budget deficit posts
FeedPosted Sep 9th 2010 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics
The 2001 Bush income tax cut is one of those issues whose fate has been sealed by objective economic conditions.
Simply, if the U.S. economy had registered robust growth during the final two years of the Bush administration, and no other negative economic events occurred, the tax cut, which will increase the deficit by $336 billion this fiscal year, $295 billion in fiscal 2011, and by more than $320 billion per year through fiscal 2019, perhaps would have had a chance of being extended.
Continue reading The 2001 Bush Income Tax Cut: A Major Policy Mistake
Posted Aug 3rd 2010 4:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics

A key figure in the Reagan administration's supply side economics policy implementation opposes extending the 2001 Bush income tax cut.
David Stockman, who served as budget director under President Reagan, in a
New York Times op-ed piece, said a Republican effort "to extend the unaffordable Bush tax cuts would amount to a bankruptcy filing."
Stockman also called the current Republican stance of wanting to extend the tax breaks as not fiscal responsibility, but "vulgar Keynesianism robed in the ideological vestments of the prosperous classes."
Continue reading Former Reagan Budget Director Stockman Opposes Extending Bush Tax Cuts
Posted Jul 26th 2010 5:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts

Paraphrasing the great Mark Twain, if you don't like the stance of institutional investors, just wait a while.
Case in point: Investor sentiment toward the United States' large budget deficit and national debt.
A scant month ago, the talk was of bond vigilantes turning their wrath on the U.S., from Greece, Spain, Portugal and the rest of Europe's debt-plagued nations -- a predicament that would force interest rates up in the world's largest economy.
Continue reading Flight-to-Safety Pushes U.S. Interest Rates Lower
Posted Jul 16th 2010 4:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics

One of the nation's foremost economic minds is calling on policy makers to let the Bush administration's 2001 tax cuts expire to help balance the federal budget.
"They should follow the law and let them lapse," Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
told Bloomberg News Thursday, citing the need for tax revenue to cut the U.S. nearly $1.6 billion budget deficit.
President Bill Clinton was last U.S. president to run a budget surplus, recording budget surpluses in the
final four years of his administration.
President George W. Bush's 2001 $1.1 trillion tax cut instantaneously turned a budget surplus into a roughly
$200 billion budget deficit.
Continue reading Greenspan: Let Bush's Tax Cuts Expire
Posted Jun 22nd 2010 5:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Federal Reserve

The bond vigilantes -- primarily institutional investors who punish countries with a large deficit and/or problematic fiscal policies -- have made their presence felt in Europe. Just ask Greece. But will they make their presence felt on U.S. shores?
In the short-term, the answer appears to be no. "Central banks [including the U.S. Federal Reserve], by keeping rates near zero have basically covered the bond vigilantes in duct tape," economist Ed Yardeni
told Bloomberg News. "We are not getting any votes of protest from the bond vigilantes in the U.S. because short-term rates are so low." Yardeni coined the 'bond vigilante' term in the 1980s.
Continue reading Has the Fed Prevented a Bond Vigilante Attack on the U.S.?
Posted May 21st 2010 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Financial Crisis

New York University Economics Professor
Nouriel Roubini, who accurately predicted the subprime mortgage default-induced financial crisis more than a year before it hit, is now cautioning the U.S. to not assume that the next stage of the financial crisis cannot return to U.S. shores.
"Bond market vigilantes have already woken up in Greece, in Spain, in Portugal, in Ireland, in Iceland, and soon enough they could wake up in the U.K., in Japan, in the United States, if we keep on running very large fiscal deficits," Roubini
told Blooomberg News. "The chances are, they are going to wake up in the United States in the next three years and say, 'this is unsustainable.' "
Continue reading NYU's Roubini: U.S. Can't Run Massive Deficits Forever
Posted Apr 23rd 2010 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Currency

Should U.S. investors become ebullient about dollar strengthening versus the euro in light of the European Union's effort to bail-out
deficit-plagued Greece?
Hardly. For one thing, the euro, which has weakened about 7% versus the dollar since January to about
$1.3372, is not guaranteed to weaken more against the buck. And the reason is obvious enough: unlike the United States, euro-zone nations can not turn to their nation's central bank to 'crank up the printing presses' and inflate their way out of debt and debt payments. The monetary policy of Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Germany, and France etc. is set by a supra-national central bank, the conservative European Central Bank, so don't look for
Weimar-style printing of money any time soon.
Continue reading Euro Conquers Fiscal Challenge While Dollar Struggles
Posted Apr 21st 2010 5:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Good news

At first glance, Wednesday's good news data point looks anything but: the U.S. Treasury may sell $128 billion in notes next week -- a record, Bloomberg News
reported. The large debt amount stems in part from record spending for both the fiscal stimulus and the bank bailout.
And the good news in the above? Institutional investors and analysts sense that a modest reduction in the Treasury Department's borrowing needs is approaching, due to the strengthening U.S. economy, Bloomberg News reported. A Bloomberg survey of bond/debt dealers forecasts that the Treasury will sell $2.4 trillion in debt in 2010, compared to $2.11 trillion in 2009.
Continue reading Ray of Light: U.S. Treasury Borrowing May Be Peaking
Posted Mar 2nd 2010 5:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Financial Crisis
Tuesday's key developments in As The Eurozone Turns:
Greece is expected to announce an additional 3.5-billion-euro ($4.85 billion) deficit cut, to address concerns voiced by European Union members that the Mediterranean nation has to do more to correct its profligate fiscal ways, The New York Times (NYT) reported Tuesday .
Word of additional heavy-lifting by Greece comes after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Greece "in the coming days" must reveal new measures to address EU member concerns that Greece is not doing enough to resolve the fiscal crisis, Bloomberg News reported Tuesday. Merkel is set to meet with Greece Prime Minister George Papandreou on Friday, March 5.
Continue reading Greece Seen Likely to Cut Deficit More to Placate EU
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