The canary in the coal mine for the economy is business capital spending.
IT spending? What IT spending?
According to ChangeWave Research surveys, spending is flat or falling.
There are no gee-whiz products to buy and install, the number of employees is shrinking, meaning there are lots of extra computers and spare server capacity lying about. The number of licensees for a software license is shrinking and so on.
What's worse, IT spending is contracting even faster overseas, and these markets account for more than 50% of the revenue for most big U.S. tech outfits.
Be sure to read all 7 reasons the stock market isn't going up any time soon.
Michael Shulman is a contributor to OptionsZone.com.