Last week, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) reported stellar quarterly results. Lots more third quarter reports from the big banks are due this week.

However, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate year-over-year earnings declines from Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: BK), BB&T Corp. (NYSE: BBT), M&T Bank Corp. (NYSE: MTB), Northern Trust Corp. (NASDAQ: NTRS), PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE: PNC), State Street Corp. (NYSE: STT), US Bancorp (NYSE: USB), and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC).

Burger King Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BKC) announced plans Wednesday to overhaul its 12,000 locations worldwide. The fast-food giant is seeking a sleeker, futuristic look that includes LCD-screen menus, rotating chandeliers, and corrugated metal and brick accents (see pictures at the above link) on the inside, as well as metal canopies and additional signs on the exterior.

The new upscale design, called 20/20, is expected to cost franchisees between $300,000 to $600,000 per restaurant. Some 60 locations have already been remodeled, including in Miami, Mexico City, Edinburgh, and Shanghai, and 75 more are expected to be completed by the end of 2010. All new restaurants will be built using the 20/20 design.

Analyst upgrades:

• Goldman said International Paper (NYSE: IP) is its top pick in the group citing leverage to early cycle containerboard. The firm upgraded shares to Conviction Buy from Buy and has a $26 target on the stock.
• Morgan Keegan upgraded Healthcare Realty Trust (NYSE: HR) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation and better-than-expected Q2 results.
• William Blair upgraded Harbin Electric (NASDAQ: HRBN) to Outperform from Market Perform as it believes the Chinese economy is likely to accelerate and the company's balance sheet is strengthened following the retirement of debt.
• Allstate (NYSE: ALL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• VeriSign (NASDAQ: VRSN) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
• Commercial Vehicle Group (NASDAQ: CVGI) was upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at JPMorgan.

One of the first movers seeing an uptick in spending due to increased consumer confidence is the restaurant space. Only a few diehards really like to stay home and cook. Dining out is a great way to escape. Even better is going to a restaurant for a meal that's affordable.

The fact that dining has suffered during this recession is indicative of how bad things really have been.

Given that confidence is rising, it's no surprise then that Landry's Restaurants (NYSE: LNY) has almost tripled in value since hitting bottom in early March.

Analyst upgrades:

• Baird upgraded Nike (NYSE: NKE) to Outperform from Neutral on expectations the company will benefit from the drop in the U.S. dollar and continued solid trends in athletic footwear. The firm raised its target on shares to $69 from $61.
  
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Temple-Inland (NYSE: TIN) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company is well positioned for cyclical turnaround in the Paper/Building Products space. The firm raised its target on shares to $19 from $11.
  
• Goldman upgraded Diageo (NYSE: DEO) to Buy from Neutral to reflect the current valuation and the company's exposure to emerging markets.
• Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at ING Group.
  
• Banco Santander (NYSE: STD) was lifted to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  
• Jackson Hewitt (NYSE: JTX) was upgraded at Oppenheimer to Outperform from Perform.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) posted a Q1 loss and announced a workforce reduction.
• ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) swung to it's first ever quarterly loss due to lower demand and a big write-down.
• Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (NASDAQ: BWLD) shares surged after it posted strong Q4 results.
• Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE: CMG) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings as revenue surged.
• Genzyme Corp. (NASDAQ: GENZ) topped Q4 earnings estimates, sending shares higher.
• Global Traffic Network Inc. (NASDAQ: GNET) weaker-than-expected Q2 results led to a downgrade.
• Level 3 Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: LVLT) shares fell despite its upside surprise for Q4.
• Lions Gate Entertainment (NYSE: LGF) posted a bigger-than-expected Q3 loss despite revenue growth.

Investors were sufficiently impressed with Chipotle Mexican Grill's (NYSE: CMG) fourth-quarter earnings.

The operator of more than 830 quick service Mexican restaurants said it earned $17 million, or 52 cents per share, in the quarter. That is compared to earnings of $17.5 million, or 53 cents per share, in the year-ago period.

When Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) reported a sharp drop in earnings for the third quarter last November, the stock plummeted to a 52-week low of $14.50 during the succeeding two months.

At the time, I suggested that the fundamentals at the company were so strong that the analysts downplaying the stock and the investors driving the price down were mistaken.

BWLD recovered in early December and held on to those gains for the first part of 2009. With the release of the fourth-quarter earnings report yesterday, the stock has added another 30%-plus to its price.

Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) closed at $51.31. CMG is scheduled to report Q4 on February 11. CMG February call option implied volatility is at 82, puts are at 91; above its 26-week average of 57, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement. CMG puts are more expensive than puts because CMG is difficult to borrow.

Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD) closed at $22.67. BWLD, an operator and franchisor of 564 restaurants, is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on February 11. BWLD February 22 straddle is priced at $3.95, March 22 straddle is priced at $5.20. BWLD February option implied volatility is at 117, March is at 85; above its 26-week average of 80, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

As the reigning king of the fast food industry, McDonald's Corp. (NYSE: MCD) has consistently demonstrated its adroitness in addressing changing economic conditions and consumer preferences.

The company's fourth-quarter earnings report provided a stark testimonial to the effectiveness of McDonald's strategy and management. Reporting earnings of 87 cents per share for the quarter, MCD exceeded the 2007 fourth-quarter results after adjusting for a 2007 tax bonus to earnings of 33 cents per share.

The company reported a 3% drop in revenues for the quarter. Excluding currency exchange rates, the global company reported an increase in revenues of 5% for the period.

