Continue reading No. 5: Rich people don't invest in complex instruments they don't understand

No. 5: Rich people don't invest in complex instruments they don't understand originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 04 Dec 2008 06:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

On October 9, the S&P 500 index rose 12.57 points to close at a record high of 1565.15. The move was attributed to the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's September 18 meeting that indicated the central bank wasn't seeing any broad-based weakness in the U.S. economy.

But based on the performance of the overall market and various sectors since then, it seems that investors didn't necessarily buy into what policymakers said.

Over the course of 10 weeks, the benchmark measure has fallen by 6.9%, hurt by growing turbulence in credit markets and heightened fears over the health of the consumer and the state of the economy.

At the same time, some of the best performing groups have been those that often hold their own when investors are worried about the future. From the early October market peak, both the consumer staples and the utility sectors have gained 3.9%.

The big losers over the span: financials and consumer discretionary shares, which have lost 18.6% and 12.6%, respectively.

While it is still possible that the Fed's relatively sanguine views about the economy could prove correct, recent developments serve as a useful reminder when it comes to gauging which way share prices are headed, don't believe everything you hear!

Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes and The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle.

Don't believe everything you hear ... not even from the Fed originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 17 Dec 2007 13:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Jefferies is positive on Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG) over the longer term given the company's robust earnings growth potential and strong cash flow prospects, and started shares with a Buy.

• Flextronics (NASDAQ: FLEX) was assumed with a Buy rating at Banc of America, who called the proposed acquisition of Solectron (SLR) a positive.

• Friedman Billings believes TradeStation's (NASDAQ: TRAD) unique platform differentiates it from the competition and gives it a sustained advantage, starting shares with an Outperform.

• Ferris Baker Watts initiated Assisted Living (NYSE: ALC) with a Buy rating, calling shares attractive...

• Banc of America assumed Benchmark Electronics (NYSE: BHE) and Flextronics with Buy ratings as well as Celestica (CLS, target $6), Plexus (NASDAQ: PLXS), Solectron, Sanmina-SCI Corp (NASDAQ: SANM) with Neutral ratings.

Analyst initiations 7-12-07: CELG, CLS, FLEX and SANM originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Jul 2007 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Credit Suisse initiated coverage of the EMS sector with an Underweight. The firm believes the industry is burdened with overcapacity in high-cost manufacturing regions, with hyper competition, allowing for no pricing power.
  
• The analyst initiated Flextronics International Ltd (NASDAQ: FLEX) with an Outperform rating.
  
• Benchmark Electronics, Inc (NYSE: BHE), Jabil Circuit, Inc (NYSE: JBL), Plexus Corp (NASDAQ: PLXS) and Sanmina-SCI Corp (NASDAQ: SANM) were started with Neutral ratings.
• Celestica Inc (NYSE: CLS) and Solectron Corp (NYSE: SLR) were initiated with Underperform ratings.
  

• Nollenberger initiated Chico's FAS, Inc (NYSE: CHS), Cache, Inc (NASDAQ: CACH) and AnnTaylor Stores Corp (NYSE: ANN) with Neutral ratings.
  
• Nollenberger also started coverage of Bebe Stores, Inc (NASDAQ: BEBE) and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) with Buy ratings.

Analyst initiations: AEO, ANN, BEBE, CHS and FLEX originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 May 2007 11:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.