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Madoff: Chillin' with mobsters and spies

Bernie Madoff is getting used to his new neighbors. Gone are the days of Montauk and Manhattan, and he isn't sharing his space with topless dancers.

Now, he says goodnight to a drug pusher, chills with a former mobster, and hangs with a convicted spy ... and these guys are probably saying, "I hang around with Bernie Madoff." The former financier Ponzi schemer spends his evenings walking laps around the prison track at the Butner Federal Correctional Complex, not far from Raleigh, N.C.

Continue reading Madoff: Chillin' with mobsters and spies

Will Amazon profit from McClellan book?

The White House is in overdrive promoting former press secretary Scott McClellan's What Happened. That promotion has helped drive it to the number one selling position on Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN). While Amazon will benefit from the sales of the book, the stock is more than fairly valued.

The White House's promotion is based on its passionate response to the confirmation bias it demonstrated in the run up to the Iraq war. As I wrote in this Business Strategy Review article, confirmation bias is when facing a major decision, one exhibits an unwillingness to admit conflicting data – no matter how salient – to influence a closed point of view. Mclellan points out that the White House decided to go to war against Iraq a year before its start and manufactured a false "case" to sell it.

McClellan pointing this out is hardly news. But I thought his comments about George W. Bush's cocaine use, as reported by 6abc.com, were more revealing. Recalling a 1999 conversation with Bush, McClellan writes: "'The media won't let go of these ridiculous cocaine rumors,' I heard Bush say. 'You know, the truth is I honestly don't remember whether I tried it or not. We had some pretty wild parties back in the day, and I just don't remember.'

Continue reading Will Amazon profit from McClellan book?

Methamphetamine is an even better 'investment' than cocaine

When I wrote last week that cocaine prices rose at a faster rate than the Dow Jones industrial average, I overlooked something: methamphetamine may be an even better "investment" than cocaine, when compared with the index. Marijuana isn't doing too shabby either.

According to data on the DEA's website, the average price per pure gram of all domestic methamphetamine soared 37% between January and June 2007, beating the 24% gain in cocaine, and eclipsing the broad market index, which rose about 7% during that same time.

I wasn't able to find comparable data for marijuana but did come across an interesting story from Bloomberg News saying that prices for marijuana in Holland have soared 20% because of an increase in police raids. So any college students planning a trip to Europe should take note. U.S. pot prices have climbed over the last few years, according to the folks at High Times. I'll update this post if I get more information.

Does this mean that people should dump their Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) shares and set up a crystal meth lab or start growing weed? Of course not.

As Mr. Mackey from South Park says, "Drugs are bad." They're bad for your health and bad for society. People should just say no to drugs, but they don't and that's the problem. Prohibition didn't stop people from drinking in the '20s, and isn't stopping people from getting high today. My argument is that if we decriminalize drugs, the government can tax them and use that money to treat addicts.

Legalization is no utopia, but given the failure of the War on Drugs, it seems like it's worth a try.


Cocaine is having a better year than the Dow Jones industrial average

People who are opposed to the legalization of drugs should consider the following: cocaine is having a better year than the stock market.

This fun fact courtesy of WallStreetFighter paints a very grim picture of the War on Drugs. Addicts are paying more for less-pure Bolivian marching powder. From January through June, the average price per gram of domestic cocaine purchases rose 24% from $95.89 to $118.70, while purity fell. Retail (involving 10 grams or more) prices rose 15% while "mid-level" wholesale prices surged 33% and wholesale (1 kilogram or more) prices jumped 11%.

Cocaine is a helluva drug -- just ask any celebrity. Heck, read any story on TMZ.com about Britney Spears and you'll understand. Supplies are down and demand is steady. That's the type of stable cash-flow business that usually attracts private equity, no?

Now consider that the Dow Jones industrial average rose 10.8% this year. The S&P 500 Index is up 7.98% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has surged more than 14% Cocaine has had a better year than many blue-chip stocks including General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) (up 10%), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) (up 5.5%) and Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) (up 9.7%). Google Inc.'s (NASDAQ: GOOG) 35% does beat cocaine but not by much.



