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AstraZeneca & General Dynamics: Financial strength

"Investors considering high-yield stocks should consider financial strength; in our quantitative model, Quadrix, we assess profit margins, interest coverage, and debt levels," says Richard Moroney.

In Dow Theory Forecasts, a newsletter that has been published for over 5 decades -- he looks at two stocks that score high in this area: drug manufacturer, AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) and defense industry player, General Dynamics (NYSE: GD). Here, the advisor reviews the two companies.

"AstraZeneca's operating cash flow jumped 24% in the first half of 2009, allowing the company to retire $3 billion in debt since the end of 2008.

Continue reading AstraZeneca & General Dynamics: Financial strength

Raytheon increases profit, beats the analysts in Q2

Raytheon (NYSE: RTN), a defense contractor whose related companies include Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and Boeing (NYSE: BA), posted second-quarter results earlier in the week. The company seems to be performing pretty well, judging by the growth in the stats.

Net sales increased 4%. Okay, that might not sound so robust, but income from continuing operations rose 25% to $1.24 per share. According to Earnings.com, the market was only looking for $1.13 per share from Raytheon. Operating cash flow also looked good, especially once you take into account a timing element related to cash contributions for pension plans.

Continue reading Raytheon increases profit, beats the analysts in Q2

Congress does the right thing: Cuts F-22 fighter program

Amid a budget process in which every dollar counts, and while Congress determines the most suitable revenue options for universal health care, legislators have weeded-out one wasteful government program: the F-22 fighter jet program.

The Senate voted 58-40 Tuesday to block expansion of the expensive and controversial new jet, CNN reported, and in the process $1.75 billion will be saved.

Continue reading Congress does the right thing: Cuts F-22 fighter program

United Technologies (UTX): A 'compelling' buy

"Being a great company is just half of the equation; buying a great company at a great price is the key to successful investing," says Jim Stack, a money manager noted for having accurately forecast the market's troubles over the past year.

In InvesTech Market Analyst, he looks to one stock that meets this criteria. He states, "An enviable line-up of dominant brands, outstanding profitability, financial strength, and attractive valuation make United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) a compelling buy."

"For most people, UTX is a behind-the-scenes powerhouse, providing many of the everyday industrial components we take for granted, but rarely think about.

Continue reading United Technologies (UTX): A 'compelling' buy

Textron: First TARP recipient from defense sector

Three products that are probably bad bets in this environment are private jets, helicopters and golf carts. Add in a large captive finance arm and an auto parts unit and you have Textron (NYS: TXT), the latest hobgoblin to join the dividend slasher parade and corporate Deathwatch. The Piqqem Sentiment on Textron is hard negative. The good folks at Ockham's Research hammer home these points and more.

Textron has had trouble in the past accessing commercial paper markets (and it's surely not having trouble now, right?) and raising equity capital. More than 50% of the assets on the books of its captive finance arm are non-performing and that could worsen as more companies that owe it money start to tip over in the various blighted industries it services. Add a slashed dividend to spook value and institutional investors. The upshot? Textron is basically ready to keel over, unfortunately.

Continue reading Textron: First TARP recipient from defense sector

Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings

Shares of Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) have moved strongly higher in today's action after the defense contractor put up better than expected numbers for its fourth quarter this morning.

Going into today's earnings release, analysts had been expecting to see the company show $1.92 per share, but the company came in well above those estimates, with a reported $2.05 a share for its quarter ending December 31.

This morning's good news was slightly balanced by the company's announcement that its upcoming full year 2009 profit was probably going to be lower than it had previously forecast, a result of increasing pension expenses. The market was tough on the company's pension plan in 2008, and drove the plan's value down by 28%. The resulting increase in pension expenses forced Lockheed Martin to lower its full year 2009 profit guidance down to between $7.05 and $7.25 from a previous estimate of between $7.65 and $7.90 per share.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings

Top Stock Picks '09: AeroVironment (AVAV)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

Gregg Early focuses on finding long-term growth opportunities among companies that specialize in niche, advanced technologies.

In his The New Tech Investor, he looks to AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV) -- which is involved in innovative ventures in both wind power and unmanned vehicles -- as his favorite investment idea for the coming year.

"Two things make AeroVironment a unique company: its story and its stock price during the past year.

"The company has four divisions that by themselves seem very incongruous for moving the whole forward. It has a division that makes some of the most highly lauded and in-demand micro-unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in service today.

"It also has a clean energy systems division that's best known for its 'architectural wind' turbines for urban settings, that are installed on manufacturing plants as well as office and apartment buildings.

