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America's big companies have a lot of cash

Recent data suggests that America's largest industrial companies are piling up cash. The New York Times reports: "According to S.& P., the total cash held by companies in its industrial index exceeded $600 billion in February, up from about $203 billion in 1998."

That is good news if the money does something other than sit in the bank. A number of very large companies like Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) don't need anywhere near the tons of greenbacks in their accounts and they add more every quarter.

The money probably has two potential uses. One is to buy other companies -- as the market falls, there are going to be more deals at lower prices. Of course, many deals don't work. Some of these will fail to find economies of scale and lead to write-offs like the Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) buyout of Guidant. Everyone lost as the BSX shares fell apart.

The second option is that companies could just do the simple thing and turn the cash back to shareholders. Everyone wins and it is hard to screw up a big one-time dividend.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

Analyst initiations: Medical supples and devices sector, EWBC, TPX and ABH

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The medical supplies and devices sector, East West Bancorp, Tempur Pedic and AbitibiBowater were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Credit Suisse initiated the medical supplies and devices sector with a Market Weight rating and started shares of Edwards Lifesciences (NYSE: EW) and Becton, Dickinson and Co (NYSE: BDX) with Outperform ratings and Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) and Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) with Neutral ratings.
  • East West Bancorp (NASDAQ: EWBC) was initiated with a Buy rating and $36 target at B. Riley; the firm's target implies a 23.1% potential total return over the next twelve months including the stock's 1.35% dividend yield.
  • Tempur Pedic (NYSE: TPX) was started with an Outperform rating at William Blair, as they find the current valuation attractive for long-term investor given the company's strong position in the specialty sleep products.
  • Deutsche Bank resumed coverage of AbitibiBowater (NYSE: ABH) with a Hold rating and $29 target, citing the strength of the Canadian dollar and difficult newsprint fundamentals.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Boston Scientific unit sale digs it out of hole

Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) is a company in trouble. It spent too much for medical device company Guidant, leaving it with $8.3 billion in debt. And sales of its drug-coated stents have been hurt by clotting problems. The company lost $272 million in the last quarter.

The combination of high debt and poor earnings has done a great deal of damage to the stock. The company's shares are down about 22% this year.

Boston Scientific has come up with a simple plan, which is to sell itself off in pieces until its debt comes down to a level that it can service. Today, the company sold its cardiac surgery and vascular surgery units for $750 million. The buyer was Getinge, a Swedish company. The two units were part of Guidant.

The announcement is another example of the hideous cycle that begins when companies overreach. From late 2003 to early 2005, before BSX bought Guidant and took on mountains of debt, its shares moved from $13 to $35. Earnings were strong and shareholders were happy. But BSX management could not resist buying another medical device company and got into a brutal bidding war with Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), which pushed the price of Guidant to an irrational level.

Now, Boston Scientific can sell off what it bought, but probably at a lower price.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Analyst downgrades: AKH, BHP, AZN, BRCM and SVVS

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Air France, BHP Billiton, AstraZeneca, Broadcom and Savvis were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Goldman removed shares of Air France (NYSE: AKH) from its Conviction Buy List due to the increase in the price of fuel and the possibility of an economic slowdown.
  • Goldman downgraded BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) to Neutral from Buy and removed the stock from its Pan-Europe Buy List due to valuation.
  • Merrill Lynch downgraded shares of AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) to Sell from Neutral to reflect increased competition from generic-drug makers, a poor pipeline and slow earnings growth.
  • Wachovia downgraded shares of Broadcom Corporation (NASDAQ: BRCM) to Hold from Buy to reflect valuation and the company's lower than expected Q3 results. Shares were also lowered to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  • Stanford lowered Savvis (NASDAQ: SVVS) to Hold from Buy and notes that the company's Q3 results and Q4 revenue guidance brings the company's 2007 revenue outlook $15M below the consensus, and advises investors to remain on the sidelines. The firm believes the company's strategy is sound, but that its execution has been slow.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Earnings highlights: Tech stocks strong, financials weak

Another earnings season crunch is under way, and here are a some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage here at BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Tech stocks strong, financials weak

Boston Scientific (BSX) almost triples earnings estimates

BSX logoBoston Scientific Corp. (NYSE: BSX) reported its Q3 earnings this morning, soundly beating analysts' expectations. Not counting $435 million expenses related to acquisitions and asset sales, Boston Scientific's profit in the latest quarter was 20 cents per share, while analysts were expecting just 7 cents per share. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on BSX.

