Bloomberg News took a recent poll of its subscribers. Here are some highlights of the survey:

• Only 31% of investors saw investment opportunities in the stock market, down from 35% in the July survey.
• Worldwide, investors see the U.S. as the weakest link in the world economy. Twenty five percent of respondents see an unemployment rate of 11% in the U.S. next year.
• Respondents see China and India as the most promising markets and commodities are the asset of choice.
• Real Estate and bonds are out of favor, with 40% saying that bonds will have the worst returns over the next year.

As you walk by the corner of East 59th Street and Fifth Avenue, it's hard to miss Manhattan's temple to retail tech. The Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) store stands out amid the older, more traditional stores in the area -- both for its giant glass cube and what happens when you descend into it. So, is it so hard to believe that Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) move into the space could be successful?

At the turn of the century, the notion of Apple stores was mocked, with BusinessWeek proclaiming in May 2001, "Sorry, Steve: Here's Why Apple Stores Won't Work." Of course, it turns out BusinessWeek is what doesn't work, as evidenced by its recent acquisition by Bloomberg.

When the financial crisis really got into full swing, a lot of banks ended up taking TARP money. Some banks needed it, and some banks were forced by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to take it.

Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) was one of those banks that was forced to take TARP money, and now it is making plans to pay the TARP money back.

Here's the interesting thing though. While many of the larger banks have paid the TARP money back, Wells Fargo says it is going to pay the money back without having to go out and raise additional funds for the bank -- something other large banks, like Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS), didn't do.

Need another 'green shoot' to bolster your investment sentiment? Try this one: confidence in the global economy surged to a 22-month high in August on signs the worst global recession since the end of World War II is nearing an end.

The Bloomberg Professional Global Confidence Index soared to 58.12 this month from 39.13 in July. The survey sampled more than 2,300 Bloomberg users August 3-7.

The recession has led to belt-tightening all around, including tax increases and spending cuts to balance state and local budgets.

Further, the City of New York, under the leadership of Mayor Michael Bloomberg, has done a pretty good job closing its budget deficit, while maintaining essential public services.

What does it mean when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) considers issuing bonds to raise cash? Obviously, the organization would be seeking more money to pursue its agenda, but what else could be inferred by this? How would the dynamics of world economic power wielding be affected? What effect could this have on the natural ebb and flow of free market capitalism? How would U.S. Treasuries be affected?

This possible bond issue was examined recently by Bloomberg.com. The Bloomberg article points to what I think is the most significant aspect that an IMF bond issue would present. I'm concerned that IMF bonds would directly compete with U.S. Treasury bonds. That possibility is fodder for a great deal of speculation.

Bestselling author and financial markets guru Nassim Nichola Taleb has a novel idea: Try to make the US economy as different from Bernie Madoff as we can.

Speaking on Bloomberg Television, Taleb said that "We want economic life to be organized to be as distant from that Madoff model as we can." The private equity industry is Ponzi-like because "you rely on new investors to pay off the other ones," Taleb said. "The stock market has some mild Ponzi characteristics. We have to make sure that innocent people are not harmed by this Ponzi-attribute."

Ah. Well that's the role of the SEC, right? Wrong.

"Regulators are fundamentally dumb," Taleb added. "Traders will go around them. I want the system where regulators can be stupid without you and I being harmed by it."

If we're going to try to move away from the Madoff model of economic policy, there are quite a few places we could start, but this one's my favorite: The United States government is buying cars from General Motors (NYSE: GM) to help the company demonstrate viability and secure more government loans.

Or we could take the principled stance and admit that what Madoff is doing isn't different from what Wall Street and the government dose everyday with little fanfare -- and let him get back to work.

Poor Steve Jobs! He recently asked a Bloomberg reporter: "Why don't you guys leave me alone?" In addition to having some vague health problems which require him to take a leave of absence from his position as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) CEO, Apple's disclosure about Jobs's health is now under review by the SEC. Unfortunately for Jobs, the SEC cannot treat the CEO of a public company the same as it might an actress, such as Greta Garbo, who famously said, " I want to be left alone."

