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Newspaper wrap-up: Hedge fund industry dominated by big firms

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that after years of rapid grows, many hedge funds are shutting their doors or merging with others, as expansion has dramatically slowed. As a result, the industry is being dominated mostly by big firms, such as Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC (NYSE: OZM), D.E. Shaw & Co., and Paulson and Co.
  • Shares of Ctrip.com International Ltd (NASDAQ: CTRP), China's major Internet travel booker with about 58% of the country's online travel business, have dropped about 30% in the last six weeks alone creating a possible buying opportunity, according to the Wall Street Journal's "Heard in Asia". Travel in China is expected to grow solidly in the long-term and Ctrip.com said it expects revenue to grow 30% for the three months ending June 30 from a year earlier.
  • In a move that could potentially usher in a new phase in the credit crunch, the Financial Times reported that The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is said to be close to finalizing a plan to restructure a $7B investment vehicle formerly run by Cheyne Capital, a London-based hedge fund.
OTHER PAPERS:

Six China stocks set to take home Olympic gold

"The Olympics have long been a boon to stock markets of host countries," notes Tony Sagami, a leading global stock advisor with a noted specialty in Asian markets.

In his Asia Stock Alert newsletter, he notes, "I believe the chief beneficiaries of the Olympic Games will be consumer and travel-related stocks. And within these sectors, I've chosen six stocks poised to bring home Olympic gold from Beijing."

"We saw a 19% gain in the Spanish stock market in the 12 months before the 1992 Barcelona Olympics, and the 27% gain in the Greek stock market in the year before the 2004 Athens Olympics. And those countries were not growing at a fraction of the breakneck pace that China is. So it wouldn't surprise me to see the Chinese stock market do even better.

Olympic Gold Winner #1: China Mobile (NYSE: CHL):

"It seems like every person I see in China has a cell phone glued to their ear. And the cell phone is not just the primary voice communication medium in China; it is also the common way most Chinese access the Internet and email. In China, the cell phone 'is' the personal computer.

"Heck, most new high-rise condominium and apartment complexes being built in China aren't even wired for land lines. Once you understand the device's role, you'll see why China Mobile has more cell phone users (360 million) than the U.S. has people. I expect a lot of cell phone calls and text messages during the Beijing Olympics!

Continue reading Six China stocks set to take home Olympic gold

Two China stocks to play into the 2008 Olympics

I'm sure there will be millions of people watching and participating in the 2008 Olympics set to take place in Beijing, China. That got me thinking: everyone knows that the Chinese investment giant is just beginning to wake. Yes, things are frothy now and growth is almost never linear. There will be bumps along the way as China grows and some people will make a mint, while others lose their shirts.

I'm looking to make a mint. So, how to play China into 2008? I came up with two stocks to help vault investors into the 2008 Olympics.

Ctrip.com (NASDAQ: CTRP): China's leading online travel services provider, Ctrip is probably the most engaging pure play on the Chinese internet making a run at the traditional economy. With 57% marketshare, this company is poised to be the leader in any consolidation that occurs in the online travel space. Bear Stearns' analysts expect Ctrip to grow its revenues at an average of 40% over the next three years based upon:
  • China online travel accounting for <1% of the total travel market in 2006
  • The Olympics will naturally act as a showcase for inbound tourism into China
  • Rising GDP and income levels should contribute to growing demand for both business and leisure travel
  • The Chinese government is mandating a transition to e-ticketing

Continue reading Two China stocks to play into the 2008 Olympics

Analyst initiations: FLWS, CTRP, JOBS and CHH

MOST NOTEWORTHY: 1-800-Flowers.com, Ctrip.com International, 51job and Choice Hotels were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Nollenberger started shares of 1-800-Flowers.com (NASDAQ: FLWS) with a Buy rating and $14 target and believes shares are undervalued at current levels given the company's compelling growth prospects, strong cash flow generation, and solid balance sheet.
  • Bear believes Ctrip.com (NASDAQ: CTRP) is the best positioned online travel company ahead of structural changes and consolidation in China's fragmented travel agency industry. The firm initiated shares with an Outperform rating and $80 target.
  • Bear expects 51job (NASDAQ: JOBS) to benefit from China's increasing Internet user base due to the internet's broadening reach among job seekers, resuming coverage with an Outperform rating and $28 target.
  • Goldman started Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH) with a Buy rating and $45 target, as they are positive on the stock given unit growth and minimal capital needs, among other reasons.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:39 PM

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