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Car Biz: Dark days in Detroit and beyond

This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.

September car sales reports are due this week, and no one in the auto industry is looking forward to the monthly numbers, especially no one in Detroit.

Expectations are that car sales will be lower once again. According to analysts quoted at Bloomberg, sales at General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) will be down over 20%, while sales at Chrysler will be down over 30% from last year. Japanese producers also are expected to see lower sales, with the Japanese Big Three Toyota (NYSE:TM), Honda (NYSE: HMC) and Nissan (NASDAQ: NSANY) all down in the 20% range.

The industry is sliding down toward the magic number of one million cars sold in the U.S. for the month. The last time fewer than a million cars were sold in a month was February 1993.

Continue reading Car Biz: Dark days in Detroit and beyond

General Motors to continue employee pricing

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) will offer customers wanting to buy its cars the same discounts as employees for another four weeks, according to Bloomberg News.

The incentives, on most 2008 and some 2009 models, were to have expired today but, according to Bloomberg, "GM will continue the deals through the end of the month because the initial two-week offer boosted sales."

Of course, this is great news for consumers, particularly the few who are confident enough in their economic circumstances to be in the market for a new car. Maybe it will encourage people leaning toward a Honda (NYSE: HMC) or some other foreign automaker to give GM a second look or even a third one. Chances are, though, it won't do much to help.

As my colleague Michael Rainey
noted earlier, imports accounted for 68% of all passenger car sales in the U.S., a new low for the Big Three. These are the vehicles that consumers stung by high gas prices are most interested in purchasing. Good luck in trading in your gas-guzzling SUV for a fuel-efficient hybrid. Many dealers are reportedly no longer interested in the big vehicles because their trade-in value has plummeted.

Continue reading General Motors to continue employee pricing

Rich people and Maserati ask, what economic slowdown?

As most of us struggle with surging gas prices, food costs and the possibility of losing our jobs, it's good to know that one little niche of people are oblivious to the current economic environment, and continue on with business as usual.

Sales of Fiat's Maserati brand are up 16% this year, as the rich continue to buy the $115,000 car. Add on that the Maserati gets a whopping 13 miles per gallon in the city and 19 on the highway.

Maserati's are being sought after by buyers wanting something better than your typical Mercedes-Benz, yet more affordable than Italian competitors Ferrari and Lamborghini. Nice to know that even these buyers are impacted by sticker shock!

According to an article in Bloomberg, Wes Brown who is an automotive analyst commented: "If you've got money, you want people to know you've got money, and people want to find something that not everybody has,'' Brown said. "They are saying, `I don't want a BMW or Mercedes, which you can see on every corner.'"

We all know that problem! Who can afford to buy a Maserati? The company says that the typical buyer is a 54-year-old male with household income of $750,000.

For those of you who decided to leave your car at home and take the bus in order to save a couple of bucks, you'll be glad to know that by freeing up the road, that new Maserati owner will have less traffic to deal with and be able to take the car up to its top speed of 177 miles her hour.

Who cares if gas is over $4 a gallon?

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 7/10/08.

GM gets to cut next

GM (NYSE: GM) is about to join Ford (NYSE: F) in a series of job cuts. Rising gas prices and hard economic times are pushing domestic car sales down. According to The Wall Street Journal, the company's CEO, Rick Wagoner, "will announce his new restructuring measures at the annual shareholder meeting on June 3."

The plans raise an important question at both Ford and GM. Have they reached the point where further cuts will ruin their capacity to manage growth in the US market when the downturn is over? If the companies end up with only a skeleton crew of executives and white collar workers that could be an issue.

More troubling is the issue of why the cuts were not made much earlier. If an employee is expendable now, why wasn't he expendable last year? Did GM carry too many people for the last several quarters?

Optimism got the better of GM, and its did not cut as far as it might have. Now, it gets to pay the price for thinking things might get better.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.

Automakers' Battle: TM vs. GM

Despite a challenging economic environment, Japanese automaker Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE: TM) has been continuing its strong competition with rival General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) for the title of the world's largest automaker. As results show, the good times are rolling for Toyota which earlier today posted an increase of 2.7% for its global sales, for a total of 2.41 million vehicles during the first-quarter.

On the other side of the coin, GM announced a decline of almost 1% in its total sales. Last year, General Motors held the crown in global sales, but on the other hand Toyota was the leader in global vehicle production. Both companies benefited from strong demand outside the United States.

General Motors has said that strong overseas sales weren't enough to overcome a weak North American market. The company saw a 10% drop in first-quarter sales in its home North American market as high fuel prices and worries about housing and the credit crunch pressured consumers. Regardless of the weak results, GM restated its desire to "win, and we'd like to be No. 1 in sales at the end of the year."

