Analyst Upgrades

• Air Products (APD) to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Zimmer (ZMH) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
• SunPower (SPWRA) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• Brocade (BRCD) to buy from hold at Wunderlich and at ThinkEquity.
• Duke Energy (DUK) to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
• NewStar Financial (NEWS) to outperform from market perform at Keefe Bruyette.
• Hormel Foods (HRL) to hold from sell at Soleil.
• Inspire Pharma (ISPH) to hold from sell at Duncan-Williams.
• Alnylam (ALNY) to buy from neutral at Roth Capital.
• Weight Watchers (WTW) to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
• Raytheon (RTN) and Toreador Resources (TRGL) to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.

Analyst Upgrades

• Sprint (S) was upgraded to neutral from underweight at Piper Jaffray.
• Cree (CREE) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Morgan Keegan.
• Brocade (BRCD) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at JMP Securities.
• JPMorgan upgraded WuXi PharmaTech (WX) to overweight from neutral.
• Barclays upgraded ITC Holdings (ITC) to overweight from equal weight.
• Centene (CNC) was upgraded to outperform from underperform at Oppenheimer.
• Senior Housing (SNH) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• UBS upgraded Hovnanian (HOV) to neutral from sell.
• GeoResources (GEOI) was upgraded to accumulate from neutral at Madison Williams.
• Compellent (CML) was upgraded to hold from sell at Canaccord.

Analyst Upgrades

• Intel (INTC) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Wells Fargo upgraded MetroPCS (PCS), Coventry Health (CVH) and Scientific Games (SGMS) to outperform from market perform.
• Estee Lauder (EL) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Simon Property (SPG) was upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• Citigroup upgraded BreitBurn Energy (BBEP) to buy from hold.

It's all well and good to say a stock posting improving earnings is a good buy with upside potential. But how much upside? The truth is that picking stocks capable of dramatic gains -- potentially as much as doubling your money -- is much harder. That's because charts don't offer much information for big moves like this, and efficient market theory argues against such short-term performance.

But finding doublers, while difficult, is not impossible.

The tail-end summer heat has been heavily attributable to the mergers and acquisitions blaze. Companies are putting their cash to work on public companies fetching discounted equity prices in a market environment favoring safety (e.g., gold and bonds).

Recently, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) edged out Dell (DELL) for the 3Par deal award. With an eye toward the future, HP displayed their powerful desire to own a piece of the data storage and cloud computing pie. Since Dell ended empty-handed, it's only a matter of time before the next stock is a tech heavyweight's prime target.

With no economic data we focused at first on Europe, then on finance regulation, and then on bargain hunting. Very few earnings were out and very little corporate news was out. Today was about raw supply and demand mixed with a big short squeeze with the bulls having a winner.

Here were the unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,193.39 +125.38 (1.25%)
S&P 500 1,087.69 +16.10 (1.50%)
Nasdaq 2,229.04 +25.03 (1.14%)

Analyst Upgrades

• Janney Montgomery upgraded MasterCard (MA) to buy from neutral. The firm has a $250 price target on the stock.
• Lazard upgraded Frontline (FRO) to hold from sell following the better than expected Q1 report.
• Knight Capital (NITE) was upgraded at BMO Capital to outperform from market perform. The firm cites valuation and improved fundamentals for the downgrade. The firm has an $18 price target on the stock.
• Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• Carnival (CCL) was upgraded to neutral from sell at Goldman.
• Computer Sciences (CSC) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• American International Group Inc. (AIG) posted a big loss and warned it may require additional assistance.
• Athenahealth (ATHN) shares sank after it delayed earnings and its annual report, and warned of restatements.
• Barnes & Noble Inc. (BKS) Q3 sales jumped on popularity of the Nook reader but same-store sales declined.
• Brocade Communications Systems Inc. (BRCD) disappointing report and guidance caused a sell-off in shares.
• Dell Inc. (DELL) acquisitions and better-than-expected earnings may not be enough to stop shrinking market share.
• Gap Inc. (GPS) rose after it beat earnings estimates, raised its dividend and announced stock buybacks.

The market was flat to weak this morning before key data and then the reading that consumer confidence fell all the way down to 46.0 from 56.5 in January, well under the 55.0 estimate from Bloomberg, added insult to injury. We saw profit taking take hold after that, and any early gains were taken away with the market in the red most of the day.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 10,282.41 -100.97 (-0.97%)
S&P 500 1,094.60 -13.41 (-1.21%)
Nasdaq 2,213.44 -28.59 (-1.28%)

Top Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades
Top Stock Market Rumors

eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) closed at $22.70. EBAY is scheduled to report Q3 EPS after the market close on October 21. EBAY November call option implied volatility closed at 38, puts at 45, January is at 35, puts at 43; verses its 26-week average of 43, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement

Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD) is recently trading at $8.30 in pre-open trading, above its close of $7.65. BRCD has put itself up for sale according to the Wall Street Journal. BRCD is data storage and networking firm. BRCD October option implied volatility is at 55, January is at 53; near its 26-week average of 56, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Minyanville Professor Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

The Brocade Communications (NASDAQ: BRCD) deal is interesting for a couple reasons. First of all -- hey it's a deal. So yes, deals can still get done, even in this market.

