
Already the leading seller of wine in the U.S., Costco (NASDAQ: COST) has applied to sell its own brand of beer. The beer, to be brewed by California crafter Gordon Biersch Brewing Company, will come in pale ale, hefeweizen, amber ale, and lager varieties.
With Trader Joe's-branded varieties of beer and wine already a staple at the parties I attend here in Portland, I wonder if this move will be a major market force in the premium beer market. (Gordon Biersch produces beer for Trader Joe's, already.) All of the big brewers have recently been making forays into premium brews as a reaction to the growing influence of smaller breweries like Sam Adams and Sierra Nevada, as well as the groundswell of regional microbreweries. Craft beer made up 3.6% of the U.S. market in 2006; but had grown by 31.5% over the 2003-2006 period, as opposed to low-single-digit growth in the beer market as a whole.
It is increasingly obvious to a substantial segment of the population that neither Bud nor Miller tastes great. The production of high volume, high quality Costco-branded beer will only magnify that realization and could be a serious challenge to the market dominance the large breweries have enjoyed for several decades. As for Costco? The company's obvious success in wine means it should find an easy time convincing its customers to become regular drinkers of Kirkland Ale and perhaps provide a good avenue for bottom line earnings growth.
Mattel announced that its fourth-quarter profit rose 15% despite the negative publicity over recalls of millions of Chinese-made toys. Tax gains and strong international sales of Hot Wheels and other toys helped offset the cost of the recalls.
Net income grew to $328.5 million, or 89 cents per share, in the period ending in December, from $286.4 million, or 75 cents per share, in the same quarter of the previous year. Revenue rose 4%, to $2.19 billion, from the year-ago period. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected earnings per share of 73 cents on revenue of $2.13 billion.
For 2007, Mattel posted a profit of $600 million, or $1.54 per share, compared with a profit of $592.9 million, or $1.53 per share in 2006. Net sales totaled $5.97 billion in 2007, up 6% from $5.65 billion in 2006
On Thursday, Mattel shares rose 10.9% to close at $21.01. That's up from the 52-week low of $16.42 a couple of weeks ago.
In the competitive brewing business, sometimes it's just hard to play nice. Over the weekend, Miller Brewing Co. -- a subsidiary of SAB Miller -- launched what appears to be a potential salvo in a ramped-up version of the "beer wars" of yesteryear.
A new commercial for Miller Lite, which debuted during football games and NASCAR events, uses the iconic Dalmatian-and-Clydesdale image -- used for decades by Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) -- to pay tribute to its own number-two product. The Clydesdale-drawn wagon features a sign advertising "Miller Lite. Half the carbs of Bud Light." At the end of the commercial, the dog exits the wagon for a Miller truck, which speeds away.
BUD advertising officials were quick to respond, taking out a full-page-ad in yesterday's USA Today, imploring Miller to "keep up the bad work." Launching back, Miller representatives revealed plans to continue hammering home the facts that Miller Lite has "fewer carbs and more taste."
A New Zealand brewer that had a laptop stolen has come up with an interesting way to get it back: Free beer for life!
Croucher Brewing, a New Zealand microbrewery, had its laptop stolen as a result of what the owner called "opportunistic kids and a flimsy padlock".
Assuming it was kids who stole the laptop, it should be returned for the beer sometime very soon. The owner estimates the value of the beer at around $19,500, but it could be considerably more for a strapping frat boy. Either way, the owner says its worth it because the laptop contains all the company's accounting data and label designs for future products.
Since it doesn't appear to have been returned yet, it seems likely that the kid who stole it has already sold it. If so, he will remember his crime everytime he buys a beer for the rest of his life. That could be worse punishment than a jail sentence.
In an effort to fight back against shifting consumer trends to spirits and wine, the Wall Street Journal reported that Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP) has created a new subsidiary to "introduce above-premium beers to the marketplace," according to an email sent to beer wholesalers last week.
The move comes at a time when the American beer business is facing considerable headwinds, including slower growth due to upscale "craft" beers and a strong push for market share by imports. Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD), the largest American beer maker, and SABMiller PLC's (NYSE: SAB) Miller Brewing Co., the second-largest, have already introduced new beverages to combat these headwinds.