To bring any case, the SEC would probably have to show Apple tried to benefit by withholding information about an unambiguous diagnosis. In other words, it looks like there may be some legal wiggle room for Apple in the way they communicated Jobs' health challenges.

But after months of rumors, a few weeks ago Jobs said he would remain CEO while seeking a "relatively simple" treatment for a hormonal imbalance. Nine days later, Jobs said he would take a five-month medical leave after learning his health issues were "more complex."

Meanwhile, Apple is scheduled to report earnings after the market closes this afternoon.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

The media has been filled with reports about how poorly the advertising at The New York Times Company (NYSE: NYT) has been doing. The company has $400 million in debt due next year. It is trying to sell its part of the parent company of The Boston Red Sox. NYT is even attempting to mortgage its headquarters building.

Bringing in new money won't do much long-term if revenue keeps falling. Cutting costs would.

One of the sections of The New York Times that must be costly to run is its business section. Looking at all the bylines, the staff must be in the dozens. But, a great deal of what runs in the business pages is not unique. Most of its is covered by Reuters, Bloomberg, FT, or The Wall Street Journal.

As the cost of being in the news business stays high and revenue drops, networks are pooling reporting resources. Newspapers are sharing coverage of certain geographic areas. Websites such as Politico are offering newspapers coverage of Washington to save money on having bureaus following the federal government.

The New York Times might be better off if it cut a deal with Bloomberg or the FT to handle its business section. The paper would still be competitive with The Wall Street Journal, and the move might be the start of a system to save a lot more money by doing something similar with other parts of the Times.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.

This post is part of our feature on Money Winners of 2008. See them all.

In Michael Bloomberg, you're dealing not just with a person, but with a brand.

Bloomberg, of course, in 1982 founded what is now Bloomberg LLP, the firm that runs Bloomberg News, a financial news service that competes with Reuters, Dow Jones, and News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) to provide breaking news, features, data, and analytics, among other products, to financial players worldwide.

Bloomberg ingeniously developed a product that essentially aggregated, summarized, and presented financial market data at a time when financial institutions -- particularly bond market participants -- were ripe for such a product, and along with editor and former Wall Street Journal reporter Matt Winkler, built a financial news empire known for its speed, accuracy, and comprehensive coverage of the markets.

Bloomberg's reward for the above, in monetary terms? About $20 billion in estimated net worth, good for eighth place on Forbes magazine's 400 Richest Americans list.

Most Americans like Barack Obama even though they don't think he will do them much good.

According to a Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll, more than half of respondents say that the president-elect will not be able to help their personal finances. Almost seven in 10 expect Obama to accomplish only a few of his campaign goals.

Perhaps their cynicism is justified. All of the available data indicates that the economy is going to get worse. Retail sales are expected to be dismal this holiday season. Housing probably will not bottom until next year at the earliest.

Interestingly, people are willing to give Obama the benefit of the doubt. People who responded to the poll say Obama makes them feel "hopeful," "optimistic" and "proud," which is incredible. People know the economy is bad, so bad that they believe a man with limited experience in Washington can do a better job than the president who has lead the country for the past eight years.

"Outside of the economy, Americans rate the Iraq War, followed by health care, as the most pressing issues, with energy and tax cuts trailing," Bloomberg says. "And more than two-thirds trust the president-elect on national security, even though he was criticized for his lack of experience in that area during the campaign."

We are living in interesting times.

Want a classic example of how the real estate slump is affecting not only the construction industry and home owners, but also states and municipalities, as well?

Consider the plight of the nation's largest city, the City of New York.

Wall Street's mortgage losses have ballooned to such a degree that some firms may pay small or no taxes for years, Bloomberg News reported. That's right: no taxes for years.

