TD Ameritrade (AMTD), a broker whose competitors include Charles Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC), closed Wednesday's session higher by 2%. The final quote came in at $14.93. That's not too far from the 52-week low of $14.53. The twelve-month range is a narrow one, as the 52-week high is $21.30.

Is the stock a trade? An investment? Indeed, you may be thinking that it's time to buy. Some things worry me, however. The one-year chart isn't attractive at all. Well, in one sense it is, because a trader/investor would be buying low at this point.

Continue reading TD Ameritrade: How Does the Stock Look?

TD Ameritrade: How Does the Stock Look? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Sep 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

E*Trade (ETFC), an online broker whose colleagues include Charles Schwab (SCHW) and TD Ameritrade (AMTD), is a low-priced stock. It closed on Wednesday at $1.82, representing a rise of 2.8%; the move was backed by strong volume. The company reported first-quarter earnings yesterday after the bell. What should we make of the results?

According to MarketWatch, things seem to be improving. A loss of 2 cents per share compared very favorably to the loss of 41 cents per share booked in the year-ago period. As for estimates, the analysts were thinking that a loss of 3 cents per share was in the offing.

Continue reading E-Trade Still Speculative After Q1

E-Trade Still Speculative After Q1 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 22 Apr 2010 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) is a well-known brand in the broker space. It competes vigorously with the other giants, TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW). To be honest, if I were looking for investment ideas in this sector, I would probably begin my search with the latter two. It's difficult to put E*Trade on the list. The company got in trouble during the financial crisis because it was exposed to the mortgage industry. It has now become, in my opinion, a speculative play on a return to glory.

The latest earnings report shows what I'm talking about. For the third quarter, E*Trade lost, on a GAAP basis, 66 cents per share from continuing operations, wider than the year-ago loss of 60 cents per share from continuing operations. After adjusting for an item related to debt extinguishment, the current red ink is equal to 5 cents per share.

Continue reading E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory?

E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 Oct 2009 15:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If you've worked as a broker you know the game. The house sets quotas. You must meet the quotas or its good-bye.

As a broker, your first and foremost obligation is to the client. You can make recommendations, but in the last analysis, the decision to buy or sell a security rests with the client. Brokers, however, are often under the gun by management to tout certain securities to their clients that may not be in their best interests.

Continue reading SEC warns brokers against big bonuses

SEC warns brokers against big bonuses originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 02 Sep 2009 13:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The brokerage reported a Q1 loss that was wider than the year-ago number. E*Trade lost 41 cents per share versus a loss of 20 cents per share in 2008. According to this source, that was a penny worse than what Wall Street was bracing itself for.

Continue reading E*Trade loses more money -- why would I want to own this stock?

E*Trade loses more money -- why would I want to own this stock? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 29 Apr 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

When putting together a big merger, it's not easy keeping employees on board. Often, the strategy is to extend retention bonuses. If not, there could be a significant revenue drain.

Take a look at Morgan Stanley's (NYSE: MS) joint venture with Citigroup (NYSE: C) to form a massive brokerage organization. To keep key brokers on board, Morgan is willing to pay as much as $3 billion in retention bonuses.

Yes, in today's harsh environment - where Wall Street is considered a pariah (if not worse) - this seems out-of-whack. After all, Morgan Stanley was the recipient of lush federal bailout funds, although the bonuses will not come out of TARP funds, the company says.

Continue reading Morgan Stanley's $3 billion broker bonanza

Morgan Stanley's $3 billion broker bonanza originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Feb 2009 10:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

E Trade Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ETFC), which competes with TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW), is doing splendidly today. As I write this, the stock is up well over 15%. But I would not touch this one with a ten-foot pole, as they say.

According to this article, E*Trade reported a quarterly loss on Tuesday of $0.50 per share. While that was a lot better than the $3.98 per-share loss reported in last year's Q4, it wasn't enough to beat expectations. Wall Street was hoping for a loss of $0.24 per share. E*Trade said in its press release that daily average revenue trades increased 18% and that 97,000 new accounts were captured. While both of those stats are impressive to a certain degree, an investor must keep in mind that E*Trade is a complicated story. The company really screwed itself by exposing its shareholders to so much financial risk; sure, that might be hindsight now, but it nevertheless is true. And with all the loan provisions and all the issues with the company's involvement with applying for the government's TARP initiative, etc., I can tell you that I absolutely would not want to play around with this stock.

Continue reading E*Trade misses in Q4, but stock rises anyway

E*Trade misses in Q4, but stock rises anyway originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 Jan 2009 15:34:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

After the stock market meltdown of 2008, Wall Street brokerages aren't anyone's favorites in 2009.

But some customers said they're still happy with their online broker.

A December ChangeWave survey of 3,051 consumers found that despite the extremely difficult financial market, two online brokerages still capture high customer satisfaction ratings -- Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW) and archrival, Scottrade.

Continue reading Somebody actually likes their broker!?!

