The Buffalo News reports that shopping center owner Developers Diversified (NYSE: DDR) is set to close on a deal to sell back 11 properties in upstate New York that it bought from privately-held Benderson Development in early 2004. The kicker: on a price-per-square foot basis, Developers Diversified will be selling out at a steep discount to its original purchase price.

Several national chains are talking up demands for reduced retail rents at locations across the country, according to a post in BNET.

That can't be good news for strapped mall operators, such as Simon Property Group (NYS: SPG), which have recently seen their fortunes turn upwards on the backs of analyst upgrades and economists calling a bottom to the Great Recession.

Could there be better times ahead for the share holders of Developers Diversified Realty (NYSE: DDR)? I took a look at what the analysts are indicating, and to me the chances for an upswing look pretty good. As the nation's largest holder of "strong in trade" shopping centers, the company is holding up quite well. We might even say exceptionally well, when you consider that it's sitting atop the real estate and retail double danger zone.

AOL Money and Finance indicates analyst consensus is to hold this stock. I see it just a bit differently. Out of 20 reported target prices for this stock, only one target is below current share price. To me that signals a reasonable expectation that the stock will move up. That is, unless you choose to believe that 19 of 20 brokerage targets are wrong.

Right now, it appears that DDR could be at the leading edge of it's next growth cycle. It's five-year return is pegged at just over 75.5% and it has returned over 16% YTD after losing more than 31% over the past year. This might be a good long term play if we are ready to claim that real estate and the general economy have stabilized. I'd be tempted to grab some of this company, if even just as a show of confidence.


Gary Sattler is a freelance blogger with no stock picking credentials. He does not knowingly have interest in the companies mentioned in this blog post.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: K Swiss, BJ's Restaurants and Ford were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Merrill expects the turnaround at K Swiss (NASDAQ: KSWS) to be difficult given weakening retail sales. Shares were downgraded to Sell from Neutral.
  
• Jefferies cut shares of BJ's Restaurants (NASDAQ: BJRI) to Hold from Buy due to the company's high relative exposure to the subprime mortgage markets.
  
• Ford (NYSE: F) was downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns. The firm recommends taking some profits following the recent rally in shares. Shares were also cut to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, citing valuation, and to Sell from Neutral at Merrill Lynch.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Wachovia cut EastGroup Properties (NYSE: EGP) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  
• Goldman removed SL Green Realty (NYSE: SLG) from its Conviction Buy List.
  
• RBC Capital lowered Developers Diversified Realty (NYSE: DDR) to Sector Perform from Outperform.
  
• Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) was downgraded at JP Morgan to Neutral from Overweight.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Coca-Cola (KO), Fiserv, Inc (FISV) and several real estate companies were today's noteworthy upgrades:

• Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup, as the firm believes the company is addressing growth issues through recent acquisitions and notes that there are signs of stabilization in Japan.
• Fiserv (NASDAQ: FISV) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Cowen based on valuation, upside from restructuring, new management's willingness to unlock value, and the potential possibility of a company sale.
• Deutsche Bank upgraded Apartment Investment and Management Co (NYSE: AIV), AvalonBay Communities (NYSE: AVB), Boston Properties (NYSE: BXP), Developers Diversified Realty Corp (NYSE: DDR), Kilroy Realty Corp (NYSE: KRC), Kimco Realty Corp (NYSE: KIM), Macerich Co (NYSE: MAC) and Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG).

OTHER UPGRADES:

• RBC Capital upgraded Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) to Outperform from Sector Perform, citing valuation and improved EPS outlook.
• Kenexa Corp (NASDAQ: KNXA) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse, citing valuation and reduced risk from the BrassRing acquisition.
• Goldman Sachs added Foster Wheeler (NASDAQ: FWLT) added to its Conviction Buy List, citing valuation and leverage to energy infrastructure build and power.
• Goldman also added ProLogis (NYSE: PLD) to its Conviction Buy list, citing upside to FFO guidance, favorable domestic and international demand and above-average development margins.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).