Second, and more importantly, BRCD is paying $3 billion or almost exactly three times the cash and investments on Foundry Networks' (NASDAQ: FDRY) books. So in essence, 1/3 of the deal price is being funded by the liquidity of Foundry Networks balance sheet. Looking at the technology landscape, there are a whole bunch of companies that look like FDRY from a balance sheet perspective.

Also, this deal highlights the fact that even in a market full of angst, companies do look forward to see what business trends they want to exploit. My take is BRCD is seeing it wants a bigger part of the bandwidth pie going forward and the two companies may have complementary technology to help extend their current reach.

Foundry Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ: FDRY), which builds networking technologies, went public in 1999. With the Internet surge, the stock price went over $200.

Of course, that was a temporary thing. Since then, Foundry's shareholders have suffered.

However, this week they got some cheery news. Foundry agreed to sell out to Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD). The deal comes to about $2.91 billion in a combination of cash and stock.

Essentially, the deal blends some key technologies. While Brocade has a strong footprint in fiber channel systems, Foundry is a top player in switches and 10-gigabit Ethernet offerings.

If anything, it's a necessary step to deal with the intensely competitive environment, especially against the mighty Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO).

No doubt, Brocade has demonstrated success with M&A, such as with its acquisition of McData. However, networking deals can be tricky. After all, Brocade operates primarily on an OEM basis whereas Foundry has a large direct sales force.

There is some financial risk too as Brocade needs to borrow about $1.4 billion.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Ex-Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD) CEO Gregory L. Reyes Jr. has been sentenced to 21 months in prison with a $15 million fine for orchestrating a scheme to backdate stock options at the company, illegitimately shifting wealth from the company's owners to its executives.

Judge Charles R. Breyer of Federal District Court in San Francisco, who sentenced Mr. Reyes, said that his efforts to obstruct justice had led to the stiff penalty: "This offense is about honesty. Every time Gregory Reyes falsified documents, repeatedly, over a three-year period, he was lying. That is the core of the defendant's criminal conduct."

Reyes was the first executive to be tried on criminal charges related to options backdating, and he was convicted onten counts of securities fraud.

According to the New York Times, Reyes cried while speaking to the judge before the sentencing: "I'm sorry," Mr. Reyes said, between sips of water and long pauses to compose himself. "There is much that I regret, and if I could turn back the clock, I would."

Is he really remorseful? He'll remain free without bail until a federal appeals court hears his case. If he's so full of remorse, why doesn't he just go to jail for a few months and skip the appeal?

It's good to see that law enforcement is cracking down on at least a few executives who think public companies should be used as their own personal honey pots. Now we need to see boards of directors hold their executives to higher standards too.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Athenahealth, Brocade Communications Systems, Royal Bank of Scotland and Human Genome were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Caris initiated shares of Athenahealth (NASDAQ: ATHN) with an Average rating and $26 target, as they believe an unachievable growth rate is priced into shares at current levels.
• Brocade Communications Systems (NASDAQ: BRCD) was initiated with a Neutral rating at UBS.
  
• Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) was initiated with an Underweight rating at Lehmen.
  
• JP Morgan resumed coverage of Human Genome Sciences (NASDAQ: HGSI) with a Neutral rating.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• Lazard resumed coverage of Zoran (NASDAQ: ZRAN) with a Hold rating and Sigma Designs (NASDAQ: SIGM) with a Buy rating.
  
• Stifel initiated Tortoise Energy Capital (NYSE: TYY) with a Buy rating and $32 target.
  
• HSBC initiated DSG International (OTC: DSITY) with an Overweight rating.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: GameStop (GME), Brocade (BRCD), Tween Brands (TWB), Plantronics (PLT) and Arcelor Mittal (MT) were today's more notable upgrades:

• First Albany sees upside potential in GameStop (NYSE: GME) through 2008 and upgraded shares to Strong Buy from Buy.

• JMP Securities upgraded Brocade (NASDAQ: BRCD) to Market Outperform from Market Perform on valuation.

• Tween Brands (NYSE: TWB) was upgraded to Buy from Sell on valuation at Matrix USA.

• JMP Securities' checks indicate Altec Lansing's im600 iPod docking station/FM radio is selling better than expected, and upgraded shares of Plantronics (NYSE: PLT) to Market Outperform from Market Perform.

• Merrill upgraded shares of Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) to Buy from Neutral to reflect the company's inclusion in the Euro Stoxx 50 Index in September as well as the positive global carbon steel environment...

OTHER UPGRADES:

• Pepsi Bottling (NYSE: PBG) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at HSBC.

• Morgan Stanley raised RF Micro Devices (NASDAQ: RFMD) to Equal Weight from Underweight.

• Matrix upgraded Barr Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: BRL) to Buy from Hold.

• Jefferies upgraded Advanced Medical (NYSE: EYE) to Hold from Underperform.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).