California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has sent a letter to U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson indicating that the state may need up to a $7 billion loan from the federal government within weeks, because the state is having increasing difficulty funding day-to-day operations and accessing short-term loans, The Los Angeles Times reported Friday.

California routinely accesses short-term loans to remain solvent, but the state, like corporations and other businesses / organizations, is having trouble accessing funds from the bond market due to the credit crunch, The Times reported.

Lay-offs could follow

If the state is unable to access cash, payments to schools and other government agencies could quickly be suspended and state employees could be laid off, The Times reported.

Economist David H. Wang, although qualifying his comments by adding that he has not yet reviewed California's credit profile and cash flow, said Gov. Schwarzenegger's letter is another sign that the "financial crisis is affecting organizations and governments large and small."

"Corporations are scaling back bond sales or seeking other funding sources, bond sales by state governments are being put off, and lines of credit are being renewed at higher interest rates. These are all signs of increased apprehension by banks and other lenders," Wang said. "The financial crisis is getting worse, and we need to put measures in place to address it."

Wang said the U.S. House of Representatives' passage of the rescue package is a necessary step toward that goal. The U.S. House is expected to vote on the rescue bill today, following approval in the U.S Senate Wednesday, 74-25. "The House vote will reduce anxiety in the credit markets. There's a saying that 'a financial crisis is 30% reality and 70% worrying about the other reality.' Well, the rescue bill will address that 'other reality.' "

Picture this: a U.S. neighborhood where no homes are being constructed, for miles.

In the current economic climate, the above could be a snapshot in any region of the country (or, sadly, in every region of the country).

U.S. housing starts fell to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 965,000 in July, the U.S. Commerce Department announced Tuesday (pdf). It was the lowest level for housing starts in 17 years.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had expected July U.S. housing starts to total 950,000.

Further, housing starts have declined 29.6% in the past 12 months. Economist Glen Langan told BloggingStocks Tuesday he knows why.

"It doesn't take a Harvard mathematician to deduce this one. Builders are competing for sales with the large supply of foreclosed homes, as well as with home owners in good standing with banks, who are trying to sell their homes," Langan said. "So the great U.S. homebuilder pullback continues."

The U.S. economy is growing at a minuscule rate or is already in recession. Job growth, save a few sectors, is non-existent. Bank mortgage qualifying requirements are at their most rigorous levels in a decade. Investors / readers ask, 'where are the buyers going to come from to spark a rebound in the housing sector?'

During the roaring 1990s, it was called 'merger Monday' -- due to the plethora of corporate mergers announced on the day, driven by the robust U.S. economy.

In the current sluggish (or perhaps worse) U.S. economy, it's becoming known as 'morbid Monday' -- due to the spate of unpleasant predictions publicized on the day.

Oppenheimer analyst Meredith Whitney filled the August 4 installment of the latter by predicting that housing prices will fall more than 30% and banks will remain reluctant to lend until the credit crisis wanes, CNBC reported Monday.

To be sure, the housing sector is a jumbled, uncertain morass, so in order to provide some clarity on the sector (and to either confirm / refute several conventional wisdom points), BloggingStocks Monday corralled economists Peter Dawson and David H. Wang.

Point 1: Those states hardest hit by the housing sector, California, Florida, Nevada, will be the first to recover.

Dawson: Not true. Wang: Most un-true.

"You may find a $300,000 or $350,000 bargain in California or Florida, but understand that five years down the road that home may be roughly the same price in real terms, after inflation," Wang said. "Job creation in an area will determine which way house prices are going in a region in the years ahead, much more than how bad the local housing market is now."

Minyanville's wise professor, Mark Bloudek, dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

I've been doing precious little in this market, but one stock I've been tracking closely is Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB). Why would I pay more mind to Wachovia than to other banks? Because it bought Golden West Financial in May of 2006 for $25 billion. And where did Golden West have most of its exposure? That's right, California.

Last night I was looking through the median home price data in the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) in various California cities and noticed some shocking price drops. The median home price offers in San Francisco dropped $10,000 in one week. Ditto for Orange County. In Los Angeles, the figure was a startling $13,000. I went back to check when the market topped in these areas and found that every one of them peaked in -- drum roll, please -- May of 2006.

The housing market can use all the good news it can get, and the latest news out of Southern California is definitely good, as home sales in the month of April reportedly jumped 22% in that part of the state.