After hitting a one-year high of $18.69 in January, the stock slipped to a 52-week low of $12.11 in August. BSX opened this morning at $14.08. So far today the stock has hit a low of $14.06 and a high of $14.65. As of 10:50, BSX is trading at $14.52, up 67 cents(4.8%). The chart for BSX looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $12.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just 3 months as long as BSX is above $12.50 at January expiration. Boston Scientific would have to fall by more than 15% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

BSX hasn't been below $12.50 by more than a few cents in the past year and has shown support around $13.80 recently. This trade could be risky if today's earnings are not as rosy as they seem at first glance, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by strong support just below $14, where the stock just bottomed.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage

Medtronic (MDT) heart device raises major health concern

Things seemed to be going so well for medical device maker Medtronic (NYSE: MDT). It recently got FDA approval for its drug coated stent, a product that holds clogged arteries open. At over $56, its stock had moved near a 52-week high.

The few days of celebration ended abruptly. The company warned that a wire in its newest defibrillator models has malfunctioned in hundreds of patients. It may have even caused several deaths. According to The New York Times, a defibrillator is a "device that shocks faltering hearts back into normal rhythm." The company is asking that 235,000 patients see their doctors to check for the defect. The Times also writes that replacing the wire on a heart device like a defibrillator is considered by experts to be far more dangerous than replacing the device itself.

The announcement points to one of the problems that big medical device companies face as their products become more complex. Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) has recently lost significant revenue as studies have shown that its drug coated stents may cause blood clots in the heart. That and other problems have taken the company's stock from over $27 less than two years ago to $15 in recent trading.

It is too early to say what may have caused the defect in the Medtronic device, but if there is a hint that the defect was discovered some time ago or that the product's flaw was due to faulty manufacturing, some smart attorney will be filing a class action suit before the year's end.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Analyst initiations: AXA, BSCI, BSX, and MDT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Boston Scientific (BSX), Medtronic (MDT), St. Jude Medical (STJ), Bankrate (RATE) and AXA (AXA) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Thomas Wiesel initiated coverage of the Medical Devices Industry:
    • Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) was initiated with an Underweight rating, expecting shares to Underperform peers due to reductions in estimates, risks to the stent business and valuation.
    • Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) was initiated with an Overweight rating, saying attractively valued as they believe the growth in underlying markets may be more robust than the current sentiment suggests.
    • St. Jude Medical (NYSE: SJT) was initiated with an Overweight rating, saying shares offer exposure to attractive drivers, a management team with the best track record in the segment, and a potential acquisition candidate.
  • Stephens believes the recent weakness in Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) due to "turmoil" in the market has created an attractive entry point, starting shares with an Overweight rating.
  • Morgan Stanley assumed coverage of AXA (NYSE: AXA) with an Overweight rating, citing an attractive risk/reward and strong free cash flow...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • S1 Corp (NASDAQ: SONE) was initiated with a Market Perform rating at Avondale.
  • Credit Suisse initiated AK Steel (NYSE: AKS) with a Neutral rating.
  • Jefferies started Molex (NASDAQ: MOLX) with a Hold rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Boston Scientific earnings suffer blockage

Recent bad news for heart patients is also bad news for Boston Scientific (NYSE:BSX), makers of a drug-coated stent that recent studies suggest may increase the possibility of blood clots. The effectiveness of stents over medications was also called into question in a March report.

The one-two punch to Boston Scientific's prize product caused sales for these stents to drop from $647 million last year, 2nd quarter to $437 million. Overall, net sales for the company were down slightly from 2006 year/year. However, this year's totals included revenue from Guidant, acquired in April of 2006, which should have pumped up the revenue.