Continue reading Automakers' Battle: TM vs. GM

Toyota hopes for top worldwide sales, again

Toyota Motor Co. (NYSE: TM) logo It looked like Toyota (NYSE: TM) would pass GM (NYSE: GM) for the No. 1 spot in global car sales for 2007, but it is not clear that it happened. GM sales in China and South America may have been good enough for it to keep the lead spot.

Now Toyota has announced ambitious plans to up its sales 5.6% to 9.85 million vehicles in 2008. That would almost certainly put it ahead of GM and break the U.S. car company's all-time record year set 30 years ago.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "Katsuaki Watanabe, Toyota's president, said the company aims to achieve its bold sales targets by expanding in fast-growing emerging markets." That means the Japanese company will have to do well in growing markets like China and hold its own in the U.S.

Continue reading Toyota hopes for top worldwide sales, again

Volkswagen to challenge Toyota in the U.S.

Volkswagen has continued to do well in its home market and the rest of Europe. It is also the leading seller of cars in China, competing with GM (NYSE: GM) for the top spot. But, since it sold its compact Beetle sedan here in the 1960s, VW has become a nothing brand in the U.S.

Now the management of VW wants to change all of that, and compete with Toyota (NYSE: TM) for U.S. share using high quality, no-frills cars. According to The Wall Street Journal, Volkswagen has said it wants to sell about 1 million cars annually in the U.S. by 2018, compared with about 330,000 last year.

VW plans to add 12 new models over the next several years and keep prices of models like the Jetta and Passat below comparable Toyota models.

And, that will pick up market share in the U.S.? VW, dream on.

VWs don't sell well in the U.S. because no one wants to buy them. It is not as if the company does not have plenty of dealerships. Its luxury model, Audi, does just fine. But how many car buyers say, "I just have to have one of those new VWs"?

The German car maker is also coming up against stronger products from the locals, Ford (NYSE: F) and GM. Selling cars in the U.S. is part of a life-and-death struggle for them to hold sales in their home market.

VW should keep its focus on China.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

A closer look at Ford's 2nd quarter earnings

Here is some background for Brian White's liveblogging of Ford's (NYSE: F) second quarter earning results:

Ford surprised the market by announcing black ink for the second quarter of 2007, with net income of $750 million, or $0.31 EPS on $44 billion revenue, which was a 6% increase over 2006 2nd quarter.

Unfortunately the increase in revenue was primarily due to currency exchange, mix and net pricing improvements -- sales volume actually was lower than 2006. The profit was due in part to cost reductions of $600 million, including the elimination of 6,400 jobs.

Backing out special items, mostly the sale of Aston Martin and deferred gains on certain hedges at Jaguar and Land Rover, and profits finished at $258 million, or $0.13 EPS. The paltry earnings won't do much to excite a market convinced that the company has taken only the first few initial steps in their climb back to economic viability.

Continue reading A closer look at Ford's 2nd quarter earnings

A week of warnings and opportunities for the next quarter

There were several events during the last week that are almost certainly clues to what is likely to happen in certain industries and the economy in general as Wall Street looks forward to the July through September period. The week was dominated by the launch of Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone and the extended glow for AT&T (NYSE: T), but in the broader picture, the news means very little.

Looking at other news:

Oil closed over $70 for the first time since late last summer. While the news may be good for Exxon (NYSE: XOM) and other big exploration and refinery companies, it will hurt industries from air freight to automotive.

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) hit a 52-week high, a sign that Wall Street believes the PC industry may have a good second half, especially with Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) also trading near its high point.

An unusually broad number of stocks representing several important industries hit 52-week lows. While it would be expected that home builders like Beazer (NYSE: BZH) would struggle in a poor housing market, Blackstone (NYSE: BX), Circuit City (NYSE: CC), and one of the nation's largest banks, Wachovia (NYSE: WB) also touched bottoms.

Continue reading A week of warnings and opportunities for the next quarter

Venice Beach as economic indicator: Consumer spending slows

shoppers crowd venice beachAfter a long walk on the Venice Beach boardwalk (CA) yesterday I may have gotten notice of things to come. Speaking to several artists on the beach, I learned that they are having a tough summer. Business is noticeably slower this summer than last. They speculate that fuel prices and fewer people wanting to fly has reduced tourism and their customer base.

I have no way of knowing if there is a direct correlation but I can report that the boardwalk was packed and parking was hard to find. Based on my observations, it does not seem like a viable explanation. How could the beach be as crowded as ever and business be slower?

The answer is simple, although unscientific: Consumer priorities and discretionary spending have been altered. The number of people visiting the boardwalk may not be appreciably different. People still love the beach, the sites, the sounds and the people-watching. However, after spending more on gas to get there, ($3.15 to $3.45 per gallon) and paying more for parking ($5 if you walk a distance, to $15) they have less in their pockets. They buy hot dogs, pizza, ice cream, beer, and t-shirts. They have less money to spend on art, jewelery, and novelties.

Why Venice Beach as an indicator?

Continue reading Venice Beach as economic indicator: Consumer spending slows

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 05:41 AM

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