California has been hit pretty hard in the recent housing crunch. Of course, the reason why California has been so hard hit is because it was also one of the states that had the best growth during the housing boom.

The flip side of the story is that the rise in home sales was mostly led by bargain hunters who swooped into the market and picked up foreclosed properties. According to the report, 38% of the homes purchased last month had been involved in foreclosure procedures at some point over the past year.

The United States is an enormous, diverse nation, and there's perhaps no better evidence of that than the U.S.'s current economic cycle.

The finances of many states have deteriorated to such a degree that they appear to be in recession, even though the nation as a whole may not be, a survey of 50 state fiscal directors concluded.

The states: budget deficits abound

The National Conference of State Legislatures' survey says that "arguing whether the national economy is in recession is almost beside the point" because the fiscal condition of some states has declined so much that they appear to be in a recession.

In all, 23 states, including hard-hit housing slump states Florida, California, and Nevada, expect to report budget deficits in the next fiscal year, fiscal 2009, with the aggregate revenue shortfall reaching $26 billion. Further, more than two-thirds of the states said they are concerned or pessimistic regarding their F2009 revenue outlook.

Historically, most states experience a decline in revenue as the U.S. economy contracts, as the economic slowdown results in lower retail sales, which lowers sales tax revenue -- a major source of revenue for many states. Job layoffs also decrease state income tax revenue. Further, state social service costs typically increase, as unemployment claims increase and applications for income/food/energy assistance rise.

Florida, California hard hit

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Friday the NCSL data is in-line with the profile of this cycle's economic slowdown. "From the research we can see that the states under most stress are those that rank very high regarding mortgage default and housing foreclosure lists, with Florida and California being the most obvious examples," Dawson said. "These states are going to be under fiscal stress for a considerable period of time due to the size of their housing correction."

Moreover, Dawson said because of California's and Florida's size, "it will be very hard for the nation to grow at capacity until these states have started to grow." Hence, a return to robust economic conditions nationally, "could be a year to 18 months off, assuming growth resumes nationally by late 2008," he said.

We have all heard of bus tours showcasing the homes of the rich and famous ... but the recent credit crunch that has spread across America has led to another sort of bus tour: the Foreclosure Bus Tour. That's right, potential home buyers looking to grab up a piece of Orlando, Florida real estate can now take a six-hour bus tour featuring various homes that have been foreclosed in the area.

It's no secret that foreclosures have been on the rise over the past year to alarming levels, but the Foreclosure Bus Tour is a symbol of just how bad things have become. The cost of the tour was $45 per person ($65 per couple) and included a continental breakfast and lunch at Applebee's. In addition to the food, the potential buyers were also given information on the homes, as well as some important teaching lessons that any potential home buyer could benefit from.

All in all, it seems like a decent way to go out and look at a whole bunch of properties all at once (the tour featured seven different available properties). At each stop the potential buyers got first hand access to a home inspector who walked them through the house, and between stops they were able to chat with a mortgage broker. The tour also had lawyers on hand to discuss any legal questions that came up during the trip. Not too bad for $45.

Just last week I reported about the insolvency problems in New Jersey to Walletpop readers, see: The snowball starts in New Jersey. Now, that nasty old snowball has streaked across the country and landed in the California suburb of Vallejo, wreaking havoc on the local government there. CNBC reports that Vallejo Councilwoman Stephanie Gomes states "Our financial situation is getting worse every single day". Ask not for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for the heavy handed labor unions which have coerced sweet pay and benefit packages for the 30% of our workforce which is supported via tax dollars produced by the rest of us who actually make things.

The insolvency of Vallejo should come as no big surprise, and in fact Vallejo is just the leader of what will become a very large pack. Before the end of this year I envision the entire state government of California will be in tears due to a lack of spending cash. You've been warned, it's to become a nationwide trend.

We just can't expect that private sector declines will leave the government sector untouched. The toughest part is that there's nothing government agencies can do about it, except to cut spending or raise taxes. Local governments are in the business of taking constructive dollars from the people who created them and then throwing them into the bottomless pit of entitlements, waste and graft. Now, the chickens have come home to roost, and they're big, mean, ugly chickens at that.

The oil market, to put it diplomatically, has not provided a great deal of encouragement lately for policy makers attempting to stimulate U.S. economic growth.

Further, time was when an $80 or $85 price would be considered unreasonably high, or even outlandish. But given oil's breakthrough and close above key, psychological resistance of $100 per barrel this week, $80 looks almost like an acceptable price.