Net income for the quarter was $0.08 EPS, shy of analyst expectations of $0.094. Backing out the costs of the Guidant purchase, which impacted both this quarter and 2006 2nd quarter, and the company realized only $.0.18 EPS compared to $0.31 in 2006.

The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) reported recently that Moody's is considering downgrading BSX's bonds to junk bond status, as the debt burden of the Guidant purchase looms more problematical with the shortfall in anticipated income. The company now expects income for the balance of 2007 to match 2nd quarter performance, far short of the $2.4 billion it projected when announcing the Guidant deal.

Until the company can show us new products that can replace the stent's profitability, or demonstrate sustainable belt-tightening to raise the bottom line, this is a stock I'd approach with trepidation.

New CFO pushes Boston Scientific higher

Boston Scientific Corp. (NYSE: BSX) opened at $15.80. So far today the stock has hit a low of $15.69 and a high of $15.90. As of 11:40, BSX is trading at 15.66, up 0.22 (1.4%).

After hitting a one year high of 23.49 a full year ago, the stock has been down to flat over the past twelve months. BSX is up today after naming Sam Leno, formerly of Zimmer Holdings (NYSE: ZMH), as the company's new CFO. Recent technical indicators for BSX have been neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November bull-put credit spread below the $12.50 range. BSX hasn't been below $12.50 in almost 5 years and has shown support around $15 recently. This trade could be risky if BSX's recent slide continues, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by what looks like a bottom forming in the chart.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. Do you have any deadwood in your portfolio? Check out the 18 Warning Signs That Tell You When To Dump A Stock.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in BSX or ZMH.

Newspaper wrap-up 4-19-07: Iraq oil reserves may be double previous estimates

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Analyst upgrades 4-17-07: AAPL, BSX, CNW and COST upgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Costco Wholesale Corp (COST), Apple Inc (AAPL), DirecTV Group, Inc (DTV) and EchoStar Communications (DISH) were today's more noteworthy upgrades:
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded shares of Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ: COST) to Outperform from Market Perform with a $65 target to reflect valuation, improved fundamentals and hidden value in real estate.
  • Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) was added to American Technology's Focus List with a $145 target.
  • Cowen upgraded shares of DirecTV Group, Inc (NYSE: DTV) and EchoStar Communications (NASDAQ: DISH) to Neutral from Underperform citing potential cash flow growth and re-capitalization opportunities that will offset competitive risks in the near-term.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Con-Way Inc (NYSE: CNW) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens citing a tonnage rebound at the company.
  • Bear Stearns transferred coverage and raised its rating of Netease.com, Inc (NASDAQ: NTES) to Outperform from Peer Perform citing valuation.
  • Bernstein upgraded its Cardiac Rhythm Management group, which contained Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE: BSX), Medtronic, Inc (NYSE: MDT) and St. Jude Medical, Inc (NYSE: STJ), to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm cited anticipated recovery of the ICD market and easier comps for 2007 and expects the U.S. ICD market to have 10% growth compared to last year's negative growth.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Borland Software Corp (NASDAQ: BORL) to Overweight from Underweight, as the firm expects the company to achieve margin targets and named Borland its turnaround pick for 2007.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 3-26-07: Boston Scientific & Vonage downgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Vonage Holdings Corp (VG), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Sunoco, Inc (SUN) and CV Therapeutics, Inc (CVTX) were some of today's more notable downgrades:
  • Vonage Holdings Corp (NYSEL VG) was downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns following the court injunction barring Vonage from using Verizon Communications' (VZ) patented technology.
  • Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE: BSX) was cut to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO. Cowen removed Boston Scientific from its Focus List citing superior clinical results from Abbott Laboratories' (ABT) drug-eluting stent, Xience V.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded Sunoco (NYSE: SUN) to Hold from Buy with a $72 target on valuation.
  • CV Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CVTX) was downgraded at Deutsche Bank, to Sell from Hold with a $2 target. The downgrade was ahead of the full Ranexa Merlin PIII data to be presented at the American College of Cardiology on Tuesday, March 27th, as the firm believes it will fall short of generating sufficient positive data trends for supporting Ranexa's outlook.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • DaimlerChrysler (NYSE: DCX) was removed from JP Morgan's Focus List as the firm believes the potential divestiture of Chrysler is at least partially priced into shares; JP Morgan maintains an Overweight rating on the stock.
  • Morgan Stanley cut Progressive Corp (NYSE: PGR) to Underweight from Equal-Weight.
  • William Blair downgraded Kronos Inc (NASDAQ: KRON) to Market Perform from Outperform following the company's acquisition.
  • Bank of America downgraded Paxar Corp (NYSE: PXR) to Neutral from Buy on news of Avery Dennison Corp's (AVY) acquisition of the company.
  • Deutsche Bank cut Tesoro Corp (NYSE: TSO) to Sell from Hold with an $85 target.
  • Goldman Sachs cut Volvo (NASDAQ: VOLV) to Neutral from Buy on valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Market highlights for next week: Tiffany, McCormick and CKE Restaurants to report

