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Economic espionage comes to trial, first time with a jury

True entrepreneurs will go to any length to get their companies off the ground. And, they're known for accepting the consequences of the risks they take. Some businesses never make it to launch, never bring in a dime, never lead to that killer IPO. In even rarer cases, these adventures can put two people behind the defendants' table on charges of corporate espionage. Lan Lee, an American, and Yuefei Ge, a Chinese citizen, allegedly swiped computer chip blueprints and tried to gain Chinese government support for a startup using these illicit goods. Now, they could face up to 65 years on charges of corporate espionage.

Continue reading Economic espionage comes to trial, first time with a jury

Texas Instruments (TXN) plunges on pessimistic outlook

Shares of chip maker Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) have been falling this morning after the company cut its first-quarter sales and earnings outlook last night.

Texas Instruments blamed one of its key customers as it decided to slash orders. The only clue about this mysterious customer, whose name wasn't disclosed by the company, was that is a maker of wireless phones. Texas Instruments now expects first-quarter earning in a range between 41 cents and 45 cents per share, which is below analysts' predictions for quarterly profit of 46 cents per share. The company had previously predicted earnings of 43 cents to 49 cents.

Looking at revenue, the company forecast sales in a range between $3.21 billion and $3.35 billion, compared with its previous range of $3.27 billion to $3.55 billion. Its predictions were again below analysts' estimates of $3.40 billion, according to Thomson Financial.

Continue reading Texas Instruments (TXN) plunges on pessimistic outlook

Verichip's (CHIP) implant may be linked to cancer

taser gunIt seems that Verichip Corp (NASDAQ: CHIP) will have some fancy footwork to do in light of a recent study, which allegedly links subcutaneous data chip implants with aggressive malignant tumor growth as reported by Engadget. Have no fear though, I'm sure that Verichip will quickly release its own scientific report to fully discredit any assertion that chip implants aren't good for you. Currently, there are approximately 2,000 implant recipients in the United States. Never mind that the Japanese have yet to make the technology secure enough to protect a personal bus pass.

That's your future folks, the corporate world with the assistance of "well meaning" social engineers in government and your tax dollars, want to know where your pet is, where your car is, where you are and where every farm animal on the planet is at any given moment. Will it ever happen? Just you try to fight it.

With the alignment of Taser International Inc. (NASDAQ: TASR) and iRobot Corp. (NASDAQ: IRBT) to design and manufacture robotic mobile zapping devices for government agencies the world over, if you get too aggressive in your protests they'll just send a flying Roomba clone draped in a copy of the Patriot Act. Where's Issac Asimov when you need him?

Intel earnings: Ho-hum results

We have been blogging positively about Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) since May. However, with ho-hum results reported last night and recent stock appreciation, it may be time to look elsewhere for profits in the semiconductor space.

Intel reported very solid results but not strong enough to drive the stock much higher from here. As we've been blogging since Q1 earnings release, Intel's revenue and gross margins were about to ramp higher, but from listening to last night's results that growth is going to be muted. The company expects only 6% yoy revenue growth, little improvement in gross margin and free cash flow generation which will be difficult to forecast.

The most disturbing aspect of last night's call was Intel's forecast for flat operating expenditures for 2008. This means Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NYSE: AMD) is proving a more formidable competitor and not going to disappear as it has in the past when Intel has targeted market share. This could mean little-to-no revenue growth for 2008.

Also, stock repurchased during the quarter was a measly $100 million. Not a good number. The combination of massive slowdown in share repurchase and flat operating expenditure guidance means Intel is becoming concerned about its sources and uses of cash.

I would take the profits and move elsewhere. It looks like National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM) currently has the best growth profile in the semi space.

Don't forget about National Semiconductor

As the market rallies and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) gets one upgrade after another, do not forget about National Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: NSM).

National Semiconductor generated 62.5% gross margins in the most recent quarter, a huge number when considering the company is just coming out of a cyclical bottom. The trough gross margin in the most recent downturn was just 59%, an amazingly high number.

National Semi's ability to manage gross margins has increased its ability to generate cash during weak times and is the reason for the current $2.4 billion repurchase plan that was just announced. National Semi's market cap is just $9 billion.

Higher-end valued products are leading to higher ASPs and volume increases which translate into higher revenue, with billings up 16% and bookings up 33%. ROIC is above 20% and will be able to be maintained at that level, according to management.

National Semi's number are looking too powerful to pass up.

Finally! A Qualcomm defender waxes eloquent

It took three days but I finally received a comment in regard to the Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) chip controversy from a reader who had the brains to understand it is much better to educate us than it is to vainly call us names.

A reader who identified himself as tomtjm made a couple critical points, and I'm taking him by his words that he knows what he's talking about. Because tomtjm was so kind as to offer me his input free from derogatory jargon, he has thus earned the right to have his views brought right up here to the front page.

According to tomtjm, the patent issue which instigated the Qualcomm import ban resides not in the chip itself or its surrounding hardware but it is based upon the way in which the chip's accompanying software makes the chip function. The software gives "instructions" to the chip in regard to the ways of conserving power when the host unit is out of signal range.

