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Chasing Value: Everybody loves Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX)

Freeport-McMoRan LogoThere seems to be a general consensus; everybody loves Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (NYSE: FCX). The problem is when I look at the metrics I do too. Every company would like to have such problems. Yesterday the stock closed up over 4% to $97.94 and was even higher during the day.

Just this morning Morgan Stanley raised earning estimates to $10.95 a share, stating the company stands to benefit from higher copper prices giving FCX an 'Overweight' rating and $125 price target. Last month Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) added Freeport-McMoRan to its Conviction Buy list. There were also favorable stories in Barron's and Smart Money recently.

It makes me uncomfortable to be in the same camp with a multitude of analysts and financial journalists. What is the contrarian position? I suppose that would be if copper prices do not hold up. If copper and gold prices stay where they are the metrics portray this stock as a screaming buy. James Cramer would probably be throwing things by now.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Everybody loves Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX)

Northern Orion: 'Two miners in one'

"Usually investing in mining companies means having to choose between a junior company that is working to get a mine up and running, and a more stable, mature miner that is already in production," say Ian Wyatt and Tony Martin in Small Cap Investor.

They continue, "But then there's Northern Orion Resources Inc. (ASE: NTO), which allows you to put money into both types of play with one stock."

With a junior miner, they admit, you get more risk, at least until the final permit is received, the mining plan finalized, equipment in place, and ore being processed.

Of course, they counter, that can often mean greater leverage to metal prices. With the mature miner, they explain, ou know what you're getting in terms of output from the mine, but that typically limits any blue-sky financial upside for investors.

Northern Orion, they explain, has a 12.5% ownership position in the Alumbrera project, with Goldcorp (NYSE: GG) having a 37.5% position, and London's Xstrata PLC the remaining 50%. Located some 700 miles northwest of Buenos Aires, they point out, Alumbrera is a massive mine, with the project covering almost 13,000 acres.

Continue reading Northern Orion: 'Two miners in one'

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Last updated: February 12, 2012: 02:38 AM

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