Monday March 26
  • Tiffany & Co (NYSE: TIF) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 8:30am. Analysts will evaluate Tiffany's holiday performance, new products and note management's comments on global diamond and jewelry trends.
  • Boston Scientific Corporation (NYSE: BSX) to hold analyst meeting at 8:30am.
  • Canon Inc ADR (NYSE: CAJ) to hold shareholder meeting at 10pm.
Tuesday March 27
  • Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) to hold shareholder meeting at 9:30am.
  • McCormick and Company Inc (NYSE: MKC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10am. Analysts will focus on McCormick's consumer segment [largest business], but will also note industrial business line performance, new spices/ingredients and commodity costs.
Wednesday March 28
  • Teco Energy Inc (NYSE: TE) to provide 2007 outlook; webcast at 8am.
  • Media Telecommunications & Entertainment Conference 3/28-3/29
Thursday March 29
  • PDUFA date for Nastech Pharmaceutical Company Inc's (NASDAQ: NSTK) Calcitonin-Salmon Nasal Spray for Osteoporosis.
Friday March 30
  • Finish Line Inc (NASDAQ: FINL) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 8:30am. Note that the company issued disappointing guidance earlier this month.
  • CKE Restaurants Inc (NYSE: CKR), the owner of Carl's Jr. and Hardee's restaurants, to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 9am. Analysts will review the company's same store sales by restaurant chain, average lunch/dinner checks, menu changes and margins. Analysts will also evaluate management's the performance of breakfast offerings, and the company's chain expansion plan.

Analyst downgrades 2-12-07: Embarq, Garmin & Boyd Gaming all downgraded

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Embarq Corp (EQ) and Boston Scientific Corp (BSX) were today's most notable downgrades:
  • Goldman Sachs downgraded Embarq Corp (NYSE: EQ) to Sell from Neutral based on valuation and potential margin dilution.
  • Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE: BSX) was downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Bear Stearns based on regulatory and competitive challenges.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Despite expectations of strong Q4 results and 2007 guidance, Needham downgraded Garmin Ltd (NASDAQ: GRMN) to Hold from Buy based on valuation, as they believe the multiple the market is willing to give the stock is likely to decline as PNDs continue to increase as a percentage of revenue.
  • Roth Capital downgraded China BAK Battery Inc (NASDAQ: CBAK) to Hold from Buy.
  • DA Davidson downgraded Weyerhaeuser Co (NYSE: WY) to Neutral from Buy.
  • BMO Capital Markets downgraded Brady Corp (NYSE: BRC) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  • Wachovia downgraded Boyd Gaming Corp (NYSE: BYD) to Market Perform from Outperform, expecting weakness in 2007 from the Las Vegas locals market and Atlantic City.
  • Penn National Gaming Inc (NASDAQ: PENN) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank citing valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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