According to people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal reported that Federal Hole Loan Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: FRE) --Freddie Mac -- is considering raising capital by selling up to $10B in new shares to investors. The sources believe this effort may have the potential to avoid a full-blown government rescue.
The Wall Street Journal also reported that, amid U.S. investigations into allegations it helped American clients evade taxes, UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) said some Swiss-based private bankers will stop offering American clients Swiss bank accounts and other services.
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) will close store in 44 states plus the District of Columbia, including 88 closures in California, 59 in Florida and 57 in Texas, the Wall Street Journal reported.
Reuters noted that, according to a person with knowledge of the plans, Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) could renew talks over News Corporation's (NYSE: NWS) Web properties if Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) gets in the way of discussions with Time Warner Inc's (NYSE: TWX) AOL. Yahoo! is in contact with News Corp. about the assets, but the search engine's talks with Time Warner about AOL are more advanced, the source added.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cleveland Cliffs, Synthesis Energy and Bookham Tech were today's noteworthy initiations:
KeyBanc believes the pullback in Cleveland Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) shares is an attractive entry point given acceleration of North American Iron Ore pellet contract pricing and increased pellet production into 2009. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $180 target.
Stanford believes the Synthesis Energy's (NASDAQ: SYMX) U-GAS technology offers several advantages, including the ability to use waste/low grade coal and operational cost savings and intitiated shares with a Buy rating and $12 target.
Morgan Keegan started Bookham Tech (NASDAQ: BKHM) with an Outperform rating and said the company continues to benefit from a expanding customer base, timing of new product introductions, and new products.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Arris (NASDAQ: ARRS), Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN) and Harmonic (NASDAQ: HLIT) were initiated at RBC Capital with Sector Perform ratings.
Citigroup assumed Delphi Financial (NYSE: DFG) with a Hold rating and $23 target.
VanceInfo (NYSE: VIT) was initiated with an Outperform rating and $12 target at Oppenheimer.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF), founded 160 years ago, is a global mining operator. It's the biggest producer of iron ore pellets in North America and is a major supplier of metallurgical coal. Over the past year, Cleveland's stock price has gone from $28.20 to a high of $121.95. No doubt, the company has benefited handsomely from the surge in the steel market.
Today, Cleveland has offered to pay $128 per share – a cool $10 billion – for Alpha Natural Resources, Inc. (NYSE: ANR), a high-quality Appalachian coal supplier. The expected pro forma enterprise value of the merged companies, which will be called Cliffs Natural Resources, is expected to be about $22 billion.
The metrics on the deal look enticing. By 2009, Cliffs should have revenues of $10 billion and EBITDA of $4.7 billion. Moreover, by 2010, there are expected to be at least $200 million in annual synergies.
All in all, the deal will increase scale, which is becoming essential as the steel industry consolidates. For example, Cliffs will have reserves of about one billion tons of iron ore and one billion tons of metallurgical and thermal coal.
ANR stockholders will receive 0.95 CLF common shares and $22.23 in cash. Based on CLF closing price on July 15, ANR shares would receive $128.12 per share.
ANR August option implied volatility of 86 is above its 26-week average of 64 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) shares are trading nearly 8% higher in premarket action after announcing earnings forecast that was better analysts had expected.
Seagate (NYSE: STX) shares, however, dropped over 9% in after-hours trading Tuesday, after it forecast first quarter earnings below Street's estimates.
Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) saw its shares jump 9.44% Tuesday. Reports say that SK Telecom is in talks with Sprint over potential deals.
Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) said it's going to buy Alpha Natural (NYSE: ANR) for $10 billion in cash and stock, putting a 35% premium on Alpha's stock. ANR shares are trading 27% higher in premarket action. CLF's, 4.5% lower.
"As steel prices continue to climb, one company that is set to profit handsomely is Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE: CLF)," says Bill Martin.
Adding to the stock's appeal, the editor of BullMarket.com explains, "Event-driven hedge fund Harbinger Capital has been an aggressive buyer of the stock." Here's his review of the situation.
"Shares of Cleveland-Cliffs have been on fire, up over 150% year over year and they have more than doubled year to date. The Cleveland, Ohio-based company is the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America and a major supplier of metallurgical coal to the global steel-making industry.
"Cleveland-Cliffs benchmarks iron ore prices to the price of steel, so when steel prices rise, so do iron ore prices. The company said all of its North American iron ore mines are producing at or near capacity.
"Cleveland-Cliffs ended the first quarter of 2008 with $186.5 million of cash and cash equivalents and $600 million in borrowings outstanding under an $800 million credit facility. The company expects to generate approximately $700 million in cash from operations in FY08 as it sells through its inventory.
"Event-driven hedge fund Harbinger Capital was an aggressive buyer of the stock in May, paying between $76.96 to $104.75 a share to add to its position in the name. For the month, the firm spent approximately $338.5 million to acquire nearly 3.7 million shares.
Cleveland Cliffs (NYSE: CLF), a producer of iron ore pellets, is at $116.55 in pre-open trading, above its close of $111.32.
Deutsche Bank says "Upping PT to US $150 on strong bulks." CLF over all option implied volatility of 61 is above its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, indicating larger share price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the slide has to end somewhere -- eventually, we'll see a bid.
Is someone having a margin call? That's what I keep thinking as I watch the sickening slide in Motorola's (NYSE: MOT) (Cramer's Take) stock. How can Motorola go down so much? This is a company with a lot of money and some businesses that are doing excellently. It has great existing contracts with telcos.
