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Time to scoop up some shares of Lilly

Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable, global trend as a support. And with the aforementioned in mind, Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) is worth a review.

In general, analysts see a 5-7% revenue gain in FY2009 for Lilly, led by growth in sales of branded drugs Cymbalta, Humalog, Cialis, and Alimta. Meanwhile, sales of Zyprexa and Gemzar are likely to decline this year.

Continue reading Time to scoop up some shares of Lilly

Eli Lilly earnings pleasantly surprise

Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), a company that makes money by treating depression, raised the spirits of Wall Street today, Eli Lilly exceeded analyst expectations for second quarter earnings and raised its projections for the rest of the year.

After backing out the acquisition cost of Hypnion Inc. and Ivy Animal Health, adjusted earning hit $0.90 per share, compared to expectations in the $0.80-0.82 range. The company also raised its 2007 year-end projection for adjusted earnings to $3.40-3.50, slightly above analyst expectations.

Strong quarterly earnings were attributed in part to the sales of anti-depressant drug Cymbalta, up 67% to over $500 million, Zyprexa, up 9% to $1.2 billion, and Cialis, that is still swelling worldwide. Recently announced results of studies that found little or no relationship between the SSRI class of antidepressants and birth defects have also strengthened the company's outlook.

However, many of the reservations Bloggingstocks' Victoria Erhart expressed a few months ago still remain valid, and the long-term health of the pharmaceutical company may be dependent on restocking a less than burgeoning drug pipeline.

The stock took a jump on news of the earnings report, up over $1, or more than 2%, in midday trading.

Eli Lilly's problems go beyond quarterly results

Drug manufacturer Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) has got serious problems that go beyond its lackluster first quarter earnings.

During the first quarter.profit fell 39%, despite the fact that revenues rose 14%.. In spite of the fall-off in profits, management has raised full-year sales projections, and expects earnings of $2.63-$2.73 for the year. But that's only part of the story.

Eli Lilly recently yanked its European application to sell Arxxant, a drug to reduce diabetes-related eye diseases. Scaling back additional European operations incurred charges of $0.08 per share. Lilly still faces more than 1,000 lawsuits related to use of its antipsychotic drug Zyprexa. The legal bill for this drug has already surpassed the $1 billion mark. The end is not yet in sight as Lilly continues to sell the drug in selected markets.

Additional worrisome news is that Lilly does not have a robust drug pipeline. There aren't many drugs in advanced stages of the approval process. Its next big drug to market might be prasugrel, useful in treating heart disease. This drug is only in preliminary trials.

Lilly figures if it cannot produce its own drugs, it can acquire them from others. Lilly bought Icos Corporation in 1Q 2007 for $2.3 billion, $0.29 per share in charges. It is too soon to tell whether this acquisition was a bargain or an additional liability.

In what may be a snapshot of modern American society, two of Eli Lilly's top selling drugs are Cymbalta, used to treat anxiety disorder, and Cialis, used to treat erectile dysfunction. Sales of the anti-depressant Cymbalta rose 89% to $441.8 million. Sales of Cialis were up 19% to $265.8 million for the quarter.

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Last updated: November 14, 2009: 10:56 AM

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