Rising tax revenues, no more

For much of the current decade, indeed for much of the 1990s as well, the city could count on rising tax revenue from Wall Street firms -- based on increased securities industry business -- as a starting point for the city's budget. Not now: the city, which derives about 20% of its revenue from Wall Street businesses, is projecting a decline in revenue from Wall Street firms -- a contraction that is expected to widen the this year's $1.5 budget deficit in fiscal 2009 to $2.3 billion next year, fiscal 2010, and then to $5.96 billion in fiscal 2011 budget deficit, Bloomberg News reported. The city's budget for fiscal 2009 is $59.1 billion.

The Wall Street recession has put the social service goals of Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg on hold, for the most part. Bloomberg has already asked city department and agency heads to implement a 6.4% spending cut; he will likely ask department heads to identify other cost savings of up to 3%, should revenues continue to come in below projections.

The timing of the Thomson-Reuters merger could not have been worse as many of their biggest customers on Wall Street are struggling. Now, Thomson Reuters Corporation (NYSE: TRI) is trying to make the best of a bad situation. Investors may like what they are seeing today but they won't over the long term.

Shares of Thomson Reuters are trading up even though the financial information company reported disappointing earnings. The stock is rallying following an earlier sell-off. Revenue was $3.13 billion, a 73% rise but short of the $3.32 billion analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News expected. The results benefited from the merger. Earnings were $172 million, or 22 cents per share, down from $375 million, or 58 cents per share a year earlier.

Chief Executive Tom Glocer told reporters that financial services markets "are likely to remain challenging through at least the end of the year." That means that big clients are going to be asking for big discounts. Bloomberg, my former employer and the company's biggest rival, has usually been able to resist this temptation.

It is not right to say that management misleads investors. That is too crass.

But the coarse language may come out when Wall Street talks about what Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) did today. After the bell, MER "said it expects to take a $5.7 billion pretax write-down in the third quarter due to losses on the sale of mortgage assets and plans to raise at least $8.5 billion by selling new common shares," according to Reuters. Well over $3 billion of that will come from Singapore's Temasek Holdings. It put some money into Merrill before, and this evening's news may have left it with a bad taste. But it stepped up anyway, probably to protect the cash it had already put in.

The trouble is this. John Thain, Merrill's CEO, has kept saying that the worst was behind the company. He said he had engineered a solution by selling Merrill's stake in Bloomberg and by taking what were supposed to be the lion's share of the writedowns last quarter. Thain's credibility bled out onto the floor late today.

The SEC will get to take something away from today. Merrill's stock began to sell off sharply at about 11 AM. By the end of the day, it was down over 11%. Someone knew something when they should not have.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Reuters reports that today is a big one for bank and technology earnings. It looks like Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) will lose big and will try to soften the blow with an announcement about selling its 20% of Bloomberg LP for $4.5 billion to its founder, New York mayor, Michael Bloomberg. JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and a handful of big technology companies are expected to report profits. But will they be enough?

Meanwhile, how can we make sense of yesterday's 276 point rally on Wall Street? Nobody knows what happened, but theories abound: the price of oil fell -- possibly due to anticipation that the Fed would raise interest rates to deal with inflation that is roaring out of control. Higher interest rates would strengthen the dollar, which would drive down the price of oil since it's traded in dollars. But I think yesterday's market was a short-covering frenzy. With the SEC foolishly squeezing the shorts, they needed to cover their bets that financials would fall further. Of course good news from Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) didn't hurt.

Today's earnings -- with estimates courtesy of a Reuters analyst survey -- are likely to move the market. Here's a roundup:

• Merrill Lynch is expected to lose $1.94
• JPMorgan was expected to make $0.44, down 63% from 2007. At a Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4 and a P/E of 12 on earnings forecast to grow 31% to $3.34 in 2009, it looks cheap. CNNMoney reports it made 54 cents -- well ahead of expectations and its shares are up 5% in premarket.
• Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) will earn 47 cents a share, a 21% increase from last year. At a PEG ratio of 1.1 and a P/E of 15 on earnings forecast to grow 14.3% to $2.16 in 2009, it looks reasonably priced.