AOL Money & Finance

c posts

Consumer deliquencies are at new highs

From this writer's observation, it seems that we have two US economies. One economy is doing just fine. The people in this group have money. They are living well, eating out frequently and buying pretty much what they want.

Then we have a second economy made up of the unemployed and persons living on the edge of disaster. Here we see a growing number of credit card and home equity delinquencies. These people are in a downward spiral. Having lost their jobs, they are using credit cards to survive. This leads to double trouble -- no money and default on credit card debt and home mortgage.

Continue reading Consumer deliquencies are at new highs

Comfort Zone Investing: Survival of the fittest -- letting some banks fail

Bank failures are good. They get rid of banks that are mismanaged and have no business being in banking. Bad management at many banks made lots of bad loans and deserve to go under. The biggest example was Washington Mutual. And Countrywide belongs in there as well. Of course, there are a large number of smaller, community banks that also made bad loans that won't make it either.

That's OK. In fact, it makes the banking system stronger to have these marginally-managed or poorly-managed lenders gone. They artificially hike up the cost of deposits for all banks as they struggle to finance their bad loans, whether they're housing or commercial or business. Bad banks need more cash to keep them going, so they bring in more deposits. They bring in more deposits by raising rates.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Survival of the fittest -- letting some banks fail

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Real estate turnaround

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the endless worries will prove bogus, and jobs creation could spur a real lift.

Alt-A. Endless bank foreclosures. Commercial real estate. These are the big three worries that will not be killed by data, rigor or common sense, no matter what happens.

Doesn't it occur to anyone that there already should have been a big spike in commercial real estate losses by now? That the decline in the economy has lasted long enough that it should have manifested itself? Doesn't anyone think that there should have been a big commercial real estate bad-debt bump at a Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) or a JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) or a Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take)?

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Real estate turnaround

Cramer on BloggingStocks: More stimulus, please!

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the jobless number shows the folly of thinking we can get through on what we have.

Tough data point, the employment number. Lagging. But when you see it, the number doesn't feel like it's lagging. In fact, it is thesis-busting, as in, "We aren't getting better, let's stop fooling ourselves." It just feels like, "Come on, we know the truth, we need to have a second stimulus plan."

That will be the battleground for the second half of this year: further budget-busting vs. putting more people to work, because we sure aren't doing a great job of putting them to work.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: More stimulus, please!

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Red Roof's shoddy deal

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer wants to out the bankers behind the Red Roof deal and other deals like it.

What didn't they take private? What didn't they lever up? When I read about Extended Stay's bankruptcy and Red Roof's default Tuesday night I started thinking, did anyone besides me ever stay at places like this? Did anyone ever realize the marginality of these places? Did they simply look at some numbers on some pieces of paper and say, "Yep, that's money in the bank"?

And sure enough, Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) was the lender to Red Roof, a deal two years old that has already gone sour. Maybe this was one of those have-to-keep-dancing-until-the-music-stops deals by Chuck Prince, the foremost clown of all of the bankers of the era.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Red Roof's shoddy deal

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Manipulation well done

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says these markets are easy to manipulate, a lesson learned over the last two years.

Did the bears really have nothing up their sleeves with the last-minute pushdown at the end of Thursday's session? No big downgrades? No bank seizures? No stories about how Citigroup's (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) getting close to failure again?

They didn't have the bond market story, for certain. Bonds were a buy. Oil wasn't out of control, just up enough to drive stocks up again. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take) never gave up the ghost -- and I know I wasn't going to let it give up the ghost on my TV show, "Mad Money."

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Manipulation well done

Citigroup starts its stock swap ... finally

This morning, Citigroup (NYSE: C) began its $58-billion stock swap, a move that could leave the government with a 34% stake in the bank. The country's third-largest bank plans to swap common stock for (up to) $33 billion in preferred shares and convert as much as $25 billion of preferred shares held by the U.S. Treasury into common stock.

The bank believes that the swap could (emphasis on could here) make Citigroup one of the world's best-capitalized banks. The action could add up to $61 billion of tangible common equity and $64 billion of Tier-1 common equity. Citigroup had planned to take this action back in April.

Continue reading Citigroup starts its stock swap ... finally

Five stock market experts share their views

In this post from late April, I asked several financial experts where they thought the stock market was headed. Here's another round of predictions with a new batch of experts.

Neal Berger, the fund manager who called the market top, founder of fund-of-funds Eagle's View Asset Management, is always seeking undiscovered fund managers who exploit a legitimate "edge" or inefficiency in the market. With decades of experience at prominent firms such as Fuji Bank, Chase Bank, and Millennium Partners, he now manages the investments of wealthy families/individuals.