Moreover, oil mogul and billionaire T. Boone Pickens says we may get there. Providing a ray of light for concerned business executives, consumers and public officials, Pickens, who accurately predicted oil's rise to $100 per barrel, told CNBC Thursday oil should drop $10-15 in the second quarter of 2008.

"I think oil's going to back off," Pickens said during the interview. "The weakest quarter is the second quarter. We'll drop $10 or $15 a barrel in the second quarter. I think we'll be back above $100 in the second half of the year."

Here's a novel idea: Pay someone only if they are providing better performance than no one -- not anyone, no one -- could provide.

Well according (subscription required) to The Wall Street Journal, the California Public Employees Retirement System (Calpers) is contemplating doing just that with the money managers it hires: "Calpers' investment staff plans to present to the board a system in which the pension fund's global stock managers would receive a fee only if they outperformed certain benchmark indexes. Managers whose returns failed to beat the index would be paid nothing for that period."

This makes perfect logical sense. Why pay a management fee to someone who's doing worse than an index fund? But the possible risk is that paying strictly for performance would induce managers to take bigger risks -- possibly increasing the incidence of blow-ups and rogue traders.

But these kinks could probably be worked out with careful monitoring of risk, and tailoring the bonuses to the level of risk a manager assumed. But it's time for money managers to be paid for performance. Too often, it seems they are paid just for having a pulse.

NextPhase Wireless (OTCBB: NXPW) has really caught my attention. At just $0.10 a share it looks to me like a stupendous bargain -- or at least a real cheap entry point for those of you looking to establish a tech footprint for yourselves. Although running a bit under the radar from mainstream, this company has been anything but quiet within the wireless tech news circles. I agreed with you late last year that consumer trends were continuing to bring wireless technologies into screaming full-steam-ahead status. NextPhase is one of the companies making full use of this relentless trend.

NextPhase presents itself as a "next generation" connectivity company, which becomes obvious as you read about it -- NextPhase truly is on the cutting edge in its field. NextPhase is in the business of building its own wireless networks and is very close to an infrastructural breakout nationwide. The company announced yesterday that it is right on target for completion of plans to migrate to licensed spectrum for network back-haul by the end of Q3 2007. Simply put, the company is growing rapidly to meet solid customer demands.

Tom Hemingway, Chairman and COO of NextPhase, indicates that small- to medium-sized companies find significant benefits by subscribing to its newest IT services because customers now have access to security, disaster recovery and network performance solutions of a quality that would not be cost effectively available to them otherwise. These new "managed IT" services are a value-added adjunct to NextPhase's already well-established broadband services. The company has been rapidly expanding its nationwide footprint with moves into Arizona, Oregon and California. I also found mention of an intended purchase by the company into New Jersey, but I have not yet been able to confirm that. Next Phase appears to me to be an aggressive, focused and driven company. If any of our readers can provide some hardcore financial research on the company, please do share!

Gary E. Sattler holds no financial interest in NextPhase Wireless.

Earlier this month, Green Progress News reported that Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) was teaming up with the city of Rialto, California, in the construction of a system to take the greasy waste water and sludge generated by restaurants and transform it into a usable energy source. The team is using the impending necessity of waste-water treatment facility expansion for Rialto to take advantage of construction expense outlays that would have been expected anyway.

Fats, oils, and grease that are routinely sent out as waste from restaurants, and that currently go directly to landfills will instead be deposited at the Chevron/Rialto facility, which shall be the recipient of the waste hauler's "tipping fees" also. Tipping fees are simply the haulers' cost for emptying their loads. Typically, all that restaurant waste, and the potential trapped within it, ferments in our landfills, creating methane gas, most of which ends up in our atmosphere unless it's burned off immediately. The Rialto/Chevron project will instead process these wastes utilizing an organic matter "digester," producing methane for conversion into hydrogen, which can then be used to generate electricity.

The financial angles on this project will present some noticeable impact both in expenditure and returns. It is estimated it shall cost a bit over $15 million to build the system and bring it to operational status. When completed, the project will become eligible for a $4.05 million rebate on the fuel-cell plant cost from California's Self-Generation Incentive Program. The balance of the costs will reportedly be recovered through energy cost savings, and there are no expected taxpayer costs. Additionally, the system will be utilizing a bit less than 1,000 kilowatts of generating capacity to provide baseload power, which should assist in keeping consumer electricity costs stable. Grace Vargas, Rialto's mayor, has stated: "It's a 'win' for multiple stakeholders -- our city taxpayers, restaurants, grease haulers, and the environment."

