Bear Stearns (NYSE:BCS) is trading down another 4% today and hit a 52-week low of $103.53. The company clearly had to blame someone for the hedge fund debacle, so co-President Warren Spector is out.
There is a fairly good chance that the damage from investing in mortgage-backed securities is not contained to Bear Stearns. And, there may be some very significant problems with private equity loans held by investment banks, many of them high-risk and high-yield. Today, American Home Mortgage Corp. became the latest casualty of the subprime meltdown, filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
Mr. Spector may not be the last high-profile executive at an investment bank or money-center bank to lose his job.
A look at share prices may be an indications of where else there are problems, real or perceived. Lehman (NYSE:LEH) is down 25% over the last month, about the same amount as Bear Stearns. That would make the investment bank a good candidate for sacrificing an executive or two. Shares of Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS) are down much less.
In the bank sector, Wachovia (NYSE:WB) has taken the biggest hit in the stock market, falling about 13% in the last month. Mortgage loans must be viewed as an issue there. By way of contrast, shares at Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) are dropped only 4% during that same time.
Stock prices do not tell everything, but the market is not entirely misinformed. Over the next couple of weeks, there may be some more senior management people looking for new work.
Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 247wallst.com.