The market tried to hit a new two-plus-year high again today. Anything cautious for the markets is being discounted and valuation concerns are out the door. It seems the bulls are in charge -- regardless of what comes down the pipe in the Middle East, Japan, the PIIGS and elsewhere. Even a goal of only aiming to cut foreign energy dependence by one-third did not rattle markets. The TARP even made money. Maybe we can just convince Bernanke to go ahead and raise rates to get the pain over with, once and for all.
Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow Jones: 12,350.61 +71.60 (0.58%)
S&P500: 1,328.26 +8.82 (0.67%)
Nasdaq: 2,776,78 +19.90 (0.72%)
Top Analyst Calls
clne posts
FeedClosing Bell: When No Bears Can Be Found (AAPL, CCJ, CAT, CEPH, CVX, CLNE, DELL, UTA)
Clean Energy Fuels Is Trying Investors' Patience
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE), which I first discussed here on November 8, 2010, at a price of $14.75, downtrended this winter in bear-hug fashion, trying investors' patience, but the stock appears to have held support near $11.60.
Note: I consider Clean Energy to be a high-risk stock not suitable for moderate or low-risk investors. Don't consider CLNE if you can't tolerate a 30% to 50% drop in the stock's price: it could happen.
Continue reading Clean Energy Fuels Is Trying Investors' Patience
Clean Energy Fuels: For High-Risk Investors Only
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE), first discussed here on November 2, 2010, at a price of $14.75, have downtrended in minor bear-hug fashion, but I still like the business model. Note: I consider Clean Energy to be a high-risk stock not suitable for moderate/low-risk investors. Don't consider CLNE if you can't tolerate a 30% to 50% drop in the stock's price; it could happen.
Clean Energy Fuels designs, builds, operate and maintains natural gas fueling stations, providing compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquid natural Gas (LNG) to clients. The company currently operates more than 200 fueling station nationally that fuel more than 20,000 vehicles.
Continue reading Clean Energy Fuels: For High-Risk Investors Only
Clean Energy Fuels: Ready for the Natural Gas-Propelled World
Readers of this space know that one preferred investment includes natural gas and natural gas services plays, and one operation worth a review is Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE). Note: I consider Clean Energy to be a high-risk stock not suitable for moderate-risk/low-risk investors. Don't consider CLNE if you can't tolerate a 30% to 50% drop in the stock's price: it could happen.
Clean Energy Fuels designs, builds, operates, and maintains natural gas fueling stations, which provide compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquid natural Gas (LNG) to clients. The company currently operates more than 200 fueling stations nationally that fuel more than 20,000 vehicles.
Continue reading Clean Energy Fuels: Ready for the Natural Gas-Propelled World
Analyst Calls: A, CQB, DDR, DF, LDK, NOC, RIMM, S, STRA, TTM, WDC ...
- Barclays upgraded Western Digital (WDC) to overweight from equal weight.
- LDK Solar (LDK) was upgraded to buy from hold at Needham.
- Legg Mason (LM) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Macquarie.
- Agilent (A) was upgraded to buy from hold at Stifel Nicolaus.
- Wells Fargo upgraded Dean Foods (DF) to outperform from market perform and Developers Diversified (DDR) to market perform from underperform.
- Deutsche Bank also upgraded Developers Diversified, to buy from hold.
- Northrop Grumman (NOC) was upgraded to sell from conviction sell at Goldman.
- MYR Group (MYRG) was upgraded to buy from hold at BB&T.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: A, CQB, DDR, DF, LDK, NOC, RIMM, S, STRA, TTM, WDC ...
Patterson-UTI Calls and iShares Investment-Grade Corporate Bond Puts Heating Up
Patterson-UTI faces resistance just below $17. The stock closed Tuesday at $16.19, up 9.42% during the past month.
Option traders also look like they are preparing for a bearish move on iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corp Bond (LQD). Traders bought 10,043.00 new put option contracts -- 7.92 times the average volume -- on the stock. A full 100% of these trades also came in on the ask price.
The stock closed Tuesday at $111.52, up 1.09% during the past month.