If you are an Allstate Corp. (NYSE: ALL) customer in California for homeowners' insurance, you have a new reason to hate insurance companies. The company is going to halt new homeowners and landlord package insurance policies in the state.

Here is the quote from the company: "Allstate is taking responsible action now so that the company will continue to be in a strong position to help protect customers in California and across the country. This new strategy helps protect our existing customers and provides an alternative to California consumers looking for new property insurance policies."

TRANSLATION: We don't want the risks of mudslides, earthquakes, brushfires and replacing drastically overpriced house values.

I'll start this by stating that the thought of a comprehensive health care program administrated solely by the federal government makes me cringe. For me, that would take the issue of my family's health too far from home. I much prefer the idea of health care assistance being provided at the level of the individual states. It just seems to me that my home state has a much greater vested interest in my personal physical condition than the federal government does.

The Associated Press recently wrote that many states are raising health care assistance income thresholds in an effort to lift barriers and force the federal government to dispense health care funds back to the states. Health and Human Services Secretary Mike Leavitt said if other states followed (a New York) proposal, it would mean 71% of the nation's children would be on "public assistance." It would seem that this scenario meets with disapproval from the Bush administration. I say that the money was put there to assist in our health care expenses. We need it now and they should give it back to us.

Many states are aggressively addressing the health insurance issue. There is hot action in California right now with the state government pushing for reform but seemingly casting the lion's share of the burden at the feet of the electorate. It would appear that California Governor Schwarzenegger is of the mind that all California citizens should be required to have health insurance no matter how much it costs the citizen or how bad the coverage is. Edward D. Spurgeon posted an excellent analysis of the subject on the Jurisdynamics Blog. Although his thinking leans a bit too much to the socialist side for my taste, his analysis and suggestions are excellent.

My wife and I have twice had the financial integrity of our household preserved by state intervention in health care expense issues. The medical costs associated with our first daughter's untimely passing would have added insurmountable insult to injury but the state helped bear that burden. Our second daughter was born with mild issues of the upper palate which, though not serious, required medical attention which would have put us in a place of financial ruin if not for the assistance rendered by our state. To the tax-paying residents of Wisconsin, we say thank you.

As the presidential election of 2008 looms ever closer, the issue of universal health care shall surely be a hotly debated topic. I believe that everyone needs to be involved in the discussions when we consider that everyone is in some way affected. It will be difficult, to say the least, to put into action a system which is effective, cost efficient and still provides the appropriate rewards to doctors who excel in their fields. Building a universal health care program in this country will be like trying to catch a bull in a tin cup. It may seem impossible but anything can be accomplished.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Today's noteworthy initiations included MasterCard Inc (MA), Time Warner Cable Inc (TWC), ZymoGenetics, Inc (ZGEN) and California Pizza Kitchen, Inc (CPKI):

• AG Edwards started MasterCard Inc (NYSE: MA) with a Hold rating, citing near-term concerns about the consumer and valuation.

• Credit Suisse initiated Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) with a Neutral rating and $41 target.

• Citigroup initiated ZymoGenetics (NASDAQ: ZGEN) Inc with a Sell rating and $12 target. The firm sees further downside given their belief the Street will lower its Thrombin expectations due to sales disappointment in early 2008.

• Morgan Keegan initiated shares of California Pizza Kitchen (NASDAQ: CPKI) with an Outperform rating, finding shares compelling given the company's substantial unit growth opportunity.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• Buckingham initiated shares of Gentex Corp (NASDAQ: GNTX) with an Underperform with a $14 target, and expects margin pressure to continue.

• Citigroup started POZEN Inc (NASDAQ: POZN) with a Buy rating and $28 target.

• Needham initiated SeaChange International (NASDAQ: SEAC) with a Buy rating and $12 target.

• BB&T started Tarragon Corp (NASDAQ: TARR) with a Buy rating and $13 target, as the firm believes the proposed spin-off of its home-building business would unlock shareholder value.

• Wachovia initiated shares of C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc (NASDAQ: CHRW) with an Outperform rating.

• Shares of Brookfield Properties Corp (NYSE: BPO) were started with a Hold rating at Stifel.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).