A slew of economic reports is expected for this week, and already this morning several data points were released. Economists expected:
Personal income in March rose 0.7%, above the forecast. Wages have so far helped sustain spending. Disposable income (after taxes) increased 0.7% in March. Savings also improved.
The core PCE inflation was unchanged in March for the first time since November. This puts it at a 2.1% YOY rate, which is trending down. Total inflation, however, is 2.4%. The Fed's comfort zone is in the range of 1-2% rate of inflation, so if the declining trend continues, we might get to the top of the Fed's comfort range. This could ease some fears the U.S. economy is headed toward stagflation.
It seems the market is reacting favorably to the report as futures have ticked up following the data.
- March personal income and spending were both are set to increase 0.5% after a rise of 0.6% in February.
- Core personal consumption expenditures inflation, or core PCE inflation, was expected to tick 0.1% in March after a 0.3% increased the month before. This measure is a favorite of the Fed for determining inflation .
Personal income in March rose 0.7%, above the forecast. Wages have so far helped sustain spending. Disposable income (after taxes) increased 0.7% in March. Savings also improved.
The core PCE inflation was unchanged in March for the first time since November. This puts it at a 2.1% YOY rate, which is trending down. Total inflation, however, is 2.4%. The Fed's comfort zone is in the range of 1-2% rate of inflation, so if the declining trend continues, we might get to the top of the Fed's comfort range. This could ease some fears the U.S. economy is headed toward stagflation.
It seems the market is reacting favorably to the report as futures have ticked up following the data.
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