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Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) tumbles on Q3 loss

CLNE logoClean Energy Fuels (CLNE - option chain) stock is trading lower today after the company reported third-quarter earnings yesterday evening, posting a loss of $18.46 million, or 31 cents per share, on revenue of $31.18 million. Analysts had forecast a 30-cent loss per share on revenue of $34.96 million. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CLNE.

This morning, CLNE opened at $12.25. So far today the stock has hit a high of $12.25 and a low of $11.55. As of 11:40, CLNE is trading at $11.87, down 97 cents (-7.6%). The chart for CLNE looks bearish.

Continue reading Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) tumbles on Q3 loss

2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade

This oil trade takes the cake.

At the zenith of the speculative bubble in the oil patch -- when crude hit $147 per barrel in July -- you had everyone from T. Boone Pickens to Prince Alaweed touting $200-per-barrel oil by the end of the year.

Crude is now trading around $40 -- down $107 per barrel in less than six months. Unbelievable!

And this latest drop comes after OPEC voted to cut daily production by an eye-popping 4.2 billion barrels per day.

Looks like the world is awash in crude oil.

Needless to say, those euphoric longs in the oil stocks got destroyed. Most energy stocks lost 50% to 70% of their value during the course of the sell-off in crude.

And remember those television commercials with T. Boone and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) CEO Aubrey McClendon pushing for the expansion of natural gas?

Well, natural gas prices are down 60% from their mid-year highs.

If you put money into T. Boone's Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE) as recently as September, when the stock was trading at $20, you now own Mr. Pickens' vision for $5.

Continue reading 2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade

Closing Bell: Despite hurricane and oil, Dow gains

For all practical purposes, today was a win when you consider how Hurricane Gustav's threat to the oil infrastructure in the Gulf of Mexico is looking like a real scare. The August 5 FOMC Minutes showed very little chance that rate hikes are imminent, but they showed a clueless Fed.

Surprisingly, there was a slight improvement in consumer confidence, and new home sales in July rose slightly on falling prices. Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA 11,413.11 (+26.86)
NASDAQ 2,361.97 (-3.62)
S&P 500 1,271.39 (+4.55)
10YR T-NOTE 3.784% (-0.007%)
52-week lows
Top Analyst Calls

Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC) rose 6% to $61.54 after the company said that it was going to buy back up to $5 billion common stock, or 18% of the company, out to August 2011. The company is also increasing its capital spending plan for 2009 and beyond.

Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
(NASDAQ: CLNE) rose more than 10% to $15.65 after the close because Jim Cramer called this one as having government backing since Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her husband invested $50,000 to $100,000 in this stock in 2007.

Coach Inc. (NYSE: COH) traded higher by more than 6% to $28.18 after announcing that it was going to buy back up to $1 billion in common stock after its $1 billion buy-back plan from November 2007 has already been utilized.

Natural Gas Vehicles: Cleaner, cheaper and available

With the price of fuel growing each week, the search for America's next energy alternative grows even stronger. WR Hambrecht looked at Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE), a California-based supplier of liquid & natural gas for vehicles, and they think they found a hidden gem.

Clean Energy provides solutions for fleets to run on natural gas as an alternative to gasoline or diesel. The company currently operates in 10 states and Canada, with plans to begin operation in Peru later this year. The first quarter of 2007 was the company's first profitable quarter since 2001, generating revenues by selling compressed natural gas, liquid natural gas, and to a lesser extent, by building, operating and maintaining fueling stations. They currently serve over 200 commercial fleets with 13,000 natural gas vehicles, including Waste Management Inc (NYSE: WMI), Enterprise Rent-a-Car, UPS Inc's (NYSE: UPS) fleet in Dallas and the Port of Los Angeles.

The key to Clean Energy's success lies in the continued increase in crude prices and the public's desire for cheaper alternatives. According to Hambrecht, natural gas vehicles emit "50-70% fewer emissions, save $5,000-$17,000 in fuel costs annually and use widely distributed and domestically available natural gas" compared to the standard vehicles used to day.

Not a bad start.

Clean Energy is currently in its growth phase and Hambrecht initiated coverage of the alternative energy stock with a Buy rating and an $18 target. They project the company to earn $0.03 in 2007 and $0.23 in 2008. Hambrecht believes Clean Energy's valuation, currently up $0.12 to $13.00 in mid-day trading, doesn't take into account the upside potential from the natural gas vehicle roll-out and estimates an addressable market over $20 billion.

With gas prices rising so fast, there's no reason natural gas should not be outfitted for commercial vehicles, but for the general populace as well.

Analyst initiations 7-05-07: CSUN, HLCS and ORCL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Oracle Corp (ORCL), Helicos BioSciences (HLCS), Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) and China Sunergy (CSUN) topped today's noteworthy initiations:
  • JP Morgan initiated Helicos BioSciences (NASDAQ: HLCS) with a Neutral rating based on the potential of its single-molecule genetic sequencing platform but noted that commercialization carries near-term risk.
  • Hambrecht believes Clean Energy Fuels' (NASDAQ: CLNE) total addressable market is over $20B given the company's focus on natural gas vehicle fuel for return-to-base applications and started shares with a Buy rating.
  • Jefferies wants to see China Sunergy (NASDAQ: CSUN) demonstrate that its silicon wafer suppliers can meet aggressive ramping plans before becoming more positive on the stock, starting shares off with a Hold rating...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Clean Energy Fuels IPO a bit tamer than hoped

Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ: CLNE) accomplished a mildly solid showing with their IPO on Friday, although the project was scaled back from previous expectations. Well-known oil man T. Boone Pickens, principle shareholder of the company, had upped his expectations in March 2007 from $287.5 million initially to $354 million, as reported by Orange County Business Journal. The expected IPO share price had been in the $13 to $17 range on an anticipated volume of 20 million shares. On Friday, however, expectations were lowered and 10 million shares were sold at $12 and the shares rose in value marginally.

It's been speculated that economic conditions were mostly to blame for both the revised expectations as well as the tepid IPO performance. Clean Energy Fuels is an established company with at least some profitable history. The IPO is expected to fund growth in manufacturing capacity and product outlets, as well as to underwrite growth of the company's customer base. Clean Energy provides natural gas for municipal service trucks, buses, and other fleet vehicles. In 2006, Clean Energy had sales of $91 million but showed an operating loss of nearly $9 million. Currently the company has an estimated market value of about $600 million, and Mr. Pickens owns about 73% of the company.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+20.0310,246.97
NASDAQ-2.982,151.08
S&P 500-0.071,093.01

Last updated: November 11, 2009: 06:39 AM

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