"Its latter two division are the congruent in direction: one builds electric vehicle (EV) supply systems and the other supplies EV test systems.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: AeroVironment (AVAV)

Democrats win, and owners of defense stocks begin to tremble

That rumbling you heard this morning was the mad, frantic shuffling of papers and budget proposals inside the offices of defense contractors around the Washington Beltway, as they prepare to justify their appropriations amid a political shift in the nation's capital.

The Democrats, led by U.S. President-elect Barack Obama, are taking over the town. And while the security needs of the post-September 11 era and two wars mean major U.S. defense spending cuts are unlikely, changes in priorities and the demands of the financial crisis could create "a dramatically different defense spending landscape" for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC)," says economist Peter Dawson.

More support for troops on ground?

"What we may see from President-elect Obama is a shift toward increased U.S. Army troop strength and the basic armor and weapon systems that support them, to take stress off our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and to improve results in the wars, and less emphasis on costly, high-tech weapon systems," Dawson said. "If that's the case, an Obama Administration could seek to delay production of the Navy's DDG-1000 Zumwalt class destroyer, additional purchases of the new F-22 fighter jets, and other programs."

The DDG-1000 destroyer is jointly built by Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD). The F-22 is built by Lockheed Martin. Northrop's shares rose 44 cents to $48.50, Lockheed's gained 62 cents to $86.53, and General Dynamics fell $1.30 to $62.47 in mid-day Wednesday trading.

Continue reading Democrats win, and owners of defense stocks begin to tremble

Bet on defense: Leeb's look at Lockheed (LMT)

"Investors should be well rewarded in the coming years by buying with major U.S. defense companies at current prices," says Gregory Dorsey.

The contributing editor to Stephen Leeb's Income Performance Letter explains, "The U.S. has more than doubled our sales of armaments to foreign nations over the past three years. And regardless of who wins the election, we expect this to continue."

"We're adding one for growth and income to our portfolio now. Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) is a premier defense contractor. It's best known for its fighter jets.

"For example, Lockheed is now developing the F-35, also known as the Joint Strike Fighter, the replacement for the current generation of front-line fighters.

"But the company is actually engaged in four broad business areas, each of which should enjoy strong growth for years to come.

Continue reading Bet on defense: Leeb's look at Lockheed (LMT)

Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

"As my high school football coach always quipped, 'Offense may win fans, but defense wins games,'" says leading growth stock expert Louis Basenese.

Here, the Oxford Club associate investment director takes a look at his three favorite defense stocks, noting, "When it comes to investing in the current environment, I'm convinced that you can't go wrong with this trio of companies."

"In my view, this sector willl never fall out of favor. The recent development with Russia serves to underscore another point I've been making for years. We always have to be prepared.

"Or, put another way, there will never be a good time for defense cuts, lest we want to leave our country vulnerable.Add it all up, and we can expect defense companies to enjoy steady demand. Even in the face of a recession.

"As the CEO of Rockwell notes, there has been absolutely no fallout in the defense industry as a result of the worldwide credit meltdown or other economic woes. So here's a quick run-down on the three defense companies we prefer for investors.

Continue reading Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

McCain stock: Defense play with General Dynamics (GD)

This post is part of a series in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked financial experts to name their top stock pick if McCain or if Obama wins the election.

"The GOP is traditionally known as the party that spends more on defense; thus, if McCain wins the election, one stock to benefit would be defense firm General Dynamics (NYSE: GD)," says John Reese, editor of Validea, which follows the strategies of "legendary" investors such as Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.

"While McCain has talked tough about reforming the defense budget, he has also pledged to increase the size of the military, modernize the armed services, and push hard for strong missile defense systems -- all of which require serious spending.

"As a major producer of battle tanks and assault vehicles, armaments and munitions, battleships and nuclear submarines, and military information technology systems, this Virginia-based firm is thus likely to have quite a bit of work on its hands during a McCain presidency.

"Just as importantly, General Dynamics' finances and fundamentals are very strong, earning approval from both my Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett-based Guru Strategies -- computer models that are each based on the approach of a different investing great.

"Because of its moderate 18.14% long-term growth rate and huge annual sales of $28.7 billion, General Dynamics is considered a 'stalwart' by my Lynch strategy, the type of large, steady firm that Lynch found offered protection during downturns or recessions.

"Two big reasons my Lynch model is high on this stalwart: its yield-adjusted P/E/Growth ratio of 0.75, which signals that the stock is a bargain right now, and its 18.79% debt/equity ratio, a sign that GD has the conservative financing Lynch liked to see."

My Buffett-based model, meanwhile, likes General Dynamics' consistency. Over the past decade, its EPS have declined just once, rising from $1.46 to $5.10 in that time.