Analyst upgrades:

• Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Shanda Interactive (NASDAQ: SNDA) to Outperform from Perform following the company's better-than-expected quarter to reflect its growth acceleration in the casual games platform and margin improvements.
  
• SAIC (NYSE: SAI) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform following the solid Q2 report and guidance.
  
• Susquehanna upgraded Zumiez (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) to Positive from Neutral citing positive August comps, revised merchandising, easier comps, and solid financial position.
• Goldman Sachs upgraded Pharm Product Development (NASDAQ: PPDI) and Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ: STLD) to Buy from Neutral.
  
• Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.

Analyst downgrades:

• Morgan Stanley downgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment sector to In-Line from Attractive citing optimistic expectations for Q4 orders following the recent bounce in stocks. The firm downgraded Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) to Underweight from Overweight and KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) KLAC to Equal Weight from Overweight.

Analyst upgrades:

• Jefferies upgraded shares of Ensco International (NYSE: ESV) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they find the company's long-term EPS growth and potential upside from the GOM/Mexico jack-up market compelling.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) to Outperform from Market Perform following the better-than-expected Q2 report. The firm raised Juniper's target to $29 from $27.
  
• Friedman Billings upgraded shares of Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation following the recent weakness. Southwestern's target was raised to $43 from $40.
• Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill.
  
• Merrill also upgraded Delta (NYSE: DAL) to Buy from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades:

• Baird downgraded Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) to Neutral from Outperform following the company's weak Q2 report and guidance.
• Merriman cut Nautilus Group (NYSE: NLS) to Sell from Neutral to reflect the company's dependence on the consumer home fitness market at a time when consumer spending trends are weakening. The firm believes shares are overvalued and could potentially decline to the $4.00-$4.50 level.
• E.W. Scripps (NYSE: SSP) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.
  
• HSBC lowered Daimler AG (NYSE: DAI) to Neutral from Overweight.
  
• Epicor Software (NASDAQ: EPIC) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at KeyBanc.

U.S. stock futures were lower Friday morning, a day after a selloff triggered by housing data. Today investors are bracing for more housing data at 10:00 a.m. EDT after already hearing that foreclosures soared 121% during the second quarter. Other point of interest will be durable goods data reported an hour before the opening bell. Meanwhile, oil continued the steady climb that started Thursday as the dollar weakens, trading above $126 a barrel. It's Friday, and no many earnings reports are due.

While there aren't many earnings reports today, there are a few including Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and Black & Decker (NYSE: BDK) among others.

Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) shares are tanking over 44% to $5 after after it cut its earnings outlook significantly on softer demand for its plastic shoes. With all those knockoffs around, is it any wonder? Robert W. Baird downgraded Crocs from Outperform to Neutral, slashing the target price from $21 to $5.

Meanwhile, Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) surged 12% in premarket trading after the company not only beat estimates when reporting quarterly results Thursday, but also increased its sales forecast for the third-quarter much higher than analyst estimates. Friedman Billings and Citigroup both upgraded Juniper to Outperform and Buy respectively.

In deal news, Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) shareholders on Thursday approved a $17.9 billion takeover by private equity funds Thomas H. Lee Partners and Bain Capital. This ends the 20-month long effort.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Varian, Chipotle Mexican Grill and McDonald's were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Thomas Weisel downgraded shares of Varian (NASDAQ:VARI) to Market Weight from Overweight following the company's Q3 results to reflect manufacturing relocation issues and the slowdown in organic growth. The firm lowered their target to $47 from $70.
  
• Jefferies cut Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) to Hold from Buy following the company's in-line Q2 results, as they believe consumer headwinds and commodity inflation are likely to pressure EPS in coming quarters. The firm lowered their target to $80 from $100.
  
• Deutsche Bank downgraded McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) to Hold from Buy as they believe higher beef costs and slower traffic could drive reduced profitability and limit upside. The firm reduced their target to $63 from $67.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• AT&T (NYSE:T) was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
  
• Baird cut Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to Neutral from Outperform.
  
• Raymond James (NYSE:RJF) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.

This post is part of my series featuring established companies and the smaller, more aggressive or innovative rivals that may eventually succeed them.

The most impressive game-changer story in the fast food industry over the past 50 years is indisputably McDonald's (NYSE: MCD). Founder Ray Kroc was a visionary and pioneer in serving customers hot fast food at a reasonable price. Thirty thousand units later, McDonald's is still a growth story. But the better growth story is Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG), so much so, in fact, that McDonald's was an early investor in Chipotle! (McDonald's no longer owns shares of Chipotle.)

McDonald's went through some execution issues in the mid-1990s through 2003. The fast food industry was taking some hits from nutritionists, and the quality of food was suspect. McDonald's re-tooled its entire operation from store front to menu offerings. The standard hamburgers and those delicious french fries are still on the menu, but McDonald's has added a variety of salads, wraps and other healthier options. In the past five years the stock has nearly tripled in value, validating McDonald's make-over.

Chipotle, founded in 1993, has not had to re-tool or redefine itself. The freshest of ingredients, naturally raised poultry and beef are highlights of the limited, but superb menu. Chipotle is a favorite of almost every demographic group, from teenagers to the elderly. Chipotle has succeeded in offering the finest fresh Mexican food, but not at the cheapest price. The average ticket at Chipotle comes in near $9. The company recently raised prices at different levels depending on geography. Sales have not slowed a bit in spite of the price increases.