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Best Stocks for 2008: Forbes expert banks on MBIA (MBI) and AMBAC (ABK)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite picks for 2008 are two monoline bond insurers: MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) and AMBAC (NYSE: ABK)," says Richard Lehmann, editor of The Forbes Lehmann Income Securities Investor.

"These two companies have been heavily shorted by speculators because of their exposure to subprime mortgage defaults. At current pricing, they are selling at half book value and only three times earnings.

"The reason for current concern is that they will lose their AAA credit enhancement ratings and therefore their ability to conduct new business, something I don't think is likely because there are various remedies to forestall such an event.

"For 2008, the demand for their services should grow substantially since the reliance by lenders on credit ratings alone has been seriously eroded. Also, their insurance of CMOs and CDOs only protect the most senior tier of a multi-tiered debt instrument, so their loss exposure is very marginal and years off.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Forbes expert banks on MBIA (MBI) and AMBAC (ABK)

Best Stocks for 2008: Home run or crash for Ambac (ABK)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"Ambac Financial Group (NYSE: ABK) is my top high-risk speculation for 2008," says Kelley Wright, editor of Investment QualityTrends. "The company is the second largest municipal bond insurer and a major player in other types of financial guarantees and investment management services.

"Ambac primarily insures newly issued bonds, which guarantees payment of principal and interest to the bond insured. Of more concern to Wall Street, however, is the Specialized Finance division, which has significant exposure to the structured, asset-backed and mortgage-backed finance markets in the US and abroad.

"ABK shares have fallen dramatically, down as much as 70% year to date. This decline is due to investor concerns that losses on credit derivatives tied to residential mortgages and related obligations will deplete ABK's capital base to the point where the company will have to raise additional (and most likely dilutive) capital to maintain its top-tier financial strength rating.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Home run or crash for Ambac (ABK)

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 07:42 AM

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