Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE:CAL), like many of its competitors, has suffered through another year of stock declines. Hit by surging fuel costs and a slowing economy, the carrier's stock has declined by almost 50% since the beginning of the year. The airline has done a good job of diversifying revenue sources. More than 40% of revenue is coming from International routes. These routes have become the bread and butter for most carriers as they are typically full of business travelers. Many of my friends fly Continental to Tel-Aviv, Israel, and they also say that it's just packed with businessmen. With a growing global economy this should be a catalyst for Continental. If, and it's a big if, fuel costs decline, this will help drastically improve margins and the stock price will react in kind.

If you are looking at a way to play the global economic growth game, take a look at Continental.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/19/07.

Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: CAL) shares are declining this morning with other airline stocks as oil futures are rebounding from yesterday's drop. The strong showing for oil is due to a pipeline fire in Minnesota. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CAL.

After hitting a one-year high of $52.40 in January, the stock hit a one-year low of $25.18 last week. This morning, CAL opened at $28.55. So far today the stock has hit a low of $28.50 and a high of $29.09. As of 11:05, CAL is trading at $27.00, down $0.98 (-3.5%). The chart for CAL looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Jones Lang LaSalle, Digital River, Dynamic Materials, Allot Communications and Oxford Industries were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Wachovia downgraded shares of Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) to Market Perform from Outperform, as they expect the deterioration in the credit markets to lead to fewer closed deals over the next year.
  
• Oppenheimer transitioned coverage of Digital River (NASDAQ: DRIV) and downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy. The broker finds shares fairly valued given the pricing pressure and customer concentration.
  
• Jefferies downgraded shares of Dynamic Materials Corporation (NASDAQ: BOOM) to Hold from Buy on valuation as they believe shares are already pricing in the company's near-term earnings potential.
  
• Allot Communications (NASDAQ: ALLT) was downgraded to Sector Performer from Outperformer at CIBC World Markets after the company pre-announced weaker-than-expected Q3 results.
  
• Oxford Industries (NYSE: OXM) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Morgan Joseph and to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust following the disappointing Q1 report and guidance.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Piper Jaffray downgraded Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  
• Thornburg Mortgage (NYSE: TMA) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette.
  
• JP Morgan removed Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) from its Focus List.
  
• NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Calyon.

Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: CAL) shares are trading higher today as oil futures are sinking today, dropping below $80 per barrel and giving most airline stocks a boost on the expectation of lower fuel costs. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CAL.

After hitting a one-year high of $52.40 in January, the stock dipped to a one-year low of $26.21 in August. CAL opened this morning at $35.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $35.25 and a high of $36.98. As of 10:50, CAL is trading at $36.30, up $0.85 (2.4%). The chart for CAL looks neutral and deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December bull-put credit spread below the $25 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in just 11 weeks as long as CAL is above $25 at December expiration. Continental would have to fall by more than 15% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: CAL) opened at $26.95. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.55 and a high of $28.06. As of 10:55, CAL is trading at $27.90, up $1.45 (5.5%).

After hitting a one year high of $52.40 in January, the stock has been sliding over the past eight months. Rising crude oil futures brought airlines down hard in yesterday's market, with CAL dropping a whopping 17%. Today the stock is climbing back with crude oil prices retreating in early trading, but it has a lot of ground to make up after yesterday's plunge. An analyst also said today that he expects CAL to rebound above $35. Technical indicators for CAL are bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $22.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk and leverage returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in just 5 weeks as long as CAL is above $22.50 at September expiration. CAL would have to fall by more than 18% before we would start to lose money.

CAL hasn't been below $22.50 at all in the past year and has shown support around $26.50 recently. This trade could be risky if oil prices rise again to crazy levels, but even if that happens, CAL may find historical support just below $25.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CAL.

Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: CAL) opened at $32.85. So far today the stock has hit a low of $32.26 and a high of $33.21. As of 10:50, CAL is trading at $32.38, up $0.70 (2.2%).