But someone sells it and sells it hard every day. It almost feels that Carl Icahn has a margin call, post-Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) (Cramer's Take), or he has to sell MOT to fund Yahoo!, and that doesn't seem right.
Otherwise, how can we explain the endless selling? Sure, as Piper said yesterday, they are losing share in America, but does anyone think this company is going away? Does anyone think this company is some sort of regional bank with its destiny completely out of its hands, that reliance on housing coming back will determine its viability? This is only a $16 billion company now with sales that are almost twice that?
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says that rebuilding from natural disasters can alter the growth picture for a country.
Is it Katrina all over again? Or is it bigger? Much bigger? That's what I am thinking about this Chinese earthquake.
Katrina distorted the U.S.'s growth pattern for more than a full year. The raw materials, the effort, the work, the reconstruction affected businesses from small-scale retail to refining and infrastructure.
We don't really know how China works, although a lot of people tell us they do. To me, the Chinese are always a day away from revolution or civil war and the trick of the government is to stay one step ahead of the posse. (Chinese hands will dispute that, but you have to appreciate that it takes a special skill to be wrong for more than a century and still maintain credibility.)
That means massive reconstruction: bricks, lumber, cement, steel and all the trimmings. Massive imports, not controlled by the Chinese and their little negotiation games like they play with iron and steel and coal. Just full-bore buying and something that could take growth for China back to the levels that everyone thought it couldn't absorb without more inflation.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Nvidia, Entropic Comm and Cleveland Cliffs were today's noteworthy initiations:
Piper initiated Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) with a Neutral rating and $23 target and believes the rate at which the company gained market share over the past two years is unsustainable. The firm expects EPS deceleration over the next few years.
Piper believes Entropic Comm (NASDAQ: ENTR) is a key benefactor from the general adoption of high definition video consumer goods, as well as from growth in multi-room DVRs. The firm assumed shares with a Buy rating and $10 target.
Cleveland Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) was started with a Buy rating and $135 target at Deutsche Bank. The firm believes CLF is a leveraged play on bulk commodities' momentum.
Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. And with the above in mind, Cleveland-Cliffs is worth an evaluation.
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) is the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America, and is also a major supplier of metallurgical coal to the global steelmaking industry.
Analysts like CLF's solid fundamentals, pricing power, and high customer retention rate.
Word is that there's more than one bid out for the satellite radio company. We know about the merger agreement with Sirius Satellite Radio Inc's (NASDAQ: SIRI), so who's the other party? Or, is there another party? Some are convinced it's just talk. No names are even floating around. But for XM to walk away from Sirius would cost them a $175M break-up fee. They'd have to really be serious about another offer to do that.
In May, Robert L .Chapman of Chapman Capital, the "activist investor", said Building Materials Holding Corp. should consider selling all or parts of itself. Then he upped his stake to 8.1% in the residential construction services provider. Now comes word that the company may have hired, or be in the process of hiring, a strategic advisor.
Cleveland Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) July implied volatility at 45 on report of Arcelor Mittal (NYSE: MT) interest. CLF, a producer of iron ore pellets, is recently up $2.83 to $79.28. CLF has a market cap of $3.2 billion. AMM.com reported MT is pursuing a deal for CLF. CLF July option implied volatility of 43 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) option volatility is flat on renewed Speculation. CRM, an on demand customer relationship management applications company, is recently up .73 to $46.28 on renewed takeover speculation. Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG)has been frequently mentioned as interested in CRM. The Cowen Group reiterated is Neutral rating on CRM. CRM July option implied volatility of 39 is near its 26-week average of 42 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.
Cleveland Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) -- volatility suggests Risk on renewed Speculation; CLF at record. CLF, a producer of iron ore pellets, is recently up $2.38 to $80.26. CLF has been frequently mentioned as an M&A target. CLF has a market cap of $3.3 billion. CLF call option volume of 2,960 contracts compares to put volume of 783 contracts. CLF June option implied volatility of 49 is above its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.
Pennsylvania REIT(NYSE: PEI) -- elevated implied volatility confirms buyout Speculation. PEI, with an investment focus on retail shopping malls and power and strip centers located in the Mid-Atlantic region of the U.S., is recently up $1.79 to $45.82. Take-over speculation is circulating on PEI this morning. PEI has a market cap of $1.66 billion with long term debt of $1.9 billion. PEI June option implied volatility of 39 is above its 22-week average of 20 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Think iron pellets. If you do, you won't be alone. Lots of options folk think they've caught a takeover candidate, and have been picking up bullish options all over. Is it steel industry consolidation fever? Most probably. Rio Tinto plc ADS (NYSE: RTP) and Brazil's CVRD have been named as predators. Speculation about the company's future actually began late last summer for a company with a market cap of just $3B, which happens to be the largest producer of iron ore pellets in all of North America, and a key part of producing steel. The stock has been heading up for about seven months now. Makes sense. NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPORATION (NYSE: NSC)
Higher and higher goes the stock for a few reasons: Railroad stocks look to be buyout candidates, and some analysts are focused on the Southern, the fourth largest railroad in the U.S. The other reason? Mr. Warren Buffett also owns 6.4M shares worth over $300M. Good enough?
There's speculation that the Inns are in buyout mode. The stock recently hit a 52-week high, and has been going up for about six weeks. Some who follow the company think it's definitely worth more than the $20 a share range.
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