Somebody actually likes their broker!?! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 Jan 2009 19:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If there is a silver lining in the disaster that has been investing in the markets in 2008, it's that increases in volatility made it possible to generate huge returns moving in and out of stocks in a very short period of time.

Day trading had all but disappeared after the dot-com crash. And while the strategy is making a comeback in a major way this year, investors have yet to catch on.

Think about it for a moment. What businesses were at the forefront of this investment strategy?

Discount online brokers, led by E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC), were some of the biggest winners during the boom in day trading.

With everyone and their mother trading stock tips in the 1990s, brokers made increases in customer accounts and trading commissions that led to big profits.

Now, with fertile ground for day trading back in play, are the discount brokers worth owning in this environment?

Well, one would think that now would be an excellent time to be owning the discount broker stocks, but that hasn't borne itself out as of yet. What gives?

Continue reading The return of E*Trade

The return of E*Trade originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 18 Dec 2008 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If there is definitely one stock to avoid these days, it's E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC). I went back and forth on it over the summer, wondering if it was worthy of a trade at certain points, but after the broker's Q3 earnings report, I just don't have any good feelings about it right now.

Total net revenue declined over 21% to $377.7 million. The net loss per share from continuing operations on a diluted basis plummeted over 300% to $0.60. E*Trade, as we all know, has been a victim of the whole financial debacle. It's provision for loan losses was $517.8 million in the third quarter. This compares to a provision of $186.5 million in the previous year's similar quarter.

E*Trade states in its release that it is trying to further reduce its exposure to risk and it's keen on shoring up the balance sheet. Good attitude, I suppose. Also, daily average revenue trades for Q3 were up 7%. But it doesn't mean anything. This was a terrible quarter. The data is both horrible and telling.

It's a simple proposition for me: stay far away from E*Trade. Sure, there will come a time when the stock might make for a good investment, but that's a long way off. Technically, the stock is weak. And the broker will be unwinding its exposure to the financial markets for a while.

Continue reading E*Trade: Don't trade it!

E*Trade: Don't trade it! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 22 Oct 2008 11:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Talk about an interesting day for E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC). The broker, a competitor of TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW), reported Q2 earnings on Tuesday after the market closed. E*Trade saw its stock close up on the day by almost 11% on better-than-average volume ahead of the press release. Then, after hours, the stock was down over 15% as investors digested the data. It was a wild ride indeed, and I'm glad I wasn't on it.

E*Trade saw its total net revenue decrease by 20% to around $532 million. The loss per share came in at 19 cents. According to this Reuters article, Wall Street was hoping the loss would only be 14 cents per share.

E*Trade isn't out of the woods yet, and I think it'll be a while before it fully turns itself around and recovers from the financial crisis it's been suffering. In fact, the release mentioned how the broker lost value on investments in preferred equities of Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM) and Federal Home Loan Mortgage (NYSE: FRE) in July and that the liquidation of the investments will impact the third quarter. Yeah, I'm sure shareholders of E*Trade love to hear the names Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac thrown around in the earnings report. They're sure to warm the heart.

At one time, I thought E*Trade was worth entering, and it obviously might have been worth trading ahead of the earnings (if you were quick to get out before the after-hours, that is). Now, however, I'm reticent to put any new money to work in the financial sector. It's going to be a while before the financial malaise finally lifts. Since E*Trade is still losing a lot of money and missing estimates, I see no reason to allocate any investment funds here. The stock has become too speculative, and if you want to speculate, I'm sure you can find safer sectors to place some bets.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

E*Trade tanks after missing estimates originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 23 Jul 2008 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: AMTD) reported earnings for its second fiscal quarter yesterday, and they were pretty decent for the most part -- some might have thought that investors were completely shunning the market because of all the volatility going on, but TD Ameritrade's results show that a broker can still make money in such a challenging climate.

Even so, overall revenues declined 3% to $623 million. While transaction-based revenues also declined, it should be noted that average client trades per day did increase 23% to 312,000. That's an important measure when talking about brokers such as TD Ameritrade, or competitors such as E TRADE Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: ETFC) and The Charles Schwab Corporation (NASDAQ: SCHW). Earnings per share really shined, rising 35% to $0.31 per diluted share.

TD Ameritrade is sticking to its earnings guidance of a "midpoint forecast of $1.32." Of course, I'd like to see raised guidance, but a reaffirmation is certainly better than a reduction in guidance. Besides, I have to go back to the challenging climate concern -- if TD is happy to keep the forecast right now, then this is definitely positive. Investors would probably do well to at least investigate the brokers. When the economy snaps back, they should rally higher from these levels. TD Ameritrade, while not right up against a 52-week high, actually isn't that far from it, interestingly enough.

Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.

TD Ameritrade's revenues may have declined, but its earnings traded up originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 18 Apr 2008 15:52:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Are hedge funds distorting the price of oil?