To sum it up, tomtjm puts it this way: "Its not the phone... or the chip but the way they are used that's in violation... that function can be changed with a patch or work-around or whatever you want to call it."

If tomtjm is right, and I do believe he may be, then it should be a fairly simple matter for Qualcomm to put things right. If the QCOM chip can be made "acceptable" by simply rewriting its software instructions, then I think Qualcomm should send about sixteen attorneys into the offices of the ITC with a letter of corrective intent and a token payment for "punitive damages" and perhaps then we can put this whole matter behind us.

It just may be time for Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM) to "suck it up". There are a lot of people watching...

Gary E. Sattler holds no positions in any of the above mentioned companies.

Sprint uses the patch to quit Qualcomm chip habit?

I've heard of a patch for a tire, a patch on your jacket, a patch over your eye and I've heard of software patches, but a patch for a chip? That's a new one on me!

According to a story issued by Reuters, Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is using a software patch as a work-around to bypass the ITC ban on imports of mobile phones using a Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) chip that allegedly infringes on a Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM) technology patent. According to the way the story reads, it would seem that Sprint is assuming a lot of blue sky scenarios for itself. The comment by Sprint product manager Brita Horton, smacks of "in your face" corporate complacency. Brita Horton said that Sprint is unaffected by the ban and can bring out as many new devices as it wants. She bases the company's attitude upon a software "update" received from Qualcomm, which the chip maker itself concedes, would not be a guaranteed solution.

Additionally, there's no word from Verizon Wireless (NYSE: VZ) or Vodafone Group (London: VOD) confirming that those companies have also received software patches or have considered another work-around. Sine both companies are to be as deeply affected as Sprint by the import ban, one might hazard to suppose that both companies would quickly jump on a patch if it truly were a viable solution.

I'm sitting here thinking that Sprint just might be running a serious gambit right now in the form of a patch with dubious application suitability. The whole situation hints at the kind of thing you've seen when a kid plays one parent against the other:

" Yeah Dad, Mom said it would be fine!"

Who's afraid of the Qualcomm chip? 'Not me' says AT&T

The International Trade Commission (ITC) has banned imports of some cell phones containing chip technology from Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM). The ITC has said that the ban covers cell phones that infringe on a patent held by Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) and that were imported for sale after June 7. The majority of the cell phone import world is up in arms, claiming that the ban will do irreparable harm to the American consumer. Frankly, those that choose to infringe on patents shouldn't be importing technology they aren't ready to sit on when discovered.

James Gerace, spokesman for Verizon Wireless, claims that the ban "essentially attempts to freeze innovation in cell phones." A more accurate interpretation would be that the ban seeks to freeze piracy that circumvents innovation. A Red Herring article says that Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) has openly declared that it expects to sell 5 million phones this year that contain the infringing technology. That's a pretty bold statement by Sprint, and in light of the current ban, I think it's a pretty stupid statement also. That would be similar to me stopping at the local police station to tell them I plan on driving over the speed limit for 500 miles this year.

AT&T (NYSE: T) doesn't seem to care much about the cell phone ban. It has plenty of handsets available that don't contain the infringing chips. AT&T thought ahead and based the majority of its offering on a different technology. Might we call that decision prudent?

Meanwhile, as the pirates cry and whine about appeals and a stay of execution, Broadcom has eloquently made clear that it will consider discussion about licensing of the patent.

VeriChip: Ready for a breakout?

Is VeriChip (NASDAQ: CHIP) ready for a massive breakout? I sure think so. Put aside for a moment the vast and potentially divisive implications of the technology and look at it in a strictly business sense. VeriChip offers technology that is absolutely bursting with potential. The chip, implanted just beneath the skin on a subject's arm, is dormant until scanned using a reader to extract the contained data. The chip costs about $200 to install, plus between $20 and $80 annually, depending on the amount of information on it.

Pets and farm animals are already being chipped as a means of loss prevention and for quick identification. Now volunteer Alzheimer's patients can elect to be chipped to facilitate location, identification and provision of medical information in the event that they wander off or are otherwise separated from guardians or loved ones. Patients with certain chronic life threatening diseases are being solicited as subjects for the device and there are rumors afloat in the UK that soon parents will be solicited to offer up their children to the technology. Yet to be approved by insurance companies as a covered procedure, the concept is still relatively new for use in people but based on the ongoing push by the company and its placement of chip readers in the hands of doctors, insurance company approval is strictly a matter of time.

Continue reading VeriChip: Ready for a breakout?

Intel to increase buybacks

In April, we blogged twice that investors should start chipping away at the chip giant. However, it appears investors should become more aggressive as both sentiment and fundamentals are changing for the positive at Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC).

According to a report released by Citigroup's Glen Yeung, Intel is "likely to substantially accelerate" its share repurchase program in coming months. Historically, Intel has picked up its share repurchase program when earnings are about to re-accelerate.

Intel repurchased a measly $400 million worth of stock in the first quarter, but has $16.9 billion to go on its current repurchase program, according to Yeung.

