Investors and readers are probably aware of production snags that have delayed two next-generation airplanes, Airbus' A380 Superjumbo and Boeing's 787 Dreamliner.

But now there's word of production delays for two existing aircraft, Airbus's A330 and Boeing's 777.

A shortage of seats, toilets, and galleys is slowing down A330 and 777 assembly lines, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday (subscription required). Managers at the world's two rival commercial aviation giants suggest the snags could affect this year's financial results, but neither company has issued an earnings warning.

Shares of Boeing (NYSE: BA) gained $1.87 to $66.56, while shares of Airbus' parent EADS rose 1.27 euros to 14.85 euros on the Paris Exchange, in Friday afternoon trading.

Contractor ramp-up issues

For Boeing and Airbus, the crux of the problem stems from the relatively small size of the contractors producing equipment such as jetliner galleys, toilets and business-class seats, The Journal reported. Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Friday the problem Boeing and Airbus face is "an upside problem," but a problem nonetheless.

"It's called the problem of success. Jetliner orders and deliveries have risen more than 40% in five years and contractors are straining to keep up," Bauer said. "It had to happen sooner or later, because it's hard for contractors to in some cases double production of a part in two or three years." Bauer added that he does not have a rating on nor own shares in Boeing or Airbus.

Given the smorgasbord of economic demands and concerns -- domestic and foreign -- likely to face the new U.S. president, investors (and taxpayers) can justifiably ask 'Where's all the money going to come from to pay for these programs?'

Legitimate question, but one, for now, we'll let the political process sort out. (Current Gallup Daily Tracking Poll as of August 6, 2008, for the U.S. presidential election: Obama, 46%, McCain, 44%.)

Electing U.S. Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, or U.S. Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, will produce different programs and revenue priorities, due to the parties' different sources of power, but the argument forwarded here is that -- regardless of who becomes the new president -- the office holder should address transportation in a comprehensive way. Here are the major concern areas:

• Mass transit: We're early into the $4 gas era, of course, but initial U.S. Department of Transportation data indicates Americans are driving less and using mass transit more. The trouble is, many mass transit systems (rail, commuter rail, subway, bus) need to be expanded/upgraded to handle the increased ridership. Bigger, better mass transit systems will save the United States hundreds of billions of dollars in oil costs, not to mention the environmental benefits.

These days in commercial aviation, airlines are finding ways to operate more efficiently amid the toughest sector conditions since the first oil shock in 1973-74.

And while there's no love lost between passengers and the major carriers' unconventional way of increasing total consumer flying costs by adding separate baggage fees, there's one a-la-carte fee the public may be willing to pay for: a fee for internet access on airplanes.

Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) announced it will start offering broadband internet service on domestic flights as early as October, The Washington Post reported Wednesday. Other airlines, including Continental (NYSE: CAL), Southwest (NYSE: LUV), and Virgin America are planning or testing internet services. (Delta will merge with Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA), pending U.S. Justice Department approval.)

Analysts generally credit JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) with raising coach class amenity standards for flights in the United States when it introduced satellite TV and other services on its flights.

Delta's service will cost a $9.95 flat fee for flights lasting three hours or less and $12.95 for flights longer than three hours.

Public seen receptive to Wi-Fi fee

Stock analyst and frequent flier C. Leonard Bauer says Internet fees would be "a lucrative revenue stream" for the airlines, and ironically one that will probably be popular with the public.

What's one over-the-horizon trend that passengers (and investors) would be wise to monitor closely? Micro airlines.

Micro airlines will be small carriers that target the leisure travel market, stock analyst and frequent flier C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Tuesday.

Bauer is quick to point out that these carriers don't exist today -- the commercial aviation sector's financials can't currently support them -- but when design advances (including composites), increased engine efficiency, and a drop in oil and aviation fuel prices turn in the airline sector's favor, look for micro carriers to sprout, he predicted.

A streamlined air itinerary

Further, Bauer doesn't count current 'regional airlines' or 'express airlines' such as United Express as micro airlines because micro airlines will differ from the former in one significant way: "They'll have vastly reduced check-in times compared to regional airlines," Bauer said. "For a portion of the leisure travel public, this will be the deal-clincher." Bauer added that he doesn't own shares in nor have a rating on any airline.

Boeing said Thursday its Q2 results will contain a charge "of approximately 22 cents per share on previously acknowledged delays on its airborne early warning & control program."

Boeing (NYSE: BA) added that it continues to expect F2008 and F2009 earnings per share of $5.70-$5.85 and $6.80-$7.00, respectively.

The Reuters F2008 and F2009 earnings per share consensus estimates are $5.97 and $6.97, respectively.

Boeing's shares fell 30 cents to $65.29 in pre-market trading on the news

Stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer said Boeing's 22-cent "is unfortunate," but not something that changes Boeing's solid, strong commercial aerospace story, as a value proposition. "Boeing is still on-track to deliver earning growth in 2008 and 2009, which is no small achievement given current U.s. economic conditions," Bauer said. Bauer added that he does not have a rating on nor own shares in Boeing.

Boeing (NYSE: BA) Wednesday increased its 20-year forecast for global commercial jetliner deliveries for the sector by 2.8%, forecasting that demand for fuel-efficient replacement aircraft will outweigh capacity reductions by U.S. carriers.

Encompassing all airline manufacturers in the sector, Boeing now expects a market for 29,400 new commercial airplanes (passenger and freighter) by 2027, up 2.8% from its previous estimate of 28,600. Boeing added that the forecast factors-in the sector's near-term challenges, including a slowing global economy, surging fuel prices, slowing traffic growth in some markets, and a concerted action by airlines to lower costs.

Shares of Boeing (NYSE: BA) gained 25 cents to $66.18 on the news in Wednesday afternoon trading, despite a 131-point market sell-off in the DJIA.

Boeing added that single-aisle airplanes will make up the bulk of the sector's deliveries during the next 20 years. Strong domestic and intra-regional air travel growth in emerging Asia-Pacific markets, along with continued growth of low-cost carriers worldwide, is driving demand in this segment, the company said. Orders from Asia will comprise 31% of the deliveries; North America, 29%; and Europe/Asia, 27%.

Boeing, which already has delayed its new 787 Dreamliner 14 months, announced Tuesday it will know "soon" whether a supplier's damaged part on the fourth of six test planes will affect the program, Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.

The mid-body fuselage section built by Global Aeronautica LLC, a venture with Alenia North America, was damaged "by an Alenia employee not following proper work procedures" in Charleston, S.C., Boeing said, Bloomberg News reported. Boeing said it resolved the issue, but it is currently evaluating the error's impact on the plane's timetable.

Boeing's shares (NYSE: BA) fell 52 cents to $65.20 on the news in Tuesday morning trading.

Stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer said he's "not going to think the worst" regarding a possible timetable change, until Boeing knows definitively if it will affect production and roll-out.

It's a macroeconomic headwind that could produce a jetliner order headwind.

International Lease Finance Corp. said it may order 300 jetliners from Boeing and Airbus to meet lease demand from airlines that can no longer afford to buy their own planes, Bloomberg News reported Wednesday.

International Lease said it may purchase 150 single-aisle aircraft from each aerospace company. The orders would be worth about $22 billion at current plane prices, exclusive of discounts.

Boeing (NYSE: BA) shares fell $4.83 to $69.99 on the news, while Airbus's parent EADS' shares rose 39 euro cents to €12.95 in afternoon trading in Paris.

High oil prices take a toll

Stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Wednesday the era's record-high jet fuel prices are beginning to take a toll on airline business models. "If high prices, basically oil above $120 a barrel, persist, you will see order cancellations, and more postponements, in the U.S. and abroad," Bauer said. "Some airline business models just won't work with oil at $120-$125 or higher, so you will begin to see order delays and cancellations." Bauer added that he does not have ratings on, nor own shares in any airline or airline manufacturer.

No, the airlines haven't started charging by the pound. At least not yet...

Jokes aside, nobody told the airlines there'd be days like these, to paraphrase John Lennon.

Jet fuel costs -- up 84% in the past year alone -- have skyrocketed, along with the cost of just about every other product derived from the world's most vital commodity, and the airlines are looking for every conceivable way to reduce weight, reduce wind/resistance drag, and increase operational efficiency, The New York Times reported Wednesday.

The major carriers are replacing heavier seats with lighter ones, cleaning engines and planes more often, reducing the fresh water available on flights, and plugging into electric outlets instead of idling engines at the gate, among other changes, in order to cut fuel consumption.

More air travel changes ahead

Moreover, the changes -- and charges -- have only just begun, so says stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer. "Everyone knows about the added bag charges, a pain in the neck, for sure. But it could get worse," says Bauer, who also flies on a major carrier about 5-7 times per year. "In the winter you could see a per pound baggage charge, or something along those lines. So don't pack that extra winter coat when you fly this December."

Boeing said on Monday its 787 Dreamliner would make its first test flight in Q4 2008, reiterating that it would make its revised test flight date for the next-generation airliner, Reuters reported Tuesday.

First deliveries of the plane were also on schedule for Q3 2009, said Dmitry Krol, Boeing's director of communications in Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States, Reuters reported.

Boeing's (NYSE: BA) shares rose 53 cents to $73.69 in Monday afternoon trading.

Independent stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Monday Boeing's reiteration of the company's first-flight time deadline was not gratuitous.

Airbus said 2008 orders for the A380 superjumbo jet may be one-third lower than previously forecast, as higher fuel costs and an economic slowdown moderate travel growth, Bloomberg News reported Wednesday.

Airbus said it may receive about 20 orders in 2008 for the 525-seat A380 superjumbo, the world's largest commercial jetliner. Earlier, Airbus had projected up to 30 orders for the A380 in 2008.

Airbus' announcement did not negatively impact the stock, at least not at the outset. Shares of Airbus' parent EADS gained 28 cents to 14.95 euros in Wednesday afternoon trading on the Paris exchange.

The first 'power on' for Boeing's (NYSE: BA) next-generation 787 Dreamliner, now set for June 2008, will be a milestone, but by no means the final hurdle for the new plane, says an analyst.

Boeing said it has overcome 787 parts shortages and that subsequent planes are arriving at the final assembly line in better and better shape, The Associated Press reported Tuesday.

Boeing is the first major aerospace company to use a decentralized manufacturing model for a civilian commercial airplane, and the company has experienced a series of related snags that have delayed the launch of the 787 by about 15 months. Commercial airlines are now expected to take possession of the first 787 planes in Q3 2009.

C. Leonard Bauer, an independent stock analyst, told BloggingStocks Tuesday that any more delays for the 787 roll-out and Boeing "will be the last aerospace company to use a decentralized manufacturing model" for a civilian commercial airplane.

Readers of this space know that selected defense contractors are my preferred plays, growing U.S. economy or not. (But let's hope it's a growing U.S. economy). And the reason for the defense contractor bullishness is obvious enough. The geopolitical climate can change, of course, but it looks like defense, national security and anti-terrorism efforts will remain at the top of the U.S.'s concerns, for the foreseeable future.

Further, when one can combine a defense contractor with an industrial play, including commercial aviation, the potential exists for superior return on equity. And with the above in mind, United Technologies is worth a review.

United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) is one of those handful of stocks in which you can buy 200 shares or 50 shares for your child's college fund, and then look back on it in 10 years and be very glad you did.

Here are some attributes: Leadership position in high-value-add sectors, substantial defense contracts, infrastructure/capital improvement businesses, technological leadership, diversification and operational balance, economies of scale, massive amounts of engineering talent, long history of steady earnings growth and dividend growth. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for UTX are $4.88/$5.45.

Airbus has again delayed delivery of selected A380 superjumbo jets, saying the company's transition to automated production is behind schedule.

Airbus now expects to deliver 12 A380 planes in 2008, down from 13, and 21 planes in 2009, down from 25, the company announced Tuesday.

Promoted as the world's most economical, large aircraft, the A380 is about two years behind schedule. The A380 will seat 525 passengers in a normal configuration, at least 50-120 seats more than its chief competition, Boeing's (NYSE: BA) 747, the wide-body industry standard.

In Europe, shares of Airbus's parent EADS were virtually unchanged on the news, down just 2 euro cents to 12.72 euros in afternoon trading. Boeing's shares gained five cents to $84.87.

Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. And with the above in mind, Boeing is worth an evaluation.

The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) is the world's largest aerospace company.

In general, analysts expect 3-5% revenue growth in FY 2008, and 7-10% in FY 2009 as Boeing's increased aircraft production to meet high order backlogs offsets production delays in the 787 Dreamliner.

Moreover, although not to give short-shrift to Boeing's Integrated Defense Systems division, now the world's second-largest military contractor, behind Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), the major driver of BA's future value-added will continue to be its commercial aviation operation, led by the next-generation 787 Dreamliner.