Who else but supreme optimists would buy stock in a drug maker facing more than 27,000 lawsuits regarding Vioxx, not including the Pennsylvania woman who recently dropped hers? Their faith that Merck will beat these cases is evident in the stock price.
Shares of Merck have jumped more than 39% over the past year, outperforming Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) Novartis AG (NYSE:NVS) and Schering-Plough Corp. (NYSE:SGP). Granted, beating Pfizer isn't that much of a victory, but still, that's a decent move.
Wall Street, which is awaiting Merck's fourth quarter results Jan. 30, expects the stock to climb further. The median target for Wall Street analysts is $48.50, according to Thomson Financial. Opinion, though, remains divided. Eleven analysts consider the shares either a strong buy or buy, 10 rate it a hold, and 3 a sell.
Merck has already said earnings this year are going to be lackluster and Wall Street is taking the company at its word. Analysts are forecasting earnings of 50 cents on sales of $5.38 billion, according to Thomson Financial. A year earlier, the company had a profit of 64 cents and revenue of $5.77 billion.
As Douglas McIntyre pointed out, Merck needs to convince investors that it's not Pfizer in the wake of that company's failed anti-cholesterol drugs. The Whitehouse, New Jersey-based company said last month that it will seek approvals for three important drugs this year and would have four more drugs in late-stage trials by mid-2007.
Also check out some other earnings reports that we're following, and let us know your thoughts on earnings expectations.
America's 10 Highest-Paid CEOs of 2011 (and How They Earned It)
What Happened When Alex Kenjeev Paid His Student Loan in Cash