Are hedge funds distorting the price of oil? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 Nov 2007 18:34:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Perhaps some good will come out of the softening of the real estate market. A year ago, homes were selling with little or no effort at all in some of the hottest markets. Some agents were reaping six-figure paydays just for breathing and, in many cases, they added little value.

But times have changed. The Wall Street Journal recently featured a list of 5 Things You Should Expect from Your Agent, and brokers are scrambling to find ways to add value to their listings. According to The Journal, "With the housing market in a dive and homes lingering unsold for months, the relationship between real-estate agents and their clients is beginning to change. Both buyers and sellers are demanding more from their brokers, and getting it."

This is exactly what they need to be doing -- and not just for this rough market. With the growth in online services making "for sale by owner" easier than ever, real estate agents must find ways to make themselves indispensable if they are to survive as a profession.

If the softening of the market forces them to do that, it could be worth it -- a few years of lower paydays is a small price to pay for the revitalization of an industry.

Soft housing market brings greater expectations for brokers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 07 Oct 2007 18:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Are brokers getting away with malpractice? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 24 Sep 2007 17:14:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In a move to make it one of the largest retail brokerage operations in the country, banking giant Wachovia (NYSE: WB) has bought AG Edwards (NYSE: AGE). The combined operations will become second only to Merrill Lynch (NYSE:MER), and ahead of Citigroup's Smith Barney. The new operation should have about 15,000 brokers.

It is easy to say that the move is simply a cost consolidation play. Wachovia says that it can take out [subscription required] about $400 million in duplicate costs, which should add to the profitability of the acquired assets.

Wachovia, however, is cleverer than simply making the purchase as a simple earnings play. Retail brokers are huge collectors of assets. The new, combined operation will manage $1.1 trillion.

Rival banks, including Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) and JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) do not have networks of brokers anywhere near this scale. That gives Wachovia an edge in wealth and asset management that Citigroup already has. While Wachovia's stock is flat over the last year, Citi is up about 12% and JP Morgan has climbed well over 20%.

Perhaps Wachovia needs a little edge.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Wachovia buys A.G. Edwards originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 31 May 2007 08:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading 26 reasons your stock picks suck

26 reasons your stock picks suck originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 May 2007 13:14:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I have been involved in the investment industry for almost 29 years. The first 13 I spent with Dean Witter Reynolds (now Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS)) and the last 16 years as a senior partner with two investment banking-research boutique firms. I have worked with over 150 stock research analysts just on the sell-side and another 200 plus on the buy side. Categorically, the title research analyst does not make an analyst a rocket scientist. There are a few myths that need to be explored and more importantly, explained.

There are two and only two types of analysts in the stock research world. 1) those that "get it" and are ahead of their particular industry and can pretty accurately predict what is "going to happen" within the sector they follow, and 2) analysts that are strictly reporters of the news affecting their sectors and do not think outside the box.

Case in point: Stewart Barry of ThinkEquity Partners (my alma mater) has been absolutely brilliant in the internet services sector. Forward thinking, cutting edge research and the ability to separate the news from the noise. Stewart nailed the strong possibilities of Aquantive (NASDAQ: AQNT) and 24/7 Real Media (NASDAQ: TFSM) being acquired. Both are getting acquired. What Stewart nailed wasn't the rumor mill about these two -- he was dead-right on the fundamental issues affecting Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) and how AQNT, TFSM, and DoubleClick could fill those needs. Stewart Barry is an all-star analyst because he is ahead of the curve and ahead of his peer group. Stewart has reiterated his buy rating on ValueClick (NASDAQ: VCLK) not because it may be acquired, but because the basic fundamentals are superior and the company's growth rate is accelerating.

Continue reading Research Analysts: Some great and some lousy

Research Analysts: Some great and some lousy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 22 May 2007 18:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Oppenheimer expects Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) to benefit from double-digit free-cash-flow growth over the next five years as it integrates Adelphia's (ADELQ) systems. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $47 target.

• AG Edwards initiated Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) with a Buy rating and $550 target to reflect the company's current business model and search growth. Nollenberger also initiated shares of Google with a Buy rating and placed a $575 value on just the core business.

• AG Edwards initiated shares of Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) with a Buy rating and $35 target, expecting Panama to drive ad revenue. Nollenberger started Yahoo! with a Neutral rating saying the company is still a a "solid name" but believes shares are not cheap.

• Baird started Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) with a Neutral rating on valuation.

• Lehman Brothers initiated four large-cap brokers: Merrill Lynch & Co (NYSE: MER) and Bear Stearns Cos (NYSE: BSC) were started with Overweight ratings, while Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) were initiated with Equal-Weight ratings. Lehman believes broker dealers are winning greater share of global capital-markets revenue from commercial banks as the products available for managing risk and capital become more sophisticated.

Analyst initiations 3-28-07: GOOG, YHOO, TWC & CAKE were all initiated today originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 Mar 2007 10:46:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.