Unlike most products, cocaine really does sell itself as does pornography. Lots of people -- mostly really bad people -- are getting rich off drugs. Why shouldn't the federal government? Researcher Jon Gettman estimates that the government loses $31.1 billion in taxes because of the prohibition against marijuana, according to the Marijuana Policy Project. You can bet that the figures would be similar for cocaine.

Imagine how much money Uncle Sam could reap if he taxed cocaine or marijuana? What does the War on Drugs cost? Hundreds of millions? That money could be used to fund a real war on drugs -- treating addicts whose lives have been destroyed.

Are drugs fueling the stock market's rise?

Are you tired of reading explanations -- such as changing interest rates, profit growth, Yen carry trade -- about what makes the market move? Well then you're in luck because Reuters reports that this market is moving on drugs. That's right. According to Harris Stratyner, a psychologist at Caron's New York Recovery Center, some executives he treats are experimenting with cocaine, opiate-based drugs, Ecstasy and marijuana. Drugs don't make stock prices go up but they fuel the bankers who run it.

And these bankers are making big bucks. Six of the largest U.S. investment banks - Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS), Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), JPMorgan & Chase Co. (NYSE: JPM), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) and The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC) - combined for $17.6 billion in first-quarter profit this year. That's after paying out $28.8 billion for pay and benefits.Those profit and pay figures are more than double those seen in the first quarter of 2000, the last days before the dot-com bubble burst.

It's not as if the banks don't know what's going on. One hiring manager at a major New York bank told Reuters that new staff must take a urine test, which is typical for the industry. But he said new hires can choose when to schedule the test during a 45-day period before their start date."Our drug test is not so much a test of whether you actually take drugs as it is an intelligence test to see if you can figure out how long it takes to get traces of the drug out of your system." .

Continue reading Are drugs fueling the stock market's rise?

No sympathy for the snorter: Disney distances itself from Keith Richards

Yesterday afternoon, I noted that The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) had been suspiciously silent on the whole Keith-Richards-snorting-dear-old-Dad scandal. Today, officials with the Mouse emerged to say that the Rolling Stones guitarist will not be involved with promoting Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End, despite his highly publicized cameo in the movie. Studio executives have concluded that Richards is simply "too unpredictable" to participate in publicity for the film.

Mr. Richards has since declared that his controversial comments were simply a joke, noting on the Rolling Stones' official website that: "The complete story was lost in the usual slanting." Richards went on to insist that his late father's ashes were used to fortify a newly planted oak tree, and declared that "I wouldn't take cocaine at this point in my life unless I wished to commit suicide."

I'm not sure if I exactly believe this new spin, and it seems pretty clear that family-friendly DIS is trying to distance itself from a potential loose cannon. The fallout from Richards' bizarre confession could be a tip, however, for any jaded Hollywood types who are tired of doing the publicity circuit.

Beth Gaston Moon is an analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

It's only cremated remains but I like it: Keith Richards snorts father

First of all, I can't believe I just typed that headline. Actually, of course I can. Keith Richards - storied guitarist, half of the venerable song-writing team that brought us "Satisfaction" and "Start Me Up," and perpetual name on the celebrity death pool lists - has admitted to snorting cocaine laced with his father's ashes. Since the senior Richards didn't die until 2002, this unconventional use of human remains didn't occur when Keith was in his young-and-stupid heyday, but obviously transpired sometime during the past five years.

Richards, who perhaps thought the move was a touching tribute to his passed-on paternal figure, told this tidbit to British music magazine NME, adding "My dad wouldn't have cared ... it went down pretty well, and I'm still alive." In a rush for damage control, the Rolling Stones' manager brushed it off as an April Fool's joke, calling it an "off-the-cuff remark."

Keith is known for decades of wild living and excess, so this latest detail, if true, isn't even really that shocking. No word yet on Walt Disney's (NYSE: DIS) official reaction, however. May 25 marks the release of the third installment of the Pirates of the Caribbean series and will feature Keith Richards in the role of Teague Sparrow, Captain Jack Sparrow's (Johnny Depp's character's) father.

Beth Gaston Moon is an analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 02:56 AM

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