Continue reading Patterson-UTI Calls and iShares Investment-Grade Corporate Bond Puts Heating Up
Cramer on BloggingStocks: Exxon just changed the energy game
Do you think Exxon (XOM) (Cramer's Take) is going to buy XTO (XTO) (Cramer's Take) -- the best of the best -- if it doesn't see the writing on the wall that it needs to have natural gas as part of its filling station repertoire? Do you think Exxon just wants to be in the home heating business? Do you think the most conservative company in the industry is all about just picking up some good domestic reserves when it has ignored doing so for years?
This is the biggest game-changing transaction in the nat gas patch that I can recall, because Exxon just endorsed both its reliability and its cleanliness. Remember, you do not see Exxon bidding on the Iraq fields. While it is doing some exploration across the globe, you bring in XTO because you want to dominate in natural gas at home.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Exxon just changed the energy game
Earnings highlights: Abercrombie, Blockbuster, Disney, Macy's, Walmart ...
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:
- Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) lower Q3 results still topped expectations and sent shares higher.
- Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) posted much better-than-expected Q4 earnings, the first profit in a year.
- AstraZeneca (AZN) received an analyst's downgrade due to concerns over its earnings prospects.
- Blackstone Group (BX) received an analyst's upgrade following the company's Q3 results.
- Blockbuster Inc. (BBI) widened its net loss in Q3 and revenue and same-stores sales declined.
- Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) shares declined after its Q3 numbers fell short of expectations.
- Consolidated Water Co. Inc. (CWCO) earnings prospects for 2010 earned it an analyst upgrade.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Abercrombie, Blockbuster, Disney, Macy's, Walmart ...
Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) tumbles on Q3 loss
Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported third-quarter earnings yesterday evening, posting a loss of $18.46 million, or 31 cents per share, on revenue of $31.18 million. Analysts had forecast a 30-cent loss per share on revenue of $34.96 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CLNE.This morning, CLNE opened at $12.25. So far today the stock has hit a high of $12.25 and a low of $11.55. As of 11:40, CLNE is trading at $11.87, down 97 cents (-7.6%). The chart for CLNE looks bearish.
Continue reading Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) tumbles on Q3 loss
2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade
This oil trade takes the cake.
At the zenith of the speculative bubble in the oil patch -- when crude hit $147 per barrel in July -- you had everyone from T. Boone Pickens to Prince Alaweed touting $200-per-barrel oil by the end of the year.
Crude is now trading around $40 -- down $107 per barrel in less than six months. Unbelievable!
And this latest drop comes after OPEC voted to cut daily production by an eye-popping 4.2 billion barrels per day.
Looks like the world is awash in crude oil.
Needless to say, those euphoric longs in the oil stocks got destroyed. Most energy stocks lost 50% to 70% of their value during the course of the sell-off in crude.
And remember those television commercials with T. Boone and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) CEO Aubrey McClendon pushing for the expansion of natural gas?
Well, natural gas prices are down 60% from their mid-year highs.
If you put money into T. Boone's Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE) as recently as September, when the stock was trading at $20, you now own Mr. Pickens' vision for $5.
Continue reading 2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade
Closing Bell: Despite hurricane and oil, Dow gains
For all practical purposes, today was a win when you consider how Hurricane Gustav's threat to the oil infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico is looking like a real scare. The August 5 FOMC Minutes showed very little chance that rate hikes are imminent, but they showed a clueless Fed.
Surprisingly, there was a slight improvement in consumer confidence, and new home sales in July rose slightly on falling prices. Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,413.11 (+26.86)
NASDAQ 2,361.97 (-3.62)
S&P 500 1,271.39 (+4.55)
10YR T-NOTE 3.784% (-0.007%)
52-week lows
Top Analyst Calls
Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC) rose 6% to $61.54 after the company said that it was going to buy back up to $5 billion common stock, or 18% of the company, out to August 2011. The company is also increasing its capital spending plan for 2009 and beyond.
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE) rose more than 10% to $15.65 after the close because Jim Cramer called this one as having government backing since Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her husband invested $50,000 to $100,000 in this stock in 2007.
Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) traded higher by more than 6% to $28.18 after announcing that it was going to buy back up to $1 billion in common stock after its $1 billion buy-back plan from November 2007 has already been utilized.
Natural Gas Vehicles: Cleaner, cheaper and available
With the price of fuel growing each week, the search for America's next energy alternative grows even stronger. WR Hambrecht looked at Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE), a California-based supplier of liquid & natural gas for vehicles, and they think they found a hidden gem. Clean Energy provides solutions for fleets to run on natural gas as an alternative to gasoline or diesel. The company currently operates in 10 states and Canada, with plans to begin operation in Peru later this year. The first quarter of 2007 was the company's first profitable quarter since 2001, generating revenues by selling compressed natural gas, liquid natural gas, and to a lesser extent, by building, operating and maintaining fueling stations. They currently serve over 200 commercial fleets with 13,000 natural gas vehicles, including Waste Management Inc (NYSE: WMI), Enterprise Rent-a-Car, UPS Inc's (NYSE: UPS) fleet in Dallas and the Port of Los Angeles.
The key to Clean Energy's success lies in the continued increase in crude prices and the public's desire for cheaper alternatives. According to Hambrecht, natural gas vehicles emit "50-70% fewer emissions, save $5,000-$17,000 in fuel costs annually and use widely distributed and domestically available natural gas" compared to the standard vehicles used to day.
Not a bad start.
Clean Energy is currently in its growth phase and Hambrecht initiated coverage of the alternative energy stock with a Buy rating and an $18 target. They project the company to earn $0.03 in 2007 and $0.23 in 2008. Hambrecht believes Clean Energy's valuation, currently up $0.12 to $13.00 in mid-day trading, doesn't take into account the upside potential from the natural gas vehicle roll-out and estimates an addressable market over $20 billion.
With gas prices rising so fast, there's no reason natural gas should not be outfitted for commercial vehicles, but for the general populace as well.
Analyst initiations 7-05-07: CSUN, HLCS and ORCL
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Oracle Corp (ORCL), Helicos BioSciences (HLCS), Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) and China Sunergy (CSUN) topped today's noteworthy initiations: - Benchmark started Oracle Corp (NASDAQ: ORCL) with a Hold rating.
- JP Morgan initiated Helicos BioSciences (NASDAQ: HLCS) with a Neutral rating based on the potential of its single-molecule genetic sequencing platform but noted that commercialization carries near-term risk.
- Hambrecht believes Clean Energy Fuels' (NASDAQ: CLNE) total addressable market is over $20B given the company's focus on natural gas vehicle fuel for return-to-base applications and started shares with a Buy rating.
- Jefferies wants to see China Sunergy (NASDAQ: CSUN) demonstrate that its silicon wafer suppliers can meet aggressive ramping plans before becoming more positive on the stock, starting shares off with a Hold rating...
- Lehman started Greenlight Capital Re (NASDAQ: GLRE) with an Equal Weight rating.
- Cellcom Israel (NYSE: CEL) and Partner Communications (NYSE: PTNR) were initiated with Buy ratings at Citigroup.
Clean Energy Fuels IPO a bit tamer than hoped
Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE) accomplished a mildly solid showing with their IPO on Friday, although the project was scaled back from previous expectations. Well-known oil man T. Boone Pickens, principle shareholder of the company, had upped his expectations in March 2007 from $287.5 million initially to $354 million, as reported by Orange County Business Journal. The expected IPO share price had been in the $13 to $17 range on an anticipated volume of 20 million shares. On Friday, however, expectations were lowered and 10 million shares were sold at $12 and the shares rose in value marginally.
It's been speculated that economic conditions were mostly to blame for both the revised expectations as well as the tepid IPO performance. Clean Energy Fuels is an established company with at least some profitable history. The IPO is expected to fund growth in manufacturing capacity and product outlets, as well as to underwrite growth of the company's customer base. Clean Energy provides natural gas for municipal service trucks, buses, and other fleet vehicles. In 2006, Clean Energy had sales of $91 million but showed an operating loss of nearly $9 million. Currently the company has an estimated market value of about $600 million, and Mr. Pickens owns about 73% of the company.
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