Continue reading Five stock market experts share their views

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The Chuck Prince Citi board has got to go

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the government will want to shed the people who presided over the huge losses.

Sometimes the best course is simply to ask what the government wants. In the case of Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) it is pretty obvious that the government wants anyone responsible for the previous travesty of corporate governance to get the heave-ho. That means anyone on the board during the Chuck Prince reign.

I think that's reasonable; the government is going to be the largest shareholder, so it makes sense for to want new board members who didn't screw up.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The Chuck Prince Citi board has got to go

Sunday Funnies: Economics -- art or science

In running a very tight stock screen recently for value plays Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI) showed up on a list of 14 stocks. Interestingly all the large railroad stocks did. This reminded me of several stories I have done on the subject, the most recent being Chasing Value: Watch BNI -- the heck with Citigroup.

To summarize, about six weeks ago a Citigroup (NYSE: C) analyst declared it was time to sell the stock when BNI was trading in the mid $60s -- I said investors should do the opposite, it was a great value. Friday the stock closed at $76.98. Even at this price it is a value and ever more so with oil prices steadly creeping up.

Continue reading Sunday Funnies: Economics -- art or science

New accounting rule lets banks hide big losses

With a sleight of hand, the Financial Accounting Standards Board gave banks a way of hiding their losses, at least for the time being. What was this sleight of hand? With powerful lobbying by 16 industry association groups who call themselves the Fair Value Coalition, a proposal to use "mark to market" to price the value of distressed assets was killed. Congress, it seems, bowed to the lobbyists and complained that the existing "mark to market" standards worsened the financial crisis. So what is the new rule? Who knows? Its hard to figure out exactly what standard banks are using to price distressed assets.

Continue reading New accounting rule lets banks hide big losses

Citigroup suspends severance pay, battles technical resistance

Downtrodden Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), which received its walking papers from Dow Jones on Monday, has informed five of its former executives that they'll no longer be receiving severance payouts. According to a report today in The Wall Street Journal [subscription required], recently departed executives Kevin Kessinger and Michael Klein will be among those affected by the decision.

Already, Citi has doled out approximately half of the $100 million it pledged to these former execs. The U.S. Treasury hasn't demanded that the severance payments be halted, but sources close to the bailed-out bank say that Citi's top brass "[want] to avoid even the possibility of a public backlash over the money."

Even though it would seem that Citi is finally getting a handle on the concept of money management -- or public relations, at the very least -- investors are hardly cheering. The stock has given up more than 3% today, extending its year-to-date drop of 45%. In fact, the shares are currently in position to finish the session below their 10-day and 20-day moving averages, which would mark the first breach of this double-barreled support since May 1.

Continue reading Citigroup suspends severance pay, battles technical resistance

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Travelers is a fitting pick

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says that it's the most conservative player in an industry filled with gunslingers.

The keepers of the Dow Jones Industrial Average must have felt insurance-less after the defrocking of AIG (NYSE: AIG) (Cramer's Take), so it's fitting that they added Travelers (NYSE: TRV) (Cramer's Take) to the list, even as I would have preferred Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) or Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take).

They needed a financial that wasn't a bank and there aren't many out there that still trade at anything but desperate levels or weren't saved by the government.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Travelers is a fitting pick

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Believe it, there's money to be made

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says you may hear reasons why the rally shouldn't have occurred, but you can't deny it did happen.

On Tuesday I wanted to shoot myself, as always when I woke up and went online to see what was going on. Here's a partial list of the beautiful data points that were in my purview in the first hour of looking over the market:

1. A trenchant note from a major strategist at a bank I trust who is talking about why the market must be avoided because private-equity valuations are collapsing, so what's the point of owning equities.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Believe it, there's money to be made

Cramer on BloggingStocks: It's still not inflation

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says commodities don't tell the real story -- look at wages and prices of finished goods.

Commodity inflation is not real inflation. Commodity inflation is China- and speculation-driven inflation of imperfect commodities by fearful or greedy customers and traders.

Yet "inflation" is on everyone's lips as if the plummeting prices of cars and homes and wages don't even matter. You read about the not-even-nascent recoveries in countries like those in Eastern Europe or Mexico or Germany, and you have to wonder whether we need to be as fearful of the price of copper as we are. If you own GM (NYSE: GM) (Cramer's Take) bonds, you are not experiencing inflation, and believe me -- there are more GM bonds being bought than there is of the red metal.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: It's still not inflation

Next Page >

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+4.768,183.17
NASDAQ+5.381,752.55
S&P 500+3.12882.68

Last updated: July 09, 2009: 07:31 PM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

WalletPop Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance