commodities posts
FeedPosted Apr 4th 2011 6:00PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, International Markets, Analyst Reports, From the Boards, Industry, Market Matters, Personal Finance, Commodities, Headline News
Here's an interesting story, which speaks volumes about the psychological dynamic of the markets. On Friday the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) will report on end-of-season inventories, often called 'ending stocks.' Traders are getting word the report may show inventories are lower-than-usual. Against that backdrop, as a trader you certainly don't want to take a short position. So what to do? You buy, of course.
Monday's buying drove corn prices to a record high of $7.6025 per bushel, up 24.25 cents, as reported in the Wall Street Journal. Country Hedging, a brokerage firm, said: "Federal forecasters could drop the projection to less than 500 million bushels from last month's 675 million. This is a 15 year low."
Continue reading Supply Concerns Send Corn Prices to a Record High
Posted Apr 4th 2011 3:00PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, International Markets, Bad News, Middle East, Commodities, Oil, Headline News

The
Wall Street Journal posted oil production numbers for March that disclose the shortfall from the Libyan conflict. When the news hit the tape, Brent Crude exploded to the upside trading at $120.17 per barrel, up $1.47 (12:45 EDT.)
Here are the stats:
- OPEC production fell 411,000 barrels per day to 29,343 million bpd.
- Libya's production fell 343,000 barrels per day, from 1,396,000 bpd.
- Nigeria fell 107,000 barrels per day due to Royal Dutch (RDS) Oil maintenance.
To make up for the shortfall, Saudi Arabia increased production by 500,000 barrels per day to 9.05 million bpd. Kuwait upped production by 37,000 barrels per day. Arab Emirates increased their production by 90,000 barrels per day.
Here's the real kicker. OPEC's seaborne exports are expected to fall by 530,000 barrels per day in the next four weeks.
Continue reading Brent Crude Oil Explodes to $120 Per Barrel
Posted Apr 1st 2011 11:40AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Commodities, Currency

Sometimes we have a strong bias concerning which way a stock or commodity will move. Let's take gold and silver. Let's assume that you believe the turmoil in the Middle East, especially in Libya and Syria, is bullish for gold. Let's also assume that the weaker U.S. dollar is good for gold.
You hold on for the past two weeks with the Mideast getting worse, and with the dollar getting weaker, and nothing happens. Gold just meanders. You start to wonder if you've done the right thing buying gold.
Continue reading Gold and Silver Hit New Highs
Posted Apr 1st 2011 10:00AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Economic Data, Commodities, Agriculture
Here it is in a nutshell: Prices of grains and cotton have skyrocketed year to date. The United States Department of Agriculture's (USDA) report released Thursday stated that corn and wheat prices have doubled in the past year. Soybeans were up 50% and cotton was up 155%, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
What has caused these sharp increases? The key mover has been exports. China, India and countries in the Mideast are stockpiling grains over fears that they will not have enough to feed their people. Corn in storage fell 15% on March 1. Corn has been hit doubly hard because 40% of it is used for ethanol production and a large amount goes for livestock feed.
Continue reading USDA's Crop Report Signals Higher Food Prices
Posted Mar 10th 2011 10:20AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Forecasts, Commodities
We have yet another food product to add to the inflation list. This time it's cattle. Cattle futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange closed at an all-time high of $1.1752 per pound, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.
Beef is a in a special category. Unlike grains, which are harvested yearly, it takes about three years to raise cattle and bring them to market. High grain prices and high exports have shrunk the size of herds. They are at their lowest levels since the 1950s. With prices so high, some cattle ranchers choose to slaughter their cattle rather than let them mature to full term. These young cattle are called feeder cattle.
Continue reading Cattle Futures Are at a Record High
Posted Mar 9th 2011 9:30AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Middle East, Oil
The Department of Energy has had to up its forecast its forecast for oil prices for 2011 and 2012 from last month. The updated forecast takes into account the loss of one million barrels per day from the Libyan conflict, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Last month, the DOE's Energy Information Administration's (EIA) estimate for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was $91 per barrel for 2011. Now, EIA forecasts WTI crude to average $102 per barrel in 2011 and $104 per barrel in 2012. The EIA qualified its forecast with this statement: "There is significant uncertainty surrounding this forecast."
Continue reading DOE Raises Forecasts for Oil and Gasoline Prices
Posted Mar 2nd 2011 9:40AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Rio Tinto plc ADS (RIO), Commodities

In the mining industry, iron ore is the biggest money maker. Profit reports from the world's largest miners indicate that iron ore brings in the most money, the
Financial Times reported.
- BHP Billiton (BHP), the world's number one miner, had earnings before interest and taxes of $14.82 billion. Of that amount, iron ore accounted for $5.8 billion, up 177%
- Number three miner, Rio Tinto (RTPPF), had earnings of $26.6 billion. Iron ore unit accounted for 60%, or $16.6 billion, up 133% for the year.
Continue reading Iron Ore Tops All Commodities
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