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Milk Futures Climb 55% over the Past Year; Will Prices Drop?

Milk is not often discussed as a star commodity. Yet during the past year it was the standout -- rising 55%. Cheese is trading at a 1984 high.

Food riots are erupting in India and in northern Africa, creating more demand for food. The U.S. Dairy Export Council reported that shipments rose 63% to $3.7 billion, just a tad shy of the all-time record. China bought 353 million kilograms, up from only 69 million kilograms in 2008, as reported in Bloomberg/Businessweek.

Continue reading Milk Futures Climb 55% over the Past Year; Will Prices Drop?

Dean Foods: Dairy dudes demanding dollars due

Dairy product marketers such as Dean Foods (NYSE: DF) and Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) are continuing to warn consumers, economists and investors of the pressures that rising corn prices will soon be placing upon our economy. The pursuit of an unfettered increase in corn based ethanol production is raising inflationary pressures on consumer pocketbooks by increasing the feed costs for dairy, beef , pork and poultry farmers. When coupling the feed cost increases with the higher prices for fuel and fertilizer, we have a recipe for inflationary spikes in consumer food prices which will most probably reach well into the double digits over the next three years.

National Milk Producers Federation spokesman Chris Galen said ethanol usage has led to higher costs for corn and wheat products, which in turn affects the cost of other products, as reported by UPI. Twice within the last six months Dean Foods has faced analyst downgrades as a result of the pressures that rising fuel and feed costs are putting on dairy producers large and small. One downgrade occurred in March and another occurred just this month. Those companies such as Dean Foods, which have their primary focus in dairy products, will be harder hit than companies which have broader focus similar to Kraft.

The opinion is expressed that investors who wish to play the ethanol game should be focusing their intentions on cellulosic ethanol interests rather than ethanol operations based on corn and sugars. While the profitability of cellulosic ethanol does not reach the same levels as ethanol from corn, in the long run the vastly lowered degree of raw material price volatility and the greatly reduced level of controversy will have cellulosic ethanol investors sleeping much more peacefully than their corn-fed brothers.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 28, 2012: 04:59 AM

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