You currently don't have to ask too many Americans about economic conditions in order to get the impression that at least here at home a majority of people sense that economic upheaval is quite underway. The word recession is becoming a bit too commonplace for my taste and I have come across more than a couple references to "the coming pandemic." I myself wouldn't go so far as to predict widespread economic collapse, but I have called the current economic environment a "realignment" and I hold with that assessment.

In light of our volatile economic times I thought it might be a good thing to do a quick piece about risk assessment. I have suggested that now is the time to cut risk to the bone; I still hold to that. The theory is that the greater risk you take the more you should be rewarded for taking that risk. My position is that currently our high risk economic environment will not, except in a few scattered cases, provide adequate return for the risks involved. In my opinion the risk curve is temporarily broken and I suggest holding the bulk of your money away from high risk play.

Despite the big run in domestic equity prices for 2007, investors are still conservative.

In a note sent to clients yesterday, Tom McManus, chief investment strategist of Bank of America, points out that investment in open-end mutual funds increased a measly +$1.2B, slightly better than the +$1.0B figure for the prior week. Total growth in equity fund assets was just 1.9% year over year. This is hardly a sign of stock market euphoria.

While in taxable bond funds, growth was 9.9%, with total corporate bond investment jumping 12.2% and investment grade bond investment jumping 18.1%.

As the baby boomers get older, it should be expected that investors will allocate more of their assets into more conservative instruments. However, this is very conservative and a sign this bull market has a long way to go.

Stay with stocks and avoid bonds is still the investment theme until there is a serious sentiment change in favor of stocks.