"The company's annual return on equity -- a figure Buffett used to find firms with the 'durable competitive advantage' he famously prizes -- has been at least 16.4% every year.

"GD has also retained $22.30 in per-share earnings in the past decade while increasing EPS by $3.64, showing it can earn investors a 16.3% return on the earnings it keeps. That's a sign of the strong management Buffett is also known to look for."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Favorite funds for defense & aerospace

"Defense stocks never looked more attractive than they do now," says Jim Powell, who looks at two favorite ways to play the defense sector.

In Global Changes & Opportunities Report, he says, "The drop in defense stocks has more to do with the overall bear market in stocks than to any problems within the sector itself."

"Recent quarterly earnings from many defense companies are up, with signi?cant gains in revenues and earnings.

"Defense stocks have also been pushed down due to worries that the presidential election might go to Senator Obama, who is not expected to be a strong a supporter of the military. Historically, however, Republican and Democratic spending on defense has been about the same.

"Some investors may also be nervous about buying defense stocks if the U.S. is likely to reduce its presence in Iraq over the next few years.

Continue reading Favorite funds for defense & aerospace

A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

"Partial insulation from the economic slowdown, coupled with new military-aircraft programs, give Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) attractive capital-gains potential over the next several years," says Richard Moroney.

In his blue chip oriented Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor explains, "A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. The stock is a Focus List Buy."

"Lockheed seems well-positioned with regards to the U.S. defense budget, with very little exposure to Iraq. The company is capable of growing pro? ts even if the new U.S. president pulls troops out of the country.

"While defense-spending growth is likely to slow in coming years, ongoing security threats and the need to replace aging equipment should keep the baseline defense budget, which excludes war-related costs, growing through at least 2012.

"A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. After the Air Force, Lockheed's next-largest end market is civil government and homeland security, accounting for 26% of revenue.

"The U.S. Navy accounts for 20% of sales and the Army 10%. About 13% of sales are international, and the U.S. communications industry accounts for 3%.

Continue reading A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

Chasing Value: Raytheon says 'Game on'

When you watch your kids playing war games on their computers, it must have occurred to you at some point that this might all be part of some grand scheme to get the next generation well-versed in a new set of skills. Hand-to-hand combat (except with their siblings) is out and unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs are in.


The AP (7/20) reported that Raytheon Company (NYSE: RTN) recently unveiled "its new control system for unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAVs." Raytheon's "Universal Control System,...uses some hardware from the gaming world," and is expected to "shorten training time and help prevent crashes of expensive unmanned drone aircraft by providing a more interactive experience for the pilot." The company focused on "making the system more intuitive -- replacing keystrokes with a game console -- after consulting with experts and discovering that thumbs are the most energy-efficient and accurate way to control an aircraft."

Given Iran's recent missile tests and all the saber rattling that goes on around the world, it should be no surprise that governments have been seeking Raytheon's Patriot Missile technology for years, but RTN is also a leader in a wide range of radar systems, guidance systems, airport monitoring and control systems, and of course the latest in UAV technology.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Raytheon says 'Game on'

Will Boeing win the $35 billion tanker competition?

BusinessWeek reports that Defense Secretary Robert Gates is expected to make an announcement today about whether the Air Force will reopen the bidding for the $35 billion tanker program. Boeing Inc. (NYSE: BA) thought it had a lock on it but earlier in the year, the Air Force awarded the contract to EADS, parent of Airbus, and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC). Boeing protested and last month, the General Accounting Office (GAO) reported that the award process was flawed.

That should come as no surprise. After all, Senator John McCain (R-AZ) was pushing for the European company to win the competition -- possibly since his then national finance chairman lobbied for that company. One of the sources I spoke with said that people suspect McCain arranged for a change in Tanker specifications to tilt the playing field in favor of EADS. This source also said that the Air Force neglected to notify Boeing of the change. Evidently, the GAO agreed that something was fishy here. It would be at least the fifth time that McCain had been influenced by lobbyists.

Now attention turns to Gates and Congress which hosts a battle between Senators from Washington, where Boeing has operations, and Alabama, where Northrop employs workers. BusinessWeek quotes Senator Patty Murray (D-Wash.), who introduced a Senate resolution on July 8, calling on the Pentagon to rebid the flawed tanker contract, as saying: "The GAO's decision was clear, and today we are reiterating that message so that the Pentagon knows there is no wiggle room. It's time to go back and hold a truly transparent competition that does our war fighters and taxpayers justice."

Continue reading Will Boeing win the $35 billion tanker competition?

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