We blogged in April that Intel was washed out, with not too many sellers remaining. In addition, it appeared gross margin expansion was on the horizon, another bullish sign for the stock. It is time to go from chipping away at Intel's stock and loading the truck up with the Santa Clara-based company. Intel has seriously wounded its nearest competitor AMD, once again, which means Intel has room to increase prices, margins and profits.

Newspaper wrap-up 5-18-07: GE nears deal to sell division

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:

Intel meets the street

Well I was right on this one -- I was expecting Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) to make $0.22 a share and -- after a reversal of previously accrued taxes which boosted earnings by 5 cents a share -- Intel met analysts' expectations.

While Brian White is providing the details of the conference call, here are some of the highlights. Intel first-quarter profit rose 19% and revenue slid at a slower pace than last year. Specifically, Intel's net income increased to $1.61 billion, or 27 cents a share, from $1.36 billion, or 23 cents, a year earlier. Revenue slipped 1% to $8.85 billion, following a 9% drop last year.

Intel beat its gross margin forecast -- it made 50.1% and forecast 49%. And it predicts a 48% margin in the future -- an uncomfortable drop.

But investors seem to like the results. Shares were up 1.4% during trading today and rose another 2% after-hours.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Intel.

Intel tightens the noose around Advanced Micro Devices

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) plans to cut prices on a number of its chips on April 22. Some prices will drop as much as $100-200 per unit. High inventories have already driven Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) to drop prices on some processors by 30-35%.

The difference between the two companies is that AMD cannot afford to see its margins squeezed any further. Over the course of the last three years, AMD has been able to take 25% of the processor market for servers and PCs. As Intel introduced more competitive products, however, AMD has had to rely on price as its sole weapon in keeping its piece of the pie.

The toll on AMD is clear in the stock price. AMD shares had peaked at over $42 in early 2006 as investors became euphoric about its progress vis-a-vis Intel. Yet, the financial cost of staying in the game against a much larger company became clear as each quarter passed and AMD shares dropped below $13, where they trade today.

Investors are concerned about Intel's costs of competition as well. Still, while INTC stock is flat over the last year, AMD shares are off over 60%.

There is also talk about AMD running short on cash. It spent $5.6 billion last year to buy graphics chip firm ATI Technologies. Forbes recently published a story saying AMD may be so short on cash that it will have to go to the capital markets to improve its balance sheet.

All roads point to a very bad year for AMD. If Intel is now cutting prices to keep market share as well, it is hard to say where the bottom is.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Analyst initiations 3-27-07: Callaway Golf, Amgen & Genentech initiated today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Callaway Golf Co (ELY), Genentech, Inc (DNA), LSI Logic Corp (LSI) and Evergreen Solar, Inc (ELSR) were today's more notable initiations.
  • Merriman initiated Callaway Golf Co (NYSE: ELY) with a Buy rating and believes new management could get the company back on track.
  • Genentech (NYSE:DNA) was initiated at Prudential with a Neutral rating and $92 target. The firm believes the lack of a new product launch before 2010 is a concern for long-term growth.
  • American Technology believes shares of LSI Logic (NYSE: LSI) are undervalued, initiating the company with a Buy rating and $13 target, given synergies and revenue opportunities from the merger with Agere Systems, Inc (AGR).
  • Bank of America initiated Evergreen Solar Inc (NASDAQ: ESLR) with a Sell rating and $8 target to reflect the lack of visibility on its growth, which puts the company at a competitive disadvantage.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Salary.com, Inc (NASDAQ: SLRY) was initiated at Pacific Crest and Wachovia with an Outperform rating and at Thomas Weisel with an Overweight rating.
  • Kaufman Brothers started VeriChip Corp (NASDAQ: CHIP) with a Buy rating, believing the company's growth position is compelling given its patented, FDA-approved microchip that can be implanted into humans for a variety of applications.
  • Citigroup started Amgen, Inc (NASDAQ: AMGN) with a Hold rating and $64 target.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Intel bottoming out?

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC), the huge microprocessor company, has held up pretty well in the most recent stock market correction. Despite a good drop in all the major stock indices, Intel budged little -- a sign all the sellers could be done dumping this stock.

From Intel's most recent quarterly conference call, what shocked me most was the growth in the demand for microprocessors. The presumption on Wall Street is with Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ: AMD) doing an outstanding job coming up with new products the past few years and PC growth moderating considerably, it was hard to see how the chip giant would grow again.

However, the move to notebooks and the use of dual-core processors has created a big uptick in demand. While the per-unit pricing on dual-core processors is considerably less than the traditional single-core processor, the new fabs that Intel has constructed to manufacture these chips allows Intel to produce these chips for considerably less.

While this Fly has been cautious on semiconductors, with Intel apparently a washed out stock, with all the sellers gone, it is a good time to jump into the chip giant. I cannot remember the last time someone mentioned buying Intel's stock. This could be a good contrarian indicator.

My suggestion is to start buying Intel's stock and ride the seasonal up tick in demand.

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Last updated: November 24, 2009: 05:45 PM

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