After hitting a one year high of $52.40 in January, the stock has slid downward over the past eight months. CAL is leading all the airlines up today after reporting July traffic rose by 3.6%. Technical indicators for CAL are bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $25 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk and leverage returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just seven weeks as long as CAL is above $25 at September expiration. CAL would have to fall by more than 22% before we would start to lose money.

CAL has hasn't been below $25 since last August and has shown support around $31.50 recently. This trade could be risky if fuel prices continue to rise, but with crude oil at all-time highs, there should be some decrease in demand and price on the horizon.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CAL.

AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR) opened at $27.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $27.40 and a high of $28.45. As of 10:30, AMR is trading at 28.20, up 1.14 (4.2%).

After hitting a one year high of $41.00 in February, the stock has crept downward to flatten out just above 25 over the past few months. Continental (NYSE: CAL) is leading airlines up this morning following an upgrade from Soleil Securities. The industry is also being helped by falling oil futures. Recent technical indicators for AMR have been neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $25 range. AMR hasn't been below $25 since October and has shown support around $26 recently. This trade could be risky if crude oil prices spike even higher over the next few weeks, but even if that happens, it looks like this stock could find support right near $25, where the stock has bounced three times since April.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. Do you have any deadwood in your portfolio? Check out the 18 Warning Signs That Tell You When To Dump A Stock.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AMR or CAL.

Socially conscious investors may want to grab a copy of this week's (April 2, 2007) edition of FORTUNE magazine, which is all about the greening of corporate America. No longer can companies merely not pollute: The double bottom line of both economic profitability and social responsibility demands that companies re-engineer themselves and their products to be as environmentally friendly as possible.

Companies that are ahead of the game will prosper. Companies that lag behind in environmentalism will be punished by investors as well as the media. The article "Green is Good" summarizes the green activities of 10 well known companies that stand to reap rewards for their environmentally sensitive manufacturing and operational practices. Companies taking the lead towards a low-carbon economy are:

Continental Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: CAL) opened at $39.87. So far today the stock has hit a low of $39.11 and a high of $39.87. As of 1:25 p.m., CAL is trading at $39.54, up $0.34 (0.9%).

After hitting a one year high of $52.40 in January, the stock has backed off over the past two months, dropping below recent support levels but reversing course last week just before meeting its 200-day moving average. At an investor meeting this morning, Continental Airlines said it is targeting a 5% capacity increase for 2007. The company also expects expenses to be down while cash on hand is up significantly from last year. The technical indicators for CAL have been bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest rating of 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a May bull-put credit spread below the $30 range. CAL hasn't been below $30 since October and has shown support around $37. This trade could be risky if fuel prices rise or the airline industry slumps again, but CAL stock looks like it may find support from its 200 day moving average around the $35 level.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. (Free Subscription)

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: In addition to Palm Inc. (PALM) and Research in Motion (RIMM), four prominent Airlines topped today's list of downgrades.

• Merrill Lynch downgraded shares of Palm, Inc. (NASDAQ:PALM) to Neutral from Buy following the company's reduced second-quarter outlook.
• BMO Capital Markets downgraded Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ:RIMM) to Market Perform from Outperform, citing valuation.
• Benchmark, a boutique firm, downgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE:CAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU), US Airways Grp (NYSE:LCC) and UAL Corp (NASDAQ:UAUA) to Hold from Buy, citing valuation.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Quest Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:QSFT) was downgraded at Pacific Crest to Sector Perform from Outperform based on poor visibility and option concerns.
• Finally, Citigroup said shares of Cox Radio (NYSE:CXR) and Cumulus Media, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMLS) have rallied on LBO speculation that is unlikely to prove out in the near-to-intermediate term and that 2007 growth expectations could prove to be optimistic; Citigroup downgraded both companies to Sell from Hold.

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